Skip to main content

Parma vs Sassuolo | Serie A - Market Analysis

Statistical analysis and probabilities across all markets.

Parma

L
L
L
W
W
D

24 May 2026

13:00 (UTC+0)

(0
-
0)

1

-

0

FT

Sassuolo

L
L
W
D
W
L

TOP PICKS

Top Mathematical Model Picks

Stats Only

Based on xG, Elo ratings & historical game data. For live news & injury updates, check

Game Intelligencemore accurate picks using live news, lineups & 50+ sources

Portal Pulse

16 portals analyzed

Consensus from 16+ prediction portals. Each chart shows how many portals agree on each outcome — higher % means stronger consensus.

Preview (full breakdown in Premium report)

Top Mathematical Model Picks

Stats Only

Based on xG, Elo ratings & historical game data. For live news & injury updates, check

Game Intelligencemore accurate picks using live news, lineups & 50+ sources

Portal Pulse

16 portals analyzed

Consensus from 16+ prediction portals. Each chart shows how many portals agree on each outcome — higher % means stronger consensus.

Preview (full breakdown in Premium report)

HEAD TO HEAD

Form & Performance

Italy

Serie A

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

0%

33%

50%

22%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

42%

44%

50%

38%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

38%

43%

45%

40%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

47%

49%

38%

44%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

46%

49%

39%

46%

Home only

Away only

Home vs Away Strength

Upgrade to Premium to unlock detailed home vs away advantages, surprise indices, Brier scores, and ROI insights.

3 days free · No credit card required

Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

04/05
05/05
06/05
07/05
08/05
09/05

Home

2:3

10/05

11/05
12/05
13/05
14/05
15/05
16/05

Away

1:0

17/05

18/05
19/05
20/05
21/05
22/05
23/05

Home

1:0

24/05

25/05
26/05
27/05
28/05
29/05
30/05
31/05

Total Goals

average per game

Italy

Serie A

Poor
Attack
Good
Good
Defense
Good

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

-0.33
0.83
1.17

Scored

Conceded

1.33
1.33

Difference

0

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

-0.17
1.17
1.33

Scored

Conceded

1.67
1.17

Difference

+0.5

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

-0.62
0.62
1.25

Scored

Conceded

1.25
1.25

Difference

0

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

-0.6
0.75
1.35

Scored

Conceded

1.2
1.4

Difference

-0.2

Season

Full season averages

Difference

-0.51
0.73
1.24

Scored

Conceded

1.24
1.32

Difference

-0.08

League Average

Total Goals Momentum

Normal

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Head to Head

Last 365 days

1 Match

(0%)

0

Wins

Draws: 1

0

(0%)

1

(100%)

Avg Goals per Match

1
1

Scored

Conceded

1
1

Parma

Sassuolo

All Matches

11 Matches

(45%)

5

Wins

Draws: 3

3

(27%)

5

(45%)

3

(27%)

3

(27%)

Avg Goals per Match

1.18
1.27

Scored

Conceded

1.27
1.18

Parma

Sassuolo

Italy | Serie A

03 Jan 26

Sassuolo

1
1

Parma

5mo ago

Italy | Serie A

16 May 21

Parma

1
3

Sassuolo

5y ago

Italy | Serie A

17 Jan 21

Sassuolo

1
1

Parma

5y ago

Total Goals

average per game

Italy

Serie A

Poor
Attack
Good
Good
Defense
Good

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

-0.33
0.83
1.17

Scored

Conceded

1.33
1.33

Difference

0

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

-0.17
1.17
1.33

Scored

Conceded

1.67
1.17

Difference

+0.5

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

-0.62
0.62
1.25

Scored

Conceded

1.25
1.25

Difference

0

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

-0.6
0.75
1.35

Scored

Conceded

1.2
1.4

Difference

-0.2

Season

Full season averages

Difference

-0.51
0.73
1.24

Scored

Conceded

1.24
1.32

Difference

-0.08

League Average

Total Goals Momentum

Normal

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Head to Head

Last 365 days

1 Match

(0%)

0

Wins

Draws: 1

0

(0%)

1

(100%)

Avg Goals per Match

1
1

Scored

Conceded

1
1

Parma

Sassuolo

All Matches

11 Matches

(45%)

5

Wins

Draws: 3

3

(27%)

5

(45%)

3

(27%)

3

(27%)

Avg Goals per Match

1.18
1.27

Scored

Conceded

1.27
1.18

Parma

Sassuolo

Italy | Serie A

03 Jan 26

Sassuolo

1
1

Parma

5mo ago

Italy | Serie A

16 May 21

Parma

1
3

Sassuolo

5y ago

Italy | Serie A

17 Jan 21

Sassuolo

1
1

Parma

5y ago

Form & Performance

Italy

Serie A

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

0%

33%

50%

22%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

42%

44%

50%

38%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

38%

43%

45%

40%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

47%

49%

38%

44%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

46%

49%

39%

46%

Home only

Away only

Home vs Away Strength

Upgrade to Premium to unlock detailed home vs away advantages, surprise indices, Brier scores, and ROI insights.

3 days free · No credit card required

Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

04/05
05/05
06/05
07/05
08/05
09/05

Home

2:3

10/05

11/05
12/05
13/05
14/05
15/05
16/05

Away

1:0

17/05

18/05
19/05
20/05
21/05
22/05
23/05

Home

1:0

24/05

25/05
26/05
27/05
28/05
29/05
30/05
31/05

Unlock In-Depth Sports Data Insights!

Filter by Competition, Period, Teams, and Half-Times for Tailored Analysis

Competition

Period

Side

FT/HT

PERFORMANCE TRENDS

Change of Long Term Quality

Shows the change of long term quality in past.

Parma

Sassuolo

Goals History

Parma

Sassuolo

Overall Form

40%
Overall Form
43%
2
Wins
3
3
Draws
2
5
Losses
5

Rankings

Current Season

13
Serie A
11
37
Played
37
1.14
Points per Match
1.32

Quality

44%
Team Quality
49%
51%
Avg Opponent Quality
52%

Goals Performance

35%
Goals Performance
42%
0.7
Scored Goals
1.2
1.4
Conceded Goals
1.3
-0.7
Goals Difference
(Scored - Conceded)
-0.1
2.1
Total Goals
(Scored + Conceded)
2.5

Average Goals per Match

vs

MATCH HISTORY

Last Matches (1X2)

Fulltime

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
Italy

Italy | Serie A

FT

24/05

13:00

Parma
Sassuolo
1
0

H

2.76

D

3.20

A

2.61

W
Italy

Italy | Serie A

FT

17/05

10:00

Como
Parma
1
0

H

1.27

D

5.55

A

11.25

L
Italy

Italy | Serie A

FT

10/05

16:00

Parma
AS Roma
2
3

H

7.23

D

4.26

A

1.46

L
Italy

Italy | Serie A

FT

03/05

18:45

Inter
Parma
2
0

H

1.21

D

6.58

A

13.17

L
Italy

Italy | Serie A

FT

25/04

13:00

Parma
Pisa
1
0

H

2.28

D

3.00

A

3.51

W
Italy

Italy | Serie A

FT

18/04

13:00

Udinese
Parma
0
1

H

2.16

D

2.98

A

3.85

W
Italy

Italy | Serie A

FT

12/04

13:00

Parma
Napoli
1
1

H

6.62

D

3.82

A

1.57

D
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Parma

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
Italy

Italy | Serie A

FT

24/05

13:00

Parma
Sassuolo
1
0

H

2.76

D

3.20

A

2.61

W
Italy

Italy | Serie A

FT

17/05

10:00

Como
Parma
1
0

H

1.27

D

5.55

A

11.25

L
Italy

Italy | Serie A

FT

10/05

16:00

Parma
AS Roma
2
3

H

7.23

D

4.26

A

1.46

L
Italy

Italy | Serie A

FT

03/05

18:45

Inter
Parma
2
0

H

1.21

D

6.58

A

13.17

L
Italy

Italy | Serie A

FT

25/04

13:00

Parma
Pisa
1
0

H

2.28

D

3.00

A

3.51

W
Italy

Italy | Serie A

FT

18/04

13:00

Udinese
Parma
0
1

H

2.16

D

2.98

A

3.85

W
Italy

Italy | Serie A

FT

12/04

13:00

Parma
Napoli
1
1

H

6.62

D

3.82

A

1.57

D
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Sassuolo

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
Italy

Italy | Serie A

FT

24/05

13:00

Parma
Sassuolo
1
0

H

2.76

D

3.20

A

2.61

L
Italy

Italy | Serie A

FT

17/05

18:45

Sassuolo
Lecce
2
3

H

2.66

D

3.14

A

2.75

L
Italy

Italy | Serie A

FT

08/05

18:45

Torino
Sassuolo
2
1

H

2.63

D

3.14

A

2.81

L
Italy

Italy | Serie A

FT

03/05

13:00

Sassuolo
AC Milan
2
0

H

4.57

D

3.92

A

1.73

W
Italy

Italy | Serie A

FT

26/04

10:30

Fiorentina
Sassuolo
0
0

H

1.98

D

3.38

A

3.94

D
Italy

Italy | Serie A

FT

17/04

16:30

Sassuolo
Como
2
1

H

5.94

D

4.32

A

1.53

W
Italy

Italy | Serie A

FT

12/04

10:30

Genoa
Sassuolo
2
1

H

2.17

D

3.22

A

3.55

L
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Statistics

Average Statistics per Game

0.6
Expected Goals
1.16
7.4
Total Shots
11
2.1
Shots on Goal
3.8
4.3
Shots Inside Box
7.4
3.1
Shots Outside Box
3.6
41%
Possession
50%
81%
Passes %
84%

TACTICAL OVERVIEW

Lineups

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 1.89 per game

Low Team Rotation!
Rare lineup changes boost chemistry but may cause fatigue

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

9

M. Pellegrino

7.7
L

76

D. Mikolajewski

6.5
H

Midfielders

27

S. Britschgi

6.2
H

24

C. Ordonez

7.5
H

41

H. Nicolussi Caviglia

6.9
M

16

M. Keita

7
L

14

E. Valeri

7
L

Defenders

39

A. Circati

7.3
L

37

M. Troilo

7.3
L

5

L. Valenti

6.9
H

Goalkeepers

40

E. Corvi

6.9
H
Injuries/Absence

Key Players

A. Bernabe

Muscle Injury

L

G. Strefezza

Ankle Injury

L

Others

B. Cremaschi

Knee Injury

H

N. Elphege

Thigh Injury

H

M. Frigan

Knee Injury

-

J. Ondrejka

Leg Injury

H

G. Oristanio

Knee Injury

H

Parma

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 1.89 per game

Low Team Rotation!
Rare lineup changes boost chemistry but may cause fatigue

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

9

M. Pellegrino

7.7
L

76

D. Mikolajewski

6.5
H

Midfielders

27

S. Britschgi

6.2
H

24

C. Ordonez

7.5
H

41

H. Nicolussi Caviglia

6.9
M

16

M. Keita

7
L

14

E. Valeri

7
L

Defenders

39

A. Circati

7.3
L

37

M. Troilo

7.3
L

5

L. Valenti

6.9
H

Goalkeepers

40

E. Corvi

6.9
H
Injuries/Absence

Key Players

A. Bernabe

Muscle Injury

L

G. Strefezza

Ankle Injury

L

Others

B. Cremaschi

Knee Injury

H

N. Elphege

Thigh Injury

H

M. Frigan

Knee Injury

-

J. Ondrejka

Leg Injury

H

G. Oristanio

Knee Injury

H

Sassuolo

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 3.56 per game

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

10

D. Berardi

6.3
M

99

A. Pinamonti

6.6
M

45

A. Lauriente

6.7
L

Midfielders

42

K. Thorstvedt

6.5
L

35

L. Lipani

7.5
H

90

I. Kone

6.9
L

Defenders

25

W. Coulibaly

6.9
H

31

T. Macchioni

6.2
H

21

J. Idzes

7
L

23

U. Garcia

6.9
M

Goalkeepers

13

S. Turati

6.9
H
Injuries/Absence

Key Players

S. Walukiewicz

Leg Injury

L

Others

D. Bakola

Knee Injury

H

D. Boloca

Muscle Injury

-

F. Cande

Knee Injury

-

E. Pieragnolo

Knee Injury

-

F. Romagna

Inactive

H

A. Vranckx

Inactive

H

Player Rotation Legend

L

Low

M

Medium

H

High

-

Unknown

  • Low: Regular starter with stable minutes
  • Medium: Plays regularly but role/minutes vary
  • High: Unpredictable role, often rotated or benched.

Odds Movement

All odds shown are the average odds from all bookmakers in our system.

Home

2.76

Draw

3.20

Away

2.61

2.67

Home

2.76

3.20

Draw

3.34

2.58

Away

2.61

Max

Home

2.76

Draw

3.34

Away

2.61

%

3%
4%
1%

Min

Home

2.67

Draw

3.20

Away

2.58

NOTE: Odds are updated every 3 hours.