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Manchester City vs Aston Villa | Premier League - Goal Trends & xG

Expected goals (xG), scoring trends, and goal probability analysis.

Manchester City

D
W
W
W
D
W

24 May 2026

15:00 (UTC+0)

(1
-
0)

1

-

2

FT

Aston Villa

W
W
D
W
L
L

GOALS OVERVIEW

Goals

average per game

England

Premier League

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Total

3
2.17
0.83

Scored

Conceded

2
1.83

Total

3.83

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Total

3.17
2.5
0.67

Scored

Conceded

2.17
2

Total

4.17

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Total

2.88
2
0.88

Scored

Conceded

1.5
2.12

Total

3.62

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Total

2.6
1.75
0.85

Scored

Conceded

1.35
1.5

Total

2.85

Season

Full season averages

Total

2.95
2.05
0.89

Scored

Conceded

1.46
1.3

Total

2.76

League Average

Total Goals Momentum

Normal

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Head to Head

Last 365 days

1 Match

1

Total Goals

Total = Scored + Conceded

Avg Goals per Match

0
1

Scored

Conceded

1
0

Manchester City

Aston Villa

All Matches

28 Matches

3.21

Total Goals

Total = Scored + Conceded

Avg Goals per Match

2.39
0.82

Scored

Conceded

0.82
2.39

Manchester City

Aston Villa

England | Premier League

26 Oct 25

Aston Villa

1
0

Manchester City

8mo ago

England | Premier League

22 Apr 25

Manchester City

2
1

Aston Villa

1y ago

England | Premier League

21 Dec 24

Aston Villa

2
1

Manchester City

1y ago

Goals

average per game

England

Premier League

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Total

3
2.17
0.83

Scored

Conceded

2
1.83

Total

3.83

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Total

3.17
2.5
0.67

Scored

Conceded

2.17
2

Total

4.17

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Total

2.88
2
0.88

Scored

Conceded

1.5
2.12

Total

3.62

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Total

2.6
1.75
0.85

Scored

Conceded

1.35
1.5

Total

2.85

Season

Full season averages

Total

2.95
2.05
0.89

Scored

Conceded

1.46
1.3

Total

2.76

League Average

Total Goals Momentum

Normal

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Head to Head

Last 365 days

1 Match

1

Total Goals

Total = Scored + Conceded

Avg Goals per Match

0
1

Scored

Conceded

1
0

Manchester City

Aston Villa

All Matches

28 Matches

3.21

Total Goals

Total = Scored + Conceded

Avg Goals per Match

2.39
0.82

Scored

Conceded

0.82
2.39

Manchester City

Aston Villa

England | Premier League

26 Oct 25

Aston Villa

1
0

Manchester City

8mo ago

England | Premier League

22 Apr 25

Manchester City

2
1

Aston Villa

1y ago

England | Premier League

21 Dec 24

Aston Villa

2
1

Manchester City

1y ago

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Filter by Competition, Period, Teams, and Half-Times for Tailored Analysis

Competition

Period

Side

FT/HT

TRENDS & PATTERNS

Goals History

Manchester City

Aston Villa

Goals Distribution

Manchester City

Manchester City

Opponents

No Goals

No Data

Avg Goals per Match

0

0.09 (1)

15

0.27 (3)

30

0.55 (6)

45

0.55 (6)

60

0.64 (7)

75

0.82 (9)

0

0.36 (4)

30

1.1 (12)

60

1.46 (16)

0

0.91 (10)

45

2.01 (22)

Manchester City

Manchester City

Manchester City

Opponents

No Goals

No Data

Avg Goals per Match

0

0.09 (1)

15

0.27 (3)

30

0.55 (6)

45

0.55 (6)

60

0.64 (7)

75

0.82 (9)

0

0.36 (4)

30

1.1 (12)

60

1.46 (16)

0

0.91 (10)

45

2.01 (22)

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

Opponents

No Goals

No Data

Avg Goals per Match

0

0.36 (4)

15

0.36 (4)

30

0.82 (9)

45

0.73 (8)

60

0.27 (3)

75

0.82 (9)

0

0.72 (8)

30

1.55 (17)

60

1.09 (12)

0

1.54 (17)

45

1.82 (20)

Goals Statistics

2.9
Total Goals
3.5
2.3
Scored Goals
2.3
0.6
Conceded Goals
1.2
1.7
Goals Difference
(Scored - Conceded)
1.1

Time Statistics

average per game

44'
First Goal in Match
29'
49'
First Scored Goal in Match
47'
74'
First Conceded Goal in Match
50'

Average Goals per Match

vs

Goals Performance

78%
Goals Performance
61%
2.3
Scored Goals
2.3
0.6
Conceded Goals
1.2
1.7
Goals Difference
(Scored - Conceded)
1.1
2.9
Total Goals
(Scored + Conceded)
3.5

Average Goals per Match

vs

MATCH HISTORY

Last Matches (Over/Under)

Fulltime

Date
Teams
Odds
Total Goals

Result

England

England | Premier League

FT

24/05

15:00

Manchester City
Aston Villa
1
2
1.35
3.00
W
England

England | Premier League

FT

19/05

18:30

Bournemouth
Manchester City
1
1
1.51
2.00
L
England

England | FA Cup

FT

16/05

14:00

Chelsea
Manchester City
0
1
1.68
1.00
L
England

England | Premier League

FT

13/05

19:00

Manchester City
Crystal Palace
3
0
1.40
3.00
W
England

England | Premier League

FT

09/05

16:30

Manchester City
Brentford
3
0
1.34
3.00
W
England

England | Premier League

FT

04/05

19:00

Everton
Manchester City
3
3
1.60
6.00
W
England

England | FA Cup

FT

25/04

16:15

Manchester City
Southampton
2
1
1.44
3.00
W
Wins
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Manchester City

Date
Teams
Odds
Total Goals

Result

England

England | Premier League

FT

24/05

15:00

Manchester City
Aston Villa
1
2
1.35
3.00
W
England

England | Premier League

FT

19/05

18:30

Bournemouth
Manchester City
1
1
1.51
2.00
L
England

England | FA Cup

FT

16/05

14:00

Chelsea
Manchester City
0
1
1.68
1.00
L
England

England | Premier League

FT

13/05

19:00

Manchester City
Crystal Palace
3
0
1.40
3.00
W
England

England | Premier League

FT

09/05

16:30

Manchester City
Brentford
3
0
1.34
3.00
W
England

England | Premier League

FT

04/05

19:00

Everton
Manchester City
3
3
1.60
6.00
W
England

England | FA Cup

FT

25/04

16:15

Manchester City
Southampton
2
1
1.44
3.00
W
Wins
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Aston Villa

Date
Teams
Odds
Total Goals

Result

England

England | Premier League

FT

24/05

15:00

Manchester City
Aston Villa
1
2
1.35
3.00
W
World

World | UEFA Europa League

FT

20/05

19:00

SC Freiburg
Aston Villa
0
3
1.95
3.00
W
England

England | Premier League

FT

15/05

19:00

Aston Villa
Liverpool
4
2
1.80
6.00
W
England

England | Premier League

FT

10/05

13:00

Burnley
Aston Villa
2
2
1.73
4.00
W
World

World | UEFA Europa League

FT

07/05

19:00

Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
4
0
1.87
4.00
W
England

England | Premier League

FT

03/05

18:00

Aston Villa
Tottenham
1
2
1.74
3.00
W
World

World | UEFA Europa League

FT

30/04

19:00

Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa
1
0
2.03
1.00
L
Wins
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Lineups

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 3.67 per game

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

47

P. Foden

6.5
H

4

T. Reijnders

6.3
H

Midfielders

14

Nico

7.3
H

20

B. Silva

6.9
M

42

A. Semenyo

7.5
L

26

Savinho

6.6
H

Defenders

82

R. Lewis

6
H

5

J. Stones

6.5
H

3

R. Dias

6.7
H

6

N. Ake

6.7
H

Goalkeepers

1

J. Trafford

6.3
H

Manchester City

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 3.67 per game

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

47

P. Foden

6.5
H

4

T. Reijnders

6.3
H

Midfielders

14

Nico

7.3
H

20

B. Silva

6.9
M

42

A. Semenyo

7.5
L

26

Savinho

6.6
H

Defenders

82

R. Lewis

6
H

5

J. Stones

6.5
H

3

R. Dias

6.7
H

6

N. Ake

6.7
H

Goalkeepers

1

J. Trafford

6.3
H

Aston Villa

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 3.33 per game

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

11

O. Watkins

9.3
L

Midfielders

26

L. Bogarde

6.7
H

21

Douglas Luiz

7.2
H

31

L. Bailey

6.3
H

6

R. Barkley

6.7
M

10

E. Buendia

7.9
M

Defenders

16

A. Garcia

6.6
H

3

V. Lindelof

6.6
H

5

T. Mings

6.9
H

22

I. Maatsen

6.6
H

Goalkeepers

40

M. Bizot

6.9
H
Injuries/Absence

Key Players

E. Martinez

Finger Injury

L

Others

Alysson

Muscle Injury

-

B. Kamara

Knee Injury

-

Player Rotation Legend

L

Low

M

Medium

H

High

-

Unknown

  • Low: Regular starter with stable minutes
  • Medium: Plays regularly but role/minutes vary
  • High: Unpredictable role, often rotated or benched.