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England vs Croatia | World Cup - Market Analysis

Statistical analysis and probabilities across all markets.

World

World

World Cup

England

W
L
D
W
W
W

vs

17 Jun 2026

20:00 (UTC+0)

Croatia

W
L
L
W
W
W

TOP PICKS

Top Mathematical Model Picks

Stats Only

Based on xG, Elo ratings & historical game data. For live news & injury updates, check

Game Intelligence — more accurate picks using live news, lineups & 50+ sources

Top Mathematical Model Picks

Stats Only

Based on xG, Elo ratings & historical game data. For live news & injury updates, check

Game Intelligence — more accurate picks using live news, lineups & 50+ sources

HEAD TO HEAD

Form & Performance

All Competitions

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

50%

33%

50%

67%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

75%

67%

75%

78%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

75%

76%

75%

53%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

78%

69%

62%

58%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

50%

50%

50%

50%

Home only

Away only

Home vs Away Strength

Upgrade to Premium to unlock detailed home vs away advantages, surprise indices, Brier scores, and ROI insights.

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Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

01/06
02/06
03/06
04/06
05/06

Home

1:0

06/06

07/06
08/06
09/06

Home

?

10/06

11/06
12/06
13/06
14/06
15/06
16/06

Home

?

17/06

18/06
19/06
20/06
21/06
22/06
23/06
24/06
25/06
26/06
27/06
28/06

Total Goals

average per game

All Competitions

Good
Attack
Excellent
Excellent
Defense
Good

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

+1.5
1.83
0.33

Scored

Conceded

1.83
1.67

Difference

+0.17

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

+1.17
1.5
0.33

Scored

Conceded

2.83
0.83

Difference

+2

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

+1.62
2.12
0.5

Scored

Conceded

1.88
1

Difference

+0.88

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

+1.75
2.25
0.5

Scored

Conceded

2.05
1.05

Difference

+1

Season

Full season averages

Difference

0
0.67
0.67

Scored

Conceded

1.25
1.75

Difference

-0.5

Total Goals Momentum

Normal

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Head to Head

Last 365 days

No Matches

No matches found

All Matches

4 Matches

(50%)

2

Wins

Draws: 2

0

(0%)

2

(50%)

2

(50%)

Avg Goals per Match

1
0.5

Scored

Conceded

0.5
1

England

Croatia

World | Euro Championship

13 Jun 21

England

1
0

Croatia

5y ago

World | UEFA Nations League

18 Nov 18

England

2
1

Croatia

8y ago

World | UEFA Nations League

12 Oct 18

Croatia

0
0

England

8y ago

Total Goals

average per game

All Competitions

Good
Attack
Excellent
Excellent
Defense
Good

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

+1.5
1.83
0.33

Scored

Conceded

1.83
1.67

Difference

+0.17

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

+1.17
1.5
0.33

Scored

Conceded

2.83
0.83

Difference

+2

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

+1.62
2.12
0.5

Scored

Conceded

1.88
1

Difference

+0.88

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

+1.75
2.25
0.5

Scored

Conceded

2.05
1.05

Difference

+1

Season

Full season averages

Difference

0
0.67
0.67

Scored

Conceded

1.25
1.75

Difference

-0.5

Total Goals Momentum

Normal

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Head to Head

Last 365 days

No Matches

No matches found

All Matches

4 Matches

(50%)

2

Wins

Draws: 2

0

(0%)

2

(50%)

2

(50%)

Avg Goals per Match

1
0.5

Scored

Conceded

0.5
1

England

Croatia

World | Euro Championship

13 Jun 21

England

1
0

Croatia

5y ago

World | UEFA Nations League

18 Nov 18

England

2
1

Croatia

8y ago

World | UEFA Nations League

12 Oct 18

Croatia

0
0

England

8y ago

Form & Performance

All Competitions

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

50%

33%

50%

67%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

75%

67%

75%

78%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

75%

76%

75%

53%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

78%

69%

62%

58%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

50%

50%

50%

50%

Home only

Away only

Home vs Away Strength

Upgrade to Premium to unlock detailed home vs away advantages, surprise indices, Brier scores, and ROI insights.

3 days free · No credit card required

Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

01/06
02/06
03/06
04/06
05/06

Home

1:0

06/06

07/06
08/06
09/06

Home

?

10/06

11/06
12/06
13/06
14/06
15/06
16/06

Home

?

17/06

18/06
19/06
20/06
21/06
22/06
23/06
24/06
25/06
26/06
27/06
28/06

Unlock In-Depth Sports Data Insights!

Filter by Competition, Period, Teams, and Half-Times for Tailored Analysis

Competition

Period

Side

FT/HT

PERFORMANCE TRENDS

Change of Long Term Quality

Shows the change of long term quality in past.

England

Croatia

Goals History

England

Croatia

Overall Form

72%
Overall Form
76%
7
Wins
7
1
Draws
1
2
Losses
2

Rankings

Current Season

1
Group L
2
0
Played
0
0
Points per Match
0

Quality

72%
Team Quality
70%
58%
Avg Opponent Quality
52%

Goals Performance

69%
Goals Performance
63%
2.2
Scored Goals
1.9
0.5
Conceded Goals
1
1.7
Goals Difference
(Scored - Conceded)
0.9
2.7
Total Goals
(Scored + Conceded)
2.9

Average Goals per Match

vs

MATCH HISTORY

Last Matches (1X2)

Fulltime

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
World

World | World Cup

17/06

20:00

England
Croatia

H

1.73

D

3.68

A

4.77

?
World

World | Friendlies

FT

06/06

20:00

England
New Zealand
1
0

H

1.08

D

10.66

A

25.29

W
World

World | Friendlies

FT

31/03

18:45

England
Japan
0
1

H

1.54

D

4.17

A

5.43

L
World

World | Friendlies

FT

27/03

19:45

England
Uruguay
1
1

H

1.52

D

4.00

A

6.25

D
World

World | World Cup - Qualification Europe

FT

16/11

17:00

Albania
England
0
2

H

9.70

D

4.79

A

1.35

W
World

World | World Cup - Qualification Europe

FT

13/11

19:45

England
Serbia
2
0

H

1.27

D

5.57

A

11.18

W
World

World | World Cup - Qualification Europe

FT

14/10

18:45

Latvia
England
0
5

H

43.39

D

14.35

A

1.05

W
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

England

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
World

World | World Cup

17/06

20:00

England
Croatia

H

1.73

D

3.68

A

4.77

?
World

World | Friendlies

FT

06/06

20:00

England
New Zealand
1
0

H

1.08

D

10.66

A

25.29

W
World

World | Friendlies

FT

31/03

18:45

England
Japan
0
1

H

1.54

D

4.17

A

5.43

L
World

World | Friendlies

FT

27/03

19:45

England
Uruguay
1
1

H

1.52

D

4.00

A

6.25

D
World

World | World Cup - Qualification Europe

FT

16/11

17:00

Albania
England
0
2

H

9.70

D

4.79

A

1.35

W
World

World | World Cup - Qualification Europe

FT

13/11

19:45

England
Serbia
2
0

H

1.27

D

5.57

A

11.18

W
World

World | World Cup - Qualification Europe

FT

14/10

18:45

Latvia
England
0
5

H

43.39

D

14.35

A

1.05

W
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Croatia

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
World

World | World Cup

17/06

20:00

England
Croatia

H

1.73

D

3.68

A

4.77

?
World

World | Friendlies

FT

07/06

18:45

Croatia
Slovenia
2
1

H

1.40

D

4.45

A

7.76

W
World

World | Friendlies

FT

02/06

16:00

Croatia
Belgium
0
2

H

2.62

D

3.37

A

2.57

L
World

World | Friendlies

FT

01/04

00:00

Brazil
Croatia
3
1

H

1.79

D

3.86

A

4.03

L
World

World | Friendlies

FT

26/03

23:30

Colombia
Croatia
1
2

H

2.09

D

3.38

A

3.34

W
World

World | World Cup - Qualification Europe

FT

17/11

19:45

Montenegro
Croatia
2
3

H

7.38

D

4.61

A

1.43

W
World

World | World Cup - Qualification Europe

FT

14/11

19:45

Croatia
Faroe Islands
3
1

H

1.11

D

9.22

A

24.49

W
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Statistics

Average Statistics per Game

1.33
Expected Goals
Missing Data (8 | 8)
1.79
17.3
Total Shots
18.33
6.1
Shots on Goal
5.78
11.4
Shots Inside Box
13
5.9
Shots Outside Box
5.33
69%
Possession
67%
91%
Passes %
89%

Some data is missing for recent matches.

(Home: 0 | Away: 1)

We're working to fill in the gaps!

TACTICAL OVERVIEW

Lineups

Previous Match Lineup

Avg Changes: 6.11 per game

High Team Rotation!
Frequent lineup changes help manage fatigue but may disrupt team chemistry

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

9

H. Kane

7.3
M

Midfielders

14

J. Henderson

7
H

16

K. Mainoo

6.9
M

19

O. Watkins

7
H

17

M. Rogers

6.6
M

11

M. Rashford

7.3
M

Defenders

26

J. Quansah

6.9
H

5

J. Stones

7
M

6

M. Guehi

7
M

25

D. Spence

7.5
H

Goalkeepers

1

J. Pickford

6.9
M

England

Previous Match Lineup

Avg Changes: 6.11 per game

High Team Rotation!
Frequent lineup changes help manage fatigue but may disrupt team chemistry

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

9

H. Kane

7.3
M

Midfielders

14

J. Henderson

7
H

16

K. Mainoo

6.9
M

19

O. Watkins

7
H

17

M. Rogers

6.6
M

11

M. Rashford

7.3
M

Defenders

26

J. Quansah

6.9
H

5

J. Stones

7
M

6

M. Guehi

7
M

25

D. Spence

7.5
H

Goalkeepers

1

J. Pickford

6.9
M

Croatia

Previous Match Lineup

Avg Changes: 6.5 per game

High Team Rotation!
Frequent lineup changes help manage fatigue but may disrupt team chemistry

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

11

Ante Budimir

6.5
H

Midfielders

10

Luka Modrić

7.9
M

8

Mateo Kovačić

6.7
M

24

Marco Pašalić

7.5
H

9

Andrej Kramarić

6.7
M

14

Ivan Perišić

7.3
M

Defenders

2

Josip Stanišić

7.2
M

25

Martin Erlić

7.2
H

3

Marin Pongračić

7.3
H

4

Joško Gvardiol

6.9
M

Goalkeepers

1

Dominik Livaković

7.5
M

Note: Missing historical data for 1 matches

Player Rotation Legend

L

Low

M

Medium

H

High

-

Unknown

  • Low: Regular starter with stable minutes
  • Medium: Plays regularly but role/minutes vary
  • High: Unpredictable role, often rotated or benched.

Odds Movement

All odds shown are the average odds from all bookmakers in our system.

Home

1.73

Draw

3.68

Away

4.77

1.73

Home

1.73

3.66

Draw

3.68

4.77

Away

4.79

Max

Home

1.73

Draw

3.68

Away

4.79

%

0%
1%
0%

Min

Home

1.73

Draw

3.66

Away

4.77

NOTE: Odds are updated every 3 hours.