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USA vs Australia | World Cup - Market Analysis

Statistical analysis and probabilities across all markets.

USA

L
W
L
L
W
W

vs

19 Jun 2026

19:00 (UTC+0)

Australia

D
L
W
W
L
L

TOP PICKS

Top Mathematical Model Picks

Stats Only

Based on xG, Elo ratings & historical game data. For live news & injury updates, check

Game Intelligencemore accurate picks using live news, lineups & 50+ sources

Top Mathematical Model Picks

Stats Only

Based on xG, Elo ratings & historical game data. For live news & injury updates, check

Game Intelligencemore accurate picks using live news, lineups & 50+ sources

HEAD TO HEAD

Form & Performance

All Competitions

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

33%

55%

33%

22%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

50%

44%

50%

28%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

55%

57%

55%

53%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

50%

66%

55%

66%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

25%

80%

25%

76%

Home only

Away only

Home vs Away Strength

Upgrade to Premium to unlock detailed home vs away advantages, surprise indices, Brier scores, and ROI insights.

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Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

01/06
02/06
03/06
04/06
05/06

Home

1:2

06/06

07/06
08/06
09/06
10/06
11/06
12/06

Home

?

13/06

14/06
15/06
16/06
17/06
18/06

Home

?

19/06

20/06
21/06
22/06
23/06
24/06
25/06
26/06
27/06
28/06

Total Goals

average per game

All Competitions

Excellent
Attack
Good
Poor
Defense
Excellent

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

0
2.17
2.17

Scored

Conceded

1.17
1.17

Difference

0

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

0
2.17
2.17

Scored

Conceded

2.17
0.33

Difference

+1.83

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

-0.12
1.62
1.75

Scored

Conceded

1
1

Difference

0

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

+0.05
1.65
1.6

Scored

Conceded

1.45
0.85

Difference

+0.6

Season

Full season averages

Difference

-1.25
1.5
2.75

Scored

Conceded

2.25
0.5

Difference

+1.75

Total Goals Momentum

Normal

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Head to Head

Last 365 days

No Matches

No matches found

All Matches

No Matches

No matches found

Total Goals

average per game

All Competitions

Excellent
Attack
Good
Poor
Defense
Excellent

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

0
2.17
2.17

Scored

Conceded

1.17
1.17

Difference

0

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

0
2.17
2.17

Scored

Conceded

2.17
0.33

Difference

+1.83

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

-0.12
1.62
1.75

Scored

Conceded

1
1

Difference

0

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

+0.05
1.65
1.6

Scored

Conceded

1.45
0.85

Difference

+0.6

Season

Full season averages

Difference

-1.25
1.5
2.75

Scored

Conceded

2.25
0.5

Difference

+1.75

Total Goals Momentum

Normal

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Head to Head

Last 365 days

No Matches

No matches found

All Matches

No Matches

No matches found

Form & Performance

All Competitions

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

33%

55%

33%

22%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

50%

44%

50%

28%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

55%

57%

55%

53%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

50%

66%

55%

66%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

25%

80%

25%

76%

Home only

Away only

Home vs Away Strength

Upgrade to Premium to unlock detailed home vs away advantages, surprise indices, Brier scores, and ROI insights.

3 days free · No credit card required

Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

01/06
02/06
03/06
04/06
05/06

Home

1:2

06/06

07/06
08/06
09/06
10/06
11/06
12/06

Home

?

13/06

14/06
15/06
16/06
17/06
18/06

Home

?

19/06

20/06
21/06
22/06
23/06
24/06
25/06
26/06
27/06
28/06

Unlock In-Depth Sports Data Insights!

Filter by Competition, Period, Teams, and Half-Times for Tailored Analysis

Competition

Period

Side

FT/HT

PERFORMANCE TRENDS

Change of Long Term Quality

Shows the change of long term quality in past.

USA

Australia

Goals History

USA

Australia

Overall Form

55%
Overall Form
57%
5
Wins
5
1
Draws
1
4
Losses
4

Rankings

Current Season

1
Group D
3
0
Played
0
0
Points per Match
0

Quality

53%
Team Quality
60%
70%
Avg Opponent Quality
62%

Goals Performance

48%
Goals Performance
50%
1.8
Scored Goals
1.3
1.7
Conceded Goals
1
0.1
Goals Difference
(Scored - Conceded)
0.3
3.5
Total Goals
(Scored + Conceded)
2.3

Average Goals per Match

vs

MATCH HISTORY

Last Matches (1X2)

Fulltime

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
World

World | World Cup

19/06

19:00

USA
Australia

H

1.74

D

3.67

A

4.61

?
World

World | Friendlies

FT

06/06

18:30

USA
Germany
1
2

H

4.73

D

4.24

A

1.62

L
World

World | Friendlies

FT

31/05

19:30

USA
Senegal
3
2

H

2.70

D

3.22

A

2.55

W
World

World | Friendlies

FT

31/03

23:00

USA
Portugal
0
2

H

4.92

D

4.24

A

1.58

L
World

World | Friendlies

FT

28/03

19:30

USA
Belgium
2
5

H

2.93

D

3.66

A

2.21

L
World

World | Friendlies

FT

19/11

00:00

USA
Uruguay
5
1

H

3.34

D

3.07

A

2.23

W
World

World | Friendlies

FT

15/11

22:00

USA
Paraguay
2
1

H

2.34

D

3.14

A

3.07

W
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

USA

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
World

World | World Cup

19/06

19:00

USA
Australia

H

1.74

D

3.67

A

4.61

?
World

World | Friendlies

FT

06/06

18:30

USA
Germany
1
2

H

4.73

D

4.24

A

1.62

L
World

World | Friendlies

FT

31/05

19:30

USA
Senegal
3
2

H

2.70

D

3.22

A

2.55

W
World

World | Friendlies

FT

31/03

23:00

USA
Portugal
0
2

H

4.92

D

4.24

A

1.58

L
World

World | Friendlies

FT

28/03

19:30

USA
Belgium
2
5

H

2.93

D

3.66

A

2.21

L
World

World | Friendlies

FT

19/11

00:00

USA
Uruguay
5
1

H

3.34

D

3.07

A

2.23

W
World

World | Friendlies

FT

15/11

22:00

USA
Paraguay
2
1

H

2.34

D

3.14

A

3.07

W
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Australia

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
World

World | World Cup

19/06

19:00

USA
Australia

H

1.74

D

3.67

A

4.61

?
World

World | Friendlies

FT

06/06

19:00

Switzerland
Australia
1
1

H

1.58

D

3.95

A

5.45

D
World

World | Friendlies

FT

31/05

02:00

Mexico
Australia
1
0

H

1.63

D

3.77

A

5.19

L
World

World | FIFA Series

FT

31/03

09:10

Australia
Curaçao
5
1

H

1.33

D

4.60

A

8.66

W
World

World | FIFA Series

FT

27/03

09:10

Australia
Cameroon
1
0
W
World

World | Friendlies

FT

19/11

01:30

Colombia
Australia
3
0

H

1.40

D

4.22

A

8.53

L
World

World | Friendlies

FT

15/11

02:30

Venezuela
Australia
1
0

H

3.34

D

3.12

A

2.17

L
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Statistics

Average Statistics per Game

-
Expected Goals
Missing Data (10 | 10)
-
10.9
Total Shots
6.5
4
Shots on Goal
2.38
7.1
Shots Inside Box
4
3.8
Shots Outside Box
2.5
54%
Possession
40%
85%
Passes %
82%

Some data is missing for recent matches.

(Home: 0 | Away: 2)

We're working to fill in the gaps!

TACTICAL OVERVIEW

Lineups

Previous Match Lineup

Avg Changes: 6.89 per game

High Team Rotation!
Frequent lineup changes help manage fatigue but may disrupt team chemistry

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

20

F. Balogun

6.9
M

Midfielders

17

M. Tillman

6.9
M

4

T. Adams

7
M

2

S. Dest

5.9
M

8

W. McKennie

6.7
M

10

C. Pulisic

5.9
M

Defenders

16

A. Freeman

6.2
M

12

M. Robinson

6.3
M

13

T. Ream

6.2
H

5

A. Robinson

7.3
M

Goalkeepers

24

M. Freese

7
M

USA

Previous Match Lineup

Avg Changes: 6.89 per game

High Team Rotation!
Frequent lineup changes help manage fatigue but may disrupt team chemistry

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

20

F. Balogun

6.9
M

Midfielders

17

M. Tillman

6.9
M

4

T. Adams

7
M

2

S. Dest

5.9
M

8

W. McKennie

6.7
M

10

C. Pulisic

5.9
M

Defenders

16

A. Freeman

6.2
M

12

M. Robinson

6.3
M

13

T. Ream

6.2
H

5

A. Robinson

7.3
M

Goalkeepers

24

M. Freese

7
M

Australia

Previous Match Lineup

Avg Changes: 5.67 per game

High Team Rotation!
Frequent lineup changes help manage fatigue but may disrupt team chemistry

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

20

C. Volpato

6.3
M

17

N. Irankunda

6.3
H

26

T. Yengi

7.3
L

Midfielders

15

K. Trewin

6
M

13

A. O'Neill

6.6
M

24

P. Okon-Engstler

6.3
M

16

A. Behich

6.7
H

Defenders

3

A. Circati

6.9
M

19

H. Souttar

6.9
L

25

L. Herrington

6.7
M

Goalkeepers

18

P. Beach

7.7
H

Player Rotation Legend

L

Low

M

Medium

H

High

-

Unknown

  • Low: Regular starter with stable minutes
  • Medium: Plays regularly but role/minutes vary
  • High: Unpredictable role, often rotated or benched.

Odds Movement

All odds shown are the average odds from all bookmakers in our system.

Home

1.74

Draw

3.67

Away

4.61

1.72

Home

1.74

3.66

Draw

3.68

4.60

Away

4.66

Max

Home

1.74

Draw

3.68

Away

4.66

%

1%
1%
1%

Min

Home

1.72

Draw

3.66

Away

4.60

NOTE: Odds are updated every 3 hours.