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Corinthians vs Atletico-MG | Serie A - Market Analysis

Statistical analysis and probabilities across all markets.

Corinthians

D
L
W
W
D
L

24 May 2026

21:30 (UTC+0)

(0
-
0)

1

-

0

FT

Atletico-MG

W
W
L
D
D
W

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Portal Pulse

16 portals analyzed

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Top Mathematical Model Picks

Stats Only

Based on xG, Elo ratings & historical game data. For live news & injury updates, check

Game Intelligencemore accurate picks using live news, lineups & 50+ sources

Portal Pulse

16 portals analyzed

Consensus from 16+ prediction portals. Each chart shows how many portals agree on each outcome — higher % means stronger consensus.

Preview (full breakdown in Premium report)

HEAD TO HEAD

Form & Performance

Brazil

Serie A

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

33%

83%

83%

33%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

52%

42%

50%

33%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

43%

55%

50%

20%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

43%

45%

52%

22%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

48%

47%

50%

25%

Home only

Away only

Home vs Away Strength

Upgrade to Premium to unlock detailed home vs away advantages, surprise indices, Brier scores, and ROI insights.

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Fatigue Calendar

!
!
Potential Fatigue!
There are too many matches scheduled

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

04/05
05/05
06/05

Away

1:1

07/05

08/05
09/05

Home

3:2

10/05

11/05
12/05
13/05

Home

1:0

14/05

15/05
16/05

Away

3:1

17/05

18/05
19/05
20/05
21/05

Away

1:1

22/05

23/05

Home

1:0

24/05

25/05
26/05
27/05

Home

?

28/05

29/05

Away

?

30/05

31/05

Total Goals

average per game

Brazil

Serie A

Poor
Attack
Good
Good
Defense
Good

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

-0.17
1
1.17

Scored

Conceded

1.17
1.67

Difference

-0.5

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

-0.17
0.83
1

Scored

Conceded

1.33
1.17

Difference

+0.17

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

-0.62
0.62
1.25

Scored

Conceded

1.25
1

Difference

+0.25

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

-0.4
0.9
1.3

Scored

Conceded

1.35
1.35

Difference

0

Season

Full season averages

Difference

-0.25
0.88
1.12

Scored

Conceded

1.31
1.38

Difference

-0.06

League Average

Total Goals Momentum

Normal

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Head to Head

Last 365 days

1 Match

(100%)

1

Wins

Draws: 0

0

(0%)

1

(100%)

Avg Goals per Match

1
0

Scored

Conceded

0
1

Corinthians

Atletico-MG

All Matches

33 Matches

(39%)

13

Wins

Draws: 7

13

(39%)

13

(39%)

7

(21%)

13

(39%)

Avg Goals per Match

1
0.97

Scored

Conceded

0.97
1

Corinthians

Atletico-MG

Brazil | Serie A

18 Oct 25

Corinthians

1
0

Atletico-MG

8mo ago

Brazil | Serie A

25 May 25

Atletico-MG

0
0

Corinthians

1y ago

Brazil | Serie A

28 Jul 24

Atletico-MG

2
1

Corinthians

2y ago

Total Goals

average per game

Brazil

Serie A

Poor
Attack
Good
Good
Defense
Good

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

-0.17
1
1.17

Scored

Conceded

1.17
1.67

Difference

-0.5

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

-0.17
0.83
1

Scored

Conceded

1.33
1.17

Difference

+0.17

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

-0.62
0.62
1.25

Scored

Conceded

1.25
1

Difference

+0.25

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

-0.4
0.9
1.3

Scored

Conceded

1.35
1.35

Difference

0

Season

Full season averages

Difference

-0.25
0.88
1.12

Scored

Conceded

1.31
1.38

Difference

-0.06

League Average

Total Goals Momentum

Normal

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Head to Head

Last 365 days

1 Match

(100%)

1

Wins

Draws: 0

0

(0%)

1

(100%)

Avg Goals per Match

1
0

Scored

Conceded

0
1

Corinthians

Atletico-MG

All Matches

33 Matches

(39%)

13

Wins

Draws: 7

13

(39%)

13

(39%)

7

(21%)

13

(39%)

Avg Goals per Match

1
0.97

Scored

Conceded

0.97
1

Corinthians

Atletico-MG

Brazil | Serie A

18 Oct 25

Corinthians

1
0

Atletico-MG

8mo ago

Brazil | Serie A

25 May 25

Atletico-MG

0
0

Corinthians

1y ago

Brazil | Serie A

28 Jul 24

Atletico-MG

2
1

Corinthians

2y ago

Form & Performance

Brazil

Serie A

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

33%

83%

83%

33%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

52%

42%

50%

33%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

43%

55%

50%

20%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

43%

45%

52%

22%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

48%

47%

50%

25%

Home only

Away only

Home vs Away Strength

Upgrade to Premium to unlock detailed home vs away advantages, surprise indices, Brier scores, and ROI insights.

3 days free · No credit card required

Fatigue Calendar

!
!
Potential Fatigue!
There are too many matches scheduled

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

04/05
05/05
06/05

Away

1:1

07/05

08/05
09/05

Home

3:2

10/05

11/05
12/05
13/05

Home

1:0

14/05

15/05
16/05

Away

3:1

17/05

18/05
19/05
20/05
21/05

Away

1:1

22/05

23/05

Home

1:0

24/05

25/05
26/05
27/05

Home

?

28/05

29/05

Away

?

30/05

31/05

Unlock In-Depth Sports Data Insights!

Filter by Competition, Period, Teams, and Half-Times for Tailored Analysis

Competition

Period

Side

FT/HT

PERFORMANCE TRENDS

Change of Long Term Quality

Shows the change of long term quality in past.

Corinthians

Atletico-MG

Goals History

Corinthians

Atletico-MG

Overall Form

70%
Overall Form
52%
5
Wins
4
3
Draws
2
2
Losses
4

Rankings

Current Season

16
Serie A
11
16
Played
16
1.13
Points per Match
1.31

Quality

62%
Team Quality
52%
58%
Avg Opponent Quality
63%

Goals Performance

54%
Goals Performance
46%
1.2
Scored Goals
1.4
0.9
Conceded Goals
1.5
0.3
Goals Difference
(Scored - Conceded)
-0.1
2.1
Total Goals
(Scored + Conceded)
2.9

Average Goals per Match

vs

MATCH HISTORY

Last Matches (1X2)

Fulltime

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
Brazil

Brazil | Serie A

FT

24/05

21:30

Corinthians
Atletico-MG
1
0

H

1.85

D

3.26

A

4.62

W
World

World | CONMEBOL Libertadores

FT

22/05

00:30

Penarol
Corinthians
1
1

H

2.42

D

2.86

A

3.30

D
Brazil

Brazil | Serie A

FT

17/05

19:00

Botafogo
Corinthians
3
1

H

2.33

D

3.16

A

3.14

L
Brazil

Brazil | Copa Do Brasil

FT

14/05

22:30

Corinthians
Barra
1
0

H

1.27

D

5.18

A

10.27

W
Brazil

Brazil | Serie A

FT

10/05

21:30

Corinthians
Sao Paulo
3
2

H

2.01

D

3.10

A

4.08

W
World

World | CONMEBOL Libertadores

FT

07/05

00:30

Santa Fe
Corinthians
1
1

H

3.12

D

2.93

A

2.49

D
Brazil

Brazil | Serie A

FT

03/05

23:30

Mirassol
Corinthians
2
1

H

2.44

D

2.95

A

3.17

L
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Corinthians

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
Brazil

Brazil | Serie A

FT

24/05

21:30

Corinthians
Atletico-MG
1
0

H

1.85

D

3.26

A

4.62

W
World

World | CONMEBOL Libertadores

FT

22/05

00:30

Penarol
Corinthians
1
1

H

2.42

D

2.86

A

3.30

D
Brazil

Brazil | Serie A

FT

17/05

19:00

Botafogo
Corinthians
3
1

H

2.33

D

3.16

A

3.14

L
Brazil

Brazil | Copa Do Brasil

FT

14/05

22:30

Corinthians
Barra
1
0

H

1.27

D

5.18

A

10.27

W
Brazil

Brazil | Serie A

FT

10/05

21:30

Corinthians
Sao Paulo
3
2

H

2.01

D

3.10

A

4.08

W
World

World | CONMEBOL Libertadores

FT

07/05

00:30

Santa Fe
Corinthians
1
1

H

3.12

D

2.93

A

2.49

D
Brazil

Brazil | Serie A

FT

03/05

23:30

Mirassol
Corinthians
2
1

H

2.44

D

2.95

A

3.17

L
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Atletico-MG

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
Brazil

Brazil | Serie A

FT

24/05

21:30

Corinthians
Atletico-MG
1
0

H

1.85

D

3.26

A

4.62

L
World

World | CONMEBOL Sudamericana

FT

21/05

22:00

Atletico-MG
Cienciano
2
0

H

1.19

D

6.43

A

14.68

W
Brazil

Brazil | Serie A

FT

16/05

21:30

Atletico-MG
Mirassol
3
1

H

2.04

D

3.29

A

3.65

W
Brazil

Brazil | Copa Do Brasil

PN

14/05

00:30

Ceara
Atletico-MG
2
1

H

2.72

D

2.98

A

2.69

L
Brazil

Brazil | Serie A

FT

10/05

19:00

Atletico-MG
Botafogo
1
1

H

2.14

D

3.34

A

3.37

D
World

World | CONMEBOL Sudamericana

FT

05/05

22:00

Juventud
Atletico-MG
2
2

H

3.16

D

3.12

A

2.30

D
Brazil

Brazil | Serie A

FT

03/05

00:00

Cruzeiro
Atletico-MG
1
3

H

1.84

D

3.35

A

4.52

W
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Statistics

Average Statistics per Game

1.06
Expected Goals
Missing Data (2 | 2)
1.32
14.6
Total Shots
13.3
4.3
Shots on Goal
5.5
7.6
Shots Inside Box
8.2
7
Shots Outside Box
5.1
59%
Possession
51%
85%
Passes %
82%

TACTICAL OVERVIEW

Lineups

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 4.78 per game

High Team Rotation!
Frequent lineup changes help manage fatigue but may disrupt team chemistry

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

9

Yuri Alberto

6.3
M

Midfielders

49

Andre

6.9
M

14

Raniele

6.9
M

7

Breno Bidon

6.9
M

8

R. Garro

6.9
M

77

J. Lingard

6.6
M

Defenders

2

Matheuzinho

7.3
M

3

Gabriel Paulista

7.2
M

13

Gustavo Henrique

7
L

21

Matheus Bidu

7.3
M

Goalkeepers

1

Hugo Souza

8
L
Injuries/Absence

Key Players

Kayke

Knee Injury

M

Others

Joao Pedro

Muscle Injury

-

Vitinho

Hip Injury

H

Corinthians

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 4.78 per game

High Team Rotation!
Frequent lineup changes help manage fatigue but may disrupt team chemistry

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

9

Yuri Alberto

6.3
M

Midfielders

49

Andre

6.9
M

14

Raniele

6.9
M

7

Breno Bidon

6.9
M

8

R. Garro

6.9
M

77

J. Lingard

6.6
M

Defenders

2

Matheuzinho

7.3
M

3

Gabriel Paulista

7.2
M

13

Gustavo Henrique

7
L

21

Matheus Bidu

7.3
M

Goalkeepers

1

Hugo Souza

8
L
Injuries/Absence

Key Players

Kayke

Knee Injury

M

Others

Joao Pedro

Muscle Injury

-

Vitinho

Hip Injury

H

Atletico-MG

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 4.78 per game

High Team Rotation!
Frequent lineup changes help manage fatigue but may disrupt team chemistry

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

9

M. Cassierra

6.6
L

Midfielders

8

Maycon

6.9
M

28

Cuello

7.2
M

30

Victor Hugo

7
M

21

A. Franco

6.5
L

11

Bernard

6.6
M

Defenders

2

Natanael

6.5
L

4

Ruan Tressoldi

6.9
L

6

J. Alonso

6.5
H

16

R. Lodi

7.3
L

Goalkeepers

22

Everson

6.9
L
Injuries/Absence

Others

Gustavo Scarpa

Knee Injury

H

Patrick Silva

Knee Injury

-

Player Rotation Legend

L

Low

M

Medium

H

High

-

Unknown

  • Low: Regular starter with stable minutes
  • Medium: Plays regularly but role/minutes vary
  • High: Unpredictable role, often rotated or benched.

Odds Movement

All odds shown are the average odds from all bookmakers in our system.

Home

1.85

Draw

3.26

Away

4.62

1.78

Home

1.89

3.23

Draw

3.33

4.31

Away

4.97

Max

Home

1.89

Draw

3.33

Away

4.97

%

6%
3%
15%

Min

Home

1.78

Draw

3.23

Away

4.31

NOTE: Odds are updated every 3 hours.