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Coritiba vs Bahia | Serie A - Market Analysis

Statistical analysis and probabilities across all markets.

Brazil

Brazil

Serie A

Coritiba

W
L
D
L
L
D

25 May 2026

23:00 (UTC+0)

(0
-
1)

3

-

2

FT

Bahia

D
L
L
D
D
L

TOP PICKS

Top Mathematical Model Picks

Stats Only

Based on xG, Elo ratings & historical game data. For live news & injury updates, check

Game Intelligence — more accurate picks using live news, lineups & 50+ sources

Top Mathematical Model Picks

Stats Only

Based on xG, Elo ratings & historical game data. For live news & injury updates, check

Game Intelligence — more accurate picks using live news, lineups & 50+ sources

HEAD TO HEAD

Form & Performance

Brazil

Serie A

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

50%

38%

67%

55%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

52%

44%

58%

61%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

52%

46%

50%

60%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

46%

57%

40%

44%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

55%

58%

50%

66%

Home only

Away only

Home vs Away Strength

Upgrade to Premium to unlock detailed home vs away advantages, surprise indices, Brier scores, and ROI insights.

3 days free · No credit card required

Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

11/05
12/05

Home

0:2

13/05

14/05
15/05
16/05

Away

0:3

17/05

18/05
19/05
20/05
21/05
22/05
23/05
24/05

Home

3:2

25/05

26/05
27/05
28/05
29/05

Away

3:0

30/05

31/05
01/06
02/06
03/06
04/06
05/06
06/06
07/06

Total Goals

average per game

Brazil

Serie A

Good
Attack
Good
Good
Defense
Good

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

+0.17
1.67
1.5

Scored

Conceded

1.33
1.67

Difference

-0.33

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

+0.33
1.17
0.83

Scored

Conceded

1.67
1.17

Difference

+0.5

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

-0.25
1.25
1.5

Scored

Conceded

1.5
1.75

Difference

-0.25

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

-0.1
1.15
1.25

Scored

Conceded

1.35
1.25

Difference

+0.1

Season

Full season averages

Difference

+0.12
1.31
1.19

Scored

Conceded

1.4
1.27

Difference

+0.13

League Average

Total Goals Momentum

Normal

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Head to Head

Last 365 days

No Matches

No matches found

All Matches

14 Matches

(14%)

2

Wins

Draws: 8

4

(29%)

2

(14%)

8

(57%)

4

(29%)

Avg Goals per Match

1
1.29

Scored

Conceded

1.29
1

Coritiba

Bahia

Brazil | Serie A

14 Sep 23

Coritiba

2
4

Bahia

3y ago

Brazil | Serie A

07 May 23

Bahia

3
1

Coritiba

3y ago

Brazil | Serie A

16 Nov 20

Coritiba

1
2

Bahia

6y ago

Total Goals

average per game

Brazil

Serie A

Good
Attack
Good
Good
Defense
Good

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

+0.17
1.67
1.5

Scored

Conceded

1.33
1.67

Difference

-0.33

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

+0.33
1.17
0.83

Scored

Conceded

1.67
1.17

Difference

+0.5

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

-0.25
1.25
1.5

Scored

Conceded

1.5
1.75

Difference

-0.25

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

-0.1
1.15
1.25

Scored

Conceded

1.35
1.25

Difference

+0.1

Season

Full season averages

Difference

+0.12
1.31
1.19

Scored

Conceded

1.4
1.27

Difference

+0.13

League Average

Total Goals Momentum

Normal

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Head to Head

Last 365 days

No Matches

No matches found

All Matches

14 Matches

(14%)

2

Wins

Draws: 8

4

(29%)

2

(14%)

8

(57%)

4

(29%)

Avg Goals per Match

1
1.29

Scored

Conceded

1.29
1

Coritiba

Bahia

Brazil | Serie A

14 Sep 23

Coritiba

2
4

Bahia

3y ago

Brazil | Serie A

07 May 23

Bahia

3
1

Coritiba

3y ago

Brazil | Serie A

16 Nov 20

Coritiba

1
2

Bahia

6y ago

Form & Performance

Brazil

Serie A

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

50%

38%

67%

55%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

52%

44%

58%

61%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

52%

46%

50%

60%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

46%

57%

40%

44%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

55%

58%

50%

66%

Home only

Away only

Home vs Away Strength

Upgrade to Premium to unlock detailed home vs away advantages, surprise indices, Brier scores, and ROI insights.

3 days free · No credit card required

Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

11/05
12/05

Home

0:2

13/05

14/05
15/05
16/05

Away

0:3

17/05

18/05
19/05
20/05
21/05
22/05
23/05
24/05

Home

3:2

25/05

26/05
27/05
28/05
29/05

Away

3:0

30/05

31/05
01/06
02/06
03/06
04/06
05/06
06/06
07/06

Unlock In-Depth Sports Data Insights!

Filter by Competition, Period, Teams, and Half-Times for Tailored Analysis

Competition

Period

Side

FT/HT

PERFORMANCE TRENDS

Change of Long Term Quality

Shows the change of long term quality in past.

Coritiba

Bahia

Goals History

Coritiba

Bahia

Overall Form

48%
Overall Form
39%
2
Wins
2
5
Draws
3
3
Losses
5

Rankings

Current Season

7
Serie A
8
16
Played
15
1.44
Points per Match
1.53

Quality

53%
Team Quality
47%
57%
Avg Opponent Quality
59%

Goals Performance

46%
Goals Performance
40%
1.2
Scored Goals
1.4
1.3
Conceded Goals
1.7
-0.1
Goals Difference
(Scored - Conceded)
-0.3
2.5
Total Goals
(Scored + Conceded)
3.1

Average Goals per Match

vs

MATCH HISTORY

Last Matches (1X2)

Fulltime

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
Brazil

Brazil | Serie A

FT

25/05

23:00

Coritiba
Bahia
3
2

H

2.57

D

3.21

A

2.76

W
Brazil

Brazil | Serie A

FT

17/05

14:00

Santos
Coritiba
0
3

H

1.64

D

3.69

A

5.54

W
Brazil

Brazil | Copa Do Brasil

FT

13/05

22:30

Coritiba
Santos
0
2

H

3.02

D

2.84

A

2.57

L
Brazil

Brazil | Serie A

FT

09/05

19:00

Coritiba
Internacional
2
2

H

2.71

D

3.10

A

2.68

D
Brazil

Brazil | Serie A

FT

02/05

21:30

Vitoria
Coritiba
4
1

H

2.16

D

3.15

A

3.51

L
Brazil

Brazil | Serie A

FT

26/04

19:00

Gremio
Coritiba
1
0

H

1.95

D

3.26

A

4.08

L
Brazil

Brazil | Copa Do Brasil

FT

22/04

22:30

Santos
Coritiba
0
0

H

1.83

D

3.29

A

4.48

D
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Coritiba

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
Brazil

Brazil | Serie A

FT

25/05

23:00

Coritiba
Bahia
3
2

H

2.57

D

3.21

A

2.76

W
Brazil

Brazil | Serie A

FT

17/05

14:00

Santos
Coritiba
0
3

H

1.64

D

3.69

A

5.54

W
Brazil

Brazil | Copa Do Brasil

FT

13/05

22:30

Coritiba
Santos
0
2

H

3.02

D

2.84

A

2.57

L
Brazil

Brazil | Serie A

FT

09/05

19:00

Coritiba
Internacional
2
2

H

2.71

D

3.10

A

2.68

D
Brazil

Brazil | Serie A

FT

02/05

21:30

Vitoria
Coritiba
4
1

H

2.16

D

3.15

A

3.51

L
Brazil

Brazil | Serie A

FT

26/04

19:00

Gremio
Coritiba
1
0

H

1.95

D

3.26

A

4.08

L
Brazil

Brazil | Copa Do Brasil

FT

22/04

22:30

Santos
Coritiba
0
0

H

1.83

D

3.29

A

4.48

D
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Bahia

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
Brazil

Brazil | Serie A

FT

25/05

23:00

Coritiba
Bahia
3
2

H

2.57

D

3.21

A

2.76

L
Brazil

Brazil | Serie A

FT

17/05

19:00

Bahia
Gremio
1
1

H

1.68

D

3.88

A

4.81

D
Brazil

Brazil | Copa Do Brasil

FT

14/05

00:30

Remo
Bahia
2
1

H

2.95

D

3.47

A

2.24

L
Brazil

Brazil | Serie A

FT

10/05

00:00

Bahia
Cruzeiro
1
2

H

2.11

D

3.27

A

3.49

L
Brazil

Brazil | Serie A

FT

03/05

19:00

Sao Paulo
Bahia
2
2

H

1.99

D

3.32

A

3.82

D
Brazil

Brazil | Serie A

FT

25/04

21:30

Bahia
Santos
2
2

H

1.64

D

3.82

A

5.33

D
Brazil

Brazil | Copa Do Brasil

FT

22/04

22:00

Bahia
Remo
1
3

H

1.39

D

4.30

A

7.92

L
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Statistics

Average Statistics per Game

1.01
Expected Goals
Missing Data (2 | 2)
1.4
10.3
Total Shots
13.9
3.1
Shots on Goal
5.8
5.9
Shots Inside Box
8.7
4.4
Shots Outside Box
5.2
41%
Possession
58%
79%
Passes %
86%

TACTICAL OVERVIEW

Lineups

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 2.89 per game

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

32

Pedro Rocha

6.5
L

Midfielders

21

Thiago Santos

6.6
H

19

S. Gomez

6.3
L

7

J. Lavega

8.3
M

10

Josue

6.9
L

77

Breno Lopes

8.2
M

Defenders

44

Joao Pedro Chermont

6.2
H

23

Tiago Coser

5.5
M

55

Jacy

7.2
L

26

Bruno Melo

7.7
M

Goalkeepers

22

Pedro Rangel

6.2
L
Injuries/Absence

Key Players

Lucas Ronier

Inactive

L

Maicon

Inactive

M

Tinga

Calf Injury

M

Others

Keno

Knee Injury

H

Pedro Morisco

Shoulder Injury

-

Rodrigo Rodrigues

Ankle Injury

-

Coritiba

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 2.89 per game

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

32

Pedro Rocha

6.5
L

Midfielders

21

Thiago Santos

6.6
H

19

S. Gomez

6.3
L

7

J. Lavega

8.3
M

10

Josue

6.9
L

77

Breno Lopes

8.2
M

Defenders

44

Joao Pedro Chermont

6.2
H

23

Tiago Coser

5.5
M

55

Jacy

7.2
L

26

Bruno Melo

7.7
M

Goalkeepers

22

Pedro Rangel

6.2
L
Injuries/Absence

Key Players

Lucas Ronier

Inactive

L

Maicon

Inactive

M

Tinga

Calf Injury

M

Others

Keno

Knee Injury

H

Pedro Morisco

Shoulder Injury

-

Rodrigo Rodrigues

Ankle Injury

-

Bahia

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 2 per game

Low Team Rotation!
Rare lineup changes boost chemistry but may cause fatigue

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

12

Willian Jose

6.6
M

Midfielders

5

Nicolas Acevedo

6.7
L

23

M. Sanabria

6.3
H

10

Everton Ribeiro

7
L

6

Jean Lucas

6.2
M

16

Erick Pulga

6
L

Defenders

31

R. Gomez

5.9
H

33

David Duarte

6.2
L

4

Kanu

6.2
H

25

Iago Borduchi

5.9
H

Goalkeepers

22

Leo Vieira

7.2
L
Injuries/Absence

Key Players

Luciano Juba

Injury

L

Others

Erick

Yellow Cards

H

Rodrigo

Yellow Cards

H

Ronaldo Strada

Shoulder Injury

-

Ruan Pablo

Ankle Injury

-

Player Rotation Legend

L

Low

M

Medium

H

High

-

Unknown

  • Low: Regular starter with stable minutes
  • Medium: Plays regularly but role/minutes vary
  • High: Unpredictable role, often rotated or benched.

Odds Movement

All odds shown are the average odds from all bookmakers in our system.

Home

2.57

Draw

3.21

Away

2.76

2.55

Home

2.71

3.15

Draw

3.23

2.58

Away

2.77

Max

Home

2.71

Draw

3.23

Away

2.77

%

6%
3%
7%

Min

Home

2.55

Draw

3.15

Away

2.58

NOTE: Odds are updated every 3 hours.