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Dundalk vs Derry City | Premier Division - Market Analysis

Statistical analysis and probabilities across all markets.

Dundalk

D
W
L
D
L
L

29 May 2026

18:45 (UTC+0)

(1
-
0)

2

-

1

FT

Derry City

D
D
D
L
D
D

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16 portals analyzed

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Top Mathematical Model Picks

Stats Only

Based on xG, Elo ratings & historical game data. For live news & injury updates, check

Game Intelligencemore accurate picks using live news, lineups & 50+ sources

Portal Pulse

16 portals analyzed

Consensus from 16+ prediction portals. Each chart shows how many portals agree on each outcome — higher % means stronger consensus.

Preview (full breakdown in Premium report)

HEAD TO HEAD

Form & Performance

Ireland

Premier Division

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

55%

55%

33%

43%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

38%

47%

58%

60%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

58%

61%

60%

52%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

58%

54%

48%

58%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

61%

51%

67%

47%

Home only

Away only

Home vs Away Strength

Upgrade to Premium to unlock detailed home vs away advantages, surprise indices, Brier scores, and ROI insights.

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Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

11/05
12/05
13/05
14/05

Home

1:0

15/05

16/05
17/05
18/05
19/05
20/05
21/05

Away

1:1

22/05

23/05
24/05
25/05
26/05
27/05
28/05

Home

2:1

29/05

30/05
31/05
01/06
02/06
03/06
04/06
05/06
06/06
07/06

Total Goals

average per game

Ireland

Premier Division

Good
Attack
Poor
Good
Defense
Good

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

-0.67
1.17
1.83

Scored

Conceded

0.67
0.83

Difference

-0.17

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

+0.17
1.5
1.33

Scored

Conceded

0.83
0.83

Difference

0

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

+0.25
1.62
1.38

Scored

Conceded

0.88
0.75

Difference

+0.12

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

+0.05
1.45
1.4

Scored

Conceded

1.1
1.05

Difference

+0.05

Season

Full season averages

Difference

+0.11
1.61
1.5

Scored

Conceded

1.11
1.11

Difference

0

League Average

Total Goals Momentum

Normal

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Head to Head

Last 365 days

2 Matches

(0%)

0

Wins

Draws: 2

0

(0%)

2

(100%)

Avg Goals per Match

2
2

Scored

Conceded

2
2

Dundalk

Derry City

All Matches

26 Matches

(27%)

7

Wins

Draws: 13

6

(23%)

7

(27%)

13

(50%)

6

(23%)

Avg Goals per Match

1.27
1.42

Scored

Conceded

1.42
1.27

Dundalk

Derry City

Ireland | Premier Division

10 Apr 26

Dundalk

2
2

Derry City

2mo ago

Ireland | Premier Division

13 Feb 26

Derry City

2
2

Dundalk

4mo ago

Ireland | Premier Division

18 Oct 24

Dundalk

0
2

Derry City

2y ago

Total Goals

average per game

Ireland

Premier Division

Good
Attack
Poor
Good
Defense
Good

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

-0.67
1.17
1.83

Scored

Conceded

0.67
0.83

Difference

-0.17

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

+0.17
1.5
1.33

Scored

Conceded

0.83
0.83

Difference

0

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

+0.25
1.62
1.38

Scored

Conceded

0.88
0.75

Difference

+0.12

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

+0.05
1.45
1.4

Scored

Conceded

1.1
1.05

Difference

+0.05

Season

Full season averages

Difference

+0.11
1.61
1.5

Scored

Conceded

1.11
1.11

Difference

0

League Average

Total Goals Momentum

Normal

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Head to Head

Last 365 days

2 Matches

(0%)

0

Wins

Draws: 2

0

(0%)

2

(100%)

Avg Goals per Match

2
2

Scored

Conceded

2
2

Dundalk

Derry City

All Matches

26 Matches

(27%)

7

Wins

Draws: 13

6

(23%)

7

(27%)

13

(50%)

6

(23%)

Avg Goals per Match

1.27
1.42

Scored

Conceded

1.42
1.27

Dundalk

Derry City

Ireland | Premier Division

10 Apr 26

Dundalk

2
2

Derry City

2mo ago

Ireland | Premier Division

13 Feb 26

Derry City

2
2

Dundalk

4mo ago

Ireland | Premier Division

18 Oct 24

Dundalk

0
2

Derry City

2y ago

Form & Performance

Ireland

Premier Division

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

55%

55%

33%

43%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

38%

47%

58%

60%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

58%

61%

60%

52%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

58%

54%

48%

58%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

61%

51%

67%

47%

Home only

Away only

Home vs Away Strength

Upgrade to Premium to unlock detailed home vs away advantages, surprise indices, Brier scores, and ROI insights.

3 days free · No credit card required

Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

11/05
12/05
13/05
14/05

Home

1:0

15/05

16/05
17/05
18/05
19/05
20/05
21/05

Away

1:1

22/05

23/05
24/05
25/05
26/05
27/05
28/05

Home

2:1

29/05

30/05
31/05
01/06
02/06
03/06
04/06
05/06
06/06
07/06

Unlock In-Depth Sports Data Insights!

Filter by Competition, Period, Teams, and Half-Times for Tailored Analysis

Competition

Period

Side

FT/HT

PERFORMANCE TRENDS

Change of Long Term Quality

Shows the change of long term quality in past.

Dundalk

Derry City

Goals History

Dundalk

Derry City

Overall Form

55%
Overall Form
58%
4
Wins
2
3
Draws
7
3
Losses
1

Rankings

Current Season

4
Premier League
6
18
Played
19
1.44
Points per Match
1.16

Quality

55%
Team Quality
56%
53%
Avg Opponent Quality
53%

Goals Performance

48%
Goals Performance
51%
1.6
Scored Goals
0.9
1.6
Conceded Goals
0.8
0
Goals Difference
(Scored - Conceded)
0.1
3.2
Total Goals
(Scored + Conceded)
1.7

Average Goals per Match

vs

MATCH HISTORY

Last Matches (1X2)

Fulltime

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
Ireland

Ireland | Premier Division

FT

29/05

18:45

Dundalk
Derry City
2
1

H

2.39

D

3.23

A

2.84

W
Ireland

Ireland | Premier Division

FT

22/05

19:00

Drogheda United
Dundalk
1
1

H

2.74

D

3.40

A

2.38

D
Ireland

Ireland | Premier Division

FT

15/05

19:00

Dundalk
Shamrock Rovers
1
0

H

2.88

D

3.48

A

2.25

W
Ireland

Ireland | Premier Division

FT

08/05

18:45

Dundalk
Bohemians
1
3

H

2.53

D

3.38

A

2.57

L
Ireland

Ireland | Premier Division

FT

04/05

16:00

Waterford
Dundalk
3
3

H

4.18

D

3.89

A

1.71

D
Ireland

Ireland | Premier Division

FT

01/05

18:45

Dundalk
Shelbourne
1
2

H

2.51

D

3.43

A

2.58

L
Ireland

Ireland | Premier Division

FT

25/04

18:45

Sligo Rovers
Dundalk
2
0

H

3.33

D

3.37

A

2.07

L
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Dundalk

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
Ireland

Ireland | Premier Division

FT

29/05

18:45

Dundalk
Derry City
2
1

H

2.39

D

3.23

A

2.84

W
Ireland

Ireland | Premier Division

FT

22/05

19:00

Drogheda United
Dundalk
1
1

H

2.74

D

3.40

A

2.38

D
Ireland

Ireland | Premier Division

FT

15/05

19:00

Dundalk
Shamrock Rovers
1
0

H

2.88

D

3.48

A

2.25

W
Ireland

Ireland | Premier Division

FT

08/05

18:45

Dundalk
Bohemians
1
3

H

2.53

D

3.38

A

2.57

L
Ireland

Ireland | Premier Division

FT

04/05

16:00

Waterford
Dundalk
3
3

H

4.18

D

3.89

A

1.71

D
Ireland

Ireland | Premier Division

FT

01/05

18:45

Dundalk
Shelbourne
1
2

H

2.51

D

3.43

A

2.58

L
Ireland

Ireland | Premier Division

FT

25/04

18:45

Sligo Rovers
Dundalk
2
0

H

3.33

D

3.37

A

2.07

L
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Derry City

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
Ireland

Ireland | Premier Division

FT

29/05

18:45

Dundalk
Derry City
2
1

H

2.39

D

3.23

A

2.84

L
Ireland

Ireland | Premier Division

FT

25/05

18:45

Derry City
Shelbourne
0
0

H

2.60

D

3.07

A

2.70

D
Ireland

Ireland | Premier Division

FT

22/05

18:45

Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
0
0

H

2.97

D

3.05

A

2.41

D
Ireland

Ireland | Premier Division

FT

15/05

18:45

Waterford
Derry City
2
2

H

4.27

D

3.60

A

1.76

D
Ireland

Ireland | Premier Division

FT

08/05

18:45

Drogheda United
Derry City
1
0

H

3.03

D

3.12

A

2.32

L
Ireland

Ireland | Premier Division

FT

04/05

16:00

Derry City
Galway United
1
1

H

1.83

D

3.44

A

4.14

D
Ireland

Ireland | Premier Division

FT

01/05

19:00

Bohemians
Derry City
1
1

H

1.87

D

3.45

A

3.99

D
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Statistics

Average Statistics per Game

0.7
Expected Goals
Missing Data (8 | 7)
0.65
16.6
Total Shots
11.5
6.4
Shots on Goal
3.7
10
Shots Inside Box
6.9
6.6
Shots Outside Box
4.6
52%
Possession
54%
69%
Passes %
69%

TACTICAL OVERVIEW

Lineups

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 3 per game

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

9

G. Arubi

7.2
L

16

E. Kenny

7.5
M

Midfielders

27

D. McDaid

6.5
M

6

A. Dervin

7.2
M

17

S. Tracey

7.2
H

7

D. Horgan

9.5
L

Defenders

31

J. Wilson

7.3
L

24

R. Cornwall

6.3
M

3

B. Burns

6.9
L

22

T. Wilson

6.9
L

Goalkeepers

1

E. Minogue

7.2
L

Dundalk

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 3 per game

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

9

G. Arubi

7.2
L

16

E. Kenny

7.5
M

Midfielders

27

D. McDaid

6.5
M

6

A. Dervin

7.2
M

17

S. Tracey

7.2
H

7

D. Horgan

9.5
L

Defenders

31

J. Wilson

7.3
L

24

R. Cornwall

6.3
M

3

B. Burns

6.9
L

22

T. Wilson

6.9
L

Goalkeepers

1

E. Minogue

7.2
L

Derry City

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 2.22 per game

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

17

J. Thomas

6
H

Midfielders

21

K. Santos

6.7
H

8

A. O'Reilly

6.3
L

23

C. Dummigan

7.2
H

28

J. Olayinka

6.2
M

14

B. Doherty

6.2
H

Defenders

2

B. Cotter

6.3
L

22

C. Barr

6.9
M

4

J. Stott

6.9
L

19

B. Fleming

6.9
L

Goalkeepers

13

E. Beach

6.5
L

Player Rotation Legend

L

Low

M

Medium

H

High

-

Unknown

  • Low: Regular starter with stable minutes
  • Medium: Plays regularly but role/minutes vary
  • High: Unpredictable role, often rotated or benched.

Odds Movement

All odds shown are the average odds from all bookmakers in our system.

Home

2.39

Draw

3.23

Away

2.84

2.28

Home

2.41

3.21

Draw

3.37

2.79

Away

2.91

Max

Home

2.41

Draw

3.37

Away

2.91

%

6%
5%
4%

Min

Home

2.28

Draw

3.21

Away

2.79

NOTE: Odds are updated every 3 hours.