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May 29, 2026, 04:03 PM
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A top-of-the-table clash in the Premier Division sees league leaders Shamrock Rovers host second-placed St Patrick's Athl., with just five points separating the Dublin rivals. This derby promises intensity and physicality, critical for both sides looking to consolidate their European qualification spots and potentially extend or close the gap at the summit.
Home Motivation
High
Shamrock Rovers are in a high motivation state as they are currently at the top of the Premier Division, contending for the Conference League qualifiers spot and aiming to extend their lead over rivals.
Away Motivation
High
St Patrick's Athl. are highly motivated as they are in 2nd place in the Premier Division, aiming for a European qualification spot and looking to reduce the points difference with the league leaders.
Market Picks
Portal Pulse
The Evidence
Betting Edge
Key Metrics
Home
Metric
Away
1.42
xG created per game
All comps (EWMA)
0.56
Shamrock Rovers' recent-form xG creation of 1.42 is well above St Patrick's Athl.'s 0.56, highlighting Rovers' greater capacity to generate scoring opportunities.
1.51
xG conceded per game
All comps (EWMA)
0.71
St Patrick's Athl.'s recent-form xG conceded of 0.71 is significantly better than Shamrock Rovers' 1.51, suggesting St Patrick's Athl. are much tougher to break down.
62%
Possession %
All comps (EWMA)
54%
Shamrock Rovers command significantly more possession at 62% in recent form compared to St Patrick's Athl.'s 54%, allowing them to control the tempo of matches.
83%
Pass accuracy %
All comps (EWMA)
77%
Shamrock Rovers' 83% pass accuracy in recent matches is markedly higher than St Patrick's Athl.'s 77%, indicating better ball retention and build-up play.
2.34
Yellow cards per game
All comps (EWMA)
1.76
Shamrock Rovers accumulate more yellow cards per game in recent form (2.34) than St Patrick's Athl. (1.76), suggesting a more aggressive or less disciplined approach.
1.95
GK saves per game
All comps (EWMA)
2.83
St Patrick's Athl.'s goalkeepers are making more saves per game (2.83) than Shamrock Rovers' (1.95) in recent form, possibly reflecting more shots faced or more challenging efforts.
Form & Streaks
Shamrock Rovers have won 7 of their last 10 league matches (7W,0D,3L in 10), showcasing strong domestic form.
At home, Shamrock Rovers have won 7 of their last 10 matches across all competitions (7W,1D,2L in 10), indicating significant home advantage.
St Patrick's Athl. have recorded 5 draws in their last 10 league away matches (3W,5D,2L in 10), suggesting a tendency to share the points on the road.
St Patrick's Athl. have secured a clean sheet in 40% of their last 10 away matches across all competitions, demonstrating defensive resilience despite recent draws.
Tactical Overview
Shamrock Rovers arrive in strong form, winning 7 of their last 10 league matches, including a recent 2-1 away victory over Bohemians. Their home record is particularly impressive, with 4 wins from their last 5 league fixtures at Tallaght Stadium, scoring 11 goals in that run. However, the 1-2 home loss to Sligo Rovers shows they are not invincible. On a recent-form basis, Shamrock Rovers are trending at 1.42 xG created per game, but concerningly, they've conceded 1.51 xG per game, indicating defensive vulnerabilities. Without key players like Victor Ozhianvuna, Rory Gaffney, Maleace Asamoah, and D. Mândroiu, their attacking threat, which relies on Jack Byrne and Matthew Healy for creation, will be tested. St Patrick's Athl., while 2nd, have been more prone to draws on the road, with three stalemates in their last five away league matches, including recent 0-0 and 1-1 results. They've only secured 1 win in their last 5 away league games. Their recent-form xG created is a paltry 0.56 per game, suggesting they struggle to carve out clear-cut chances. Their defense, however, is tighter, conceding 0.71 xG per game on a recent-form basis. The absence of starting goalkeeper Joseph Anang due to World Cup duty is a major blow, potentially undermining that defensive solidity, despite Joe Redmond and Luke Turner anchoring the backline. Shamrock Rovers hold the H2H advantage, winning 3 of the last 5 encounters, including a tight 1-0 victory a month ago.
Match Context
Lineup Updates
Based on reports
Key Players
Shamrock Rovers will look to Ed McGinty in goal for a strong defensive presence. Midfielder Jack Byrne is expected to be a key creator, while Matthew Healy is crucial in the midfield. On the attack, Graham Burke can provide important contributions. The team will be without some key players, which will impact their attacking options.
Absences
Victor Ozhianvuna
back injury
Rory Gaffney
undisclosed injury
Maleace Asamoah
undisclosed injury
D. Mândroiu
long-term injury
D. Grant
knock
Home
Key Players
Shamrock Rovers will look to Ed McGinty in goal for a strong defensive presence. Midfielder Jack Byrne is expected to be a key creator, while Matthew Healy is crucial in the midfield. On the attack, Graham Burke can provide important contributions. The team will be without some key players, which will impact their attacking options.
Absences
Victor Ozhianvuna
back injury
Rory Gaffney
undisclosed injury
Maleace Asamoah
undisclosed injury
D. Mândroiu
long-term injury
D. Grant
knock
Away
Key Players
In defense, Joe Redmond and Luke Turner are important. Midfielder Kian Leavy is a key player, while Ryan Edmondson is expected to lead the line in attack.
Absences
Simon Power
undisclosed injury
Joseph Anang
World Cup duty
Lineup info is never 100% confirmed until matchday. Additional players may be unavailable.
Weather & Field
Good Conditions
20C, mostly cloudy
Temperature
19.7°C
Rain Chance
10%
Wind
8 km/h
Humidity
51%
The weather conditions of 20°C and mostly cloudy skies with light wind (8 km/h) are ideal and should have no discernible impact on player performance or tactical approaches. Neither team's style will be hindered, and no specific betting markets like goals, corners, or cards are expected to be influenced by the benign conditions.
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