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Libertad Asuncion vs UCV - 1X2 Stats & Probability Analysis

Win Draw Win Probability Models & Match Outcome Analysis

World

World

CONMEBOL Libertadores

Libertad Asuncion

L
L
D
W
L
W

27 May 2026

22:00 (UTC+0)

(0
-
0)

0

-

1

FT

UCV

L
L
D
D
W
W

ODDS ANALYSIS

Odds & Probability

Fulltime

Home

1.44
-

Draw

4.52
-

Away

6.55
-

1st Half

Home

1.90
-

Draw

2.41
-

Away

6.13
-

2nd Half

Home

1.75
-

Draw

2.79
-

Away

5.69
-

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MATCH EVIDENCE

Form & Performance

Division Profesional - Apertura

Paraguay

vs

Venezuela

Primera División

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

17%

22%

50%

22%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

42%

52%

50%

22%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

35%

43%

60%

33%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

45%

49%

52%

51%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

41%

54%

58%

46%

Home only

Away only

Total Goals

average per game

Division Profesional - Apertura

Paraguay

vs

Venezuela

Primera División

Good
Attack
Good
Good
Defense
Good

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

+0.17
1.67
1.5

Scored

Conceded

1.17
1.33

Difference

-0.17

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

+0.67
1.83
1.17

Scored

Conceded

1.67
1.17

Difference

+0.5

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

-1
1.25
2.25

Scored

Conceded

0.75
1.38

Difference

-0.62

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

+0.15
1.6
1.45

Scored

Conceded

1.4
1.7

Difference

-0.3

Season

Full season averages

Difference

0
1.41
1.41

Scored

Conceded

1.52
1.56

Difference

-0.04

Total Goals Momentum

Normal

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Home vs Away Strength

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Total Goals

average per game

Division Profesional - Apertura

Paraguay

vs

Venezuela

Primera División

Good
Attack
Good
Good
Defense
Good

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

+0.17
1.67
1.5

Scored

Conceded

1.17
1.33

Difference

-0.17

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

+0.67
1.83
1.17

Scored

Conceded

1.67
1.17

Difference

+0.5

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

-1
1.25
2.25

Scored

Conceded

0.75
1.38

Difference

-0.62

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

+0.15
1.6
1.45

Scored

Conceded

1.4
1.7

Difference

-0.3

Season

Full season averages

Difference

0
1.41
1.41

Scored

Conceded

1.52
1.56

Difference

-0.04

Total Goals Momentum

Normal

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Form & Performance

Division Profesional - Apertura

Paraguay

vs

Venezuela

Primera División

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

17%

22%

50%

22%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

42%

52%

50%

22%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

35%

43%

60%

33%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

45%

49%

52%

51%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

41%

54%

58%

46%

Home only

Away only

Home vs Away Strength

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HEAD TO HEAD

Head to Head

Last 365 days

1 Match

(0%)

0

Wins

Draws: 0

1

(100%)

1

(100%)

Avg Goals per Match

1
3

Scored

Conceded

3
1

Libertad Asuncion

UCV

All Matches

1 Match

(0%)

0

Wins

Draws: 0

1

(100%)

1

(100%)

Avg Goals per Match

1
3

Scored

Conceded

3
1

Libertad Asuncion

UCV

World | CONMEBOL Libertadores

09 Apr 26

UCV

3
1

Libertad Asuncion

2mo ago

Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

11/05
12/05
13/05

Home

0:0

14/05

15/05
16/05
17/05
18/05
19/05

Away

4:1

20/05

21/05
22/05
23/05

Away

2:1

24/05

25/05
26/05

Home

0:1

27/05

28/05
29/05
30/05
31/05
01/06
02/06
03/06
04/06
05/06
06/06
07/06

Head to Head

Last 365 days

1 Match

(0%)

0

Wins

Draws: 0

1

(100%)

1

(100%)

Avg Goals per Match

1
3

Scored

Conceded

3
1

Libertad Asuncion

UCV

All Matches

1 Match

(0%)

0

Wins

Draws: 0

1

(100%)

1

(100%)

Avg Goals per Match

1
3

Scored

Conceded

3
1

Libertad Asuncion

UCV

World | CONMEBOL Libertadores

09 Apr 26

UCV

3
1

Libertad Asuncion

2mo ago

Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

11/05
12/05
13/05

Home

0:0

14/05

15/05
16/05
17/05
18/05
19/05

Away

4:1

20/05

21/05
22/05
23/05

Away

2:1

24/05

25/05
26/05

Home

0:1

27/05

28/05
29/05
30/05
31/05
01/06
02/06
03/06
04/06
05/06
06/06
07/06

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Competition

Period

Side

FT/HT

MATCH EVIDENCE

Goals History

Libertad Asuncion

UCV

Last Matches (1X2)

Fulltime

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
World

World | CONMEBOL Libertadores

FT

27/05

22:00

Libertad Asuncion
UCV
0
1

H

1.44

D

4.52

A

6.55

L
Paraguay

Paraguay | Division Profesional - Apertura

FT

24/05

20:00

Nacional Asuncion
Libertad Asuncion
2
1

H

2.33

D

3.12

A

2.98

L
World

World | CONMEBOL Libertadores

FT

20/05

02:00

Independiente del Valle
Libertad Asuncion
4
1

H

1.32

D

5.19

A

8.94

L
Paraguay

Paraguay | Division Profesional - Apertura

FT

14/05

20:00

Libertad Asuncion
2 de Mayo
0
0

H

1.78

D

3.42

A

4.29

D
Paraguay

Paraguay | Division Profesional - Apertura

FT

10/05

23:00

Sportivo Luqueno
Libertad Asuncion
2
3

H

2.98

D

3.01

A

2.36

W
World

World | CONMEBOL Libertadores

FT

05/05

22:00

Rosario Central
Libertad Asuncion
1
0

H

1.30

D

5.10

A

9.89

L
Paraguay

Paraguay | Division Profesional - Apertura

FT

01/05

23:00

Libertad Asuncion
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
5
0

H

2.02

D

3.17

A

3.62

W
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Libertad Asuncion

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
World

World | CONMEBOL Libertadores

FT

27/05

22:00

Libertad Asuncion
UCV
0
1

H

1.44

D

4.52

A

6.55

L
Paraguay

Paraguay | Division Profesional - Apertura

FT

24/05

20:00

Nacional Asuncion
Libertad Asuncion
2
1

H

2.33

D

3.12

A

2.98

L
World

World | CONMEBOL Libertadores

FT

20/05

02:00

Independiente del Valle
Libertad Asuncion
4
1

H

1.32

D

5.19

A

8.94

L
Paraguay

Paraguay | Division Profesional - Apertura

FT

14/05

20:00

Libertad Asuncion
2 de Mayo
0
0

H

1.78

D

3.42

A

4.29

D
Paraguay

Paraguay | Division Profesional - Apertura

FT

10/05

23:00

Sportivo Luqueno
Libertad Asuncion
2
3

H

2.98

D

3.01

A

2.36

W
World

World | CONMEBOL Libertadores

FT

05/05

22:00

Rosario Central
Libertad Asuncion
1
0

H

1.30

D

5.10

A

9.89

L
Paraguay

Paraguay | Division Profesional - Apertura

FT

01/05

23:00

Libertad Asuncion
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
5
0

H

2.02

D

3.17

A

3.62

W
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

UCV

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
World

World | CONMEBOL Libertadores

FT

27/05

22:00

Libertad Asuncion
UCV
0
1

H

1.44

D

4.52

A

6.55

W
Venezuela

Venezuela | Primera División

FT

23/05

22:00

Puerto Cabello
UCV
2
1

H

1.90

D

3.29

A

3.71

L
World

World | CONMEBOL Libertadores

FT

19/05

22:00

Rosario Central
UCV
4
0

H

1.18

D

6.71

A

15.16

L
Venezuela

Venezuela | Primera División

FT

15/05

23:30

Deportivo La Guaira
UCV
0
0

H

1.90

D

3.22

A

3.76

D
Venezuela

Venezuela | Primera División

FT

12/05

23:30

UCV
Deportivo La Guaira
1
1

H

2.76

D

3.09

A

2.41

D
Venezuela

Venezuela | Primera División

FT

10/05

00:00

UCV
Puerto Cabello
3
1

H

2.94

D

3.02

A

2.30

W
World

World | CONMEBOL Libertadores

FT

06/05

00:00

UCV
Independiente del Valle
2
0

H

5.06

D

3.79

A

1.65

W
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Lineups

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 4.89 per game

High Team Rotation!
Frequent lineup changes help manage fatigue but may disrupt team chemistry

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

10

L. Melgarejo

5.9
L

Midfielders

21

L. Sanabria

7.2
L

18

I. Franco

6.6
M

8

F. Carrizo

7.3
M

14

A. Fretes

6.9
L

Defenders

2

I. Ramirez

6.5
H

5

D. Viera

6.9
L

4

N. Gimenez

6.9
H

17

M. D. Espinoza Acosta

6.9
L

Goalkeepers

29

V. Rojas

6.7
H

Libertad Asuncion

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 4.89 per game

High Team Rotation!
Frequent lineup changes help manage fatigue but may disrupt team chemistry

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

10

L. Melgarejo

5.9
L

Midfielders

21

L. Sanabria

7.2
L

18

I. Franco

6.6
M

8

F. Carrizo

7.3
M

14

A. Fretes

6.9
L

Defenders

2

I. Ramirez

6.5
H

5

D. Viera

6.9
L

4

N. Gimenez

6.9
H

17

M. D. Espinoza Acosta

6.9
L

Goalkeepers

29

V. Rojas

6.7
H

UCV

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 4.25 per game

High Team Rotation!
Frequent lineup changes help manage fatigue but may disrupt team chemistry

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

16

D. De Sousa

6.9
H

8

J. Zapata

6.5
L

7

J. Cuesta

8
L

Midfielders

30

A. Gonzalez

6.6
L

6

F. Sole

6.3
L

17

V. Rodriguez

6.5
H

Defenders

2

K. Silva

6.9
L

4

W. Velasquez

7.2
H

27

D. Carrillo

7.2
H

Goalkeepers

1

L. Morales

9.5
H

Note: Missing historical data for 1 matches

Player Rotation Legend

L

Low

M

Medium

H

High

-

Unknown

  • Low: Regular starter with stable minutes
  • Medium: Plays regularly but role/minutes vary
  • High: Unpredictable role, often rotated or benched.

Overall Form

35%
Overall Form
43%
3
Wins
2
1
Draws
4
6
Losses
4

Rankings

Current Season

4
CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026, Group H
3
5
Played
5
0
Points per Match
1.2

Quality

44%
Team Quality
46%
57%
Avg Opponent Quality
60%

Goals Performance

37%
Goals Performance
38%
1.5
Scored Goals
0.9
1.8
Conceded Goals
1.6
-0.3
Goals Difference
(Scored - Conceded)
-0.7
3.3
Total Goals
(Scored + Conceded)
2.5

Average Goals per Match

vs

Statistics

Average Statistics per Game

0.88
Expected Goals
Missing Data (5 | 7)
0.66
10.8
Total Shots
9.67
4.4
Shots on Goal
2.67
6.9
Shots Inside Box
4.67
3.9
Shots Outside Box
5
46%
Possession
37%
80%
Passes %
74%

Some data is missing for recent matches.

(Home: 0 | Away: 7)

We're working to fill in the gaps!

ODDS ANALYSIS

Odds Movement

All odds shown are the average odds from all bookmakers in our system.

Home

1.44

Draw

4.52

Away

6.55

1.35

Home

1.44

4.50

Draw

4.98

6.52

Away

8.13

Max

Home

1.44

Draw

4.98

Away

8.13

%

7%
11%
25%

Min

Home

1.35

Draw

4.50

Away

6.52

NOTE: Odds are updated every 3 hours.

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