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Greece vs Italy - 1X2 Stats & Probability Analysis

Win Draw Win Probability Models & Match Outcome Analysis

World

World

Friendlies

Greece

D
D
L
D
W
L

07 Jun 2026

19:00 (UTC+0)

(0
-
1)

0

-

1

FT

Italy

W
D
W
L
W
W

ODDS ANALYSIS

Odds & Probability

Fulltime

Home

2.42
-

Draw

3.31
-

Away

2.86
-

1st Half

Home

3.05
-

Draw

2.10
-

Away

3.37
-

2nd Half

Home

2.72
-

Draw

2.39
-

Away

3.14
-

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MATCH EVIDENCE

Form & Performance

All Competitions

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

43%

88%

33%

88%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

49%

78%

67%

78%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

50%

86%

60%

83%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

65%

69%

70%

66%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

43%

100%

0%

100%

Home only

Away only

Total Goals

average per game

All Competitions

Good
Attack
Excellent
Good
Defense
Excellent

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

-0.33
1
1.33

Scored

Conceded

1.67
0.83

Difference

+0.83

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

+1.33
2.67
1.33

Scored

Conceded

2.33
1

Difference

+1.33

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

-0.38
1.38
1.75

Scored

Conceded

2.38
0.75

Difference

+1.62

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

+0.75
1.8
1.05

Scored

Conceded

2.1
1.4

Difference

+0.7

Season

Full season averages

Difference

-0.33
0.67
1

Scored

Conceded

1
0

Difference

+1

Total Goals Momentum

Normal

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Home vs Away Strength

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Total Goals

average per game

All Competitions

Good
Attack
Excellent
Good
Defense
Excellent

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

-0.33
1
1.33

Scored

Conceded

1.67
0.83

Difference

+0.83

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

+1.33
2.67
1.33

Scored

Conceded

2.33
1

Difference

+1.33

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

-0.38
1.38
1.75

Scored

Conceded

2.38
0.75

Difference

+1.62

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

+0.75
1.8
1.05

Scored

Conceded

2.1
1.4

Difference

+0.7

Season

Full season averages

Difference

-0.33
0.67
1

Scored

Conceded

1
0

Difference

+1

Total Goals Momentum

Normal

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Form & Performance

All Competitions

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

43%

88%

33%

88%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

49%

78%

67%

78%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

50%

86%

60%

83%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

65%

69%

70%

66%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

43%

100%

0%

100%

Home only

Away only

Home vs Away Strength

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HEAD TO HEAD

Head to Head

Last 365 days

No Matches

No matches found

All Matches

2 Matches

(0%)

0

Wins

Draws: 0

2

(100%)

2

(100%)

Avg Goals per Match

0
2.5

Scored

Conceded

2.5
0

Greece

Italy

World | Euro Championship

12 Oct 19

Italy

2
0

Greece

7y ago

World | Euro Championship

08 Jun 19

Greece

0
3

Italy

7y ago

Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

18/05
19/05
20/05
21/05
22/05
23/05
24/05
25/05
26/05
27/05
28/05
29/05
30/05
31/05
01/06
02/06
03/06

Away

2:2

04/06

05/06
06/06

Home

0:1

07/06

08/06
09/06
10/06
11/06
12/06
13/06
14/06

Head to Head

Last 365 days

No Matches

No matches found

All Matches

2 Matches

(0%)

0

Wins

Draws: 0

2

(100%)

2

(100%)

Avg Goals per Match

0
2.5

Scored

Conceded

2.5
0

Greece

Italy

World | Euro Championship

12 Oct 19

Italy

2
0

Greece

7y ago

World | Euro Championship

08 Jun 19

Greece

0
3

Italy

7y ago

Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

18/05
19/05
20/05
21/05
22/05
23/05
24/05
25/05
26/05
27/05
28/05
29/05
30/05
31/05
01/06
02/06
03/06

Away

2:2

04/06

05/06
06/06

Home

0:1

07/06

08/06
09/06
10/06
11/06
12/06
13/06
14/06

Unlock In-Depth Sports Data Insights!

Filter by Competition, Period, Teams, and Half-Times for Tailored Analysis

Competition

Period

Side

FT/HT

MATCH EVIDENCE

Goals History

Greece

Italy

Last Matches (1X2)

Fulltime

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
World

World | Friendlies

FT

07/06

19:00

Greece
Italy
0
1

H

2.42

D

3.31

A

2.86

L
World

World | Friendlies

FT

04/06

17:00

Sweden
Greece
2
2

H

1.93

D

3.46

A

3.76

D
World

World | Friendlies

FT

31/03

17:00

Hungary
Greece
0
0

H

2.56

D

3.20

A

2.69

D
World

World | Friendlies

FT

27/03

19:00

Greece
Paraguay
0
1

H

2.10

D

3.26

A

3.46

L
World

World | World Cup - Qualification Europe

FT

18/11

19:45

Belarus
Greece
0
0

H

9.02

D

5.37

A

1.33

D
World

World | World Cup - Qualification Europe

FT

15/11

19:45

Greece
Scotland
3
2

H

2.20

D

3.17

A

3.47

W
World

World | World Cup - Qualification Europe

FT

12/10

18:45

Denmark
Greece
3
1

H

1.69

D

3.76

A

5.06

L
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Greece

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
World

World | Friendlies

FT

07/06

19:00

Greece
Italy
0
1

H

2.42

D

3.31

A

2.86

L
World

World | Friendlies

FT

04/06

17:00

Sweden
Greece
2
2

H

1.93

D

3.46

A

3.76

D
World

World | Friendlies

FT

31/03

17:00

Hungary
Greece
0
0

H

2.56

D

3.20

A

2.69

D
World

World | Friendlies

FT

27/03

19:00

Greece
Paraguay
0
1

H

2.10

D

3.26

A

3.46

L
World

World | World Cup - Qualification Europe

FT

18/11

19:45

Belarus
Greece
0
0

H

9.02

D

5.37

A

1.33

D
World

World | World Cup - Qualification Europe

FT

15/11

19:45

Greece
Scotland
3
2

H

2.20

D

3.17

A

3.47

W
World

World | World Cup - Qualification Europe

FT

12/10

18:45

Denmark
Greece
3
1

H

1.69

D

3.76

A

5.06

L
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Italy

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
World

World | Friendlies

FT

07/06

19:00

Greece
Italy
0
1

H

2.42

D

3.31

A

2.86

W
World

World | Friendlies

FT

03/06

18:45

Luxembourg
Italy
0
1

H

6.67

D

4.59

A

1.43

W
World

World | World Cup - Qualification Europe

PN

31/03

18:45

Bosnia & Herzegovina
Italy
1
1

H

7.57

D

4.22

A

1.47

D
World

World | World Cup - Qualification Europe

FT

26/03

19:45

Italy
Northern Ireland
2
0

H

1.26

D

5.52

A

12.77

W
World

World | World Cup - Qualification Europe

FT

16/11

19:45

Italy
Norway
1
4

H

2.16

D

3.54

A

3.26

L
World

World | World Cup - Qualification Europe

FT

13/11

19:45

Moldova
Italy
0
2

H

24.41

D

10.30

A

1.10

W
World

World | World Cup - Qualification Europe

FT

14/10

18:45

Italy
Israel
3
0

H

1.19

D

7.20

A

13.70

W
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Lineups

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 4.89 per game

High Team Rotation!
Frequent lineup changes help manage fatigue but may disrupt team chemistry

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

7

Giorgos Masouras

6.9
H

10

Christos Tzolis

7.3
L

9

Anastasios Douvikas

7.2
H

Midfielders

2

Georgios Vagiannidis

6.3
M

23

Nectarios Triantis

6.3
H

8

Christos Mouzakitis

6.3
H

19

Georgios Kyriakopoulos

6.2
H

Defenders

5

Panagiotis Retsos

7.2
M

17

Pantelis Hatzidiakos

7
H

3

Konstantinos Koulierakis

6.5
M

Goalkeepers

1

Odysseas Vlachodimos

7.2
H

Greece

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 4.89 per game

High Team Rotation!
Frequent lineup changes help manage fatigue but may disrupt team chemistry

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

7

Giorgos Masouras

6.9
H

10

Christos Tzolis

7.3
L

9

Anastasios Douvikas

7.2
H

Midfielders

2

Georgios Vagiannidis

6.3
M

23

Nectarios Triantis

6.3
H

8

Christos Mouzakitis

6.3
H

19

Georgios Kyriakopoulos

6.2
H

Defenders

5

Panagiotis Retsos

7.2
M

17

Pantelis Hatzidiakos

7
H

3

Konstantinos Koulierakis

6.5
M

Goalkeepers

1

Odysseas Vlachodimos

7.2
H

Italy

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 4.78 per game

High Team Rotation!
Frequent lineup changes help manage fatigue but may disrupt team chemistry

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

21

Niccolò Pisilli

6.7
H

18

Jeff Ekhator

6.6
H

9

Francesco Pio Esposito

7.2
H

Midfielders

11

Luca Koleosho

6.3
L

5

Luca Lipani

6.9
L

10

Cher Ndour

6.9
L

3

Davide Bartesaghi

7.3
L

Defenders

24

Honest Ahanor

6.6
H

15

Pietro Comuzzo

7.6
L

4

Fabio Chiarodia

7
L

Goalkeepers

1

Gianluigi Donnarumma

7.2
M

Player Rotation Legend

L

Low

M

Medium

H

High

-

Unknown

  • Low: Regular starter with stable minutes
  • Medium: Plays regularly but role/minutes vary
  • High: Unpredictable role, often rotated or benched.

Overall Form

50%
Overall Form
86%
3
Wins
8
3
Draws
1
4
Losses
1

Quality

57%
Team Quality
75%
55%
Avg Opponent Quality
46%

Goals Performance

46%
Goals Performance
71%
1.6
Scored Goals
2.5
1.5
Conceded Goals
1
0.1
Goals Difference
(Scored - Conceded)
1.5
3.1
Total Goals
(Scored + Conceded)
3.5

Average Goals per Match

vs

Statistics

Average Statistics per Game

2.78
Expected Goals
Missing Data (9 | 8)
1.87
14.75
Total Shots
21.1
5.38
Shots on Goal
6.9
10.25
Shots Inside Box
14.5
4.5
Shots Outside Box
6.6
55%
Possession
59%
86%
Passes %
86%

Some data is missing for recent matches.

(Home: 2 | Away: 0)

We're working to fill in the gaps!

ODDS ANALYSIS

Odds Movement

All odds shown are the average odds from all bookmakers in our system.

Home

2.42

Draw

3.31

Away

2.86

2.06

Home

2.42

3.31

Draw

3.47

2.86

Away

3.34

Max

Home

2.42

Draw

3.47

Away

3.34

%

17%
5%
17%

Min

Home

2.06

Draw

3.31

Away

2.86

NOTE: Odds are updated every 3 hours.

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