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May 24, 2026, 06:02 PM
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A crucial Conference League Play-off clash sees Cherno More Varna host Arda Kardzhali in a rematch just three weeks after their recent stalemate. Both sides are level on points in the table, making this encounter critical for securing a stronger finish in the group.
Home Motivation
Medium
Cherno More Varna is currently 5th in the Conference League Play-off Group. While they are not in a direct qualification spot, a win could improve their final standing in the group.
Away Motivation
Medium
Arda Kardzhali is currently 7th in the Conference League Play-off Group. They have 0 games remaining and a win would allow them to finish higher in the group.
Market Picks
Portal Pulse
The Evidence
Betting Edge
Key Metrics
Home
Metric
Away
1.15
xG created per game
All comps (EWMA)
1.46
Arda Kardzhali trends at a significantly higher xG created per game (1.46) compared to Cherno More Varna (1.15) on a recent-form basis, suggesting they are generating better scoring opportunities.
1.27
xG conceded per game
All comps (EWMA)
1.09
Arda Kardzhali's defense is more resilient, trending at 1.09 xG conceded per game in recent form, while Cherno More Varna concedes more xG at 1.27 per game, indicating Arda Kardzhali is harder to break down.
5.94
Shots on target against
All comps (EWMA)
2.23
Arda Kardzhali excels defensively, facing only 2.23 shots on target per game in recent form, which is vastly superior to Cherno More Varna conceding 5.94 shots on target per game.
0.93
Goals scored per game
All comps (EWMA)
1.22
Arda Kardzhali's attack is more prolific, scoring 1.22 goals per game on a recent-form basis, while Cherno More Varna averages 0.93 goals per game, suggesting Arda Kardzhali carries a greater scoring threat.
60%
Clean sheet %
Last 10 matches
30%
Cherno More Varna has a much higher clean sheet rate in their last 10 matches across all competitions (60%) compared to Arda Kardzhali (30%), highlighting their ability to shut opponents out.
1.4
PPG (First League only)
First League ONLY (last 10 mat
1.9
Arda Kardzhali has shown superior form in the First League specifically, averaging 1.9 points per game in their last 10 league matches, significantly better than Cherno More Varna's 1.4 PPG over the same period.
Form & Streaks
Cherno More Varna has won 5 of their last 10 matches at home across all competitions (5W,3D,2L in 10).
Cherno More Varna has kept 8 clean sheets in their last 10 home matches across all competitions, showcasing their defensive resilience (80% clean sheet rate).
Arda Kardzhali has won 6 of their last 10 First League matches (6W,1D,3L in 10), indicating strong league momentum.
Arda Kardzhali has scored in 50% of their last 10 away matches across all competitions (BTTS % of 50%).
Tactical Overview
Cherno More Varna come into this game with solid home form, winning 5 of their last 10 at home across all competitions (5W,3D,2L), including consecutive 2-0 victories against Lokomotiv Plovdiv and Botev Plovdiv. However, their recent away form is concerning, especially the 0-5 thrashing by Botev Plovdiv. They trend lower on xG created per game (1.15) compared to Arda Kardzhali (1.46) on a recent-form basis, but also concede more (1.27 vs 1.09 xG). Expect Tsvetomir Panov and Zhivko Atanasov to anchor the defense, with Vasil Panayotov orchestrating from midfield. Arda Kardzhali registered an impressive 4-0 win over Lokomotiv Plovdiv recently, showing their attacking potential, and have generally better league form (6 wins in last 10 league matches) than Cherno More Varna (4 wins in last 10 league matches). Their defense, marshaled by Félix Eboa Eboa and Plamen Krachunov, has been tighter, conceding only 0.82 goals per game in recent form. The previous meeting finished 0-0, highlighting the defensive solidity both sides can bring to the table, and three of their last five head-to-head encounters have been drawn.
Match Context
Lineup Updates
Based on reports
Key Players
Cherno More Varna will likely rely on their defensive stalwarts like Tsvetomir Panov and Zhivko Atanasov to maintain a strong backline. In midfield, Vasil Panayotov is expected to be crucial in controlling the tempo and distributing the ball, while Jorge Padilla provides an attacking spark. The team's recent form suggests they are well-prepared for this encounter.
Absences
Absence information is not yet available. Check back closer to kickoff for confirmed lineups.
Home
Key Players
Cherno More Varna will likely rely on their defensive stalwarts like Tsvetomir Panov and Zhivko Atanasov to maintain a strong backline. In midfield, Vasil Panayotov is expected to be crucial in controlling the tempo and distributing the ball, while Jorge Padilla provides an attacking spark. The team's recent form suggests they are well-prepared for this encounter.
Absences
Absence information is not yet available. Check back closer to kickoff for confirmed lineups.
Away
Key Players
Arda Kardzhali's defense will be marshaled by experienced players such as Félix Eboa Eboa and Plamen Krachunov. In the midfield, Svetoslav Kovachev is a key figure in both defense and attack. Upfront, Antonio Vutov will be looked upon to provide the goal-scoring threat. The team has shown resilience in recent matches and will aim to leverage their key players for a positive result.
Absences
Absence information is not yet available. Check back closer to kickoff for confirmed lineups.
Lineup info is never 100% confirmed until matchday. Additional players may be unavailable.
Weather & Field
Good Conditions
24C, cloudy
Temperature
24.2°C
Rain Chance
10%
Wind
3 km/h
Humidity
46%
The weather conditions for this match are benign, with a comfortable 24°C, cloudy skies, and negligible wind at 3 km/h. With only a 10% chance of rain, there is no significant weather impact expected to influence player performance or tactical approaches, meaning conditions will not push market totals for goals or cards.
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