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Ludogorets vs CSKA Sofia - 1X2 Stats & Probability Analysis

Win Draw Win Probability Models & Match Outcome Analysis

Bulgaria

Bulgaria

First League

Ludogorets

L
D
W
L
D
L

25 May 2026

17:30 (UTC+0)

(0
-
0)

1

-

0

FT

CSKA Sofia

D
L
D
W
W
D

ODDS ANALYSIS

Odds & Probability

Fulltime

Home

1.62
-

Draw

3.66
-

Away

5.04
-

1st Half

Home

2.17
-

Draw

2.23
-

Away

5.02
-

2nd Half

Home

1.98
-

Draw

2.60
-

Away

4.58
-

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MATCH EVIDENCE

Form & Performance

Bulgaria

First League

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

50%

50%

33%

67%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

25%

50%

67%

50%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

50%

60%

70%

60%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

65%

70%

70%

61%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

67%

66%

71%

56%

Home only

Away only

Total Goals

average per game

Bulgaria

First League

Good
Attack
Poor
Excellent
Defense
Good

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

-0.5
0.5
1

Scored

Conceded

0.83
1.17

Difference

-0.33

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

+1
1.5
0.5

Scored

Conceded

1.33
0.83

Difference

+0.5

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

+0.5
1.12
0.62

Scored

Conceded

1
1

Difference

0

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

+1.05
1.7
0.65

Scored

Conceded

1.4
0.85

Difference

+0.55

Season

Full season averages

Difference

+1
1.71
0.71

Scored

Conceded

1.34
0.83

Difference

+0.51

League Average

Total Goals Momentum

Normal

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Home vs Away Strength

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Total Goals

average per game

Bulgaria

First League

Good
Attack
Poor
Excellent
Defense
Good

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

-0.5
0.5
1

Scored

Conceded

0.83
1.17

Difference

-0.33

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

+1
1.5
0.5

Scored

Conceded

1.33
0.83

Difference

+0.5

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

+0.5
1.12
0.62

Scored

Conceded

1
1

Difference

0

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

+1.05
1.7
0.65

Scored

Conceded

1.4
0.85

Difference

+0.55

Season

Full season averages

Difference

+1
1.71
0.71

Scored

Conceded

1.34
0.83

Difference

+0.51

League Average

Total Goals Momentum

Normal

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Form & Performance

Bulgaria

First League

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

50%

50%

33%

67%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

25%

50%

67%

50%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

50%

60%

70%

60%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

65%

70%

70%

61%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

67%

66%

71%

56%

Home only

Away only

Home vs Away Strength

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HEAD TO HEAD

Head to Head

Last 365 days

5 Matches

(20%)

1

Wins

Draws: 2

2

(40%)

1

(20%)

2

(40%)

2

(40%)

Avg Goals per Match

0.8
0.6

Scored

Conceded

0.6
0.8

Ludogorets

CSKA Sofia

All Matches

32 Matches

(41%)

13

Wins

Draws: 13

6

(19%)

13

(41%)

13

(41%)

6

(19%)

Avg Goals per Match

1.28
0.72

Scored

Conceded

0.72
1.28

Ludogorets

CSKA Sofia

Bulgaria | First League

03 May 26

CSKA Sofia

1
0

Ludogorets

1mo ago

Bulgaria | Cup

29 Apr 26

CSKA Sofia

0
0

Ludogorets

1mo ago

Bulgaria | Cup

21 Apr 26

Ludogorets

1
2

CSKA Sofia

2mo ago

Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

11/05
12/05

Home

1:1

13/05

14/05
15/05

Away

1:0

16/05

17/05
18/05
19/05
20/05
21/05
22/05
23/05
24/05

Home

1:0

25/05

26/05
27/05
28/05

Home

0:0

29/05

30/05
31/05
01/06
02/06
03/06
04/06
05/06
06/06
07/06

Head to Head

Last 365 days

5 Matches

(20%)

1

Wins

Draws: 2

2

(40%)

1

(20%)

2

(40%)

2

(40%)

Avg Goals per Match

0.8
0.6

Scored

Conceded

0.6
0.8

Ludogorets

CSKA Sofia

All Matches

32 Matches

(41%)

13

Wins

Draws: 13

6

(19%)

13

(41%)

13

(41%)

6

(19%)

Avg Goals per Match

1.28
0.72

Scored

Conceded

0.72
1.28

Ludogorets

CSKA Sofia

Bulgaria | First League

03 May 26

CSKA Sofia

1
0

Ludogorets

1mo ago

Bulgaria | Cup

29 Apr 26

CSKA Sofia

0
0

Ludogorets

1mo ago

Bulgaria | Cup

21 Apr 26

Ludogorets

1
2

CSKA Sofia

2mo ago

Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

11/05
12/05

Home

1:1

13/05

14/05
15/05

Away

1:0

16/05

17/05
18/05
19/05
20/05
21/05
22/05
23/05
24/05

Home

1:0

25/05

26/05
27/05
28/05

Home

0:0

29/05

30/05
31/05
01/06
02/06
03/06
04/06
05/06
06/06
07/06

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Competition

Period

Side

FT/HT

MATCH EVIDENCE

Goals History

Ludogorets

CSKA Sofia

Last Matches (1X2)

Fulltime

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
Bulgaria

Bulgaria | First League

FT

25/05

17:30

Ludogorets
CSKA Sofia
1
0

H

1.62

D

3.66

A

5.04

W
Bulgaria

Bulgaria | First League

FT

16/05

13:00

CSKA 1948
Ludogorets
1
0

H

3.47

D

3.51

A

1.95

L
Bulgaria

Bulgaria | First League

FT

13/05

17:15

Ludogorets
Levski Sofia
1
1

H

1.63

D

3.63

A

5.19

D
Bulgaria

Bulgaria | First League

FT

09/05

15:45

Levski Sofia
Ludogorets
0
1

H

2.08

D

3.19

A

3.41

W
Bulgaria

Bulgaria | First League

FT

03/05

16:00

CSKA Sofia
Ludogorets
1
0

H

2.37

D

3.04

A

2.99

L
Bulgaria

Bulgaria | Cup

FT

29/04

16:00

CSKA Sofia
Ludogorets
0
0

H

2.47

D

3.25

A

2.64

D
Bulgaria

Bulgaria | First League

FT

25/04

10:15

Ludogorets
CSKA 1948
1
2

H

1.55

D

3.92

A

5.33

L
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Ludogorets

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
Bulgaria

Bulgaria | First League

FT

25/05

17:30

Ludogorets
CSKA Sofia
1
0

H

1.62

D

3.66

A

5.04

W
Bulgaria

Bulgaria | First League

FT

16/05

13:00

CSKA 1948
Ludogorets
1
0

H

3.47

D

3.51

A

1.95

L
Bulgaria

Bulgaria | First League

FT

13/05

17:15

Ludogorets
Levski Sofia
1
1

H

1.63

D

3.63

A

5.19

D
Bulgaria

Bulgaria | First League

FT

09/05

15:45

Levski Sofia
Ludogorets
0
1

H

2.08

D

3.19

A

3.41

W
Bulgaria

Bulgaria | First League

FT

03/05

16:00

CSKA Sofia
Ludogorets
1
0

H

2.37

D

3.04

A

2.99

L
Bulgaria

Bulgaria | Cup

FT

29/04

16:00

CSKA Sofia
Ludogorets
0
0

H

2.47

D

3.25

A

2.64

D
Bulgaria

Bulgaria | First League

FT

25/04

10:15

Ludogorets
CSKA 1948
1
2

H

1.55

D

3.92

A

5.33

L
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

CSKA Sofia

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
Bulgaria

Bulgaria | First League

FT

25/05

17:30

Ludogorets
CSKA Sofia
1
0

H

1.62

D

3.66

A

5.04

L
Bulgaria

Bulgaria | Cup

PN

20/05

16:00

Lokomotiv Plovdiv
CSKA Sofia
1
1

H

5.94

D

3.77

A

1.53

D
Bulgaria

Bulgaria | First League

FT

16/05

13:00

Levski Sofia
CSKA Sofia
2
0

H

2.34

D

3.12

A

2.94

L
Bulgaria

Bulgaria | First League

FT

13/05

14:45

CSKA Sofia
CSKA 1948
1
1

H

2.03

D

3.14

A

3.60

D
Bulgaria

Bulgaria | First League

FT

08/05

17:00

CSKA 1948
CSKA Sofia
0
1

H

2.96

D

3.13

A

2.32

W
Bulgaria

Bulgaria | First League

FT

03/05

16:00

CSKA Sofia
Ludogorets
1
0

H

2.37

D

3.04

A

2.99

W
Bulgaria

Bulgaria | Cup

FT

29/04

16:00

CSKA Sofia
Ludogorets
0
0

H

2.47

D

3.25

A

2.64

D
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Lineups

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 2.44 per game

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

9

K. Duah

-
L

Midfielders

26

F. Kaloc

-
H

23

D. Duarte

-
L

77

Erick Marcus

-
L

14

P. Stanic

-
L

37

B. Tekpetey

-
-

Defenders

55

I. Nachmias

-
-

15

E. Kurtulus

-
L

3

A. Nedyalkov

-
L

27

Vinicius Nogueira

-
-

Goalkeepers

39

H. Bonmann

-
L

Ludogorets

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 2.44 per game

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

9

K. Duah

-
L

Midfielders

26

F. Kaloc

-
H

23

D. Duarte

-
L

77

Erick Marcus

-
L

14

P. Stanic

-
L

37

B. Tekpetey

-
-

Defenders

55

I. Nachmias

-
-

15

E. Kurtulus

-
L

3

A. Nedyalkov

-
L

27

Vinicius Nogueira

-
-

Goalkeepers

39

H. Bonmann

-
L

CSKA Sofia

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 4.78 per game

High Team Rotation!
Frequent lineup changes help manage fatigue but may disrupt team chemistry

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

9

L. Godoy

-
H

Midfielders

30

P. Panayotov

-
M

6

B. Jordao

-
-

10

M. Ebong

-
L

77

A. Piedrahita

-
L

38

Leo Pereira

-
M

Defenders

2

Pastor

-
L

14

T. Ivanov

-
L

5

L. Dellova

-
L

17

A. Martino

-
L

Player Rotation Legend

L

Low

M

Medium

H

High

-

Unknown

  • Low: Regular starter with stable minutes
  • Medium: Plays regularly but role/minutes vary
  • High: Unpredictable role, often rotated or benched.

Overall Form

36%
Overall Form
62%
2
Wins
4
3
Draws
4
5
Losses
2

Rankings

Current Season

2
A PFG: Regular season
4
30
Played
30
2
Points per Match
1.87
3
A PFG: Championship Group
4
35
Played
35
1.83
Points per Match
1.8

Quality

49%
Team Quality
63%
64%
Avg Opponent Quality
62%

Goals Performance

42%
Goals Performance
50%
0.7
Scored Goals
0.9
0.8
Conceded Goals
0.9
-0.1
Goals Difference
(Scored - Conceded)
0
1.5
Total Goals
(Scored + Conceded)
1.8

Average Goals per Match

vs

Statistics

Average Statistics per Game

2.19
Expected Goals
Missing Data (9 | 8)
0.72
19
Total Shots
9.5
4
Shots on Goal
2
11
Shots Inside Box
5
8
Shots Outside Box
4.5
70%
Possession
62%
85%
Passes %
82%

Some data is missing for recent matches.

(Home: 9 | Away: 8)

We're working to fill in the gaps!

ODDS ANALYSIS

Odds Movement

All odds shown are the average odds from all bookmakers in our system.

Home

1.62

Draw

3.66

Away

5.04

1.62

Home

1.80

3.46

Draw

3.74

4.42

Away

5.04

Max

Home

1.80

Draw

3.74

Away

5.04

%

11%
8%
14%

Min

Home

1.62

Draw

3.46

Away

4.42

NOTE: Odds are updated every 3 hours.

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