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Home Favored
Jun 9, 2026, 02:05 AM
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In a unique international friendly, Congo DR meets Chile with both sides seeking to build momentum. While Congo DR has shown impressive defensive solidity recently, Chile arrives looking to arrest a concerning away-day slump.
Home Motivation
Medium
Away Motivation
Medium
Market Picks
Portal Pulse
The Evidence
Betting Edge
Key Metrics
Home
Metric
Away
0.55
Goals conceded per game
All comps (EWMA)
2.26
Congo DR's elite defensive record (0.55 goals conceded per game in recent form) is a stark contrast to Chile's vulnerability away from home (2.26 goals conceded per game in recent form), presenting a clear advantage for the home side.
3.38
Shots on target per game
All comps (EWMA)
1.70
Congo DR's ability to test the keeper more than twice that of Chile (3.38 vs 1.70 shots on target per game in recent form) highlights their superior attacking threat.
28%
Shot accuracy %
All comps (EWMA)
11%
Congo DR are significantly more clinical in front of goal, boasting a 28% shot accuracy compared to Chile's 11% on a recent-form basis, indicating a greater efficiency in converting chances.
16.98
Fouls per game
All comps (EWMA)
10.51
Chile's discipline is a notable advantage, committing far fewer fouls per game (10.51 vs 16.98 in recent form), which could limit Congo DR's set-piece opportunities and reduce card risks.
2.1
PPG (3/1/0)
All comps (last 10 matches)
0.5
Congo DR's recent form translates to a much higher points-per-game average (2.1) than Chile (0.5) across their last 10 matches, demonstrating a significant momentum differential.
70%
Win rate %
All comps venue (last 10)
10%
At home in all competitions over the last 10 matches, Congo DR has secured victory 70% of the time, while Chile has only managed a 10% win rate away from home in the same scope, indicating a clear home advantage.
Form & Streaks
Congo DR are on a strong run of form at home, winning 7 of their last 10 all-comps venue matches.
Congo DR have kept clean sheets in 70% of their last 10 all-comps venue matches.
Chile have a heavily negative away record, losing 7 of their last 10 all-comps venue matches.
Chile are on a losing streak away from home, with 5 losses in their last 5 away matches in all competitions venue.
Tactical Overview
Congo DR enters this friendly buoyed by a remarkably strong defensive record, conceding just 3 goals across their last 10 matches, a stark contrast to Chile who have shipped 15 in their last 10. This defensive steel is reflected in Congo DR's recent form of (7W,1D,2L) in their last 10 games at home in all competitions, where they've kept clean sheets in 70% of those fixtures. Chile, conversely, has struggled immensely on the road, losing 7 of their last 10 away games in all competitions and winning just once. Their recent EWMA stats reveal a significant disparity: Congo DR averages 1.23 goals scored per game in recent form, well above Chile's 1.11, but Chile concedes a worrying 2.26 goals per game on a recent-form basis compared to Congo DR's 0.55. The midfield battle will be key, with Chile's higher pass accuracy (84%) potentially testing Congo DR's slightly lower (81%), but Congo DR's higher volume of fouls (16.98 per game vs 10.51) could offer set-piece opportunities.
Match Context
Lineup Updates
Based on reports
Key Players
For Congo DR, Chancel Mbemba is a commanding presence in defense, providing leadership and aerial ability. Axel Tuanzebe also contributes to a strong defensive line. In attack, Cédric Bakambu is expected to lead the line, with Yoane Wissa providing dynamic threat and offensive runs. The team has shown strong defensive quality recently, keeping clean sheets in their last three matches.
Absences
Absence information is not yet available. Check back closer to kickoff for confirmed lineups.
Home
Key Players
For Congo DR, Chancel Mbemba is a commanding presence in defense, providing leadership and aerial ability. Axel Tuanzebe also contributes to a strong defensive line. In attack, Cédric Bakambu is expected to lead the line, with Yoane Wissa providing dynamic threat and offensive runs. The team has shown strong defensive quality recently, keeping clean sheets in their last three matches.
Absences
Absence information is not yet available. Check back closer to kickoff for confirmed lineups.
Away
Key Players
Chile will look to Gabriel Suazo for defensive stability and overlapping runs from the left flank. In midfield, Vicente Pizarro is a complete midfielder known for his passing and interceptions. Up front, Darío Osorio and Gonzalo Tapia are exciting prospects who can contribute to the attack.
Absences
Absence information is not yet available. Check back closer to kickoff for confirmed lineups.
Lineup info is never 100% confirmed until matchday. Additional players may be unavailable.
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