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Paris Saint Germain vs Arsenal | UEFA Champions League - Market Analysis

Statistical analysis and probabilities across all markets.

World

World

UEFA Champions League

Paris Saint Germain

L
W
W
D
D
W

30 May 2026

16:00 (UTC+0)

(0
-
1)

1

-

1

4-3

Pen.

Arsenal

W
W
W
W
W
D

TOP PICKS

Top Mathematical Model Picks

Stats Only

Based on xG, Elo ratings & historical game data. For live news & injury updates, check

Game Intelligence — more accurate picks using live news, lineups & 50+ sources

Top Mathematical Model Picks

Stats Only

Based on xG, Elo ratings & historical game data. For live news & injury updates, check

Game Intelligence — more accurate picks using live news, lineups & 50+ sources

HEAD TO HEAD

Form & Performance

Ligue 1

France

vs

England

Premier League

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

67%

100%

83%

88%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

69%

94%

75%

61%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

72%

72%

70%

73%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

78%

74%

72%

81%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

74%

80%

75%

79%

Home only

Away only

Home vs Away Strength

Upgrade to Premium to unlock detailed home vs away advantages, surprise indices, Brier scores, and ROI insights.

3 days free · No credit card required

Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

11/05
12/05

Away

0:2

13/05

14/05
15/05
16/05

Away

2:1

17/05

18/05
19/05
20/05
21/05
22/05
23/05
24/05
25/05
26/05
27/05
28/05
29/05

Home

1:1

30/05

31/05
01/06
02/06
03/06
04/06
05/06
06/06
07/06

Total Goals

average per game

Ligue 1

France

vs

England

Premier League

Excellent
Attack
Good
Good
Defense
Excellent

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

+0.5
2
1.5

Scored

Conceded

1.5
0.33

Difference

+1.17

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

+1
2.33
1.33

Scored

Conceded

1.17
0.33

Difference

+0.83

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

+1.25
1.88
0.62

Scored

Conceded

1.12
0.75

Difference

+0.38

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

+1.35
2.4
1.05

Scored

Conceded

1.4
0.7

Difference

+0.7

Season

Full season averages

Difference

+1.32
2.31
0.98

Scored

Conceded

1.93
0.72

Difference

+1.21

Total Goals Momentum

Normal

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Head to Head

Last 365 days

No Matches

No matches found

All Matches

6 Matches

(33%)

2

Wins

Draws: 2

2

(33%)

2

(33%)

2

(33%)

2

(33%)

Avg Goals per Match

1.17
1.83

Scored

Conceded

1.83
1.17

Paris Saint Germain

Arsenal

World | UEFA Champions League

07 May 25

Paris Saint Germain

2
1

Arsenal

1y ago

World | UEFA Champions League

29 Apr 25

Arsenal

0
1

Paris Saint Germain

1y ago

World | UEFA Champions League

01 Oct 24

Arsenal

2
0

Paris Saint Germain

2y ago

Total Goals

average per game

Ligue 1

France

vs

England

Premier League

Excellent
Attack
Good
Good
Defense
Excellent

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

+0.5
2
1.5

Scored

Conceded

1.5
0.33

Difference

+1.17

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

+1
2.33
1.33

Scored

Conceded

1.17
0.33

Difference

+0.83

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

+1.25
1.88
0.62

Scored

Conceded

1.12
0.75

Difference

+0.38

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

+1.35
2.4
1.05

Scored

Conceded

1.4
0.7

Difference

+0.7

Season

Full season averages

Difference

+1.32
2.31
0.98

Scored

Conceded

1.93
0.72

Difference

+1.21

Total Goals Momentum

Normal

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Head to Head

Last 365 days

No Matches

No matches found

All Matches

6 Matches

(33%)

2

Wins

Draws: 2

2

(33%)

2

(33%)

2

(33%)

2

(33%)

Avg Goals per Match

1.17
1.83

Scored

Conceded

1.83
1.17

Paris Saint Germain

Arsenal

World | UEFA Champions League

07 May 25

Paris Saint Germain

2
1

Arsenal

1y ago

World | UEFA Champions League

29 Apr 25

Arsenal

0
1

Paris Saint Germain

1y ago

World | UEFA Champions League

01 Oct 24

Arsenal

2
0

Paris Saint Germain

2y ago

Form & Performance

Ligue 1

France

vs

England

Premier League

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

67%

100%

83%

88%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

69%

94%

75%

61%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

72%

72%

70%

73%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

78%

74%

72%

81%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

74%

80%

75%

79%

Home only

Away only

Home vs Away Strength

Upgrade to Premium to unlock detailed home vs away advantages, surprise indices, Brier scores, and ROI insights.

3 days free · No credit card required

Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

11/05
12/05

Away

0:2

13/05

14/05
15/05
16/05

Away

2:1

17/05

18/05
19/05
20/05
21/05
22/05
23/05
24/05
25/05
26/05
27/05
28/05
29/05

Home

1:1

30/05

31/05
01/06
02/06
03/06
04/06
05/06
06/06
07/06

Unlock In-Depth Sports Data Insights!

Filter by Competition, Period, Teams, and Half-Times for Tailored Analysis

Competition

Period

Side

FT/HT

PERFORMANCE TRENDS

Change of Long Term Quality

Shows the change of long term quality in past.

Paris Saint Germain

Arsenal

Goals History

Paris Saint Germain

Arsenal

Overall Form

69%
Overall Form
72%
6
Wins
6
2
Draws
2
2
Losses
2

Rankings

Current Season

11
UEFA Champions League
1
8
Played
8
1.75
Points per Match
3

Quality

72%
Team Quality
70%
58%
Avg Opponent Quality
53%

Goals Performance

64%
Goals Performance
59%
2.1
Scored Goals
1.2
1.1
Conceded Goals
0.6
1
Goals Difference
(Scored - Conceded)
0.6
3.2
Total Goals
(Scored + Conceded)
1.8

Average Goals per Match

vs

MATCH HISTORY

Last Matches (1X2)

Fulltime

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
World

World | UEFA Champions League

PN

30/05

16:00

Paris Saint Germain
Arsenal
1
1

H

2.40

D

3.26

A

3.05

D
France

France | Ligue 1

FT

17/05

19:00

Paris FC
Paris Saint Germain
2
1

H

4.81

D

4.48

A

1.61

L
France

France | Ligue 1

FT

13/05

19:00

Lens
Paris Saint Germain
0
2

H

3.01

D

3.83

A

2.16

W
France

France | Ligue 1

FT

10/05

19:00

Paris Saint Germain
Stade Brestois 29
1
0

H

1.20

D

7.20

A

12.50

W
World

World | UEFA Champions League

FT

06/05

19:00

Bayern München
Paris Saint Germain
1
1

H

1.64

D

5.09

A

4.13

D
France

France | Ligue 1

FT

02/05

15:00

Paris Saint Germain
Lorient
2
2

H

1.35

D

5.43

A

7.55

D
World

World | UEFA Champions League

FT

28/04

19:00

Paris Saint Germain
Bayern München
5
4

H

2.43

D

3.89

A

2.63

W
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Paris Saint Germain

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
World

World | UEFA Champions League

PN

30/05

16:00

Paris Saint Germain
Arsenal
1
1

H

2.40

D

3.26

A

3.05

D
France

France | Ligue 1

FT

17/05

19:00

Paris FC
Paris Saint Germain
2
1

H

4.81

D

4.48

A

1.61

L
France

France | Ligue 1

FT

13/05

19:00

Lens
Paris Saint Germain
0
2

H

3.01

D

3.83

A

2.16

W
France

France | Ligue 1

FT

10/05

19:00

Paris Saint Germain
Stade Brestois 29
1
0

H

1.20

D

7.20

A

12.50

W
World

World | UEFA Champions League

FT

06/05

19:00

Bayern München
Paris Saint Germain
1
1

H

1.64

D

5.09

A

4.13

D
France

France | Ligue 1

FT

02/05

15:00

Paris Saint Germain
Lorient
2
2

H

1.35

D

5.43

A

7.55

D
World

World | UEFA Champions League

FT

28/04

19:00

Paris Saint Germain
Bayern München
5
4

H

2.43

D

3.89

A

2.63

W
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Arsenal

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
World

World | UEFA Champions League

PN

30/05

16:00

Paris Saint Germain
Arsenal
1
1

H

2.40

D

3.26

A

3.05

D
England

England | Premier League

FT

24/05

15:00

Crystal Palace
Arsenal
1
2

H

3.75

D

3.60

A

1.97

W
England

England | Premier League

FT

18/05

19:00

Arsenal
Burnley
1
0

H

1.10

D

10.52

A

25.48

W
England

England | Premier League

FT

10/05

15:30

West Ham
Arsenal
0
1

H

5.84

D

4.23

A

1.56

W
World

World | UEFA Champions League

FT

05/05

19:00

Arsenal
Atletico Madrid
1
0

H

1.61

D

4.17

A

5.28

W
England

England | Premier League

FT

02/05

16:30

Arsenal
Fulham
3
0

H

1.47

D

4.38

A

7.04

W
World

World | UEFA Champions League

FT

29/04

19:00

Atletico Madrid
Arsenal
1
1

H

3.15

D

3.33

A

2.33

D
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Statistics

Average Statistics per Game

1.8
Expected Goals
1.64
15.9
Total Shots
13.7
5.7
Shots on Goal
3.8
10.2
Shots Inside Box
9.2
5.7
Shots Outside Box
4.5
60%
Possession
53%
87%
Passes %
84%

TACTICAL OVERVIEW

Lineups

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 7 per game

High Team Rotation!
Frequent lineup changes help manage fatigue but may disrupt team chemistry

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

14

D. Doue

7.6
M

10

O. Dembele

7.3
M

7

K. Kvaratskhelia

7.3
M

Midfielders

87

J. Neves

7.6
M

17

Vitinha

7
M

8

F. Ruiz

7
M

Defenders

2

A. Hakimi

7.3
L

5

Marquinhos

7
H

51

W. Pacho

6.6
M

25

N. Mendes

6.7
M

Goalkeepers

39

M. Safonov

6.3
M

Paris Saint Germain

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 7 per game

High Team Rotation!
Frequent lineup changes help manage fatigue but may disrupt team chemistry

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

14

D. Doue

7.6
M

10

O. Dembele

7.3
M

7

K. Kvaratskhelia

7.3
M

Midfielders

87

J. Neves

7.6
M

17

Vitinha

7
M

8

F. Ruiz

7
M

Defenders

2

A. Hakimi

7.3
L

5

Marquinhos

7
H

51

W. Pacho

6.6
M

25

N. Mendes

6.7
M

Goalkeepers

39

M. Safonov

6.3
M

Arsenal

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 2.78 per game

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

29

K. Havertz

7.3
M

Midfielders

41

D. Rice

8.2
M

49

M. Lewis-Skelly

6.6
H

7

B. Saka

6.2
H

8

M. Odegaard

6.7
M

19

L. Trossard

6.5
H

Defenders

3

C. Mosquera

6.2
H

2

W. Saliba

6.6
L

6

Gabriel

6.5
L

5

P. Hincapie

6.7
H

Goalkeepers

1

D. Raya

7.9
L
Injuries/Absence

Key Players

B. White

Knee Injury

M

Player Rotation Legend

L

Low

M

Medium

H

High

-

Unknown

  • Low: Regular starter with stable minutes
  • Medium: Plays regularly but role/minutes vary
  • High: Unpredictable role, often rotated or benched.

Odds Movement

All odds shown are the average odds from all bookmakers in our system.

Home

2.40

Draw

3.26

Away

3.05

2.23

Home

2.40

3.22

Draw

3.30

3.05

Away

3.25

Max

Home

2.40

Draw

3.30

Away

3.25

%

8%
2%
7%

Min

Home

2.23

Draw

3.22

Away

3.05

NOTE: Odds are updated every 3 hours.