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May 28, 2026, 12:01 AM
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With a 2-1 aggregate lead in hand, Sport Recife returns to a sold-out Ilha do Retiro aiming to finish the job against a desperate Fortaleza EC. The visitors must find a way past a defense that has conceded just twice in their last five home matches to keep their cup dreams alive.
Home Motivation
High
Sport Recife is highly motivated as they are one step away from a major regional final and hold a first-leg advantage.
Away Motivation
High
Fortaleza EC is highly motivated to overturn a first-leg deficit and reach the final, despite an upcoming league fixture.
Market Picks
Portal Pulse
The Evidence
Betting Edge
Key Metrics
Home
Metric
Away
2.34
xG created per game
All comps (EWMA)
1.58
Sport Recife is creating significantly more high-quality chances, trending at 2.34 xG compared to 1.58 for the visitors in recent form.
0.72
xG conceded per game
All comps (EWMA)
1.27
The home side is much tighter defensively, conceding nearly half as much xG per game as Fortaleza EC on a recent-form basis.
70%
Win rate %
Last 10 matches
50%
Sport Recife has been the more clinical side lately, winning 7 of their last 10 while the visitors have only won half.
1.96
Goals scored per game
All comps (EWMA)
1.31
The hosts are averaging nearly two goals per game (1.96) in recent-form weighted metrics, well above the visitors' 1.31.
60%
Clean sheet %
Last 10 matches
50%
Sport Recife has shut out their opponents in 6 of their last 10 matches, showcasing superior defensive consistency.
Form & Streaks
Sport Recife has won 7 of their last 10 matches across all competitions (7W, 1D, 2L).
Fortaleza EC has managed only 3 wins in their last 10 matches away from home.
Sport Recife kept clean sheets in 6 of their last 10 matches overall.
Tactical Overview
Sport Recife is in elite form, winning 7 of their last 10 matches across all competitions, including the crucial 2-1 first-leg victory where Perotti proved his quality. Their defensive structure, anchored by Marcelo Benevenuto, is trending at a recent-form average of just 0.59 goals conceded per game. Manager Márcio Goiano’s tactical shift to a three-man holding midfield has provided a sturdy shield for goalkeeper Thiago Couto, who has helped maintain a 60% clean sheet rate over the last 10 outings. In contrast, Fortaleza EC has struggled for consistency on the road, winning only 3 of their last 10 away fixtures. While J. Miritello and T. Pochettino remain dangerous, they must overcome a Sport Recife side that has been dominant at home, recently beating Ceara 2-0 and Maranhão 5-0.
Match Context
Lineup Updates
Based on reports
Key Players
Sport Recife will rely on the defensive solidity of Benevenuto in the backline, while Barletta will be crucial in attack, looking to create scoring opportunities. In midfield, Zé Lucas provides an important presence, dictating play and contributing to both defense and offense. Goalkeeper Thiago Couto is expected to be a key figure in safeguarding the net.
Absences
Marlon
hamstring injury
Home
Key Players
Sport Recife will rely on the defensive solidity of Benevenuto in the backline, while Barletta will be crucial in attack, looking to create scoring opportunities. In midfield, Zé Lucas provides an important presence, dictating play and contributing to both defense and offense. Goalkeeper Thiago Couto is expected to be a key figure in safeguarding the net.
Absences
Marlon
hamstring injury
Away
Key Players
Fortaleza will likely depend on Brítez to anchor their defense and provide leadership at the back. In the attacking third, Miritello is expected to be a significant threat, capable of creating and finishing chances. Pochettino will be vital in orchestrating attacks and linking up play from midfield.
Absences
Absence information is not yet available. Check back closer to kickoff for confirmed lineups.
Lineup info is never 100% confirmed until matchday. Additional players may be unavailable.
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