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May 28, 2026, 10:02 PM
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This friendly fixture pits Iran, boasting a superior Elo rating and solid defensive recent form, against Gambia, who arrive with a potent attack that has yielded a remarkable number of goals in their recent outings. While both sides have shown flashes of form, Gambia's aggressive approach could lead to an open contest against an Iran side looking to assert control.
Home Motivation
Medium
Away Motivation
Medium
Market Picks
Portal Pulse
The Evidence
Betting Edge
Key Metrics
Home
Metric
Away
1.79
Goals scored per game
All comps (EWMA)
3.91
Gambia's scoring rate is significantly higher in recent form (3.91 vs 1.79), suggesting a greater attacking threat, though this is heavily impacted by absences.
0.67
Goals conceded per game
All comps (EWMA)
1.26
Iran's defense is considerably tighter, conceding just 0.67 goals per game in recent form compared to Gambia's 1.26, indicating greater stability at the back.
1.5
PPG (3/1/0)
All competitions (last 10)
1.4
In their last 10 matches across all competitions, Iran has secured slightly more points per game (1.5 vs 1.4), reflecting a marginal edge in overall match results.
40%
Win rate %
All competitions (last 10)
40%
Both Iran and Gambia have achieved a 40% win rate over their last 10 matches across all competitions, suggesting similar recent performance levels in terms of victories.
50%
Clean sheet %
All comps at venue (last 10)
20%
Iran maintains a clean sheet in half of their recent games (50%), while Gambia averages only a 20% clean sheet rate, highlighting Iran's defensive superiority.
1568
Elo rating
Season avg
1490
Iran holds a significant Elo rating advantage (1568 vs 1490), indicating a higher general performance level and historical success compared to Gambia.
Form & Streaks
Iran have won 5 of their last 10 matches played at home in all competitions
Gambia have won 5 of their last 10 matches played away in all competitions
Gambia have lost 3 of their last 5 away matches across all competitions
Iran have kept a clean sheet in 50% of their last 10 matches in all competitions
Tactical Overview
Iran enters this friendly encounter with a notable edge in their recent form and overall standing, evidenced by a higher Elo rating and a more robust defensive record. Their last 10 matches across all competitions show 4 wins and just 3 losses, with clean sheets in half of those fixtures. Key players like Mehdi Taremi have been in scoring touch, supported by midfielders such as Saman Ghoddos, although the absences of Ali Gholizadeh and Alireza Jahanbakhsh will be felt. Gambia, meanwhile, has demonstrated significant attacking firepower, averaging an impressive 3.91 goals per game in recent form, highlighted by a 7-0 rout of Seychelles. However, their defensive frailties are apparent, conceding 1.26 goals per game on a recent-form basis and shipping 10 goals in their last 7 away matches. Despite the attacking flair, Gambia is hampered by the significant unavailability of forwards Musa Barrow, Abdoulie Manneh, and Abdoulie Ceesay, alongside Jesper Ceesay, severely blunting their offensive threat and disrupting their usual dynamics.
Match Context
Lineup Updates
Based on reports
Key Players
Iran's attack will likely be spearheaded by Taremi, who has been in good form for his country, scoring in recent internationals. Midfielder Ghoddos is also expected to play a crucial role in the team's dynamics. Defensively, Beiranvand is a key presence in goal. The team is reported to be in largely good health for this match.
Absences
Ali Gholizadeh
cruciate ligament injury
Alireza Jahanbakhsh
muscular issues
Home
Key Players
Iran's attack will likely be spearheaded by Taremi, who has been in good form for his country, scoring in recent internationals. Midfielder Ghoddos is also expected to play a crucial role in the team's dynamics. Defensively, Beiranvand is a key presence in goal. The team is reported to be in largely good health for this match.
Absences
Ali Gholizadeh
cruciate ligament injury
Alireza Jahanbakhsh
muscular issues
Away
Key Players
Gambia's attacking threat will be led by Minteh and Barrow, who form a formidable duo upfront. The team will rely on their energy in midfield to disrupt Iran's play.
Absences
Abdoulie Manneh
injury
Abdoulie Ceesay
injury
Jesper Ceesay
injury
Musa Barrow
unavailable due to injury
Lineup info is never 100% confirmed until matchday. Additional players may be unavailable.
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