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Away Favored
May 26, 2026, 02:08 AM
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JäPS host KuPS in a Suomen Cup Round of 16 clash. While JäPS seeks to build on recent home form, KuPS arrive as clear favorites, boasting a superior Elo rating and a strong recent away record in cup competitions.
Home Motivation
Medium
Away Motivation
Medium
Market Picks
Portal Pulse
The Evidence
Betting Edge
Key Metrics
Home
Metric
Away
0.78
xG difference
All comps (EWMA)
0.46
JäPS shows a higher xG difference (0.78 vs 0.46) on a recent-form basis, indicating stronger offensive efficiency relative to defense in their combined recent matches.
1.68
Goals scored per game
All comps (EWMA)
1.42
JäPS averages more goals per game (1.68 vs 1.42) in recent form, suggesting they can find the net, but KuPS's away cup scoring has been potent (9 goals in last 4 away cup games).
0.93
xG conceded per game
All comps (EWMA)
1.12
JäPS's defense is tighter on a recent-form basis, conceding less xG per game (0.93 vs 1.12) than KuPS.
60%
Win rate %
All comps venue
20%
JäPS has a superior win rate (60% vs 20%) in their last 10 matches played at home across all competitions, showing strength at their venue.
1.11
Goals conceded
All comps venue
1.16
KuPS has conceded fewer goals (9 vs 16) in their last 10 away matches across all competitions than JäPS has conceded in their last 10 home matches.
50%
Clean sheet %
All comps venue
20%
JäPS boasts a significantly higher clean sheet percentage (50% vs 20%) in their last 10 home games across all competitions, indicating a solid defensive base.
Form & Streaks
JäPS have lost their last two home league matches.
KuPS are undefeated in their last four away matches across all competitions (2W 2D).
JäPS have managed only 5 goals across their last 5 home matches in the league.
Tactical Overview
KuPS stand as strong favorites against JäPS in this Suomen Cup tie. Looking at their recent form, KuPS have shown resilience away from home, securing wins against PK-35 and HIFK Helsinki in this competition, and drawing in their last league outing at Mariehamn. In contrast, JäPS have struggled at home recently, dropping points in their last two league matches against MP and Kooteepee, though they had a strong run prior to that with three home wins. KuPS's superior Elo rating of 1583 to JäPS's 1361 highlights their stronger overall standing, even with JäPS showing a positive xG difference (0.78) weighted toward recent matches compared to KuPS's 0.46. However, KuPS's squad depth is evident, and their away cup form is a significant factor.
Match Context
Lineup Updates
Based on reports
Key Players
JäPS will look to their attacking players like A. Ristola to create opportunities and R. Heidari for his influence in the midfield. H. Kuosa will be important in anchoring the defense.
Absences
Absence information is not yet available. Check back closer to kickoff for confirmed lineups.
Home
Key Players
JäPS will look to their attacking players like A. Ristola to create opportunities and R. Heidari for his influence in the midfield. H. Kuosa will be important in anchoring the defense.
Absences
Absence information is not yet available. Check back closer to kickoff for confirmed lineups.
Away
Key Players
KuPS will rely on the consistent goalkeeping of J. Kreidl and the defensive presence of K. Adams. In midfield, V. Gasc is expected to be a key creator, while G. Engvall will be crucial in leading the attack.
Absences
Absence information is not yet available. Check back closer to kickoff for confirmed lineups.
Lineup info is never 100% confirmed until matchday. Additional players may be unavailable.
Insider Intel