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Away Favored
May 26, 2026, 02:08 AM
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This Suomen Cup Round of 16 tie pits two attacking sides against each other, with Honka facing VJS in a neutral venue clash that promises goals. Both teams have demonstrated significant firepower in recent outings, setting the stage for an open encounter.
Home Motivation
Medium
Away Motivation
Medium
Market Picks
Portal Pulse
The Evidence
Betting Edge
Key Metrics
Home
Metric
Away
2.55
xG created per game
All comps (EWMA)
3.38
VJS's higher xG creation on a recent-form basis (3.38 vs 2.55) indicates a greater attacking potential, which is crucial in a cup tie where goals are expected from both sides.
1.62
xG difference
All comps (EWMA)
2.09
VJS have a superior xG difference on a recent-form basis (2.09 vs 1.62), signaling a more dominant performance profile in terms of creating chances while limiting opponents.
3.03
Goals scored per game
All comps (EWMA)
3.19
Both teams boast exceptional scoring rates in recent form, with VJS (3.19) slightly ahead of Honka (3.03), suggesting this match will likely see multiple goals from both ends.
1.04
Goals conceded per game
All comps (EWMA)
1.20
Honka's slightly better defensive record on a recent-form basis (1.04 goals conceded vs 1.20) could be a key factor in a tight, high-scoring game, as conceding fewer goals on average is an advantage.
70%
Win rate %
All comps venue (last 10)
50%
Honka's strong 70% win rate in their last 10 ALL COMPS AT VENUE matches contrasts with VJS's 50% away win rate in the same scope, highlighting Honka's historical home advantage.
2.3
PPG (3/1/0)
All comps venue (last 10)
1.6
Honka's higher points per game (2.3 vs 1.6) in their last 10 ALL COMPS AT VENUE matches demonstrates superior recent performance specifically at this venue, a crucial factor for home-biased stats.
Form & Streaks
Honka are on a six-match unbeaten run at home in all competitions (7W, 2D, 1L in last 10 venue matches).
VJS are unbeaten in their last five away matches across all competitions (2W, 1D, 2L overall for away, but 1D, 2W, 1L, 1D, 1L in last 5), including three wins in their last four.
VJS are experiencing schedule congestion, having played recently with fewer rest days than Honka.
Tactical Overview
This Suomen Cup Round of 16 fixture sees Honka meet VJS in Seinajoki. Despite Honka’s strong home record in their last 10 matches across all competitions (7W, 2D, 1L, 2.3 PPG), VJS arrive with a potent away scoring record, netting 26 goals in their last 10 away games. The model prediction leans towards VJS, with win probabilities of 43.3% compared to Honka’s 23.6%, and a predicted 3-3 draw. Both teams are prolific, averaging over 3 goals per game in recent form, with VJS showing a slight edge in xG difference (2.09 vs 1.62) on a recent-form basis. In their last 10 combined matches across all competitions, both sides have scored 28 goals, but VJS have conceded 12 to Honka's 12, leading to an identical PPG of 2.1. However, VJS’s recent away form shows a higher win rate (50%) and a slightly better clean sheet percentage (30%) compared to Honka's away form (5W, 1D, 0L, 70% win rate, 30% clean sheet). The head-to-head is evenly split over the last five meetings, offering little to separate them there.
Match Context
Lineup Updates
Based on reports
Key Players
Honka will look to players like midfielder R. Pyyskänen to control the tempo of the game and provide creative passes. Upfront, B. Heikkinen is expected to be a key attacking threat. Defensively, A. Jännes will be important in maintaining solidity.
Absences
Absence information is not yet available. Check back closer to kickoff for confirmed lineups.
Home
Key Players
Honka will look to players like midfielder R. Pyyskänen to control the tempo of the game and provide creative passes. Upfront, B. Heikkinen is expected to be a key attacking threat. Defensively, A. Jännes will be important in maintaining solidity.
Absences
Absence information is not yet available. Check back closer to kickoff for confirmed lineups.
Away
Key Players
VJS will rely on midfielder Oskari Blommendahl to dictate play and Edim Uzun for attacking impetus. In defense, Valtteri Salo is expected to be a crucial presence.
Absences
Absence information is not yet available. Check back closer to kickoff for confirmed lineups.
Lineup info is never 100% confirmed until matchday. Additional players may be unavailable.
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