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Home Favored
May 26, 2026, 02:08 AM
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VPS and Haka clash in a Suomen Cup Round of 16 tie, a knockout fixture where form and historical dominance will be tested. Both sides arrive on the back of strong recent sequences, setting the stage for a fiercely contested battle for a quarter-final spot.
Home Motivation
Medium
Away Motivation
Medium
Market Picks
Portal Pulse
The Evidence
Betting Edge
Key Metrics
Home
Metric
Away
2.06
xG difference
All comps (EWMA)
1.24
VPS's recent-form xG difference of 2.06 is significantly higher than Haka's 1.24, pointing to a strong attacking edge for the home side in creating and limiting chances.
3.03
xG created per game
All comps (EWMA)
2.24
VPS creates an average of 3.03 xG per game on a recent-form basis, considerably more than Haka's 2.24, underscoring VPS's offensive dominance.
2.52
Goals scored per game
All comps (EWMA)
2.01
With 2.52 goals scored per game in recent form, VPS boasts a more potent attack than Haka (2.01), translating their xG advantage into tangible results.
3.03
Shots on target against
All comps (EWMA)
6.02
VPS's defense allows only 3.03 shots on target against per game in recent form, compared to Haka's 6.02, highlighting VPS's superior defensive solidity in preventing opposition threats.
4.77
Corners conceded per game
All comps (EWMA)
7.65
VPS concedes an average of 4.77 corners per game recently, significantly fewer than Haka's 7.65, indicating VPS's control over defensive situations and opponent pressure.
12.96
Fouls per game
All comps (EWMA)
9.38
Haka commits 9.38 fouls per game on a recent-form basis, considerably less than VPS's 12.96, suggesting a cleaner defensive approach that might avoid unnecessary card risks.
Form & Streaks
VPS are on a strong home unbeaten run of 5 matches (3W, 2D) in their last 5 home games.
Haka are on an impressive away sequence of 5 matches without defeat (4W, 1D) in their last 5 away games in all competitions.
VPS's recent home form in all competitions venue shows 4 losses in their last 10 matches (4W, 2D, 4L), indicating a vulnerability on their own patch despite recent good results.
Tactical Overview
VPS has been in formidable form at home, boasting a recent sequence of 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5 matches, including a 2-1 victory over HJK Helsinki. Their offensive output is impressive, creating an EWMA of 3.03 xG per game, well above Haka's 2.24 on a recent-form basis. This attacking potency is reflected in their recent home results, where they've averaged 1.8 goals in their last 10 outings at the Lemonsoft Stadion. Haka, while also strong overall with 6 wins in their last 10 across all competitions, shows a more vulnerable away record in this venue, with 4 losses in their last 10 away fixtures in all comps, conceding 15 goals to VPS's 18 scored in those encounters. Haka's away form in their last 10 venue matches shows 5 wins and 4 draws with only 1 loss, but the conceding record of 4 goals across those 10 is misleading when considering their specific away performance against VPS at home, which is 1.4 PPG for Haka vs 1.9 PPG for VPS on a venue-specific scope. The Head-to-Head also favors VPS, who won their last meeting 1-0 and lead the last five encounters 3-2.
Match Context
Lineup Updates
Based on reports
Key Players
VPS will look to their goalkeeper Mamadou Jalloh for a strong presence in goal. In defense, Lassana Mané is expected to be a crucial figure, while in midfield, Paulo Lima will be important for their play. Upfront, Luka Smyth is a key offensive player for VPS.
Absences
Absence information is not yet available. Check back closer to kickoff for confirmed lineups.
Home
Key Players
VPS will look to their goalkeeper Mamadou Jalloh for a strong presence in goal. In defense, Lassana Mané is expected to be a crucial figure, while in midfield, Paulo Lima will be important for their play. Upfront, Luka Smyth is a key offensive player for VPS.
Absences
Absence information is not yet available. Check back closer to kickoff for confirmed lineups.
Away
Key Players
Haka's defense will likely be anchored by Aaron Keto-Diyawa and Valentin Purosalo. In the midfield, Jesper Karlsson and Matias Syrjalainen are expected to play pivotal roles. Anton Lepola is expected to start in goal.
Absences
Absence information is not yet available. Check back closer to kickoff for confirmed lineups.
Lineup info is never 100% confirmed until matchday. Additional players may be unavailable.
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