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Jun 9, 2026, 10:00 AM
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Philippines and Myanmar face off in a friendly that's anything but, as both nations fine-tune for their upcoming ASEAN Championship clash in July. With an eye on building tactical chemistry and boosting confidence, expect both sides to approach this with intensity, despite the 'friendly' label.
Home Motivation
Low
As an international friendly, there are no points or progression at stake, leading to a naturally lower intensity compared to competitive fixtures.
Away Motivation
Low
Myanmar enters this exhibition match with the primary goal of testing player fitness and tactical shape rather than pursuing a competitive result.
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The Evidence
Betting Edge
Key Metrics
Home
Metric
Away
2.32
Goals scored per game
All comps (EWMA)
1.26
Philippines' recent-form scoring rate of 2.32 goals per game is significantly higher than Myanmar's 1.26, indicating a substantial offensive advantage for the home side.
0.95
Goals conceded per game
All comps (EWMA)
1.95
Philippines is trending at 0.95 goals conceded per game in recent form, nearly half of Myanmar's 1.95, highlighting Philippines' stronger defensive stability.
70%
Win rate %
All competitions (last 10 matc
60%
Philippines has a 70% win rate in their last 10 all competitions, compared to Myanmar's 60%, showing better overall momentum.
10%
Loss rate %
All competitions (last 10 matc
30%
Philippines' loss rate of 10% in their last 10 all competitions is a third of Myanmar's 30%, indicating greater resilience.
70%
Over 2.5 %
All competitions (last 10 matc
80%
Both teams show a high propensity for goals, with Myanmar's matches seeing Over 2.5 goals 80% of the time in their last 10, slightly above Philippines' 70%.
2.3
PPG (3/1/0)
All competitions (last 10 matc
1.9
Philippines averages 2.3 points per game in their last 10 matches across all competitions, a clear edge over Myanmar's 1.9 PPG, reflecting superior recent performance.
Form & Streaks
Philippines has won 7, drawn 2, and lost 1 of their last 10 matches across all competitions.
Myanmar has won 6 of their last 10 matches across all competitions.
Philippines has only lost 1 of their last 10 home matches across all competitions.
Myanmar has lost 6 of their last 10 away matches across all competitions.
Tactical Overview
Philippines comes into this match in sharp form, having won 7 of their last 10 matches across all competitions, including an impressive 5-1 home win over Guam earlier this month. They've been particularly potent at home, scoring 19 goals in their last 10 at this venue. On a recent-form basis, they are trending at 2.32 goals scored per game, nearly double Myanmar's 1.26. Their attacking 4-3-3, reportedly designed to press high and leverage wing attacks, aims to exploit Myanmar's defensive frailties, especially on the road where they've shipped 33 goals in their last 10 away matches. Myanmar, despite a confidence-boosting 6-1 victory against Guam recently, struggles away from home with 6 losses in their last 10 and a concerning recent-form average of 1.95 goals conceded per game. They are expected to adopt a compact 4-2-3-1, prioritizing defensive solidity and looking to hit on the break, but their recent away record suggests they might struggle to contain Philippines' offensive thrust, particularly without the injured Raphael Obermair for Philippines and with Myanmar's focus on integrating returning players like Win Naing Tun.
Match Context
Lineup Updates
Based on reports
Key Players
For the Philippines, Kevin Ray Mendoza is expected to start in goal, providing a solid foundation. In midfield, Manuel Ott (or Randy Schneider) will be crucial for dictating play and linking up with the attack, while Jarvey Gayoso is anticipated to lead the line and offer a significant offensive threat.
Absences
Raphael Obermair
undisclosed injury
Home
Key Players
For the Philippines, Kevin Ray Mendoza is expected to start in goal, providing a solid foundation. In midfield, Manuel Ott (or Randy Schneider) will be crucial for dictating play and linking up with the attack, while Jarvey Gayoso is anticipated to lead the line and offer a significant offensive threat.
Absences
Raphael Obermair
undisclosed injury
Away
Key Players
Myanmar will likely rely on Zin Nyi Nyi Aung in goal to organize the defense. In the midfield, Lwin Moe Aung is a key player who will be central to their strategy. Upfront, Maung Lwin Maung is a significant offensive threat, known for his creativity.
Absences
Absence information is not yet available. Check back closer to kickoff for confirmed lineups.
Lineup info is never 100% confirmed until matchday. Additional players may be unavailable.
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