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Ethiopia vs Malawi | Friendlies - Market Analysis

Statistical analysis and probabilities across all markets.

World

World

Friendlies

Ethiopia

W
W
W
L
W
L

09 Jun 2026

15:00 (UTC+0)

(1
-
1)

1

-

1

FT

Malawi

L
L
D
W
D
L

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Stats Only

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Top Mathematical Model Picks

Stats Only

Based on xG, Elo ratings & historical game data. For live news & injury updates, check

Game Intelligence — more accurate picks using live news, lineups & 50+ sources

HEAD TO HEAD

Form & Performance

All Competitions

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

100%

22%

100%

22%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

67%

38%

67%

38%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

50%

44%

50%

40%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

45%

45%

50%

44%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

100%

22%

100%

22%

Home only

Away only

Home vs Away Strength

Upgrade to Premium to unlock detailed home vs away advantages, surprise indices, Brier scores, and ROI insights.

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Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

25/05
26/05
27/05
28/05
29/05
30/05
31/05
01/06
02/06
03/06
04/06
05/06

Home

1:0

06/06

07/06
08/06

Home

1:1

09/06

10/06
11/06
12/06
13/06
14/06
15/06
16/06
17/06
18/06
19/06
20/06
21/06

Total Goals

average per game

All Competitions

Poor
Attack
Poor
Good
Defense
Excellent

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

+0.33
1.17
0.83

Scored

Conceded

0.17
0.5

Difference

-0.33

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

+0.67
1.5
0.83

Scored

Conceded

0.83
0.83

Difference

0

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

-0.12
1
1.12

Scored

Conceded

0.38
0.5

Difference

-0.12

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

-0.4
1
1.4

Scored

Conceded

0.65
0.7

Difference

-0.05

Season

Full season averages

Difference

+1
1
0

Scored

Conceded

0
0.67

Difference

-0.67

Total Goals Momentum

Conservative

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Head to Head

Last 365 days

No Matches

No matches found

All Matches

2 Matches

(0%)

0

Wins

Draws: 1

1

(50%)

1

(50%)

1

(50%)

Avg Goals per Match

0.5
1

Scored

Conceded

1
0.5

Ethiopia

Malawi

World | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

20 Jun 23

Ethiopia

0
0

Malawi

3y ago

World | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

05 Jun 22

Malawi

2
1

Ethiopia

4y ago

Total Goals

average per game

All Competitions

Poor
Attack
Poor
Good
Defense
Excellent

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

+0.33
1.17
0.83

Scored

Conceded

0.17
0.5

Difference

-0.33

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

+0.67
1.5
0.83

Scored

Conceded

0.83
0.83

Difference

0

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

-0.12
1
1.12

Scored

Conceded

0.38
0.5

Difference

-0.12

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

-0.4
1
1.4

Scored

Conceded

0.65
0.7

Difference

-0.05

Season

Full season averages

Difference

+1
1
0

Scored

Conceded

0
0.67

Difference

-0.67

Total Goals Momentum

Conservative

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Head to Head

Last 365 days

No Matches

No matches found

All Matches

2 Matches

(0%)

0

Wins

Draws: 1

1

(50%)

1

(50%)

1

(50%)

Avg Goals per Match

0.5
1

Scored

Conceded

1
0.5

Ethiopia

Malawi

World | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

20 Jun 23

Ethiopia

0
0

Malawi

3y ago

World | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

05 Jun 22

Malawi

2
1

Ethiopia

4y ago

Form & Performance

All Competitions

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

100%

22%

100%

22%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

67%

38%

67%

38%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

50%

44%

50%

40%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

45%

45%

50%

44%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

100%

22%

100%

22%

Home only

Away only

Home vs Away Strength

Upgrade to Premium to unlock detailed home vs away advantages, surprise indices, Brier scores, and ROI insights.

3 days free · No credit card required

Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

25/05
26/05
27/05
28/05
29/05
30/05
31/05
01/06
02/06
03/06
04/06
05/06

Home

1:0

06/06

07/06
08/06

Home

1:1

09/06

10/06
11/06
12/06
13/06
14/06
15/06
16/06
17/06
18/06
19/06
20/06
21/06

Unlock In-Depth Sports Data Insights!

Filter by Competition, Period, Teams, and Half-Times for Tailored Analysis

Competition

Period

Side

FT/HT

PERFORMANCE TRENDS

Change of Long Term Quality

Shows the change of long term quality in past.

Ethiopia

Malawi

Goals History

Ethiopia

Malawi

Overall Form

50%
Overall Form
44%
5
Wins
2
0
Draws
4
5
Losses
4

Quality

47%
Team Quality
48%
44%
Avg Opponent Quality
41%

Goals Performance

47%
Goals Performance
42%
1.4
Scored Goals
0.5
1.2
Conceded Goals
0.7
0.2
Goals Difference
(Scored - Conceded)
-0.2
2.6
Total Goals
(Scored + Conceded)
1.2

Average Goals per Match

vs

MATCH HISTORY

Last Matches (1X2)

Fulltime

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
World

World | Friendlies

FT

09/06

15:00

Ethiopia
Malawi
1
1

H

2.50

D

3.11

A

2.86

D
World

World | Friendlies

FT

06/06

15:00

Ethiopia
Malawi
1
0

H

2.41

D

2.99

A

3.00

W
World

World | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

FT

31/03

13:00

Ethiopia
Sao Tome and Principe
1
0

H

1.36

D

4.47

A

7.88

W
World

World | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

FT

27/03

16:00

Sao Tome and Principe
Ethiopia
0
3

H

4.67

D

3.22

A

1.76

W
World

World | World Cup - Qualification Africa

FT

12/10

19:00

Burkina Faso
Ethiopia
3
1

H

1.20

D

5.51

A

15.16

L
World

World | World Cup - Qualification Africa

FT

08/10

13:00

Ethiopia
Guinea-Bissau
1
0

H

5.78

D

3.36

A

1.63

W
World

World | World Cup - Qualification Africa

FT

09/09

13:00

Sierra Leone
Ethiopia
2
0

H

1.97

D

3.01

A

4.25

L
Wins
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Ethiopia

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
World

World | Friendlies

FT

09/06

15:00

Ethiopia
Malawi
1
1

H

2.50

D

3.11

A

2.86

D
World

World | Friendlies

FT

06/06

15:00

Ethiopia
Malawi
1
0

H

2.41

D

2.99

A

3.00

W
World

World | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

FT

31/03

13:00

Ethiopia
Sao Tome and Principe
1
0

H

1.36

D

4.47

A

7.88

W
World

World | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

FT

27/03

16:00

Sao Tome and Principe
Ethiopia
0
3

H

4.67

D

3.22

A

1.76

W
World

World | World Cup - Qualification Africa

FT

12/10

19:00

Burkina Faso
Ethiopia
3
1

H

1.20

D

5.51

A

15.16

L
World

World | World Cup - Qualification Africa

FT

08/10

13:00

Ethiopia
Guinea-Bissau
1
0

H

5.78

D

3.36

A

1.63

W
World

World | World Cup - Qualification Africa

FT

09/09

13:00

Sierra Leone
Ethiopia
2
0

H

1.97

D

3.01

A

4.25

L
Wins
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Malawi

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
World

World | Friendlies

FT

09/06

15:00

Ethiopia
Malawi
1
1

H

2.50

D

3.11

A

2.86

D
World

World | Friendlies

FT

06/06

15:00

Ethiopia
Malawi
1
0

H

2.41

D

2.99

A

3.00

L
World

World | Friendlies

FT

31/03

13:00

Botswana
Malawi
1
0

H

2.56

D

3.26

A

2.86

L
World

World | Friendlies

PN

28/03

13:00

Zambia U23
Malawi
0
0
D
World

World | Friendlies

FT

18/11

14:00

Lesotho
Malawi
0
1

H

3.02

D

2.81

A

2.49

W
World

World | Friendlies

FT

15/11

14:00

Lesotho
Malawi
0
0
D
World

World | World Cup - Qualification Africa

FT

13/10

13:00

Sao Tome and Principe
Malawi
1
0

H

14.77

D

5.74

A

1.18

L
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Statistics

Average Statistics per Game

-
Expected Goals
Missing Data (10 | 10)
-
-
Total Shots
-
2
Shots on Goal
-
-
Shots Inside Box
-
-
Shots Outside Box
-
50%
Possession
49%
-
Passes %
-

Some data is missing for recent matches.

(Home: 8 | Away: 10)

We're working to fill in the gaps!

TACTICAL OVERVIEW

Lineups

Previous Match Lineup

Avg Changes: 6.67 per game

High Team Rotation!
Frequent lineup changes help manage fatigue but may disrupt team chemistry

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Note: Missing historical data for 3 matches

Ethiopia

Previous Match Lineup

Avg Changes: 6.67 per game

High Team Rotation!
Frequent lineup changes help manage fatigue but may disrupt team chemistry

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Note: Missing historical data for 3 matches

Malawi

Previous Match Lineup

Avg Changes: 7.17 per game

High Team Rotation!
Frequent lineup changes help manage fatigue but may disrupt team chemistry

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Note: Missing historical data for 3 matches

Player Rotation Legend

L

Low

M

Medium

H

High

-

Unknown

  • Low: Regular starter with stable minutes
  • Medium: Plays regularly but role/minutes vary
  • High: Unpredictable role, often rotated or benched.

Odds Movement

All odds shown are the average odds from all bookmakers in our system.

Home

2.50

Draw

3.11

Away

2.86

2.47

Home

2.50

3.11

Draw

3.16

2.86

Away

2.88

Max

Home

2.50

Draw

3.16

Away

2.88

%

1%
2%
1%

Min

Home

2.47

Draw

3.11

Away

2.86

NOTE: Odds are updated every 3 hours.