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Ajax vs Utrecht | Eredivisie - Market Analysis

Statistical analysis and probabilities across all markets.

Ajax

W
D
L
D
W
L

24 May 2026

10:15 (UTC+0)

(0
-
0)

0

-

0

4-3

Pen.

Utrecht

W
W
W
W
L
W

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Stats Only

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Top Mathematical Model Picks

Stats Only

Based on xG, Elo ratings & historical game data. For live news & injury updates, check

Game Intelligencemore accurate picks using live news, lineups & 50+ sources

Portal Pulse

16 portals analyzed

Consensus from 16+ prediction portals. Each chart shows how many portals agree on each outcome — higher % means stronger consensus.

Preview (full breakdown in Premium report)

HEAD TO HEAD

Form & Performance

Netherlands

Eredivisie

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

55%

100%

50%

33%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

69%

83%

50%

61%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

58%

76%

65%

60%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

67%

62%

65%

50%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

67%

59%

67%

49%

Home only

Away only

Home vs Away Strength

Upgrade to Premium to unlock detailed home vs away advantages, surprise indices, Brier scores, and ROI insights.

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Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

04/05
05/05
06/05
07/05
08/05
09/05

Home

1:2

10/05

11/05
12/05
13/05
14/05
15/05
16/05

Away

0:0

17/05

18/05
19/05
20/05

Home

2:0

21/05

22/05
23/05

Home

0:0

24/05

25/05
26/05
27/05
28/05
29/05
30/05
31/05

Total Goals

average per game

Netherlands

Eredivisie

Good
Attack
Excellent
Good
Defense
Good

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

+1
1.67
0.67

Scored

Conceded

2.17
1.5

Difference

+0.67

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

+0.67
1.83
1.17

Scored

Conceded

2.5
0.5

Difference

+2

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

+0.38
1.62
1.25

Scored

Conceded

2
0.88

Difference

+1.12

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

+0.75
1.8
1.05

Scored

Conceded

1.6
1.2

Difference

+0.4

Season

Full season averages

Difference

+0.66
1.83
1.17

Scored

Conceded

1.66
1.26

Difference

+0.4

League Average

Total Goals Momentum

Normal

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Head to Head

Last 365 days

2 Matches

(0%)

0

Wins

Draws: 0

2

(100%)

2

(100%)

Avg Goals per Match

1
2

Scored

Conceded

2
1

Ajax

Utrecht

All Matches

33 Matches

(39%)

13

Wins

Draws: 8

12

(36%)

13

(39%)

8

(24%)

12

(36%)

Avg Goals per Match

1.76
1.48

Scored

Conceded

1.48
1.76

Ajax

Utrecht

Netherlands | Eredivisie

10 May 26

Ajax

1
2

Utrecht

30d ago

Netherlands | Eredivisie

09 Nov 25

Utrecht

2
1

Ajax

7mo ago

Netherlands | Eredivisie

20 Apr 25

Utrecht

4
0

Ajax

1y ago

Total Goals

average per game

Netherlands

Eredivisie

Good
Attack
Excellent
Good
Defense
Good

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

+1
1.67
0.67

Scored

Conceded

2.17
1.5

Difference

+0.67

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

+0.67
1.83
1.17

Scored

Conceded

2.5
0.5

Difference

+2

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

+0.38
1.62
1.25

Scored

Conceded

2
0.88

Difference

+1.12

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

+0.75
1.8
1.05

Scored

Conceded

1.6
1.2

Difference

+0.4

Season

Full season averages

Difference

+0.66
1.83
1.17

Scored

Conceded

1.66
1.26

Difference

+0.4

League Average

Total Goals Momentum

Normal

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Head to Head

Last 365 days

2 Matches

(0%)

0

Wins

Draws: 0

2

(100%)

2

(100%)

Avg Goals per Match

1
2

Scored

Conceded

2
1

Ajax

Utrecht

All Matches

33 Matches

(39%)

13

Wins

Draws: 8

12

(36%)

13

(39%)

8

(24%)

12

(36%)

Avg Goals per Match

1.76
1.48

Scored

Conceded

1.48
1.76

Ajax

Utrecht

Netherlands | Eredivisie

10 May 26

Ajax

1
2

Utrecht

30d ago

Netherlands | Eredivisie

09 Nov 25

Utrecht

2
1

Ajax

7mo ago

Netherlands | Eredivisie

20 Apr 25

Utrecht

4
0

Ajax

1y ago

Form & Performance

Netherlands

Eredivisie

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

55%

100%

50%

33%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

69%

83%

50%

61%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

58%

76%

65%

60%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

67%

62%

65%

50%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

67%

59%

67%

49%

Home only

Away only

Home vs Away Strength

Upgrade to Premium to unlock detailed home vs away advantages, surprise indices, Brier scores, and ROI insights.

3 days free · No credit card required

Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

04/05
05/05
06/05
07/05
08/05
09/05

Home

1:2

10/05

11/05
12/05
13/05
14/05
15/05
16/05

Away

0:0

17/05

18/05
19/05
20/05

Home

2:0

21/05

22/05
23/05

Home

0:0

24/05

25/05
26/05
27/05
28/05
29/05
30/05
31/05

Unlock In-Depth Sports Data Insights!

Filter by Competition, Period, Teams, and Half-Times for Tailored Analysis

Competition

Period

Side

FT/HT

PERFORMANCE TRENDS

Change of Long Term Quality

Shows the change of long term quality in past.

Ajax

Utrecht

Goals History

Ajax

Utrecht

Overall Form

58%
Overall Form
76%
4
Wins
7
3
Draws
1
3
Losses
2

Rankings

Current Season

5
Eredivisie
6
34
Played
34
1.65
Points per Match
1.56

Quality

59%
Team Quality
68%
55%
Avg Opponent Quality
50%

Goals Performance

57%
Goals Performance
63%
1.6
Scored Goals
2
0.8
Conceded Goals
1.3
0.8
Goals Difference
(Scored - Conceded)
0.7
2.4
Total Goals
(Scored + Conceded)
3.3

Average Goals per Match

vs

MATCH HISTORY

Last Matches (1X2)

Fulltime

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
Netherlands

Netherlands | Eredivisie

PN

24/05

10:15

Ajax
Utrecht
0
0

H

1.96

D

3.67

A

3.50

D
Netherlands

Netherlands | Eredivisie

FT

21/05

16:45

Ajax
Groningen
2
0

H

1.87

D

3.75

A

3.80

W
Netherlands

Netherlands | Eredivisie

FT

17/05

12:30

Heerenveen
Ajax
0
0

H

3.22

D

4.05

A

1.97

D
Netherlands

Netherlands | Eredivisie

FT

10/05

14:45

Ajax
Utrecht
1
2

H

1.58

D

4.31

A

5.03

L
Netherlands

Netherlands | Eredivisie

FT

02/05

18:00

Ajax
PSV Eindhoven
2
2

H

2.38

D

4.02

A

2.55

D
Netherlands

Netherlands | Eredivisie

FT

25/04

18:00

NAC Breda
Ajax
0
2

H

3.50

D

3.67

A

1.98

W
World

World | Friendlies Clubs

FT

16/04

12:00

Ajax
Twente
0
1
L
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Ajax

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
Netherlands

Netherlands | Eredivisie

PN

24/05

10:15

Ajax
Utrecht
0
0

H

1.96

D

3.67

A

3.50

D
Netherlands

Netherlands | Eredivisie

FT

21/05

16:45

Ajax
Groningen
2
0

H

1.87

D

3.75

A

3.80

W
Netherlands

Netherlands | Eredivisie

FT

17/05

12:30

Heerenveen
Ajax
0
0

H

3.22

D

4.05

A

1.97

D
Netherlands

Netherlands | Eredivisie

FT

10/05

14:45

Ajax
Utrecht
1
2

H

1.58

D

4.31

A

5.03

L
Netherlands

Netherlands | Eredivisie

FT

02/05

18:00

Ajax
PSV Eindhoven
2
2

H

2.38

D

4.02

A

2.55

D
Netherlands

Netherlands | Eredivisie

FT

25/04

18:00

NAC Breda
Ajax
0
2

H

3.50

D

3.67

A

1.98

W
World

World | Friendlies Clubs

FT

16/04

12:00

Ajax
Twente
0
1
L
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Utrecht

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
Netherlands

Netherlands | Eredivisie

PN

24/05

10:15

Ajax
Utrecht
0
0

H

1.96

D

3.67

A

3.50

D
Netherlands

Netherlands | Eredivisie

FT

21/05

19:00

Utrecht
Heerenveen
3
2

H

1.92

D

3.69

A

3.69

W
Netherlands

Netherlands | Eredivisie

FT

17/05

12:30

Utrecht
Fortuna Sittard
2
0

H

1.51

D

4.66

A

5.43

W
Netherlands

Netherlands | Eredivisie

FT

10/05

14:45

Ajax
Utrecht
1
2

H

1.58

D

4.31

A

5.03

W
Netherlands

Netherlands | Eredivisie

FT

02/05

14:30

Utrecht
NAC Breda
2
0

H

1.76

D

3.87

A

4.29

W
Netherlands

Netherlands | Eredivisie

FT

26/04

10:15

Excelsior
Utrecht
5
0

H

3.22

D

3.50

A

2.14

L
Netherlands

Netherlands | Eredivisie

FT

11/04

14:30

Utrecht
Telstar
4
1

H

1.59

D

4.10

A

5.36

W
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Statistics

Average Statistics per Game

1.65
Expected Goals
Missing Data (2 | 1)
1.85
14
Total Shots
17.1
5.22
Shots on Goal
7
8.11
Shots Inside Box
12
5.89
Shots Outside Box
5.1
53%
Possession
45%
84%
Passes %
79%

Some data is missing for recent matches.

(Home: 1 | Away: 0)

We're working to fill in the gaps!

TACTICAL OVERVIEW

Lineups

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 1.88 per game

Low Team Rotation!
Rare lineup changes boost chemistry but may cause fatigue

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

23

S. Berghuis

6.7
L

9

K. Dolberg

6.3
H

11

M. Godts

7.2
L

Midfielders

6

Y. Regeer

7.3
M

24

J. Mokio

6.7
L

18

D. Klaassen

7.9
L

Defenders

3

A. Gaaei

7.2
M

30

A. Bouwman

7.3
H

15

Y. Baas

8.2
L

2

L. Rosa

7.7
L

Goalkeepers

26

M. Paes

8.6
L
Injuries/Absence

Key Players

J. Sutalo

Injury

L

Others

O. Edvardsen

Inactive

H

K. Fitz-Jim

Shoulder Injury

H

V. Jaros

Knee Injury

-

O. Wijndal

Injury

H

O. Zinchenko

Knee Injury

-

Note: Missing historical data for 1 matches

Ajax

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 1.88 per game

Low Team Rotation!
Rare lineup changes boost chemistry but may cause fatigue

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

23

S. Berghuis

6.7
L

9

K. Dolberg

6.3
H

11

M. Godts

7.2
L

Midfielders

6

Y. Regeer

7.3
M

24

J. Mokio

6.7
L

18

D. Klaassen

7.9
L

Defenders

3

A. Gaaei

7.2
M

30

A. Bouwman

7.3
H

15

Y. Baas

8.2
L

2

L. Rosa

7.7
L

Goalkeepers

26

M. Paes

8.6
L
Injuries/Absence

Key Players

J. Sutalo

Injury

L

Others

O. Edvardsen

Inactive

H

K. Fitz-Jim

Shoulder Injury

H

V. Jaros

Knee Injury

-

O. Wijndal

Injury

H

O. Zinchenko

Knee Injury

-

Note: Missing historical data for 1 matches

Utrecht

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 0.78 per game

Low Team Rotation!
Rare lineup changes boost chemistry but may cause fatigue

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

18

A. Stepanov

6.2
M

Midfielders

2

S. Horemans

6.6
H

21

G. Zechiel

8.9
L

10

Y. Cathline

6.2
L

20

D. de Wit

7.3
L

11

J. Karlsson

6.3
H

Defenders

23

N. Vesterlund

6.9
L

3

M. van der Hoorn

7.3
L

44

M. Eerdhuijzen

6.9
H

16

S. El Karouani

6.3
L

Goalkeepers

1

V. Barkas

8.5
L
Injuries/Absence

Key Players

M. Didden

Inactive

L

A. Engwanda

Injury

L

Others

O. Agougil

Injury

H

E. Demircan

Inactive

H

V. Jensen

Knee Injury

-

M. Rodriguez

Knee Injury

H

J. van Ommeren

Injury

-

Player Rotation Legend

L

Low

M

Medium

H

High

-

Unknown

  • Low: Regular starter with stable minutes
  • Medium: Plays regularly but role/minutes vary
  • High: Unpredictable role, often rotated or benched.

Odds Movement

All odds shown are the average odds from all bookmakers in our system.

Home

1.96

Draw

3.67

Away

3.50

1.74

Home

1.96

3.67

Draw

4.12

3.50

Away

4.05

Max

Home

1.96

Draw

4.12

Away

4.05

%

13%
12%
16%

Min

Home

1.74

Draw

3.67

Away

3.50

NOTE: Odds are updated every 3 hours.