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AC Milan vs Cagliari | Serie A - Market Analysis

Statistical analysis and probabilities across all markets.

Italy

Italy

Serie A

AC Milan

W
L
L
D
W
L

24 May 2026

18:45 (UTC+0)

(1
-
1)

1

-

2

FT

Cagliari

W
L
D
W
L
W

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Stats Only

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Premium Feature

Top Mathematical Model Picks

Stats Only

Based on xG, Elo ratings & historical game data. For live news & injury updates, check

Game Intelligence — more accurate picks using live news, lineups & 50+ sources

Portal Pulse

16 portals analyzed

Consensus from 16+ prediction portals. Each chart shows how many portals agree on each outcome — higher % means stronger consensus.

Preview (full breakdown in Premium report)

Premium Feature

HEAD TO HEAD

Form & Performance

Italy

Serie A

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

33%

55%

17%

22%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

42%

61%

42%

22%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

45%

36%

55%

40%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

59%

42%

68%

34%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

70%

43%

64%

38%

Home only

Away only

Home vs Away Strength

Upgrade to Premium to unlock detailed home vs away advantages, surprise indices, Brier scores, and ROI insights.

3 days free · No credit card required

Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

04/05
05/05
06/05
07/05
08/05
09/05

Home

2:3

10/05

11/05
12/05
13/05
14/05
15/05
16/05

Away

1:2

17/05

18/05
19/05
20/05
21/05
22/05
23/05

Home

1:2

24/05

25/05
26/05
27/05
28/05
29/05
30/05
31/05

Total Goals

average per game

Italy

Serie A

Poor
Attack
Poor
Good
Defense
Good

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

-0.67
0.83
1.5

Scored

Conceded

1
1.33

Difference

-0.33

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

-0.5
1
1.5

Scored

Conceded

1.17
1.33

Difference

-0.17

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

-0.38
0.75
1.12

Scored

Conceded

0.75
1.5

Difference

-0.75

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

+0.2
1.2
1

Scored

Conceded

0.95
1.4

Difference

-0.45

Season

Full season averages

Difference

+0.51
1.41
0.89

Scored

Conceded

1.03
1.41

Difference

-0.38

League Average

Total Goals Momentum

Normal

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Head to Head

Last 365 days

1 Match

(100%)

1

Wins

Draws: 0

0

(0%)

1

(100%)

Avg Goals per Match

1
0

Scored

Conceded

0
1

AC Milan

Cagliari

All Matches

28 Matches

(75%)

21

Wins

Draws: 6

1

(4%)

21

(75%)

6

(21%)

1

(4%)

Avg Goals per Match

2.18
0.68

Scored

Conceded

0.68
2.18

AC Milan

Cagliari

Italy | Serie A

02 Jan 26

Cagliari

0
1

AC Milan

5mo ago

Italy | Serie A

11 Jan 25

AC Milan

1
1

Cagliari

1y ago

Italy | Serie A

09 Nov 24

Cagliari

3
3

AC Milan

2y ago

Total Goals

average per game

Italy

Serie A

Poor
Attack
Poor
Good
Defense
Good

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

-0.67
0.83
1.5

Scored

Conceded

1
1.33

Difference

-0.33

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

-0.5
1
1.5

Scored

Conceded

1.17
1.33

Difference

-0.17

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

-0.38
0.75
1.12

Scored

Conceded

0.75
1.5

Difference

-0.75

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

+0.2
1.2
1

Scored

Conceded

0.95
1.4

Difference

-0.45

Season

Full season averages

Difference

+0.51
1.41
0.89

Scored

Conceded

1.03
1.41

Difference

-0.38

League Average

Total Goals Momentum

Normal

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Head to Head

Last 365 days

1 Match

(100%)

1

Wins

Draws: 0

0

(0%)

1

(100%)

Avg Goals per Match

1
0

Scored

Conceded

0
1

AC Milan

Cagliari

All Matches

28 Matches

(75%)

21

Wins

Draws: 6

1

(4%)

21

(75%)

6

(21%)

1

(4%)

Avg Goals per Match

2.18
0.68

Scored

Conceded

0.68
2.18

AC Milan

Cagliari

Italy | Serie A

02 Jan 26

Cagliari

0
1

AC Milan

5mo ago

Italy | Serie A

11 Jan 25

AC Milan

1
1

Cagliari

1y ago

Italy | Serie A

09 Nov 24

Cagliari

3
3

AC Milan

2y ago

Form & Performance

Italy

Serie A

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

33%

55%

17%

22%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

42%

61%

42%

22%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

45%

36%

55%

40%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

59%

42%

68%

34%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

70%

43%

64%

38%

Home only

Away only

Home vs Away Strength

Upgrade to Premium to unlock detailed home vs away advantages, surprise indices, Brier scores, and ROI insights.

3 days free · No credit card required

Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

04/05
05/05
06/05
07/05
08/05
09/05

Home

2:3

10/05

11/05
12/05
13/05
14/05
15/05
16/05

Away

1:2

17/05

18/05
19/05
20/05
21/05
22/05
23/05

Home

1:2

24/05

25/05
26/05
27/05
28/05
29/05
30/05
31/05

Unlock In-Depth Sports Data Insights!

Filter by Competition, Period, Teams, and Half-Times for Tailored Analysis

Competition

Period

Side

FT/HT

PERFORMANCE TRENDS

Change of Long Term Quality

Shows the change of long term quality in past.

AC Milan

Cagliari

Goals History

AC Milan

Cagliari

Overall Form

45%
Overall Form
36%
4
Wins
3
1
Draws
1
5
Losses
6

Rankings

Current Season

3
Serie A
16
37
Played
37
1.89
Points per Match
1.08

Quality

50%
Team Quality
40%
54%
Avg Opponent Quality
51%

Goals Performance

40%
Goals Performance
34%
0.9
Scored Goals
0.9
1.3
Conceded Goals
1.6
-0.4
Goals Difference
(Scored - Conceded)
-0.7
2.2
Total Goals
(Scored + Conceded)
2.5

Average Goals per Match

vs

MATCH HISTORY

Last Matches (1X2)

Fulltime

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
Italy

Italy | Serie A

FT

24/05

18:45

AC Milan
Cagliari
1
2

H

1.29

D

5.29

A

10.68

L
Italy

Italy | Serie A

FT

17/05

10:00

Genoa
AC Milan
1
2

H

5.10

D

3.77

A

1.68

W
Italy

Italy | Serie A

FT

10/05

18:45

AC Milan
Atalanta
2
3

H

2.20

D

3.29

A

3.38

L
Italy

Italy | Serie A

FT

03/05

13:00

Sassuolo
AC Milan
2
0

H

4.57

D

3.92

A

1.73

L
Italy

Italy | Serie A

FT

26/04

18:45

AC Milan
Juventus
0
0

H

2.74

D

3.10

A

2.72

D
Italy

Italy | Serie A

FT

19/04

13:00

Hellas Verona
AC Milan
0
1

H

6.52

D

4.00

A

1.53

W
Italy

Italy | Serie A

FT

11/04

16:00

AC Milan
Udinese
0
3

H

1.41

D

4.58

A

8.01

L
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

AC Milan

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
Italy

Italy | Serie A

FT

24/05

18:45

AC Milan
Cagliari
1
2

H

1.29

D

5.29

A

10.68

L
Italy

Italy | Serie A

FT

17/05

10:00

Genoa
AC Milan
1
2

H

5.10

D

3.77

A

1.68

W
Italy

Italy | Serie A

FT

10/05

18:45

AC Milan
Atalanta
2
3

H

2.20

D

3.29

A

3.38

L
Italy

Italy | Serie A

FT

03/05

13:00

Sassuolo
AC Milan
2
0

H

4.57

D

3.92

A

1.73

L
Italy

Italy | Serie A

FT

26/04

18:45

AC Milan
Juventus
0
0

H

2.74

D

3.10

A

2.72

D
Italy

Italy | Serie A

FT

19/04

13:00

Hellas Verona
AC Milan
0
1

H

6.52

D

4.00

A

1.53

W
Italy

Italy | Serie A

FT

11/04

16:00

AC Milan
Udinese
0
3

H

1.41

D

4.58

A

8.01

L
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Cagliari

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
Italy

Italy | Serie A

FT

24/05

18:45

AC Milan
Cagliari
1
2

H

1.29

D

5.29

A

10.68

W
Italy

Italy | Serie A

FT

17/05

18:45

Cagliari
Torino
2
1

H

2.29

D

3.04

A

3.44

W
Italy

Italy | Serie A

FT

09/05

13:00

Cagliari
Udinese
0
2

H

2.60

D

2.99

A

2.98

L
Italy

Italy | Serie A

FT

03/05

10:30

Bologna
Cagliari
0
0

H

1.90

D

3.33

A

4.39

D
Italy

Italy | Serie A

FT

27/04

16:30

Cagliari
Atalanta
3
2

H

4.66

D

3.77

A

1.74

W
Italy

Italy | Serie A

FT

17/04

18:45

Inter
Cagliari
3
0

H

1.23

D

6.25

A

12.74

L
Italy

Italy | Serie A

FT

11/04

13:00

Cagliari
Cremonese
1
0

H

2.08

D

3.09

A

4.01

W
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Statistics

Average Statistics per Game

1.18
Expected Goals
1.06
11.7
Total Shots
11.9
3.5
Shots on Goal
3.1
7
Shots Inside Box
7.5
4.7
Shots Outside Box
4.4
51%
Possession
45%
86%
Passes %
79%

TACTICAL OVERVIEW

Lineups

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 2.89 per game

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

7

S. Gimenez

6.3
H

18

C. Nkunku

6.6
H

Midfielders

56

A. Saelemaekers

7.9
L

19

Y. Fofana

6
M

30

A. Jashari

6.6
H

12

A. Rabiot

7.7
L

33

D. Bartesaghi

7.3
M

Defenders

23

F. Tomori

6.3
M

46

M. Gabbia

7.5
M

31

S. Pavlovic

6.3
L

Goalkeepers

16

M. Maignan

9.7
L

AC Milan

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 2.89 per game

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

7

S. Gimenez

6.3
H

18

C. Nkunku

6.6
H

Midfielders

56

A. Saelemaekers

7.9
L

19

Y. Fofana

6
M

30

A. Jashari

6.6
H

12

A. Rabiot

7.7
L

33

D. Bartesaghi

7.3
M

Defenders

23

F. Tomori

6.3
M

46

M. Gabbia

7.5
M

31

S. Pavlovic

6.3
L

Goalkeepers

16

M. Maignan

9.7
L

Cagliari

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 2.44 per game

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

29

G. Borrelli

8.3
H

94

S. Esposito

7.7
L

Midfielders

28

G. Zappa

6.5
H

8

M. Adopo

6.5
L

10

G. Gaetano

7.2
L

14

A. Deiola

6.3
H

33

A. Obert

6.9
L

Defenders

32

J. Pedro

6.7
L

26

Y. Mina

6.7
M

15

J. Rodriguez

7
M

Goalkeepers

1

E. Caprile

6.9
L
Injuries/Absence

Key Players

M. Folorunsho

Muscle Injury

M

Others

R. Idrissi

Knee Injury

H

S. Kilicsoy

Personal Reasons

H

J. Liteta

Thigh Injury

H

L. Pavoletti

Knee Injury

H

Player Rotation Legend

L

Low

M

Medium

H

High

-

Unknown

  • Low: Regular starter with stable minutes
  • Medium: Plays regularly but role/minutes vary
  • High: Unpredictable role, often rotated or benched.

Odds Movement

All odds shown are the average odds from all bookmakers in our system.

Home

1.29

Draw

5.29

Away

10.68

1.27

Home

1.41

4.49

Draw

5.53

8.65

Away

11.42

Max

Home

1.41

Draw

5.53

Away

11.42

%

11%
23%
32%

Min

Home

1.27

Draw

4.49

Away

8.65

NOTE: Odds are updated every 3 hours.