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Brighton vs Manchester United | Premier League - Market Analysis

Statistical analysis and probabilities across all markets.

Brighton

L
W
L
W
D
W

24 May 2026

15:00 (UTC+0)

(0
-
2)

0

-

3

FT

Manchester United

W
D
W
W
W
L

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Portal Pulse

16 portals analyzed

Consensus from 16+ prediction portals. Each chart shows how many portals agree on each outcome — higher % means stronger consensus.

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Top Mathematical Model Picks

Stats Only

Based on xG, Elo ratings & historical game data. For live news & injury updates, check

Game Intelligencemore accurate picks using live news, lineups & 50+ sources

Portal Pulse

16 portals analyzed

Consensus from 16+ prediction portals. Each chart shows how many portals agree on each outcome — higher % means stronger consensus.

Preview (full breakdown in Premium report)

HEAD TO HEAD

Form & Performance

England

Premier League

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

33%

88%

100%

77%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

61%

78%

67%

66%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

66%

73%

65%

62%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

55%

79%

68%

56%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

55%

69%

67%

62%

Home only

Away only

Home vs Away Strength

Upgrade to Premium to unlock detailed home vs away advantages, surprise indices, Brier scores, and ROI insights.

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Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

04/05
05/05
06/05
07/05
08/05

Home

3:0

09/05

10/05
11/05
12/05
13/05
14/05
15/05
16/05

Away

1:0

17/05

18/05
19/05
20/05
21/05
22/05
23/05

Home

0:3

24/05

25/05
26/05
27/05
28/05
29/05
30/05
31/05

Total Goals

average per game

England

Premier League

Good
Attack
Excellent
Good
Defense
Good

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

+0.83
1.83
1

Scored

Conceded

1.67
1.17

Difference

+0.5

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

+1
1.67
0.67

Scored

Conceded

2.33
1.5

Difference

+0.83

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

+0.62
1.62
1

Scored

Conceded

1.88
1.38

Difference

+0.5

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

+0.35
1.35
1

Scored

Conceded

1.75
1.1

Difference

+0.65

Season

Full season averages

Difference

+0.24
1.41
1.16

Scored

Conceded

1.78
1.35

Difference

+0.43

League Average

Total Goals Momentum

Normal

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Head to Head

Last 365 days

2 Matches

(50%)

1

Wins

Draws: 0

1

(50%)

1

(50%)

1

(50%)

Avg Goals per Match

2
2.5

Scored

Conceded

2.5
2

Brighton

Manchester United

All Matches

21 Matches

(43%)

9

Wins

Draws: 1

11

(52%)

9

(43%)

1

(5%)

11

(52%)

Avg Goals per Match

1.33
1.62

Scored

Conceded

1.62
1.33

Brighton

Manchester United

England | FA Cup

11 Jan 26

Manchester United

1
2

Brighton

5mo ago

England | Premier League

25 Oct 25

Manchester United

4
2

Brighton

8mo ago

England | Premier League

19 Jan 25

Manchester United

1
3

Brighton

1y ago

Total Goals

average per game

England

Premier League

Good
Attack
Excellent
Good
Defense
Good

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

+0.83
1.83
1

Scored

Conceded

1.67
1.17

Difference

+0.5

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

+1
1.67
0.67

Scored

Conceded

2.33
1.5

Difference

+0.83

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

+0.62
1.62
1

Scored

Conceded

1.88
1.38

Difference

+0.5

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

+0.35
1.35
1

Scored

Conceded

1.75
1.1

Difference

+0.65

Season

Full season averages

Difference

+0.24
1.41
1.16

Scored

Conceded

1.78
1.35

Difference

+0.43

League Average

Total Goals Momentum

Normal

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Head to Head

Last 365 days

2 Matches

(50%)

1

Wins

Draws: 0

1

(50%)

1

(50%)

1

(50%)

Avg Goals per Match

2
2.5

Scored

Conceded

2.5
2

Brighton

Manchester United

All Matches

21 Matches

(43%)

9

Wins

Draws: 1

11

(52%)

9

(43%)

1

(5%)

11

(52%)

Avg Goals per Match

1.33
1.62

Scored

Conceded

1.62
1.33

Brighton

Manchester United

England | FA Cup

11 Jan 26

Manchester United

1
2

Brighton

5mo ago

England | Premier League

25 Oct 25

Manchester United

4
2

Brighton

8mo ago

England | Premier League

19 Jan 25

Manchester United

1
3

Brighton

1y ago

Form & Performance

England

Premier League

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

33%

88%

100%

77%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

61%

78%

67%

66%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

66%

73%

65%

62%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

55%

79%

68%

56%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

55%

69%

67%

62%

Home only

Away only

Home vs Away Strength

Upgrade to Premium to unlock detailed home vs away advantages, surprise indices, Brier scores, and ROI insights.

3 days free · No credit card required

Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

04/05
05/05
06/05
07/05
08/05

Home

3:0

09/05

10/05
11/05
12/05
13/05
14/05
15/05
16/05

Away

1:0

17/05

18/05
19/05
20/05
21/05
22/05
23/05

Home

0:3

24/05

25/05
26/05
27/05
28/05
29/05
30/05
31/05

Unlock In-Depth Sports Data Insights!

Filter by Competition, Period, Teams, and Half-Times for Tailored Analysis

Competition

Period

Side

FT/HT

PERFORMANCE TRENDS

Change of Long Term Quality

Shows the change of long term quality in past.

Brighton

Manchester United

Goals History

Brighton

Manchester United

Overall Form

64%
Overall Form
70%
6
Wins
6
1
Draws
2
3
Losses
2

Rankings

Current Season

7
Premier League
3
37
Played
37
1.43
Points per Match
1.84

Quality

61%
Team Quality
68%
50%
Avg Opponent Quality
55%

Goals Performance

59%
Goals Performance
57%
1.6
Scored Goals
1.8
0.9
Conceded Goals
1.3
0.7
Goals Difference
(Scored - Conceded)
0.5
2.5
Total Goals
(Scored + Conceded)
3.1

Average Goals per Match

vs

MATCH HISTORY

Last Matches (1X2)

Fulltime

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
England

England | Premier League

FT

24/05

15:00

Brighton
Manchester United
0
3

H

1.85

D

4.09

A

3.75

L
England

England | Premier League

FT

17/05

14:00

Leeds
Brighton
1
0

H

3.33

D

3.52

A

2.14

L
England

England | Premier League

FT

09/05

14:00

Brighton
Wolves
3
0

H

1.27

D

6.05

A

10.32

W
England

England | Premier League

FT

02/05

14:00

Newcastle
Brighton
3
1

H

2.56

D

3.57

A

2.59

L
England

England | Premier League

FT

21/04

19:00

Brighton
Chelsea
3
0

H

2.37

D

3.52

A

2.89

W
England

England | Premier League

FT

18/04

16:30

Tottenham
Brighton
2
2

H

2.99

D

3.74

A

2.23

D
England

England | Premier League

FT

11/04

14:00

Burnley
Brighton
0
2

H

4.94

D

4.14

A

1.66

W
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Brighton

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
England

England | Premier League

FT

24/05

15:00

Brighton
Manchester United
0
3

H

1.85

D

4.09

A

3.75

L
England

England | Premier League

FT

17/05

14:00

Leeds
Brighton
1
0

H

3.33

D

3.52

A

2.14

L
England

England | Premier League

FT

09/05

14:00

Brighton
Wolves
3
0

H

1.27

D

6.05

A

10.32

W
England

England | Premier League

FT

02/05

14:00

Newcastle
Brighton
3
1

H

2.56

D

3.57

A

2.59

L
England

England | Premier League

FT

21/04

19:00

Brighton
Chelsea
3
0

H

2.37

D

3.52

A

2.89

W
England

England | Premier League

FT

18/04

16:30

Tottenham
Brighton
2
2

H

2.99

D

3.74

A

2.23

D
England

England | Premier League

FT

11/04

14:00

Burnley
Brighton
0
2

H

4.94

D

4.14

A

1.66

W
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Manchester United

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
England

England | Premier League

FT

24/05

15:00

Brighton
Manchester United
0
3

H

1.85

D

4.09

A

3.75

W
England

England | Premier League

FT

17/05

11:30

Manchester United
Nottingham Forest
3
2

H

1.62

D

4.28

A

5.00

W
England

England | Premier League

FT

09/05

14:00

Sunderland
Manchester United
0
0

H

3.79

D

3.66

A

1.95

D
England

England | Premier League

FT

03/05

14:30

Manchester United
Liverpool
3
2

H

2.29

D

3.75

A

2.86

W
England

England | Premier League

FT

27/04

19:00

Manchester United
Brentford
2
1

H

2.01

D

3.74

A

3.56

W
England

England | Premier League

FT

18/04

19:00

Chelsea
Manchester United
0
1

H

2.13

D

3.63

A

3.26

W
England

England | Premier League

FT

13/04

19:00

Manchester United
Leeds
1
2

H

1.63

D

4.17

A

5.17

L
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Statistics

Average Statistics per Game

1.71
Expected Goals
1.69
13.7
Total Shots
15.7
5.7
Shots on Goal
5.8
9.8
Shots Inside Box
10.2
3.9
Shots Outside Box
5.5
58%
Possession
49%
83%
Passes %
83%

TACTICAL OVERVIEW

Lineups

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 1.78 per game

Low Team Rotation!
Rare lineup changes boost chemistry but may cause fatigue

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

18

D. Welbeck

6
M

Midfielders

30

P. Gross

6.2
L

20

J. Milner

6.2
H

25

D. Gomez

6.5
M

13

J. Hinshelwood

6.2
L

29

M. De Cuyper

6.6
H

Defenders

27

M. Wieffer

6.5
M

6

J. P. van Hecke

7
L

5

L. Dunk

6.9
M

24

F. Kadioglu

6
L

Goalkeepers

1

B. Verbruggen

6.2
L
Injuries/Absence

Key Players

K. Mitoma

Hamstring Injury

M

Others

S. Tzimas

Knee Injury

-

A. Webster

Knee Injury

-

Brighton

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 1.78 per game

Low Team Rotation!
Rare lineup changes boost chemistry but may cause fatigue

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

18

D. Welbeck

6
M

Midfielders

30

P. Gross

6.2
L

20

J. Milner

6.2
H

25

D. Gomez

6.5
M

13

J. Hinshelwood

6.2
L

29

M. De Cuyper

6.6
H

Defenders

27

M. Wieffer

6.5
M

6

J. P. van Hecke

7
L

5

L. Dunk

6.9
M

24

F. Kadioglu

6
L

Goalkeepers

1

B. Verbruggen

6.2
L
Injuries/Absence

Key Players

K. Mitoma

Hamstring Injury

M

Others

S. Tzimas

Knee Injury

-

A. Webster

Knee Injury

-

Manchester United

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 2.44 per game

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

19

B. Mbeumo

6.6
M

Midfielders

7

M. Mount

7.5
H

37

K. Mainoo

7.2
L

16

A. Diallo

7.5
M

8

B. Fernandes

8.3
L

13

P. Dorgu

8.3
H

Defenders

3

N. Mazraoui

7
H

5

H. Maguire

7.2
L

6

L. Martinez

7.2
L

23

L. Shaw

6.9
L

Goalkeepers

31

S. Lammens

6.9
L
Injuries/Absence

Key Players

Casemiro

Inactive

L

B. Sesko

Leg Injury

M

Others

M. de Ligt

Back Injury

-

Player Rotation Legend

L

Low

M

Medium

H

High

-

Unknown

  • Low: Regular starter with stable minutes
  • Medium: Plays regularly but role/minutes vary
  • High: Unpredictable role, often rotated or benched.

Odds Movement

All odds shown are the average odds from all bookmakers in our system.

Home

1.85

Draw

4.09

Away

3.75

1.81

Home

2.58

3.70

Draw

4.12

2.69

Away

3.89

Max

Home

2.58

Draw

4.12

Away

3.89

%

43%
11%
45%

Min

Home

1.81

Draw

3.70

Away

2.69

NOTE: Odds are updated every 3 hours.