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Villarreal vs Atletico Madrid | La Liga - Market Analysis

Statistical analysis and probabilities across all markets.

Spain

Spain

La Liga

Villarreal

L
L
D
W
W
D

24 May 2026

19:00 (UTC+0)

(4
-
1)

5

-

1

FT

Atletico Madrid

W
W
L
L
W
D

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Stats Only

Based on xG, Elo ratings & historical game data. For live news & injury updates, check

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Portal Pulse

16 portals analyzed

Consensus from 16+ prediction portals. Each chart shows how many portals agree on each outcome — higher % means stronger consensus.

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Premium Feature

Top Mathematical Model Picks

Stats Only

Based on xG, Elo ratings & historical game data. For live news & injury updates, check

Game Intelligence — more accurate picks using live news, lineups & 50+ sources

Portal Pulse

16 portals analyzed

Consensus from 16+ prediction portals. Each chart shows how many portals agree on each outcome — higher % means stronger consensus.

Preview (full breakdown in Premium report)

Premium Feature

HEAD TO HEAD

Form & Performance

Spain

La Liga

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

22%

67%

67%

67%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

55%

67%

83%

50%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

60%

50%

70%

53%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

58%

62%

82%

51%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

67%

67%

81%

51%

Home only

Away only

Home vs Away Strength

Upgrade to Premium to unlock detailed home vs away advantages, surprise indices, Brier scores, and ROI insights.

3 days free · No credit card required

Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

04/05
05/05
06/05
07/05
08/05
09/05

Away

1:1

10/05

11/05
12/05

Home

2:3

13/05

14/05
15/05
16/05

Away

2:0

17/05

18/05
19/05
20/05
21/05
22/05
23/05

Home

5:1

24/05

25/05
26/05
27/05
28/05
29/05
30/05
31/05

Total Goals

average per game

Spain

La Liga

Excellent
Attack
Good
Good
Defense
Good

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

+0.33
1.83
1.5

Scored

Conceded

1.67
1.17

Difference

+0.5

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

+1.33
2.67
1.33

Scored

Conceded

1.5
1.17

Difference

+0.33

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

+0.25
1.5
1.25

Scored

Conceded

1.5
1.38

Difference

+0.12

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

+0.2
1.65
1.45

Scored

Conceded

1.55
1.15

Difference

+0.4

Season

Full season averages

Difference

+0.59
1.81
1.22

Scored

Conceded

1.65
1.05

Difference

+0.59

League Average

Total Goals Momentum

Normal

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Head to Head

Last 365 days

1 Match

(0%)

0

Wins

Draws: 0

1

(100%)

1

(100%)

Avg Goals per Match

0
2

Scored

Conceded

2
0

Villarreal

Atletico Madrid

All Matches

29 Matches

(24%)

7

Wins

Draws: 11

11

(38%)

7

(24%)

11

(38%)

11

(38%)

Avg Goals per Match

0.97
1.24

Scored

Conceded

1.24
0.97

Villarreal

Atletico Madrid

Spain | La Liga

13 Sep 25

Atletico Madrid

2
0

Villarreal

9mo ago

Spain | La Liga

25 Jan 25

Atletico Madrid

1
1

Villarreal

1y ago

Spain | La Liga

19 Aug 24

Villarreal

2
2

Atletico Madrid

2y ago

Total Goals

average per game

Spain

La Liga

Excellent
Attack
Good
Good
Defense
Good

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

+0.33
1.83
1.5

Scored

Conceded

1.67
1.17

Difference

+0.5

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

+1.33
2.67
1.33

Scored

Conceded

1.5
1.17

Difference

+0.33

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

+0.25
1.5
1.25

Scored

Conceded

1.5
1.38

Difference

+0.12

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

+0.2
1.65
1.45

Scored

Conceded

1.55
1.15

Difference

+0.4

Season

Full season averages

Difference

+0.59
1.81
1.22

Scored

Conceded

1.65
1.05

Difference

+0.59

League Average

Total Goals Momentum

Normal

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Head to Head

Last 365 days

1 Match

(0%)

0

Wins

Draws: 0

1

(100%)

1

(100%)

Avg Goals per Match

0
2

Scored

Conceded

2
0

Villarreal

Atletico Madrid

All Matches

29 Matches

(24%)

7

Wins

Draws: 11

11

(38%)

7

(24%)

11

(38%)

11

(38%)

Avg Goals per Match

0.97
1.24

Scored

Conceded

1.24
0.97

Villarreal

Atletico Madrid

Spain | La Liga

13 Sep 25

Atletico Madrid

2
0

Villarreal

9mo ago

Spain | La Liga

25 Jan 25

Atletico Madrid

1
1

Villarreal

1y ago

Spain | La Liga

19 Aug 24

Villarreal

2
2

Atletico Madrid

2y ago

Form & Performance

Spain

La Liga

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

22%

67%

67%

67%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

55%

67%

83%

50%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

60%

50%

70%

53%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

58%

62%

82%

51%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

67%

67%

81%

51%

Home only

Away only

Home vs Away Strength

Upgrade to Premium to unlock detailed home vs away advantages, surprise indices, Brier scores, and ROI insights.

3 days free · No credit card required

Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

04/05
05/05
06/05
07/05
08/05
09/05

Away

1:1

10/05

11/05
12/05

Home

2:3

13/05

14/05
15/05
16/05

Away

2:0

17/05

18/05
19/05
20/05
21/05
22/05
23/05

Home

5:1

24/05

25/05
26/05
27/05
28/05
29/05
30/05
31/05

Unlock In-Depth Sports Data Insights!

Filter by Competition, Period, Teams, and Half-Times for Tailored Analysis

Competition

Period

Side

FT/HT

PERFORMANCE TRENDS

Change of Long Term Quality

Shows the change of long term quality in past.

Villarreal

Atletico Madrid

Goals History

Villarreal

Atletico Madrid

Overall Form

60%
Overall Form
50%
4
Wins
4
3
Draws
2
3
Losses
4

Rankings

Current Season

3
Primera División
4
37
Played
37
1.86
Points per Match
1.86

Quality

57%
Team Quality
53%
51%
Avg Opponent Quality
54%

Goals Performance

52%
Goals Performance
47%
1.7
Scored Goals
1.4
1.3
Conceded Goals
1.3
0.4
Goals Difference
(Scored - Conceded)
0.1
3
Total Goals
(Scored + Conceded)
2.7

Average Goals per Match

vs

MATCH HISTORY

Last Matches (1X2)

Fulltime

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
Spain

Spain | La Liga

FT

24/05

19:00

Villarreal
Atletico Madrid
5
1

H

2.53

D

3.74

A

2.54

W
Spain

Spain | La Liga

FT

17/05

17:00

Rayo Vallecano
Villarreal
2
0

H

2.01

D

3.60

A

3.60

L
Spain

Spain | La Liga

FT

13/05

17:00

Villarreal
Sevilla
2
3

H

1.96

D

3.46

A

3.99

L
Spain

Spain | La Liga

FT

10/05

12:00

Mallorca
Villarreal
1
1

H

2.43

D

3.54

A

2.78

D
Spain

Spain | La Liga

FT

02/05

12:00

Villarreal
Levante
5
1

H

1.70

D

4.14

A

4.40

W
Spain

Spain | La Liga

FT

26/04

19:00

Villarreal
Celta Vigo
2
1

H

1.93

D

3.60

A

3.91

W
Spain

Spain | La Liga

FT

23/04

19:30

Oviedo
Villarreal
1
1

H

3.51

D

3.35

A

2.10

D
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Villarreal

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
Spain

Spain | La Liga

FT

24/05

19:00

Villarreal
Atletico Madrid
5
1

H

2.53

D

3.74

A

2.54

W
Spain

Spain | La Liga

FT

17/05

17:00

Rayo Vallecano
Villarreal
2
0

H

2.01

D

3.60

A

3.60

L
Spain

Spain | La Liga

FT

13/05

17:00

Villarreal
Sevilla
2
3

H

1.96

D

3.46

A

3.99

L
Spain

Spain | La Liga

FT

10/05

12:00

Mallorca
Villarreal
1
1

H

2.43

D

3.54

A

2.78

D
Spain

Spain | La Liga

FT

02/05

12:00

Villarreal
Levante
5
1

H

1.70

D

4.14

A

4.40

W
Spain

Spain | La Liga

FT

26/04

19:00

Villarreal
Celta Vigo
2
1

H

1.93

D

3.60

A

3.91

W
Spain

Spain | La Liga

FT

23/04

19:30

Oviedo
Villarreal
1
1

H

3.51

D

3.35

A

2.10

D
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Atletico Madrid

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
Spain

Spain | La Liga

FT

24/05

19:00

Villarreal
Atletico Madrid
5
1

H

2.53

D

3.74

A

2.54

L
Spain

Spain | La Liga

FT

17/05

17:00

Atletico Madrid
Girona
1
0

H

1.74

D

3.99

A

4.46

W
Spain

Spain | La Liga

FT

12/05

19:30

Osasuna
Atletico Madrid
1
2

H

2.49

D

3.53

A

2.71

W
Spain

Spain | La Liga

FT

09/05

16:30

Atletico Madrid
Celta Vigo
0
1

H

2.12

D

3.51

A

3.38

L
World

World | UEFA Champions League

FT

05/05

19:00

Arsenal
Atletico Madrid
1
0

H

1.61

D

4.17

A

5.28

L
Spain

Spain | La Liga

FT

02/05

14:15

Valencia
Atletico Madrid
0
2

H

1.75

D

3.87

A

4.59

W
World

World | UEFA Champions League

FT

29/04

19:00

Atletico Madrid
Arsenal
1
1

H

3.15

D

3.33

A

2.33

D
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Statistics

Average Statistics per Game

1.45
Expected Goals
Missing Data (0 | 1)
1.76
11.6
Total Shots
13.5
4.3
Shots on Goal
3.9
8.3
Shots Inside Box
9
3.3
Shots Outside Box
4.5
47%
Possession
46%
84%
Passes %
82%

TACTICAL OVERVIEW

Lineups

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 4.89 per game

High Team Rotation!
Frequent lineup changes help manage fatigue but may disrupt team chemistry

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

22

A. Perez

9.5
H

9

G. Mikautadze

8.2
M

Midfielders

19

N. Pepe

8.2
M

18

P. Gueye

8
M

10

D. Parejo

7.7
H

20

A. Moleiro

6.5
M

Defenders

15

S. Mourino

7.7
M

6

P. Navarro

6.6
M

4

R. Marin

7.3
H

24

A. Pedraza

6.6
H

Goalkeepers

25

A. Tenas

6.3
H
Injuries/Absence

Key Players

S. Comesana

Muscle Injury

L

G. Moreno

Injury

M

Others

J. Foyth

Achilles Tendon Injury

-

Villarreal

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 4.89 per game

High Team Rotation!
Frequent lineup changes help manage fatigue but may disrupt team chemistry

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

22

A. Perez

9.5
H

9

G. Mikautadze

8.2
M

Midfielders

19

N. Pepe

8.2
M

18

P. Gueye

8
M

10

D. Parejo

7.7
H

20

A. Moleiro

6.5
M

Defenders

15

S. Mourino

7.7
M

6

P. Navarro

6.6
M

4

R. Marin

7.3
H

24

A. Pedraza

6.6
H

Goalkeepers

25

A. Tenas

6.3
H
Injuries/Absence

Key Players

S. Comesana

Muscle Injury

L

G. Moreno

Injury

M

Others

J. Foyth

Achilles Tendon Injury

-

Atletico Madrid

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 6.11 per game

High Team Rotation!
Frequent lineup changes help manage fatigue but may disrupt team chemistry

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

20

G. Simeone

6.2
M

7

A. Griezmann

6.5
M

22

A. Lookman

6.2
L

Midfielders

10

A. Baena

5.9
M

6

Koke

6.9
M

21

O. Vargas

6.9
H

Defenders

14

M. Llorente

5.3
L

18

M. Pubill

6.7
M

15

C. Lenglet

6
H

17

D. Hancko

5.6
L

Goalkeepers

1

J. Musso

5.7
H
Injuries/Absence

Key Players

J. Alvarez

Ankle Injury

M

R. Le Normand

Yellow Cards

M

Others

T. Almada

Injury

H

P. Barrios

Muscle Injury

H

J. Cardoso

Contusion

H

J. M. Gimenez

Ankle Injury

H

N. Gonzalez

Muscle Injury

H

R. Mendoza

Muscle Injury

H

N. Molina

Muscle Injury

H

Player Rotation Legend

L

Low

M

Medium

H

High

-

Unknown

  • Low: Regular starter with stable minutes
  • Medium: Plays regularly but role/minutes vary
  • High: Unpredictable role, often rotated or benched.

Odds Movement

All odds shown are the average odds from all bookmakers in our system.

Home

2.53

Draw

3.74

Away

2.54

2.37

Home

2.53

3.67

Draw

3.77

2.54

Away

2.84

Max

Home

2.53

Draw

3.77

Away

2.84

%

7%
3%
12%

Min

Home

2.37

Draw

3.67

Away

2.54

NOTE: Odds are updated every 3 hours.