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Home Favored
May 31, 2026, 02:01 PM
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The curtain falls on the Segunda División season at the Estadio Nuevo Arcángel as 11th-placed Cordoba hosts a Huesca side already condemned to relegation. With the hosts safe and the visitors down, the story is one of professional pride versus a celebratory home send-off.
Home Motivation
Medium
Cordoba is mathematically safe in mid-table and cannot reach the promotion playoffs, leaving them with no competitive stakes.
Away Motivation
Medium
Huesca has been mathematically relegated and cannot move out of the relegation zone regardless of the result.
Market Picks
Portal Pulse
The Evidence
Betting Edge
Key Metrics
Home
Metric
Away
1.86
xG created per game
All comps (EWMA)
1.57
Cordoba creates nearly 0.30 more xG per game than Huesca in recent form, despite both being below the league average of 2.80.
59%
Possession %
All comps (EWMA)
45%
The hosts control significantly more of the ball in recent matches, which should allow them to dictate the tempo against a relegated side.
1.55
Points Per Game (Venue Split)
Home/Away split
0.45
Cordoba earns more than triple the points at home compared to what Huesca manages on their travels this season.
7.46
Corners won per game
All comps (EWMA)
4.58
Cordoba wins nearly 3 more corners per game than Huesca on a recent-form basis, reflecting their higher offensive pressure.
5.73
Shots on target per game
All comps (EWMA)
3.33
The hosts are far more accurate, putting over 2 more shots on target per game in recent-form matches compared to the visitors.
Form & Streaks
Cordoba has won 6 of their last 10 matches in the Segunda División.
Huesca is winless in their last 10 away league matches (0W, 2D, 8L).
Huesca has lost 6 of their last 10 matches across all competitions.
Tactical Overview
Despite recent losses to Eibar and Albacete, Cordoba remain a force at home, having won 5 of their last 10 matches at the Nuevo Arcángel including a high-scoring 3-2 victory over Sporting Gijon. They dominate the ball, trending at 59% possession in recent form, and rely on Cristian Carracedo to catalyze an attack that generates 17.34 shots per game on a recent-form basis. Huesca enters this finale in a dismal state, having failed to win any of their last 10 away matches in the league (0W, 2D, 8L). Their tactical setup has struggled for efficiency, producing a recent-form average of just 3.33 shots on target per game, significantly lower than the league average of 8.65. While Huesca won 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings, their current 'somber' atmosphere and confirmed relegation suggest they will struggle to contain a Cordoba side looking to reward their fans.
Match Context
Lineup Updates
Based on reports
Key Players
Cordoba will rely on the attacking prowess of Cristian Carracedo, who provides creativity from the forward line. In midfield, Daniel Requena will be crucial in controlling the tempo and distributing the ball.
Absences
Adilson
Knee Injury
Rubén Alves
Injury
Alberto del Moral
Injury
F. Fomeyem
Ankle Injury
Xavi Sintes
Injury
Trilli
Injury
Álex Martín
Yellow Cards
Mikel Goti
Calf Injury
Home
Key Players
Cordoba will rely on the attacking prowess of Cristian Carracedo, who provides creativity from the forward line. In midfield, Daniel Requena will be crucial in controlling the tempo and distributing the ball.
Absences
Adilson
Knee Injury
Rubén Alves
Injury
Alberto del Moral
Injury
F. Fomeyem
Ankle Injury
Xavi Sintes
Injury
Trilli
Injury
Álex Martín
Yellow Cards
Mikel Goti
Calf Injury
Away
Key Players
Huesca will look to Francisco Portillo to drive their midfield and create scoring opportunities. In defense, Álvaro Carrillo is a key figure, providing a solid presence. Dani Jiménez is expected to be vital in goal, making crucial saves to keep Huesca in the game.
Absences
Toni Abad
Injury
Óscar Sielva
Injury
Marc Aznar
Knee Injury
Jorge Pulido
Yellow Cards
Jordi Martín
Shoulder Injury
M. Agbekpornu
Suspended
Lineup info is never 100% confirmed until matchday. Additional players may be unavailable.
Referee Profile
M. H. De Aza
8 matches officiated · 2025/26
Cards/G
4.6
▼
avg 5.6
M. H. De Aza has been notably lenient across 8 Segunda División games this season, averaging 4.62 cards per match. This is nearly 18% below the league average of 5.62, suggesting that in a season finale where stakes are low for both sides, the card count is likely to stay under the seasonal norm.
Key Note
Runs 18% below league average on cards.
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