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Granada CF vs Sporting Gijon - 1X2 Stats & Probability Analysis

Win Draw Win Probability Models & Match Outcome Analysis

Spain

Spain

Segunda División

Granada CF

L
L
L
W
L
L

30 May 2026

19:00 (UTC+0)

(1
-
1)

1

-

2

FT

Sporting Gijon

W
W
L
L
L
W

ODDS ANALYSIS

Odds & Probability

Fulltime

Home

2.37
-

Draw

3.24
-

Away

2.90
-

1st Half

Home

2.93
-

Draw

2.15
-

Away

3.43
-

2nd Half

Home

2.63
-

Draw

2.45
-

Away

3.11
-

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MATCH EVIDENCE

Form & Performance

Spain

Segunda División

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

0%

67%

33%

33%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

17%

50%

42%

17%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

30%

45%

55%

26%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

45%

51%

50%

33%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

45%

50%

50%

33%

Home only

Away only

Total Goals

average per game

Spain

Segunda División

Poor
Attack
Good
Poor
Defense
Good

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

-1.33
0.83
2.17

Scored

Conceded

2.17
1.5

Difference

+0.67

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

-0.17
1.33
1.5

Scored

Conceded

2.17
0.83

Difference

+1.33

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

-1.12
1
2.12

Scored

Conceded

1.62
1.5

Difference

+0.12

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

-0.05
1.3
1.35

Scored

Conceded

1.6
1.2

Difference

+0.4

Season

Full season averages

Difference

-0.12
1.2
1.32

Scored

Conceded

1.41
1.29

Difference

+0.12

League Average

Total Goals Momentum

Normal

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Home vs Away Strength

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Total Goals

average per game

Spain

Segunda División

Poor
Attack
Good
Poor
Defense
Good

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

-1.33
0.83
2.17

Scored

Conceded

2.17
1.5

Difference

+0.67

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

-0.17
1.33
1.5

Scored

Conceded

2.17
0.83

Difference

+1.33

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

-1.12
1
2.12

Scored

Conceded

1.62
1.5

Difference

+0.12

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

-0.05
1.3
1.35

Scored

Conceded

1.6
1.2

Difference

+0.4

Season

Full season averages

Difference

-0.12
1.2
1.32

Scored

Conceded

1.41
1.29

Difference

+0.12

League Average

Total Goals Momentum

Normal

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Form & Performance

Spain

Segunda División

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

0%

67%

33%

33%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

17%

50%

42%

17%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

30%

45%

55%

26%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

45%

51%

50%

33%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

45%

50%

50%

33%

Home only

Away only

Home vs Away Strength

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HEAD TO HEAD

Head to Head

Last 365 days

1 Match

(0%)

0

Wins

Draws: 0

1

(100%)

1

(100%)

Avg Goals per Match

0
1

Scored

Conceded

1
0

Granada CF

Sporting Gijon

All Matches

15 Matches

(40%)

6

Wins

Draws: 2

7

(47%)

6

(40%)

2

(13%)

7

(47%)

Avg Goals per Match

1.47
1.27

Scored

Conceded

1.27
1.47

Granada CF

Sporting Gijon

Spain | Segunda División

13 Dec 25

Sporting Gijon

1
0

Granada CF

6mo ago

Spain | Segunda División

26 Jan 25

Granada CF

3
1

Sporting Gijon

1y ago

Spain | Segunda División

16 Nov 24

Sporting Gijon

1
2

Granada CF

2y ago

Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

11/05
12/05
13/05
14/05
15/05

Home

0:1

16/05

17/05
18/05
19/05
20/05
21/05
22/05
23/05

Away

3:1

24/05

25/05
26/05
27/05
28/05
29/05

Home

1:2

30/05

31/05
01/06
02/06
03/06
04/06
05/06
06/06
07/06

Head to Head

Last 365 days

1 Match

(0%)

0

Wins

Draws: 0

1

(100%)

1

(100%)

Avg Goals per Match

0
1

Scored

Conceded

1
0

Granada CF

Sporting Gijon

All Matches

15 Matches

(40%)

6

Wins

Draws: 2

7

(47%)

6

(40%)

2

(13%)

7

(47%)

Avg Goals per Match

1.47
1.27

Scored

Conceded

1.27
1.47

Granada CF

Sporting Gijon

Spain | Segunda División

13 Dec 25

Sporting Gijon

1
0

Granada CF

6mo ago

Spain | Segunda División

26 Jan 25

Granada CF

3
1

Sporting Gijon

1y ago

Spain | Segunda División

16 Nov 24

Sporting Gijon

1
2

Granada CF

2y ago

Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

11/05
12/05
13/05
14/05
15/05

Home

0:1

16/05

17/05
18/05
19/05
20/05
21/05
22/05
23/05

Away

3:1

24/05

25/05
26/05
27/05
28/05
29/05

Home

1:2

30/05

31/05
01/06
02/06
03/06
04/06
05/06
06/06
07/06

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Competition

Period

Side

FT/HT

MATCH EVIDENCE

Goals History

Granada CF

Sporting Gijon

Last Matches (1X2)

Fulltime

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
Spain

Spain | Segunda División

FT

30/05

19:00

Granada CF
Sporting Gijon
1
2

H

2.37

D

3.24

A

2.90

L
Spain

Spain | Segunda División

FT

24/05

16:30

Mirandes
Granada CF
3
1

H

1.46

D

4.25

A

6.37

L
Spain

Spain | Segunda División

FT

16/05

16:30

Granada CF
Burgos
0
1

H

3.50

D

3.06

A

2.16

L
Spain

Spain | Segunda División

FT

10/05

16:30

Cordoba
Granada CF
1
0

H

1.65

D

3.87

A

4.72

L
Spain

Spain | Segunda División

FT

01/05

19:00

Zaragoza
Granada CF
0
1

H

1.96

D

3.26

A

3.94

W
Spain

Spain | Segunda División

FT

26/04

14:15

Granada CF
Almeria
2
4

H

2.68

D

3.20

A

2.59

L
Spain

Spain | Segunda División

FT

19/04

16:30

Albacete
Granada CF
4
1

H

2.39

D

3.01

A

3.11

L
Wins
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Granada CF

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
Spain

Spain | Segunda División

FT

30/05

19:00

Granada CF
Sporting Gijon
1
2

H

2.37

D

3.24

A

2.90

L
Spain

Spain | Segunda División

FT

24/05

16:30

Mirandes
Granada CF
3
1

H

1.46

D

4.25

A

6.37

L
Spain

Spain | Segunda División

FT

16/05

16:30

Granada CF
Burgos
0
1

H

3.50

D

3.06

A

2.16

L
Spain

Spain | Segunda División

FT

10/05

16:30

Cordoba
Granada CF
1
0

H

1.65

D

3.87

A

4.72

L
Spain

Spain | Segunda División

FT

01/05

19:00

Zaragoza
Granada CF
0
1

H

1.96

D

3.26

A

3.94

W
Spain

Spain | Segunda División

FT

26/04

14:15

Granada CF
Almeria
2
4

H

2.68

D

3.20

A

2.59

L
Spain

Spain | Segunda División

FT

19/04

16:30

Albacete
Granada CF
4
1

H

2.39

D

3.01

A

3.11

L
Wins
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Sporting Gijon

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
Spain

Spain | Segunda División

FT

30/05

19:00

Granada CF
Sporting Gijon
1
2

H

2.37

D

3.24

A

2.90

W
Spain

Spain | Segunda División

FT

24/05

16:30

Sporting Gijon
Almeria
3
1

H

3.52

D

3.76

A

1.91

W
Spain

Spain | Segunda División

FT

17/05

19:15

Zaragoza
Sporting Gijon
1
3

H

1.75

D

3.50

A

4.62

W
Spain

Spain | Segunda División

FT

09/05

19:00

Malaga
Sporting Gijon
2
1

H

1.57

D

4.15

A

5.11

L
Spain

Spain | Segunda División

FT

03/05

14:15

Sporting Gijon
AD Ceuta FC
1
2

H

1.49

D

4.31

A

5.85

L
Spain

Spain | Segunda División

FT

26/04

12:00

Cordoba
Sporting Gijon
3
2

H

2.12

D

3.49

A

3.14

L
Spain

Spain | Segunda División

FT

19/04

14:15

Sporting Gijon
Cadiz
3
0

H

1.59

D

3.84

A

5.44

W
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Lineups

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 3.89 per game

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

19

J. Pascual

6.9
M

Midfielders

4

R. Alcaraz

7.2
M

21

P. Saenz

6.5
L

41

I. Gonzalez

6.7
M

14

M. Trigueros

6.6
H

11

J. M. Arnaiz

8
L

Defenders

2

P. Casadesus

6.9
H

36

Juanjo

6.2
H

5

M. Lama

6.7
M

3

D. Hormigo

5.5
H

Goalkeepers

13

A. Astralaga

6.2
M

Granada CF

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 3.89 per game

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

19

J. Pascual

6.9
M

Midfielders

4

R. Alcaraz

7.2
M

21

P. Saenz

6.5
L

41

I. Gonzalez

6.7
M

14

M. Trigueros

6.6
H

11

J. M. Arnaiz

8
L

Defenders

2

P. Casadesus

6.9
H

36

Juanjo

6.2
H

5

M. Lama

6.7
M

3

D. Hormigo

5.5
H

Goalkeepers

13

A. Astralaga

6.2
M

Sporting Gijon

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 1.44 per game

Low Team Rotation!
Rare lineup changes boost chemistry but may cause fatigue

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

10

C. Gelabert Pina

6.3
L

19

J. Otero

6.6
M

17

J. Dubasin

6.2
M

Midfielders

36

M. Rodriguez

6.9
M

24

J. Smith

6.2
L

14

A. Corredera

6.3
L

Defenders

20

K. Vazquez

6.2
H

15

P. Vazquez

7
L

4

L. Perrin

6.6
H

44

A. Cuenca

6.3
M

Goalkeepers

1

R. Yanez

6.3
L

Player Rotation Legend

L

Low

M

Medium

H

High

-

Unknown

  • Low: Regular starter with stable minutes
  • Medium: Plays regularly but role/minutes vary
  • High: Unpredictable role, often rotated or benched.

Overall Form

30%
Overall Form
45%
3
Wins
4
0
Draws
1
7
Losses
5

Rankings

Current Season

14
LaLiga 2
12
41
Played
41
1.17
Points per Match
1.41

Quality

40%
Team Quality
51%
52%
Avg Opponent Quality
53%

Goals Performance

31%
Goals Performance
47%
1.2
Scored Goals
1.6
2
Conceded Goals
1.4
-0.8
Goals Difference
(Scored - Conceded)
0.2
3.2
Total Goals
(Scored + Conceded)
3

Average Goals per Match

vs

Statistics

Average Statistics per Game

1.19
Expected Goals
Missing Data (7 | 7)
1.34
10
Total Shots
11.5
3.9
Shots on Goal
4.6
6.6
Shots Inside Box
8.6
3.4
Shots Outside Box
2.9
54%
Possession
45%
83%
Passes %
79%

ODDS ANALYSIS

Odds Movement

All odds shown are the average odds from all bookmakers in our system.

Home

2.37

Draw

3.24

Away

2.90

2.29

Home

2.43

3.18

Draw

3.35

2.83

Away

3.08

Max

Home

2.43

Draw

3.35

Away

3.08

%

6%
5%
9%

Min

Home

2.29

Draw

3.18

Away

2.83

NOTE: Odds are updated every 3 hours.

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