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Mexico vs South Africa | World Cup - Market Analysis

Statistical analysis and probabilities across all markets.

World

World

World Cup

Mexico

W
W
W
D
D
W

vs

11 Jun 2026

19:00 (UTC+0)

South Africa

D
L
D
L
W
L

TOP PICKS

Top Mathematical Model Picks

Stats Only

Based on xG, Elo ratings & historical game data. For live news & injury updates, check

Game Intelligence — more accurate picks using live news, lineups & 50+ sources

Top Mathematical Model Picks

Stats Only

Based on xG, Elo ratings & historical game data. For live news & injury updates, check

Game Intelligence — more accurate picks using live news, lineups & 50+ sources

HEAD TO HEAD

Form & Performance

All Competitions

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

100%

33%

100%

55%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

83%

33%

83%

66%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

75%

60%

60%

60%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

72%

65%

68%

68%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

88%

33%

83%

-

Home only

Away only

Home vs Away Strength

Upgrade to Premium to unlock detailed home vs away advantages, surprise indices, Brier scores, and ROI insights.

3 days free · No credit card required

Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

25/05
26/05
27/05
28/05
29/05
30/05

Home

1:0

31/05

01/06
02/06
03/06
04/06

Home

5:1

05/06

06/06
07/06
08/06
09/06
10/06

Home

?

11/06

12/06
13/06
14/06
15/06
16/06
17/06
18/06

Home

?

19/06

20/06
21/06

Total Goals

average per game

All Competitions

Excellent
Attack
Poor
Excellent
Defense
Good

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

+1.83
2.17
0.33

Scored

Conceded

1
1.33

Difference

-0.33

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

+1.83
2.17
0.33

Scored

Conceded

1
1

Difference

0

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

+1
1.38
0.38

Scored

Conceded

1.5
1

Difference

+0.5

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

+0.75
1.45
0.7

Scored

Conceded

1.5
1

Difference

+0.5

Season

Full season averages

Difference

+1.62
1.88
0.25

Scored

Conceded

0.67
1

Difference

-0.33

Total Goals Momentum

Normal

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Head to Head

Last 365 days

No Matches

No matches found

All Matches

No Matches

No matches found

Total Goals

average per game

All Competitions

Excellent
Attack
Poor
Excellent
Defense
Good

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

+1.83
2.17
0.33

Scored

Conceded

1
1.33

Difference

-0.33

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

+1.83
2.17
0.33

Scored

Conceded

1
1

Difference

0

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

+1
1.38
0.38

Scored

Conceded

1.5
1

Difference

+0.5

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

+0.75
1.45
0.7

Scored

Conceded

1.5
1

Difference

+0.5

Season

Full season averages

Difference

+1.62
1.88
0.25

Scored

Conceded

0.67
1

Difference

-0.33

Total Goals Momentum

Normal

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Head to Head

Last 365 days

No Matches

No matches found

All Matches

No Matches

No matches found

Form & Performance

All Competitions

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

100%

33%

100%

55%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

83%

33%

83%

66%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

75%

60%

60%

60%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

72%

65%

68%

68%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

88%

33%

83%

-

Home only

Away only

Home vs Away Strength

Upgrade to Premium to unlock detailed home vs away advantages, surprise indices, Brier scores, and ROI insights.

3 days free · No credit card required

Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

25/05
26/05
27/05
28/05
29/05
30/05

Home

1:0

31/05

01/06
02/06
03/06
04/06

Home

5:1

05/06

06/06
07/06
08/06
09/06
10/06

Home

?

11/06

12/06
13/06
14/06
15/06
16/06
17/06
18/06

Home

?

19/06

20/06
21/06

Unlock In-Depth Sports Data Insights!

Filter by Competition, Period, Teams, and Half-Times for Tailored Analysis

Competition

Period

Side

FT/HT

PERFORMANCE TRENDS

Change of Long Term Quality

Shows the change of long term quality in past.

Mexico

South Africa

Goals History

Mexico

South Africa

Overall Form

75%
Overall Form
57%
6
Wins
5
3
Draws
2
1
Losses
3

Rankings

Current Season

1
Group A
2
0
Played
0
0
Points per Match
0

Quality

69%
Team Quality
59%
57%
Avg Opponent Quality
51%

Goals Performance

66%
Goals Performance
55%
1.6
Scored Goals
1.5
0.4
Conceded Goals
1
1.2
Goals Difference
(Scored - Conceded)
0.5
2
Total Goals
(Scored + Conceded)
2.5

Average Goals per Match

vs

MATCH HISTORY

Last Matches (1X2)

Fulltime

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
World

World | World Cup

11/06

19:00

Mexico
South Africa

H

1.41

D

4.31

A

8.14

?
World

World | Friendlies

FT

05/06

02:00

Mexico
Serbia
5
1

H

1.26

D

5.51

A

10.86

W
World

World | Friendlies

FT

31/05

02:00

Mexico
Australia
1
0

H

1.63

D

3.77

A

5.19

W
World

World | Friendlies

FT

23/05

02:00

Mexico
Ghana
2
0

H

1.29

D

5.13

A

10.01

W
World

World | Friendlies

FT

01/04

01:00

Mexico
Belgium
1
1

H

3.47

D

3.45

A

2.01

D
World

World | Friendlies

FT

29/03

01:00

Mexico
Portugal
0
0

H

4.23

D

3.68

A

1.78

D
World

World | Friendlies

FT

26/02

02:00

Mexico
Iceland
4
0

H

1.23

D

5.73

A

11.20

W
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Mexico

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
World

World | World Cup

11/06

19:00

Mexico
South Africa

H

1.41

D

4.31

A

8.14

?
World

World | Friendlies

FT

05/06

02:00

Mexico
Serbia
5
1

H

1.26

D

5.51

A

10.86

W
World

World | Friendlies

FT

31/05

02:00

Mexico
Australia
1
0

H

1.63

D

3.77

A

5.19

W
World

World | Friendlies

FT

23/05

02:00

Mexico
Ghana
2
0

H

1.29

D

5.13

A

10.01

W
World

World | Friendlies

FT

01/04

01:00

Mexico
Belgium
1
1

H

3.47

D

3.45

A

2.01

D
World

World | Friendlies

FT

29/03

01:00

Mexico
Portugal
0
0

H

4.23

D

3.68

A

1.78

D
World

World | Friendlies

FT

26/02

02:00

Mexico
Iceland
4
0

H

1.23

D

5.73

A

11.20

W
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

South Africa

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
World

World | World Cup

11/06

19:00

Mexico
South Africa

H

1.41

D

4.31

A

8.14

?
World

World | Friendlies

FT

29/05

16:00

South Africa
Nicaragua
0
0

H

1.16

D

6.91

A

15.60

D
World

World | Friendlies

FT

31/03

17:30

South Africa
Panama
1
2

H

2.07

D

3.20

A

3.50

L
World

World | Friendlies

FT

27/03

17:00

South Africa
Panama
1
1

H

2.12

D

3.12

A

3.44

D
World

World | Africa Cup of Nations

FT

04/01

19:00

South Africa
Cameroon
1
2

H

3.15

D

2.82

A

2.56

L
World

World | Africa Cup of Nations

FT

29/12

16:00

Zimbabwe
South Africa
2
3

H

5.61

D

3.46

A

1.68

W
World

World | Africa Cup of Nations

FT

26/12

15:00

Egypt
South Africa
1
0

H

1.99

D

3.05

A

4.27

L
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Statistics

Average Statistics per Game

-
Expected Goals
Missing Data (10 | 10)
-
11.9
Total Shots
14.11
4.5
Shots on Goal
5.11
7.2
Shots Inside Box
7.44
4.7
Shots Outside Box
6.67
58%
Possession
65%
88%
Passes %
88%

Some data is missing for recent matches.

(Home: 0 | Away: 1)

We're working to fill in the gaps!

TACTICAL OVERVIEW

Lineups

Previous Match Lineup

Avg Changes: 6.67 per game

High Team Rotation!
Frequent lineup changes help manage fatigue but may disrupt team chemistry

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

9

Raúl Jiménez

6.9
L

Midfielders

6

Erik Lira

6.3
M

26

Brian Gutiérrez

7.5
M

25

Roberto Alvarado

7.5
M

8

Álvaro Fidalgo

6.9
M

16

Julián Quiñones

6.5
M

Defenders

2

Jorge Sánchez

6.3
H

3

César Montes

6.5
H

5

Johan Vásquez

7.3
L

23

Jesús Gallardo

6.5
M

Goalkeepers

1

Raúl Rangel

6.3
M

Mexico

Previous Match Lineup

Avg Changes: 6.67 per game

High Team Rotation!
Frequent lineup changes help manage fatigue but may disrupt team chemistry

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

9

Raúl Jiménez

6.9
L

Midfielders

6

Erik Lira

6.3
M

26

Brian Gutiérrez

7.5
M

25

Roberto Alvarado

7.5
M

8

Álvaro Fidalgo

6.9
M

16

Julián Quiñones

6.5
M

Defenders

2

Jorge Sánchez

6.3
H

3

César Montes

6.5
H

5

Johan Vásquez

7.3
L

23

Jesús Gallardo

6.5
M

Goalkeepers

1

Raúl Rangel

6.3
M

South Africa

Previous Match Lineup

Avg Changes: 5.11 per game

High Team Rotation!
Frequent lineup changes help manage fatigue but may disrupt team chemistry

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

9

L. Foster

6.3
L

Midfielders

13

S. Sithole

7.9
M

5

T. Mbatha

7.3
H

25

K. Sebelebele

7.2
M

11

T. Zwane

6.9
M

8

T. Moremi

6.7
M

Defenders

2

T. Matuludi

6.9
H

21

I. Okon

7.2
L

24

O. Makhanya

7.9
L

18

S. Kabini

6.7
H

Goalkeepers

22

R. Goss

6.7
H

Player Rotation Legend

L

Low

M

Medium

H

High

-

Unknown

  • Low: Regular starter with stable minutes
  • Medium: Plays regularly but role/minutes vary
  • High: Unpredictable role, often rotated or benched.

Odds Movement

All odds shown are the average odds from all bookmakers in our system.

Home

1.41

Draw

4.31

Away

8.14

1.41

Home

1.41

4.31

Draw

4.31

8.14

Away

8.14

Max

Home

1.41

Draw

4.31

Away

8.14

%

0%
0%
0%

Min

Home

1.41

Draw

4.31

Away

8.14

NOTE: Odds are updated every 3 hours.