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USA vs Paraguay | World Cup - Summary Preview

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USA

L
W
L
L
W
W

vs

13 Jun 2026

01:00 (UTC+0)

Paraguay

W
L
W
W
L
L

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Jun 8, 2026, 02:05 AM

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USA, hosts and group favorites, kick off their World Cup campaign against Paraguay in what promises to be a tense Group D opener. While the Americans boast a stronger attacking profile, Paraguay's defensive solidity and motivation in a crucial first match could make this a tighter contest than some anticipate.

Home Motivation

High

The USA's motivation is high as they are co-hosts and are playing their opening match in the World Cup group stage, aiming to start strong and advance to the knockout rounds.

Away Motivation

High

Paraguay's motivation is high as this is their opening game in the World Cup group stage, and they will be eager to secure points against a favored opponent in a competitive group.

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The Evidence

Betting Edge

Key Metrics

Home

Metric

Away

2.04

Goals scored per game

All comps (EWMA)

0.52

USA's attacking output (2.04 GPG) is nearly four times that of Paraguay (0.52 GPG) in recent form, highlighting USA's offensive strength in this matchup.

5.44

Shots on target per game

All comps (EWMA)

4.05

USA puts 5.44 shots on target per game compared to Paraguay's 4.05, indicating USA's greater ability to test the opposition goalkeeper.

4.01

Shots on target against

All comps (EWMA)

2.05

Paraguay allows significantly fewer shots on target against them (2.05) than USA (4.01) in recent form, pointing to their tighter defense.

58%

Possession %

All comps (EWMA)

42%

USA dominates possession at 58% compared to Paraguay's 42% in recent matches, suggesting USA will control the tempo and territory.

4.61

Corners won per game

All comps (EWMA)

6.52

Paraguay averages 6.52 corners won per game, notably more than USA's 4.61, indicating a potential for more attacking pressure via wide areas and set pieces from the visitors.

10%

Clean sheet %

All competitions (last 10 matc

40%

Paraguay boasts a 40% clean sheet rate in their last 10 overall matches, significantly higher than USA's 10%, showcasing their defensive capability.

Form & Streaks

USA has won 5, drawn 1, and lost 4 of their last 10 matches across all competitions at home.

Paraguay has won 3, drawn 3, and lost 4 of their last 10 matches across all competitions away.

USA has seen Over 2.5 goals in 60% of their last 10 matches across all competitions.

Paraguay has kept a clean sheet in 40% of their last 10 matches across all competitions.

Tactical Overview

This World Cup Group D clash sees USA, as a host nation and No. 1 seed, enter with the weight of expectation. Their recent form across all competitions shows five wins, one draw, and four losses in their last ten matches, netting 18 goals but conceding 17. At home, they mirror this form with 5W 1D 4L and the same goal tally, showcasing a tendency for high-scoring affairs. On a recent-form basis, USA trends at 2.04 goals scored per game and 1.11 goals conceded per game. They'll be without C. Richards due to injury, a loss that manager Mauricio Pochettino has openly lamented given his importance to the backline. Key players like Christian Pulisic and Tyler Adams will be vital for USA, with Malik Tillman expected to start. Paraguay arrives having won four, drawn two, and lost four of their last ten across all competitions, scoring 12 and conceding 10. Their away record is three wins, three draws, and four losses, with 12 goals scored and 14 conceded. While their recent-form goals conceded per game is an impressive 0.00, this could be skewed by smaller samples and specific low-scoring matches, as they still conceded 10 goals in their last 10 overall. Key to their efforts will be defensive stalwarts Gustavo Gómez and Junior Alonso, alongside the creative spark of Miguel Almirón in attack and Diego Gómez in midfield. The last head-to-head meeting saw USA edge Paraguay 1-0 nine years ago, offering little direct recent insight.

Match Context

Lineup Updates

Based on reports

Key Players

For USA, Christian Pulisic is a crucial attacking threat, known for his ability to drive forward and create scoring opportunities. Tyler Adams anchors the midfield, providing vital defensive cover and dictating the tempo of the game. On defense, Antonee Robinson offers both strong defensive play and impactful contributions in attack, demonstrated by his recent scoring form. Tim Ream provides veteran leadership and composure at the back, particularly in distributing the ball under pressure.

Absences

C. Richards

torn left ankle ligaments

OUT

Home

Key Players

For USA, Christian Pulisic is a crucial attacking threat, known for his ability to drive forward and create scoring opportunities. Tyler Adams anchors the midfield, providing vital defensive cover and dictating the tempo of the game. On defense, Antonee Robinson offers both strong defensive play and impactful contributions in attack, demonstrated by his recent scoring form. Tim Ream provides veteran leadership and composure at the back, particularly in distributing the ball under pressure.

Absences

C. Richards

torn left ankle ligaments

OUT

Away

Key Players

Paraguay will rely on the attacking prowess of Miguel Almirón, who can be a creative force in the final third. In defense, Gustavo Gómez is a cornerstone, providing leadership and a strong aerial presence. Junior Alonso is another key defender, offering solidity and experience to the backline. Diego Gómez is expected to be a dynamic presence in midfield, contributing to both defense and attack.

Absences

Absence information is not yet available. Check back closer to kickoff for confirmed lineups.

Lineup info is never 100% confirmed until matchday. Additional players may be unavailable.

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