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Netherlands vs Japan | World Cup - Market Analysis

Statistical analysis and probabilities across all markets.

World

World

World Cup

Netherlands

W
L
D
W
W
D

vs

14 Jun 2026

20:00 (UTC+0)

Japan

W
W
W
W
W
W

TOP PICKS

Top Mathematical Model Picks

Stats Only

Based on xG, Elo ratings & historical game data. For live news & injury updates, check

Game Intelligence — more accurate picks using live news, lineups & 50+ sources

Top Mathematical Model Picks

Stats Only

Based on xG, Elo ratings & historical game data. For live news & injury updates, check

Game Intelligence — more accurate picks using live news, lineups & 50+ sources

HEAD TO HEAD

Form & Performance

All Competitions

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

50%

100%

50%

67%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

69%

100%

75%

61%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

76%

82%

75%

76%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

73%

81%

72%

78%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

62%

89%

62%

89%

Home only

Away only

Home vs Away Strength

Upgrade to Premium to unlock detailed home vs away advantages, surprise indices, Brier scores, and ROI insights.

3 days free · No credit card required

Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

25/05
26/05
27/05
28/05
29/05
30/05
31/05
01/06
02/06

Home

0:1

03/06

04/06
05/06
06/06
07/06

Home

2:1

08/06

09/06
10/06
11/06
12/06
13/06

Home

?

14/06

15/06
16/06
17/06
18/06
19/06

Home

?

20/06

21/06

Total Goals

average per game

All Competitions

Excellent
Attack
Excellent
Good
Defense
Excellent

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

+0.83
1.67
0.83

Scored

Conceded

1.83
0.33

Difference

+1.5

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

+1.5
2.17
0.67

Scored

Conceded

2.17
0.67

Difference

+1.5

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

+1.38
2.25
0.88

Scored

Conceded

1.38
0.5

Difference

+0.88

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

+1.5
2.45
0.95

Scored

Conceded

2
0.5

Difference

+1.5

Season

Full season averages

Difference

+0.25
1.25
1

Scored

Conceded

3
0.17

Difference

+2.83

Total Goals Momentum

Normal

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Head to Head

Last 365 days

No Matches

No matches found

All Matches

No Matches

No matches found

Total Goals

average per game

All Competitions

Excellent
Attack
Excellent
Good
Defense
Excellent

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

+0.83
1.67
0.83

Scored

Conceded

1.83
0.33

Difference

+1.5

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

+1.5
2.17
0.67

Scored

Conceded

2.17
0.67

Difference

+1.5

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

+1.38
2.25
0.88

Scored

Conceded

1.38
0.5

Difference

+0.88

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

+1.5
2.45
0.95

Scored

Conceded

2
0.5

Difference

+1.5

Season

Full season averages

Difference

+0.25
1.25
1

Scored

Conceded

3
0.17

Difference

+2.83

Total Goals Momentum

Normal

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Head to Head

Last 365 days

No Matches

No matches found

All Matches

No Matches

No matches found

Form & Performance

All Competitions

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

50%

100%

50%

67%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

69%

100%

75%

61%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

76%

82%

75%

76%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

73%

81%

72%

78%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

62%

89%

62%

89%

Home only

Away only

Home vs Away Strength

Upgrade to Premium to unlock detailed home vs away advantages, surprise indices, Brier scores, and ROI insights.

3 days free · No credit card required

Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

25/05
26/05
27/05
28/05
29/05
30/05
31/05
01/06
02/06

Home

0:1

03/06

04/06
05/06
06/06
07/06

Home

2:1

08/06

09/06
10/06
11/06
12/06
13/06

Home

?

14/06

15/06
16/06
17/06
18/06
19/06

Home

?

20/06

21/06

Unlock In-Depth Sports Data Insights!

Filter by Competition, Period, Teams, and Half-Times for Tailored Analysis

Competition

Period

Side

FT/HT

PERFORMANCE TRENDS

Change of Long Term Quality

Shows the change of long term quality in past.

Netherlands

Japan

Goals History

Netherlands

Japan

Overall Form

76%
Overall Form
82%
6
Wins
7
3
Draws
2
1
Losses
1

Rankings

Current Season

1
Group F
2
0
Played
0
0
Points per Match
0

Quality

74%
Team Quality
77%
54%
Avg Opponent Quality
61%

Goals Performance

68%
Goals Performance
64%
2.2
Scored Goals
1.4
0.8
Conceded Goals
0.6
1.4
Goals Difference
(Scored - Conceded)
0.8
3
Total Goals
(Scored + Conceded)
2

Average Goals per Match

vs

MATCH HISTORY

Last Matches (1X2)

Fulltime

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
World

World | World Cup

14/06

20:00

Netherlands
Japan

H

2.00

D

3.55

A

3.65

?
World

World | Friendlies

FT

08/06

18:45

Netherlands
Uzbekistan
2
1

H

1.21

D

6.38

A

12.41

W
World

World | Friendlies

FT

03/06

18:45

Netherlands
Algeria
0
1

H

1.26

D

5.65

A

10.62

L
World

World | Friendlies

FT

31/03

18:45

Netherlands
Ecuador
1
1

H

1.55

D

3.91

A

5.96

D
World

World | Friendlies

FT

27/03

19:45

Netherlands
Norway
2
1

H

1.70

D

4.01

A

4.33

W
World

World | World Cup - Qualification Europe

FT

17/11

19:45

Netherlands
Lithuania
4
0

H

1.06

D

12.97

A

35.45

W
World

World | World Cup - Qualification Europe

FT

14/11

19:45

Poland
Netherlands
1
1

H

4.74

D

3.85

A

1.71

D
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Netherlands

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
World

World | World Cup

14/06

20:00

Netherlands
Japan

H

2.00

D

3.55

A

3.65

?
World

World | Friendlies

FT

08/06

18:45

Netherlands
Uzbekistan
2
1

H

1.21

D

6.38

A

12.41

W
World

World | Friendlies

FT

03/06

18:45

Netherlands
Algeria
0
1

H

1.26

D

5.65

A

10.62

L
World

World | Friendlies

FT

31/03

18:45

Netherlands
Ecuador
1
1

H

1.55

D

3.91

A

5.96

D
World

World | Friendlies

FT

27/03

19:45

Netherlands
Norway
2
1

H

1.70

D

4.01

A

4.33

W
World

World | World Cup - Qualification Europe

FT

17/11

19:45

Netherlands
Lithuania
4
0

H

1.06

D

12.97

A

35.45

W
World

World | World Cup - Qualification Europe

FT

14/11

19:45

Poland
Netherlands
1
1

H

4.74

D

3.85

A

1.71

D
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Japan

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
World

World | World Cup

14/06

20:00

Netherlands
Japan

H

2.00

D

3.55

A

3.65

?
World

World | Friendlies

FT

31/05

10:25

Japan
Iceland
1
0

H

1.17

D

7.03

A

13.71

W
World

World | Friendlies

FT

31/03

18:45

England
Japan
0
1

H

1.54

D

4.17

A

5.43

W
World

World | Friendlies

FT

28/03

17:00

Scotland
Japan
0
1

H

3.00

D

3.14

A

2.35

W
World

World | Friendlies

FT

18/11

10:15

Japan
Bolivia
3
0

H

1.14

D

7.25

A

15.71

W
World

World | Friendlies

FT

14/11

10:20

Japan
Ghana
2
0

H

1.38

D

4.64

A

7.34

W
World

World | Friendlies

FT

14/10

10:30

Japan
Brazil
3
2

H

6.73

D

4.94

A

1.39

W
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Statistics

Average Statistics per Game

2.24
Expected Goals
Missing Data (8 | 10)
-
14.3
Total Shots
11
5.3
Shots on Goal
4.78
10.1
Shots Inside Box
8.22
4.2
Shots Outside Box
2.78
60%
Possession
46%
88%
Passes %
85%

Some data is missing for recent matches.

(Home: 0 | Away: 1)

We're working to fill in the gaps!

TACTICAL OVERVIEW

Lineups

Previous Match Lineup

Avg Changes: 4.56 per game

High Team Rotation!
Frequent lineup changes help manage fatigue but may disrupt team chemistry

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

24

C. Summerville

7.3
M

18

D. Malen

5.9
M

11

C. Gakpo

10
L

Midfielders

8

R. Gravenberch

7.3
H

21

F. de Jong

7.3
L

14

T. Reijnders

6
M

Defenders

22

D. Dumfries

7.2
M

6

J. P. van Hecke

7.9
H

4

V. van Dijk

7.3
L

15

M. van de Ven

6.9
M

Goalkeepers

1

B. Verbruggen

6.9
M

Netherlands

Previous Match Lineup

Avg Changes: 4.56 per game

High Team Rotation!
Frequent lineup changes help manage fatigue but may disrupt team chemistry

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

24

C. Summerville

7.3
M

18

D. Malen

5.9
M

11

C. Gakpo

10
L

Midfielders

8

R. Gravenberch

7.3
H

21

F. de Jong

7.3
L

14

T. Reijnders

6
M

Defenders

22

D. Dumfries

7.2
M

6

J. P. van Hecke

7.9
H

4

V. van Dijk

7.3
L

15

M. van de Ven

6.9
M

Goalkeepers

1

B. Verbruggen

6.9
M

Japan

Previous Match Lineup

Avg Changes: 6.75 per game

High Team Rotation!
Frequent lineup changes help manage fatigue but may disrupt team chemistry

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

8

T. Kubo

6.9
M

14

J. Ito

6.6
M

18

A. Ueda

6.3
M

Midfielders

10

R. Doan

6.6
M

6

W. Endo

6.5
H

7

A. Tanaka

7
M

13

K. Nakamura

7.3
M

Defenders

15

T. Tomiyasu

6.9
L

22

M. Yoshida

7
H

4

K. Itakura

7.5
H

Goalkeepers

1

Z. Suzuki

6.7
M

Note: Missing historical data for 1 matches

Player Rotation Legend

L

Low

M

Medium

H

High

-

Unknown

  • Low: Regular starter with stable minutes
  • Medium: Plays regularly but role/minutes vary
  • High: Unpredictable role, often rotated or benched.

Odds Movement

All odds shown are the average odds from all bookmakers in our system.

Home

2.00

Draw

3.55

Away

3.65

1.96

Home

2.00

3.54

Draw

3.59

3.65

Away

3.71

Max

Home

2.00

Draw

3.59

Away

3.71

%

2%
1%
2%

Min

Home

1.96

Draw

3.54

Away

3.65

NOTE: Odds are updated every 3 hours.