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Santos vs Vitoria - 1X2 Stats & Probability Analysis

Win Draw Win Probability Models & Match Outcome Analysis

Brazil

Brazil

Serie A

Santos

W
L
D
L
W
W

30 May 2026

23:00 (UTC+0)

(1
-
0)

3

-

1

FT

Vitoria

W
W
W
L
W
D

ODDS ANALYSIS

Odds & Probability

Fulltime

Home

1.76
-

Draw

3.53
-

Away

4.76
-

1st Half

Home

2.35
-

Draw

2.12
-

Away

4.94
-

2nd Half

Home

2.12
-

Draw

2.41
-

Away

4.46
-

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MATCH EVIDENCE

Form & Performance

Brazil

Serie A

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

33%

55%

33%

22%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

38%

52%

50%

22%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

50%

58%

60%

30%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

53%

57%

60%

30%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

45%

53%

56%

24%

Home only

Away only

Total Goals

average per game

Brazil

Serie A

Good
Attack
Good
Good
Defense
Good

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

-0.5
1.5
2

Scored

Conceded

1.5
1.33

Difference

+0.17

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

0
1.33
1.33

Scored

Conceded

1.83
0.17

Difference

+1.67

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

+0.25
1.38
1.12

Scored

Conceded

1.12
1.12

Difference

0

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

+0.2
1.6
1.4

Scored

Conceded

1.3
1.35

Difference

-0.05

Season

Full season averages

Difference

-0.29
1.35
1.65

Scored

Conceded

1.25
1.38

Difference

-0.12

League Average

Total Goals Momentum

Normal

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Home vs Away Strength

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Total Goals

average per game

Brazil

Serie A

Good
Attack
Good
Good
Defense
Good

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

-0.5
1.5
2

Scored

Conceded

1.5
1.33

Difference

+0.17

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

0
1.33
1.33

Scored

Conceded

1.83
0.17

Difference

+1.67

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

+0.25
1.38
1.12

Scored

Conceded

1.12
1.12

Difference

0

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

+0.2
1.6
1.4

Scored

Conceded

1.3
1.35

Difference

-0.05

Season

Full season averages

Difference

-0.29
1.35
1.65

Scored

Conceded

1.25
1.38

Difference

-0.12

League Average

Total Goals Momentum

Normal

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Form & Performance

Brazil

Serie A

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

33%

55%

33%

22%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

38%

52%

50%

22%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

50%

58%

60%

30%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

53%

57%

60%

30%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

45%

53%

56%

24%

Home only

Away only

Home vs Away Strength

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HEAD TO HEAD

Head to Head

Last 365 days

1 Match

(0%)

0

Wins

Draws: 0

1

(100%)

1

(100%)

Avg Goals per Match

0
1

Scored

Conceded

1
0

Santos

Vitoria

All Matches

14 Matches

(64%)

9

Wins

Draws: 2

3

(21%)

9

(64%)

2

(14%)

3

(21%)

Avg Goals per Match

1.86
1.21

Scored

Conceded

1.21
1.86

Santos

Vitoria

Brazil | Serie A

21 Oct 25

Santos

0
1

Vitoria

8mo ago

Brazil | Serie A

25 May 25

Vitoria

0
1

Santos

1y ago

Brazil | Serie A

06 Oct 18

Vitoria

0
1

Santos

8y ago

Fatigue Calendar

!

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

11/05
12/05

Away

0:2

13/05

14/05
15/05
16/05

Home

0:3

17/05

18/05
19/05

Home

2:2

20/05

21/05
22/05

Away

3:2

23/05

24/05
25/05
26/05

Home

3:0

27/05

28/05
29/05

Home

3:1

30/05

31/05
01/06
02/06
03/06
04/06
05/06
06/06
07/06

Head to Head

Last 365 days

1 Match

(0%)

0

Wins

Draws: 0

1

(100%)

1

(100%)

Avg Goals per Match

0
1

Scored

Conceded

1
0

Santos

Vitoria

All Matches

14 Matches

(64%)

9

Wins

Draws: 2

3

(21%)

9

(64%)

2

(14%)

3

(21%)

Avg Goals per Match

1.86
1.21

Scored

Conceded

1.21
1.86

Santos

Vitoria

Brazil | Serie A

21 Oct 25

Santos

0
1

Vitoria

8mo ago

Brazil | Serie A

25 May 25

Vitoria

0
1

Santos

1y ago

Brazil | Serie A

06 Oct 18

Vitoria

0
1

Santos

8y ago

Fatigue Calendar

!

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

11/05
12/05

Away

0:2

13/05

14/05
15/05
16/05

Home

0:3

17/05

18/05
19/05

Home

2:2

20/05

21/05
22/05

Away

3:2

23/05

24/05
25/05
26/05

Home

3:0

27/05

28/05
29/05

Home

3:1

30/05

31/05
01/06
02/06
03/06
04/06
05/06
06/06
07/06

Unlock In-Depth Sports Data Insights!

Filter by Competition, Period, Teams, and Half-Times for Tailored Analysis

Competition

Period

Side

FT/HT

MATCH EVIDENCE

Goals History

Santos

Vitoria

Last Matches (1X2)

Fulltime

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
Brazil

Brazil | Serie A

FT

30/05

23:00

Santos
Vitoria
3
1

H

1.76

D

3.53

A

4.76

W
World

World | CONMEBOL Sudamericana

FT

27/05

00:30

Santos
Deportivo Cuenca
3
0

H

1.34

D

4.90

A

9.09

W
Brazil

Brazil | Serie A

FT

23/05

22:00

Gremio
Santos
3
2

H

2.17

D

3.21

A

3.43

L
World

World | CONMEBOL Sudamericana

FT

20/05

22:00

Santos
San Lorenzo
2
2

H

1.86

D

3.30

A

4.33

D
Brazil

Brazil | Serie A

FT

17/05

14:00

Santos
Coritiba
0
3

H

1.64

D

3.69

A

5.54

L
Brazil

Brazil | Copa Do Brasil

FT

13/05

22:30

Coritiba
Santos
0
2

H

3.02

D

2.84

A

2.57

W
Brazil

Brazil | Serie A

FT

10/05

21:30

Santos
RB Bragantino
2
0

H

2.09

D

3.30

A

3.52

W
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Santos

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
Brazil

Brazil | Serie A

FT

30/05

23:00

Santos
Vitoria
3
1

H

1.76

D

3.53

A

4.76

W
World

World | CONMEBOL Sudamericana

FT

27/05

00:30

Santos
Deportivo Cuenca
3
0

H

1.34

D

4.90

A

9.09

W
Brazil

Brazil | Serie A

FT

23/05

22:00

Gremio
Santos
3
2

H

2.17

D

3.21

A

3.43

L
World

World | CONMEBOL Sudamericana

FT

20/05

22:00

Santos
San Lorenzo
2
2

H

1.86

D

3.30

A

4.33

D
Brazil

Brazil | Serie A

FT

17/05

14:00

Santos
Coritiba
0
3

H

1.64

D

3.69

A

5.54

L
Brazil

Brazil | Copa Do Brasil

FT

13/05

22:30

Coritiba
Santos
0
2

H

3.02

D

2.84

A

2.57

W
Brazil

Brazil | Serie A

FT

10/05

21:30

Santos
RB Bragantino
2
0

H

2.09

D

3.30

A

3.52

W
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Vitoria

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
Brazil

Brazil | Serie A

FT

30/05

23:00

Santos
Vitoria
3
1

H

1.76

D

3.53

A

4.76

L
Brazil

Brazil | Copa do Nordeste

FT

28/05

00:30

ABC
Vitoria
3
4

H

3.33

D

2.96

A

2.17

W
Brazil

Brazil | Serie A

FT

23/05

20:00

Vitoria
Internacional
2
0

H

2.89

D

3.12

A

2.52

W
Brazil

Brazil | Copa do Nordeste

FT

21/05

00:00

Vitoria
ABC
6
2

H

1.52

D

3.56

A

6.12

W
Brazil

Brazil | Serie A

FT

17/05

21:30

RB Bragantino
Vitoria
2
0

H

1.63

D

3.77

A

5.44

L
Brazil

Brazil | Copa Do Brasil

FT

15/05

00:30

Vitoria
Flamengo
2
0

H

3.72

D

3.40

A

1.96

W
Brazil

Brazil | Serie A

FT

09/05

21:00

Fluminense
Vitoria
2
2

H

1.44

D

4.28

A

7.57

D
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Lineups

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 3.11 per game

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

9

Gabriel Barbosa

6.5
M

Midfielders

15

Willian Arão

6.7
M

28

Christian Oliva

6.7
M

49

Gabriel Bontempo

6.5
L

30

Miguelito

8.7
H

22

Álvaro Barreal

7.5
M

Defenders

18

Igor Vinícius

6.3
M

4

Lucas Veríssimo

6.5
L

14

Luan Peres

6.3
H

31

Gonzalo Escobar

6.2
L

Goalkeepers

77

Gabriel Brazão

9
L
Injuries/Absence

Key Players

Gustavo Henrique

Red Card

M

Joao Schmidt

Hamstring Injury

M

Neymar

International duty

L

Others

Gabriel Menino

Hamstring Injury

H

Thaciano

Hamstring Injury

H

Vinicius Lira

Knee Injury

-

Santos

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 3.11 per game

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

9

Gabriel Barbosa

6.5
M

Midfielders

15

Willian Arão

6.7
M

28

Christian Oliva

6.7
M

49

Gabriel Bontempo

6.5
L

30

Miguelito

8.7
H

22

Álvaro Barreal

7.5
M

Defenders

18

Igor Vinícius

6.3
M

4

Lucas Veríssimo

6.5
L

14

Luan Peres

6.3
H

31

Gonzalo Escobar

6.2
L

Goalkeepers

77

Gabriel Brazão

9
L
Injuries/Absence

Key Players

Gustavo Henrique

Red Card

M

Joao Schmidt

Hamstring Injury

M

Neymar

International duty

L

Others

Gabriel Menino

Hamstring Injury

H

Thaciano

Hamstring Injury

H

Vinicius Lira

Knee Injury

-

Vitoria

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 2.62 per game

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

33

Erick

7.5
L

91

Renê Sousa

8.2
L

10

Matheuzinho

7
L

Midfielders

44

Gabriel Baralhas

6.5
L

95

Caique Gonçalves

6.5
M

88

Zé Vitor

7.2
L

Defenders

2

Claudinho

5.3
H

77

Neris

6.2
H

36

Luan Cândido

6
L

83

Jamerson

6.3
H

Goalkeepers

22

Gabriel

5.7
H
Injuries/Absence

Key Players

Caca

Yellow Cards

L

Nathan Mendes

Injury

L

Others

Anderson

Knee Injury

-

Camutanga

Broken Leg

-

A. Cantalapiedra

Personal Reasons

H

Dudu

Back Injury

-

Edu

Achilles Tendon Injury

-

Matheusinho

Injury

-

H. Pedro

Hand Injury

-

R. Ramos

Knee Injury

-

Riccieli

Calf Injury

-

Note: Missing historical data for 1 matches

Player Rotation Legend

L

Low

M

Medium

H

High

-

Unknown

  • Low: Regular starter with stable minutes
  • Medium: Plays regularly but role/minutes vary
  • High: Unpredictable role, often rotated or benched.

Overall Form

64%
Overall Form
73%
3
Wins
6
5
Draws
2
2
Losses
2

Rankings

Current Season

17
Serie A
11
17
Played
16
1.06
Points per Match
1.38

Quality

59%
Team Quality
68%
59%
Avg Opponent Quality
63%

Goals Performance

53%
Goals Performance
62%
1.6
Scored Goals
2.4
1.3
Conceded Goals
1.5
0.3
Goals Difference
(Scored - Conceded)
0.9
2.9
Total Goals
(Scored + Conceded)
3.9

Average Goals per Match

vs

Statistics

Average Statistics per Game

1.63
Expected Goals
Missing Data (1 | 5)
1.04
11.5
Total Shots
8
3.5
Shots on Goal
3.67
7.4
Shots Inside Box
4.83
4.1
Shots Outside Box
3.17
51%
Possession
43%
82%
Passes %
78%

Some data is missing for recent matches.

(Home: 0 | Away: 4)

We're working to fill in the gaps!

ODDS ANALYSIS

Odds Movement

All odds shown are the average odds from all bookmakers in our system.

Home

1.76

Draw

3.53

Away

4.76

1.74

Home

1.90

3.30

Draw

3.55

4.12

Away

4.85

Max

Home

1.90

Draw

3.55

Away

4.85

%

9%
8%
18%

Min

Home

1.74

Draw

3.30

Away

4.12

NOTE: Odds are updated every 3 hours.

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