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Vasco DA Gama vs Atletico-MG | Serie A - Market Analysis

Statistical analysis and probabilities across all markets.

Vasco DA Gama

W
L
L
L
D
W

31 May 2026

19:00 (UTC+0)

(0
-
1)

0

-

1

FT

Atletico-MG

W
L
W
W
L
D

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Top Mathematical Model Picks

Stats Only

Based on xG, Elo ratings & historical game data. For live news & injury updates, check

Game Intelligencemore accurate picks using live news, lineups & 50+ sources

Portal Pulse

16 portals analyzed

Consensus from 16+ prediction portals. Each chart shows how many portals agree on each outcome — higher % means stronger consensus.

Preview (full breakdown in Premium report)

HEAD TO HEAD

Form & Performance

Brazil

Serie A

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

33%

50%

67%

33%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

44%

42%

67%

33%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

50%

45%

55%

20%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

45%

42%

57%

22%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

48%

44%

61%

22%

Home only

Away only

Home vs Away Strength

Upgrade to Premium to unlock detailed home vs away advantages, surprise indices, Brier scores, and ROI insights.

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Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

11/05
12/05

Home

2:2

13/05

14/05
15/05

Away

4:1

16/05

17/05
18/05
19/05

Away

3:1

20/05

21/05
22/05
23/05

Home

0:3

24/05

25/05
26/05

Home

3:0

27/05

28/05
29/05
30/05

Home

0:1

31/05

01/06
02/06
03/06
04/06
05/06
06/06
07/06

Total Goals

average per game

Brazil

Serie A

Good
Attack
Good
Poor
Defense
Good

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

-0.83
1
1.83

Scored

Conceded

1.17
1.67

Difference

-0.5

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

0
1.5
1.5

Scored

Conceded

1.33
1.17

Difference

+0.17

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

-0.25
1.12
1.38

Scored

Conceded

1.12
1.5

Difference

-0.38

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

-0.45
1.35
1.8

Scored

Conceded

1.3
1.35

Difference

-0.05

Season

Full season averages

Difference

-0.35
1.29
1.65

Scored

Conceded

1.24
1.35

Difference

-0.12

League Average

Total Goals Momentum

Normal

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Head to Head

Last 365 days

2 Matches

(0%)

0

Wins

Draws: 1

1

(50%)

1

(50%)

1

(50%)

Avg Goals per Match

0.5
3

Scored

Conceded

3
0.5

Vasco DA Gama

Atletico-MG

All Matches

24 Matches

(38%)

9

Wins

Draws: 6

9

(38%)

9

(38%)

6

(25%)

9

(38%)

Avg Goals per Match

1.17
1.46

Scored

Conceded

1.46
1.17

Vasco DA Gama

Atletico-MG

Brazil | Serie A

07 Dec 25

Atletico-MG

5
0

Vasco DA Gama

6mo ago

Brazil | Serie A

10 Aug 25

Vasco DA Gama

1
1

Atletico-MG

10mo ago

Brazil | Serie A

04 Dec 24

Vasco DA Gama

2
0

Atletico-MG

2y ago

Total Goals

average per game

Brazil

Serie A

Good
Attack
Good
Poor
Defense
Good

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

-0.83
1
1.83

Scored

Conceded

1.17
1.67

Difference

-0.5

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

0
1.5
1.5

Scored

Conceded

1.33
1.17

Difference

+0.17

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

-0.25
1.12
1.38

Scored

Conceded

1.12
1.5

Difference

-0.38

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

-0.45
1.35
1.8

Scored

Conceded

1.3
1.35

Difference

-0.05

Season

Full season averages

Difference

-0.35
1.29
1.65

Scored

Conceded

1.24
1.35

Difference

-0.12

League Average

Total Goals Momentum

Normal

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Head to Head

Last 365 days

2 Matches

(0%)

0

Wins

Draws: 1

1

(50%)

1

(50%)

1

(50%)

Avg Goals per Match

0.5
3

Scored

Conceded

3
0.5

Vasco DA Gama

Atletico-MG

All Matches

24 Matches

(38%)

9

Wins

Draws: 6

9

(38%)

9

(38%)

6

(25%)

9

(38%)

Avg Goals per Match

1.17
1.46

Scored

Conceded

1.46
1.17

Vasco DA Gama

Atletico-MG

Brazil | Serie A

07 Dec 25

Atletico-MG

5
0

Vasco DA Gama

6mo ago

Brazil | Serie A

10 Aug 25

Vasco DA Gama

1
1

Atletico-MG

10mo ago

Brazil | Serie A

04 Dec 24

Vasco DA Gama

2
0

Atletico-MG

2y ago

Form & Performance

Brazil

Serie A

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

33%

50%

67%

33%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

44%

42%

67%

33%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

50%

45%

55%

20%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

45%

42%

57%

22%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

48%

44%

61%

22%

Home only

Away only

Home vs Away Strength

Upgrade to Premium to unlock detailed home vs away advantages, surprise indices, Brier scores, and ROI insights.

3 days free · No credit card required

Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

11/05
12/05

Home

2:2

13/05

14/05
15/05

Away

4:1

16/05

17/05
18/05
19/05

Away

3:1

20/05

21/05
22/05
23/05

Home

0:3

24/05

25/05
26/05

Home

3:0

27/05

28/05
29/05
30/05

Home

0:1

31/05

01/06
02/06
03/06
04/06
05/06
06/06
07/06

Unlock In-Depth Sports Data Insights!

Filter by Competition, Period, Teams, and Half-Times for Tailored Analysis

Competition

Period

Side

FT/HT

PERFORMANCE TRENDS

Change of Long Term Quality

Shows the change of long term quality in past.

Vasco DA Gama

Atletico-MG

Goals History

Vasco DA Gama

Atletico-MG

Overall Form

52%
Overall Form
52%
4
Wins
4
2
Draws
2
4
Losses
4

Rankings

Current Season

16
Serie A
13
17
Played
17
1.18
Points per Match
1.24

Quality

55%
Team Quality
53%
62%
Avg Opponent Quality
62%

Goals Performance

47%
Goals Performance
47%
1.5
Scored Goals
1.3
1.6
Conceded Goals
1.3
-0.1
Goals Difference
(Scored - Conceded)
0
3.1
Total Goals
(Scored + Conceded)
2.6

Average Goals per Match

vs

MATCH HISTORY

Last Matches (1X2)

Fulltime

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
Brazil

Brazil | Serie A

FT

31/05

19:00

Vasco DA Gama
Atletico-MG
0
1

H

1.98

D

3.40

A

3.79

L
World

World | CONMEBOL Sudamericana

FT

27/05

22:00

Vasco DA Gama
Barracas Central
3
0

H

1.36

D

4.78

A

7.98

W
Brazil

Brazil | Serie A

FT

24/05

23:30

Vasco DA Gama
RB Bragantino
0
3

H

2.02

D

3.30

A

3.74

L
World

World | CONMEBOL Sudamericana

FT

20/05

22:00

Olimpia
Vasco DA Gama
3
1

H

2.00

D

3.16

A

4.00

L
Brazil

Brazil | Serie A

FT

16/05

21:30

Internacional
Vasco DA Gama
4
1

H

1.97

D

3.29

A

3.94

L
Brazil

Brazil | Copa Do Brasil

FT

13/05

22:00

Vasco DA Gama
Paysandu
2
2

H

1.38

D

4.52

A

8.19

D
Brazil

Brazil | Serie A

FT

10/05

23:30

Vasco DA Gama
Atletico Paranaense
1
0

H

1.84

D

3.35

A

4.54

W
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Vasco DA Gama

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
Brazil

Brazil | Serie A

FT

31/05

19:00

Vasco DA Gama
Atletico-MG
0
1

H

1.98

D

3.40

A

3.79

L
World

World | CONMEBOL Sudamericana

FT

27/05

22:00

Vasco DA Gama
Barracas Central
3
0

H

1.36

D

4.78

A

7.98

W
Brazil

Brazil | Serie A

FT

24/05

23:30

Vasco DA Gama
RB Bragantino
0
3

H

2.02

D

3.30

A

3.74

L
World

World | CONMEBOL Sudamericana

FT

20/05

22:00

Olimpia
Vasco DA Gama
3
1

H

2.00

D

3.16

A

4.00

L
Brazil

Brazil | Serie A

FT

16/05

21:30

Internacional
Vasco DA Gama
4
1

H

1.97

D

3.29

A

3.94

L
Brazil

Brazil | Copa Do Brasil

FT

13/05

22:00

Vasco DA Gama
Paysandu
2
2

H

1.38

D

4.52

A

8.19

D
Brazil

Brazil | Serie A

FT

10/05

23:30

Vasco DA Gama
Atletico Paranaense
1
0

H

1.84

D

3.35

A

4.54

W
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Atletico-MG

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
Brazil

Brazil | Serie A

FT

31/05

19:00

Vasco DA Gama
Atletico-MG
0
1

H

1.98

D

3.40

A

3.79

W
World

World | CONMEBOL Sudamericana

FT

27/05

22:00

Atletico-MG
Puerto Cabello
1
0

H

1.29

D

5.12

A

11.11

W
Brazil

Brazil | Serie A

FT

24/05

21:30

Corinthians
Atletico-MG
1
0

H

1.85

D

3.26

A

4.62

L
World

World | CONMEBOL Sudamericana

FT

21/05

22:00

Atletico-MG
Cienciano
2
0

H

1.19

D

6.43

A

14.68

W
Brazil

Brazil | Serie A

FT

16/05

21:30

Atletico-MG
Mirassol
3
1

H

2.04

D

3.29

A

3.65

W
Brazil

Brazil | Copa Do Brasil

PN

14/05

00:30

Ceara
Atletico-MG
2
1

H

2.72

D

2.98

A

2.69

L
Brazil

Brazil | Serie A

FT

10/05

19:00

Atletico-MG
Botafogo
1
1

H

2.14

D

3.34

A

3.37

D
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Statistics

Average Statistics per Game

1.52
Expected Goals
Missing Data (1 | 1)
1.35
17.2
Total Shots
11.5
6.5
Shots on Goal
4.4
10.4
Shots Inside Box
7.1
6.8
Shots Outside Box
4.4
53%
Possession
49%
84%
Passes %
82%

TACTICAL OVERVIEW

Lineups

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 7.22 per game

High Team Rotation!
Frequent lineup changes help manage fatigue but may disrupt team chemistry

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

77

C. Spinelli

6.3
M

Midfielders

88

Cauan Barros

6.7
L

28

Adson

7.3
M

23

Thiago Mendes

7.3
L

10

J. Rojas

6.9
L

17

N. Moreira

6.7
H

Defenders

2

J. Rodriguez

6.6
M

46

C. Cuesta

6.9
M

30

Robert Renan

6.6
M

66

Cuiabano

8
M

Goalkeepers

1

Leo Jardim

7.2
L
Injuries/Absence

Key Players

A. Gomez

Yellow Cards

M

Others

Jair

Knee Injury

-

Mateus Carvalho

Knee Injury

-

Vasco DA Gama

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 7.22 per game

High Team Rotation!
Frequent lineup changes help manage fatigue but may disrupt team chemistry

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

77

C. Spinelli

6.3
M

Midfielders

88

Cauan Barros

6.7
L

28

Adson

7.3
M

23

Thiago Mendes

7.3
L

10

J. Rojas

6.9
L

17

N. Moreira

6.7
H

Defenders

2

J. Rodriguez

6.6
M

46

C. Cuesta

6.9
M

30

Robert Renan

6.6
M

66

Cuiabano

8
M

Goalkeepers

1

Leo Jardim

7.2
L
Injuries/Absence

Key Players

A. Gomez

Yellow Cards

M

Others

Jair

Knee Injury

-

Mateus Carvalho

Knee Injury

-

Atletico-MG

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 4.22 per game

High Team Rotation!
Frequent lineup changes help manage fatigue but may disrupt team chemistry

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

28

Cuello

6.7
L

11

Bernard

6.6
M

19

Reinier

6.9
H

Midfielders

2

Natanael

6.6
L

25

T. Perez

7.3
H

30

Victor Hugo

6.6
M

16

R. Lodi

6.6
L

Defenders

3

I. Roman

7
H

13

Lyanco

7.6
H

14

Vitor Hugo

8.2
H

Goalkeepers

22

Everson

9.2
L
Injuries/Absence

Key Players

J. Alonso

International duty

M

A. Franco

International duty

M

Maycon

Inactive

M

A. Minda

International duty

M

Ruan Tressoldi

Yellow Cards

L

Others

Gustavo Scarpa

Knee Injury

H

Patrick Silva

Knee Injury

-

A. Preciado

International duty

H

Player Rotation Legend

L

Low

M

Medium

H

High

-

Unknown

  • Low: Regular starter with stable minutes
  • Medium: Plays regularly but role/minutes vary
  • High: Unpredictable role, often rotated or benched.

Odds Movement

All odds shown are the average odds from all bookmakers in our system.

Home

1.98

Draw

3.40

Away

3.79

1.93

Home

2.08

3.25

Draw

3.43

3.53

Away

3.96

Max

Home

2.08

Draw

3.43

Away

3.96

%

8%
6%
12%

Min

Home

1.93

Draw

3.25

Away

3.53

NOTE: Odds are updated every 3 hours.