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Home Favored
Jun 7, 2026, 08:04 PM
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St Patrick's Athl. look to solidify their top-three position against a Drogheda United side struggling for consistency on the road. With home advantage and a superior league standing, St Pat's are heavily favored to take all three points.
Home Motivation
Medium
Away Motivation
Medium
Market Picks
Portal Pulse
The Evidence
Betting Edge
Key Metrics
Home
Metric
Away
0.04
xG difference
All comps (EWMA)
-0.40
St Patrick's Athl. have a positive xG difference (0.04) in recent form, indicating they create more than they concede, whereas Drogheda United have a negative difference (-0.40), showing a tendency to concede more than they create.
1.46
Goals scored per game
All comps (EWMA)
1.29
St Patrick's Athl. average 1.46 goals per game in recent form, slightly higher than Drogheda United's 1.29, but the real difference lies in efficiency.
0.85
Goals conceded per game
All comps (EWMA)
1.71
St Patrick's Athl.'s strong home defense allows them to concede only 0.85 goals per game in recent form, significantly less than Drogheda United's 1.71.
15.53
Total shots per game
All comps (EWMA)
9.87
St Patrick's Athl. generate considerably more attacking pressure, averaging 15.53 shots per game in recent form compared to Drogheda United's 9.87.
5.34
Corners won per game
All comps (EWMA)
3.96
St Patrick's Athl. win more corners (5.34 per game) in recent form, indicating more sustained attacking play and territorial advantage over Drogheda United (3.96).
52%
Possession %
All comps (EWMA)
41%
St Patrick's Athl. dominate possession with 52% in recent matches, allowing them to dictate play against Drogheda United who manage just 41%.
Form & Streaks
St Patrick's Athl. have won 6 of their last 10 Premier Division home matches.
Drogheda United have lost 5 of their last 10 Premier Division away matches.
Drogheda United are winless in their last 3 away Premier Division fixtures.
St Patrick's Athl. have conceded in 70% of their last 10 Premier Division home matches.
Tactical Overview
St Patrick's Athl. sit comfortably in third place, 11 points ahead of an eighth-placed Drogheda United, and look set to capitalize on their Richmond Park fortress. At home in the league, St Patrick's Athl. have a formidable record, securing 6 wins in their last 10 games with an average of 2.0 points per game. This contrasts sharply with Drogheda United's away form, where they have managed just 2 wins in their last 10 Premier Division venue matches, conceding 21 goals. The teams' recent EWMA stats highlight St Patrick's Athl.'s control; they possess the ball more (52% vs 41%), boast higher pass accuracy (78% vs 59%), and have a superior xG difference (0.04 vs -0.40) in recent matches. The last meeting saw St Patrick's Athl. take a 3-1 victory, further underlining their recent dominance.
Match Context
Lineup Updates
Based on reports
Key Players
St Patrick's Athl. will likely rely on Joe Redmond to anchor their defense, providing stability and leadership. In midfield, Kian Leavy is a regular starter who can contribute to both attack and defense. Upfront, Ryan Edmondson is expected to lead the line and provide a goal threat.
Absences
Absence information is not yet available. Check back closer to kickoff for confirmed lineups.
Home
Key Players
St Patrick's Athl. will likely rely on Joe Redmond to anchor their defense, providing stability and leadership. In midfield, Kian Leavy is a regular starter who can contribute to both attack and defense. Upfront, Ryan Edmondson is expected to lead the line and provide a goal threat.
Absences
Absence information is not yet available. Check back closer to kickoff for confirmed lineups.
Away
Key Players
Drogheda United's defense will be marshaled by regular starters Edwin Agbaje and Conor Keeley. In attack, Thomas Oluwa and Mark Doyle are expected to be key figures, tasked with creating and converting goal-scoring opportunities.
Absences
Ryan Brennan
accumulated yellows
Leo Burney
accumulated yellows
Lineup info is never 100% confirmed until matchday. Additional players may be unavailable.
Insider Intel