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Balanced
May 25, 2026, 06:02 PM
16+ Portals
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This Dublin Derby pits the Premier Division leaders Shamrock Rovers against 3rd-place rivals Bohemians in a crucial top-of-the-table clash. With just three points separating them, the stakes are sky-high at Dalymount Park in what's being billed as a potentially emotional last-ever derby at the historic venue before redevelopment.
Home Motivation
High
Bohemians have high motivation as they are currently 3rd in the Premier Division, within the Conference League qualifiers zone, and are only 3 points behind the league leaders Shamrock Rovers with 18 games played.
Away Motivation
High
Shamrock Rovers have high motivation as they are currently 1st in the Premier Division, leading the Conference League qualifiers zone, and are aiming to maintain their top position against close rivals.
Market Picks
Portal Pulse
The Evidence
Betting Edge
Key Metrics
Home
Metric
Away
0.36
xG difference
All comps (EWMA)
0.96
Shamrock Rovers demonstrate a significantly healthier xG difference of 0.96 compared to Bohemians' 0.36, indicating they are creating higher quality chances and conceding less on a recent-form basis, suggesting a stronger overall performance profile.
1.22
Goals conceded per game
All comps (EWMA)
0.96
Shamrock Rovers are conceding 0.96 goals per game in recent form, showing better defensive solidity than Bohemians, who are letting in 1.22 goals per game on a recent-form basis. This suggests Shamrock Rovers are harder to break down.
5.40
Shots on target per game
All comps (EWMA)
4.62
Bohemians are putting more shots on target, averaging 5.40 compared to Shamrock Rovers' 4.62 in recent form. This indicates Bohemians might be more direct in their attacking play, getting more efforts on goal.
59%
Possession %
All comps (EWMA)
63%
Shamrock Rovers typically dominate possession, holding 63% on a recent-form basis compared to Bohemians' 59%. This could mean Shamrock Rovers control the tempo and territory, potentially dictating the flow of the match.
30%
Win rate %
Premier Division ONLY (last 10
60%
In their last 10 Premier Division matches, Shamrock Rovers have a strong 60% win rate, double that of Bohemians' 30%. This highlights Shamrock Rovers' superior recent league momentum and ability to secure victories.
5.81
Corners won per game
All comps (EWMA)
4.77
Bohemians earn more corners per game on a recent-form basis (5.81) than Shamrock Rovers (4.77). This suggests Bohemians are generating more wide attacking play and pressure in offensive areas, potentially leading to more set-piece opportunities.
Form & Streaks
Bohemians have been tough to beat at home in all competitions, recording 3 wins, 6 draws, and only 1 loss in their last 10 matches at Dalymount Park.
Shamrock Rovers have been in strong league form overall, winning 6 of their last 10 Premier Division matches.
Bohemians have seen BTTS in 90% of their last 10 Premier Division matches, indicating a tendency for both teams to score in their games.
Shamrock Rovers have struggled slightly on the road recently, with 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses in their last 10 away matches across all competitions.
Tactical Overview
Shamrock Rovers sit atop the Premier Division, aiming to maintain their narrow lead, while Bohemians are fighting for a Conference League spot and a chance to close the three-point gap on their rivals. Recent form slightly favors Shamrock Rovers, who boast 6 wins from their last 10 league matches (1.9 PPG) compared to Bohemians' 3 wins (1.3 PPG) over the same period. However, Bohemians holds a 3-2 H2H advantage in their last five encounters, although Shamrock Rovers won the most recent meeting 2-1 just last month. On an xG basis, Shamrock Rovers appear more potent, trending at 1.95 xG created per game and a strong 0.96 xG difference in recent form, contrasting with Bohemians' 1.76 xG created and 0.36 xG difference. Bohemians face defensive challenges without Todd and Mullen, while M. Strods is a doubt. Crucially for Shamrock Rovers, they'll hand a league debut to young goalkeeper Alex Noonan due to E. McGinty's international duty, and are without midfielder A. Brennan and M. Asamoah. This could test their defensive solidity despite Matthew Healy being expected to play after an ankle scare.
Match Context
Lineup Updates
Based on reports
Key Players
Dawson Devoy is a key midfielder who recently contributed to a strong offensive performance for Bohemians, scoring in their last league game. Patrick Hickey, a defender, also found the net in their recent victory, highlighting his attacking contributions. Dayle Rooney is an important attacking player who has recently returned from injury and made a significant impact on the team's goal-scoring form. Darragh Power is expected to be a key presence in the defense.
Absences
Sam Todd
hamstring injury
Senan Mullen
hamstring injury
M. Strods
leg injury
Home
Key Players
Dawson Devoy is a key midfielder who recently contributed to a strong offensive performance for Bohemians, scoring in their last league game. Patrick Hickey, a defender, also found the net in their recent victory, highlighting his attacking contributions. Dayle Rooney is an important attacking player who has recently returned from injury and made a significant impact on the team's goal-scoring form. Darragh Power is expected to be a key presence in the defense.
Absences
Sam Todd
hamstring injury
Senan Mullen
hamstring injury
M. Strods
leg injury
Away
Key Players
Despite an ankle injury in the last game, Matthew Healy is expected to be available for Shamrock Rovers and will be an important presence in midfield. Naj Razi is also back in contention after a recent knock. Goalkeeper Alex Noonan is set to make his league debut, while Jack Byrne is an influential midfielder expected to play a crucial role.
Absences
M. Asamoah
undisclosed injury
E. McGinty
international duty
A. Brennan
international duty
Lineup info is never 100% confirmed until matchday. Additional players may be unavailable.
Weather & Field
Good Conditions
22C
Temperature
21.8°C
Rain Chance
0%
Wind
5 km/h
Humidity
62%
The weather conditions at Dalymount Park are benign, with sunny skies, a comfortable 21.8°C temperature, and light winds of 5 km/h. These conditions pose no significant impact on player performance or the style of play, and therefore no discernible betting market implications for goals, corners, or cards.
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