
LDLWW
VS

WLLLW
📍 Finn Park, Ballybofey


Asian Handicap
Walk the full handicap ladder with cover probabilities and fair vs market odds on every line.
Finn Harps
18 Games
UCD
18 Games
Finn Harps
20 Games · At home
UCD
20 Games · Away
Avg margin
overall
-1.1
Finn Harps
Avg margin
overall
+0.4
UCD
Avg xG-for minus xG-against per game — the deserve-rate version of margin.
How spread out a team's margins are. ≤1.5 reliable, ≤2.2 moderate, >2.2 swing risk.
Finn Harps is a -1.1 margin engine with moderate variance — covers but volatile.
UCD is a +0.4 margin engine with low variance — covers consistently.
Historical Probability
Compare implied odds against real historical win rates to spot where the market misprices outcomes.