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AIK Stockholm vs Sirius - 1X2 Stats & Probability Analysis

Win Draw Win Probability Models & Match Outcome Analysis

Sweden

Sweden

Allsvenskan

AIK Stockholm

W
D
L
D
L
L

30 May 2026

13:00 (UTC+0)

(0
-
2)

0

-

3

FT

Sirius

W
W
W
W
D
W

ODDS ANALYSIS

Odds & Probability

Fulltime

Home

2.98
-

Draw

3.60
-

Away

2.14
-

1st Half

Home

3.46
-

Draw

2.30
-

Away

2.63
-

2nd Half

Home

3.23
-

Draw

2.59
-

Away

2.43
-

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MATCH EVIDENCE

Form & Performance

Sweden

Allsvenskan

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

55%

100%

33%

88%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

38%

94%

42%

88%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

50%

97%

50%

73%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

50%

82%

65%

51%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

55%

96%

50%

91%

Home only

Away only

Total Goals

average per game

Sweden

Allsvenskan

Good
Attack
Excellent
Good
Defense
Good

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

-0.5
1.17
1.67

Scored

Conceded

2.5
1.5

Difference

+1

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

-0.5
1.17
1.67

Scored

Conceded

2.67
0.83

Difference

+1.83

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

-0.38
1.25
1.62

Scored

Conceded

2.62
1.12

Difference

+1.5

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

-0.1
1.4
1.5

Scored

Conceded

2.65
1.5

Difference

+1.15

Season

Full season averages

Difference

-0.11
1.33
1.44

Scored

Conceded

2.67
1.11

Difference

+1.56

League Average

Total Goals Momentum

Epic

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Home vs Away Strength

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Total Goals

average per game

Sweden

Allsvenskan

Good
Attack
Excellent
Good
Defense
Good

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

-0.5
1.17
1.67

Scored

Conceded

2.5
1.5

Difference

+1

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

-0.5
1.17
1.67

Scored

Conceded

2.67
0.83

Difference

+1.83

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

-0.38
1.25
1.62

Scored

Conceded

2.62
1.12

Difference

+1.5

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

-0.1
1.4
1.5

Scored

Conceded

2.65
1.5

Difference

+1.15

Season

Full season averages

Difference

-0.11
1.33
1.44

Scored

Conceded

2.67
1.11

Difference

+1.56

League Average

Total Goals Momentum

Epic

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Form & Performance

Sweden

Allsvenskan

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

55%

100%

33%

88%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

38%

94%

42%

88%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

50%

97%

50%

73%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

50%

82%

65%

51%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

55%

96%

50%

91%

Home only

Away only

Home vs Away Strength

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HEAD TO HEAD

Head to Head

Last 365 days

1 Match

(100%)

1

Wins

Draws: 0

0

(0%)

1

(100%)

Avg Goals per Match

2
1

Scored

Conceded

1
2

AIK Stockholm

Sirius

All Matches

18 Matches

(67%)

12

Wins

Draws: 4

2

(11%)

12

(67%)

4

(22%)

2

(11%)

Avg Goals per Match

1.61
0.89

Scored

Conceded

0.89
1.61

AIK Stockholm

Sirius

Sweden | Allsvenskan

31 Aug 25

AIK Stockholm

2
1

Sirius

9mo ago

Sweden | Allsvenskan

01 Jun 25

Sirius

3
1

AIK Stockholm

1y ago

Sweden | Allsvenskan

25 Sep 24

Sirius

0
1

AIK stockholm

2y ago

Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

11/05
12/05
13/05
14/05
15/05
16/05

Away

1:1

17/05

18/05
19/05
20/05
21/05
22/05
23/05

Away

1:2

24/05

25/05
26/05
27/05
28/05
29/05

Home

0:3

30/05

31/05
01/06
02/06
03/06
04/06
05/06
06/06
07/06

Head to Head

Last 365 days

1 Match

(100%)

1

Wins

Draws: 0

0

(0%)

1

(100%)

Avg Goals per Match

2
1

Scored

Conceded

1
2

AIK Stockholm

Sirius

All Matches

18 Matches

(67%)

12

Wins

Draws: 4

2

(11%)

12

(67%)

4

(22%)

2

(11%)

Avg Goals per Match

1.61
0.89

Scored

Conceded

0.89
1.61

AIK Stockholm

Sirius

Sweden | Allsvenskan

31 Aug 25

AIK Stockholm

2
1

Sirius

9mo ago

Sweden | Allsvenskan

01 Jun 25

Sirius

3
1

AIK Stockholm

1y ago

Sweden | Allsvenskan

25 Sep 24

Sirius

0
1

AIK stockholm

2y ago

Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

11/05
12/05
13/05
14/05
15/05
16/05

Away

1:1

17/05

18/05
19/05
20/05
21/05
22/05
23/05

Away

1:2

24/05

25/05
26/05
27/05
28/05
29/05

Home

0:3

30/05

31/05
01/06
02/06
03/06
04/06
05/06
06/06
07/06

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Competition

Period

Side

FT/HT

MATCH EVIDENCE

Goals History

AIK Stockholm

Sirius

Last Matches (1X2)

Fulltime

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
Sweden

Sweden | Allsvenskan

FT

30/05

13:00

AIK Stockholm
Sirius
0
3

H

3.25

D

3.65

A

2.03

L
Sweden

Sweden | Allsvenskan

FT

24/05

12:00

Hammarby FF
AIK Stockholm
1
2

H

1.44

D

4.58

A

6.03

W
Sweden

Sweden | Allsvenskan

FT

17/05

14:30

Vasteras SK FK
AIK Stockholm
1
1

H

3.20

D

3.28

A

2.19

D
Sweden

Sweden | Allsvenskan

FT

10/05

12:00

AIK Stockholm
Djurgardens IF
2
4

H

2.68

D

3.29

A

2.53

L
Sweden

Sweden | Allsvenskan

FT

03/05

14:30

IF Elfsborg
AIK Stockholm
1
1

H

2.74

D

3.17

A

2.55

D
Sweden

Sweden | Allsvenskan

FT

27/04

17:00

AIK Stockholm
Malmo FF
0
1

H

2.29

D

3.26

A

3.02

L
Sweden

Sweden | Allsvenskan

FT

23/04

17:00

Degerfors IF
AIK Stockholm
2
1

H

2.84

D

3.13

A

2.49

L
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

AIK Stockholm

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
Sweden

Sweden | Allsvenskan

FT

30/05

13:00

AIK Stockholm
Sirius
0
3

H

3.25

D

3.65

A

2.03

L
Sweden

Sweden | Allsvenskan

FT

24/05

12:00

Hammarby FF
AIK Stockholm
1
2

H

1.44

D

4.58

A

6.03

W
Sweden

Sweden | Allsvenskan

FT

17/05

14:30

Vasteras SK FK
AIK Stockholm
1
1

H

3.20

D

3.28

A

2.19

D
Sweden

Sweden | Allsvenskan

FT

10/05

12:00

AIK Stockholm
Djurgardens IF
2
4

H

2.68

D

3.29

A

2.53

L
Sweden

Sweden | Allsvenskan

FT

03/05

14:30

IF Elfsborg
AIK Stockholm
1
1

H

2.74

D

3.17

A

2.55

D
Sweden

Sweden | Allsvenskan

FT

27/04

17:00

AIK Stockholm
Malmo FF
0
1

H

2.29

D

3.26

A

3.02

L
Sweden

Sweden | Allsvenskan

FT

23/04

17:00

Degerfors IF
AIK Stockholm
2
1

H

2.84

D

3.13

A

2.49

L
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Sirius

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
Sweden

Sweden | Allsvenskan

FT

30/05

13:00

AIK Stockholm
Sirius
0
3

H

3.25

D

3.65

A

2.03

W
Sweden

Sweden | Allsvenskan

FT

24/05

12:00

Sirius
Gais
2
1

H

1.69

D

3.85

A

4.43

W
Sweden

Sweden | Allsvenskan

FT

18/05

17:00

Djurgardens IF
Sirius
2
3

H

2.18

D

3.71

A

2.90

W
Sweden

Sweden | Allsvenskan

FT

11/05

17:00

Sirius
Orgryte IS
2
0

H

1.20

D

6.66

A

11.01

W
Sweden

Sweden | Allsvenskan

FT

02/05

13:00

Sirius
Kalmar FF
3
2

H

1.44

D

4.44

A

6.46

W
Sweden

Sweden | Allsvenskan

FT

27/04

17:00

BK Hacken
Sirius
2
2

H

2.93

D

3.53

A

2.21

D
Sweden

Sweden | Allsvenskan

FT

23/04

17:00

Malmo FF
Sirius
2
3

H

2.45

D

3.44

A

2.65

W
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Lineups

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 3.56 per game

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

8

J. Hove

7.3
L

9

E. Flataker

6.5
H

Midfielders

29

K. Filling

6.3
M

19

D. Besirovic

6.7
L

10

B. Celina

7.7
M

Defenders

17

M. Thychosen

6.2
M

4

S. Papagiannopoulos

6.2
H

33

A. Csongvai

6.6
L

21

S. Wilson

6.2
L

Goalkeepers

30

K. Joelsson

6
H
Injuries/Absence

Key Players

I. Cisse

Ankle Injury

L

K. Nordfeldt

Yellow Cards

L

C. Pavey

Inactive

M

Z. Yohanna

Muscle Injury

L

Others

M. Ellingsen

Leg Injury

-

A. Helm

Thigh Injury

-

F. Nissen

Leg Injury

-

A. Redkin

Knee Injury

-

AIK Stockholm

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 3.56 per game

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

8

J. Hove

7.3
L

9

E. Flataker

6.5
H

Midfielders

29

K. Filling

6.3
M

19

D. Besirovic

6.7
L

10

B. Celina

7.7
M

Defenders

17

M. Thychosen

6.2
M

4

S. Papagiannopoulos

6.2
H

33

A. Csongvai

6.6
L

21

S. Wilson

6.2
L

Goalkeepers

30

K. Joelsson

6
H
Injuries/Absence

Key Players

I. Cisse

Ankle Injury

L

K. Nordfeldt

Yellow Cards

L

C. Pavey

Inactive

M

Z. Yohanna

Muscle Injury

L

Others

M. Ellingsen

Leg Injury

-

A. Helm

Thigh Injury

-

F. Nissen

Leg Injury

-

A. Redkin

Knee Injury

-

Sirius

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 1.44 per game

Low Team Rotation!
Rare lineup changes boost chemistry but may cause fatigue

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

17

N. Jonsson

6.5
M

9

R. Ure

8.9
L

11

I. Bjerkebo

7.3
L

Midfielders

24

V. Svensson

7.2
M

10

M. Heier

7.3
L

6

M. Lindberg

7.2
L

Defenders

20

V. Ekstrom

6.9
H

5

H. Castegren

8
L

4

T. Anker

7.5
L

22

O. Krusnell

7.5
L

Goalkeepers

34

D. Celic

7.9
L
Injuries/Absence

Key Players

M. Soumah

Red Card

L

Others

N. Milleskog

Shoulder Injury

-

Player Rotation Legend

L

Low

M

Medium

H

High

-

Unknown

  • Low: Regular starter with stable minutes
  • Medium: Plays regularly but role/minutes vary
  • High: Unpredictable role, often rotated or benched.

Overall Form

60%
Overall Form
86%
4
Wins
8
3
Draws
1
3
Losses
1

Rankings

Current Season

9
Allsvenskan
1
9
Played
9
1.33
Points per Match
2.78

Quality

57%
Team Quality
81%
57%
Avg Opponent Quality
61%

Goals Performance

49%
Goals Performance
71%
1.5
Scored Goals
2.4
1.4
Conceded Goals
1.1
0.1
Goals Difference
(Scored - Conceded)
1.3
2.9
Total Goals
(Scored + Conceded)
3.5

Average Goals per Match

vs

Statistics

Average Statistics per Game

0.96
Expected Goals
Missing Data (6 | 6)
2.56
13.67
Total Shots
15.11
5.44
Shots on Goal
5.56
8.89
Shots Inside Box
10.56
4.78
Shots Outside Box
4.56
53%
Possession
48%
82%
Passes %
82%

Some data is missing for recent matches.

(Home: 1 | Away: 1)

We're working to fill in the gaps!

ODDS ANALYSIS

Odds Movement

All odds shown are the average odds from all bookmakers in our system.

Home

3.25

Draw

3.65

Away

2.03

2.62

Home

3.25

3.40

Draw

3.65

2.03

Away

2.46

Max

Home

3.25

Draw

3.65

Away

2.46

%

24%
7%
21%

Min

Home

2.62

Draw

3.40

Away

2.03

NOTE: Odds are updated every 3 hours.

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