Global Betting Intelligence
Cross-referencing our proprietary match analytics — form, H2H, key metrics, streaks, and tactical models — with 50+ external portals, live odds, team news, and top prediction engines to deliver a single-pane-of-glass briefing built for serious bettors.
Our Match Data
Multi-Model Analysis
50+ Data Sources
Hourly Updates
Global Betting Intelligence Report
Deep analysis scanning last-minute team news, stats, and market trends — the complete report so you can make the smartest decisions.
Deep Analysis
Market Picks
Value Angles
Insider Intel
Start a free trial to unlock Game Intelligence reports, premium filters, and market tools.
Game Intelligence
Away Favored
May 29, 2026, 02:02 PM
16+ Portals
50+ Data Sources
Rock-bottom Orgryte IS are desperately seeking points to escape the Allsvenskan relegation zone, but they face a stern test against IF Elfsborg, who are pushing for a European qualification spot. While the visitors are clear favorites on paper, Orgryte IS's home form has shown a glimmer of fight, making this a classic David vs. Goliath clash with high stakes.
Home Motivation
High
Orgryte IS is highly motivated as they are at the bottom of the league table (16th place) and are fighting to avoid relegation.
Away Motivation
High
IF Elfsborg has high motivation as they are currently 4th in the league and are aiming for a Champions League or Conference League qualification spot, being very close to the top positions.
Market Picks
Portal Pulse
The Evidence
Betting Edge
Key Metrics
Home
Metric
Away
2.07
xG conceded per game
All comps (EWMA)
1.47
Orgryte IS are giving up 2.07 xG per game in recent form, indicating a significant defensive vulnerability that IF Elfsborg's attack, even if not prolific, can exploit compared to their own 1.47 xG conceded.
1.98
Goals conceded per game
All comps (EWMA)
1.27
On a recent-form basis, Orgryte IS concede nearly 2 goals per game, well above IF Elfsborg's 1.27, highlighting the defensive chasm between the two sides.
1.09
Goals scored (last 10 league matches)
Allsvenskan ONLY (last 10 matc
1.30
IF Elfsborg has netted 14 goals in their last 10 Allsvenskan matches, significantly outscoring Orgryte IS's 8 goals in the same period, suggesting better offensive output for the visitors.
6.22
Shots on target against
All comps (EWMA)
4.58
Orgryte IS are facing 6.22 shots on target per game in recent form, which is a high volume compared to IF Elfsborg's 4.58, indicating the home side's porous defense is allowing opponents clear opportunities.
60%
Loss rate % (last 10 Allsvenskan matches
Allsvenskan ONLY (last 10 matc
10%
Orgryte IS losing 60% of their last 10 league games shows their severe struggles, starkly contrasted by IF Elfsborg's minimal 10% loss rate, reflecting vastly different form trajectories.
0.5
PPG (Allsvenskan season venue)
Season avg
1.25
IF Elfsborg's 1.25 PPG on the road this season in the league, despite their recent away struggles, is still considerably higher than Orgryte IS's paltry 0.5 PPG at home, indicating a baseline performance difference.
Form & Streaks
Orgryte IS have lost 6 of their last 10 matches across all competitions (2W,2D,6L in 10).
IF Elfsborg have only lost 1 of their last 10 matches across all competitions (4W,5D,1L in 10).
Orgryte IS have won just 1 of their last 5 Allsvenskan home matches (1W,2D,2L in 5).
IF Elfsborg have won just 1 of their last 10 Allsvenskan away matches (1W,2D,7L in 10).
Tactical Overview
Orgryte IS are in a nightmarish run, sitting last in the Allsvenskan table with just 5 points from 9 games. Their league form is dismal, showing just 1 win, 3 draws, and 6 losses in their last 10 Allsvenskan matches, conceding a staggering 23 goals over that period. On a recent-form basis, they are trending at 1.09 goals scored per game but giving up 1.98 goals per game, with an xG conceded per game of 2.07 - significantly higher than their xG created of 1.24. At home, they've been slightly more resilient in league play, with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last 5, including draws against Malmo FF and Degerfors IF, but their last home outing was a 2-3 loss to IFK Goteborg. They will be without key midfielder J. Tibbling due to suspension, and striker R. Alm (knee injury), leaving more onus on Tobias Sana to create. IF Elfsborg, on the other hand, are 4th in the league and aiming for Europe. They boast a much stronger recent league record of 4 wins, 5 draws, and just 1 loss in their last 10, scoring 14 goals and conceding only 9. However, their away league form specifically is a concern, with only 1 win, 2 draws, and 7 losses in their last 10 Allsvenskan away games, conceding 21 goals in that span. Their recent-form xG created is 1.21 per game, slightly below their goal output, while they concede 1.47 xG per game. Midfield stalwarts Simon Olsson and Julius Magnusson are crucial to their control. The last head-to-head saw IF Elfsborg secure a 3-1 victory, but historical context from just two recent meetings is limited.
Match Context
Lineup Updates
Based on reports
Key Players
Orgryte IS lean on Tobias Sana in attack, Christoffer Styffe and Mikael Dyrestam at the back, with Hampus Gustafsson in goal.
Absences
A. Abukar
Inactive
R. Alm
Knee Injury
J. Tibbling
Yellow Cards
Home
Key Players
Orgryte IS lean on Tobias Sana in attack, Christoffer Styffe and Mikael Dyrestam at the back, with Hampus Gustafsson in goal.
Absences
A. Abukar
Inactive
R. Alm
Knee Injury
J. Tibbling
Yellow Cards
Away
Key Players
IF Elfsborg lean on Simon Olsson and Julius Magnusson in midfield, Thomas Isherwood at the back, with Isak Pettersson in goal.
Absences
P. Frick
Broken ankle
L. Richtner
Elbow Injury
Lineup info is never 100% confirmed until matchday. Additional players may be unavailable.
Referee Profile
E. Mattsson
6 matches officiated · 2026/27
Pen Rate
0.33
NormalReferee E. Mattsson has officiated 6 Allsvenskan matches this season and is categorized as having an average strictness. His notable tendency is awarding penalties at a rate of 0.33 per game. While no card-per-game average is available, his penalty rate is a factor for this match, potentially influencing goal markets if either team is aggressive in the box.
Key Note
awards penalties at 0.33/game.
Weather & Field
Good Conditions
20C, cloudy, breezy 16km/h
Temperature
19.8°C
Rain Chance
10%
Wind
16 km/h
Humidity
47%
The weather conditions are mild, with a temperature of 20C and cloudy skies. A breezy 16 km/h wind with gusts up to 31 km/h is present, but this is unlikely to have a significant impact on top-tier Allsvenskan play. Therefore, conditions are not expected to materially affect goal-scoring, set pieces, or ball control, and no specific betting market implications are apparent.
Insider Intel