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Away Favored
May 28, 2026, 08:02 PM
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This Eliteserien clash pits relegation-threatened Aalesund against a climbing Ham-Kam side. With Aalesund desperate for points to escape the drop zone, this home fixture carries immense weight.
Home Motivation
High
Aalesund has high motivation as they are currently in the relegation zone (14th position) and need points to avoid dropping to the OBOS-ligaen.
Away Motivation
Medium
Ham-Kam has medium motivation. They are currently 6th in the Eliteserien, which is a mid-table position. While they are not in immediate danger of relegation or fighting for a European spot, they will be looking to improve their standing.
Market Picks
Portal Pulse
The Evidence
Betting Edge
Key Metrics
Home
Metric
Away
1.18
xG created per game
All comps (EWMA)
1.41
Ham-Kam consistently generates more dangerous attacking opportunities (1.41 xG per game in recent form) than Aalesund (1.18 xG per game), which is a key indicator of offensive output. Both are well below the league average of 2.93 xG.
-0.66
xG difference
All comps (EWMA)
-0.02
Ham-Kam's xG difference (-0.02) reflects a much more balanced game profile, creating nearly as much as they concede, whereas Aalesund's -0.66 shows a significant negative balance, indicating consistent underperformance.
1.39
Goals scored per game
All comps (EWMA)
1.70
Ham-Kam scores nearly a quarter more goals per game on a recent-form basis (1.70) than Aalesund (1.39), directly impacting the final scoreline. Both teams are below the league average of 2.94 goals.
4.33
Shots on target per game
All comps (EWMA)
5.11
Ham-Kam puts more shots on target (5.11 per game on a recent-form basis) than Aalesund (4.33 per game), suggesting more direct threats on goal. Both are below the league average of 9.27 SoT.
74%
Pass accuracy %
All comps (EWMA)
80%
Ham-Kam's superior pass accuracy (80% in recent matches weighted toward most recent) over Aalesund (74%) points to better ball retention and control in midfield, which is crucial for building attacks and alleviating defensive pressure.
4.16
Corners won per game
All comps (EWMA)
4.91
Ham-Kam averages more corners won per game (4.91 on a recent-form basis) compared to Aalesund (4.16), indicating more consistent attacking pressure and opportunities for set-piece danger. Both are well below the league average of 10.65 corners.
Form & Streaks
Aalesund have been defensively porous at home in the league, failing to keep a clean sheet in their last 10 Eliteserien home matches (0% clean sheet % in that scope).
Ham-Kam have shown strong winning form recently, with 5 wins out of their last 10 matches across all competitions.
Aalesund have seen Over 2.5 goals in 70% of their last 10 Eliteserien home matches, indicating high-scoring affairs.
Ham-Kam has struggled to win away in the league, with only 1 win in their last 10 Eliteserien away matches.
Tactical Overview
Aalesund, sitting 14th in the relegation zone, face a tough test at home. They've managed a 2W, 3D, 5L record in their last 10 Eliteserien home matches, conceding 21 goals in that span. Their recent-form xG created per game of 1.18 is significantly lower than Ham-Kam's 1.41. Crucially, Aalesund also concede far more, with an xG conceded of 1.84 compared to Ham-Kam's 1.42, leading to a stark xG difference of -0.66 for the home side. Ham-Kam, 6th in the table, come into this with stronger momentum, winning 5 of their last 10 league matches, including impressive victories like their 2-0 win over Lillestrom. Despite a mixed away league record of 1W, 3D, 6L in their last 10, their overall form and underlying numbers suggest they are the better outfit. Their last encounter was a 2-2 draw, but Ham-Kam has held the H2H advantage in the last five meetings with 2 wins.
Match Context
Lineup Updates
Based on reports
Key Players
Aalesund lean on Elias Kristoffersen Hagen and Mathias Christensen in midfield, Aleksander Kjelsen at the back, with Kristoffer Klaesson in goal.
Absences
P. Ngongo
Surgery
P. Aukland
Knock
O. Gudmundsson
Ankle Injury
D. Johannsson
Injury
M. Kristensen
Injury
K. Lonebu
Ankle Injury
J. Seehusen
Injury
Home
Key Players
Aalesund lean on Elias Kristoffersen Hagen and Mathias Christensen in midfield, Aleksander Kjelsen at the back, with Kristoffer Klaesson in goal.
Absences
P. Ngongo
Surgery
P. Aukland
Knock
O. Gudmundsson
Ankle Injury
D. Johannsson
Injury
M. Kristensen
Injury
K. Lonebu
Ankle Injury
J. Seehusen
Injury
Away
Key Players
Ham-Kam lean on Fredrik Sjolstad, Martin Gjone and Ethan Amundsen-Day at the back, with Marcus Sandberg in goal.
Absences
L. Mares
Groin Injury
A. Ekeroth
Leg Injury
Lineup info is never 100% confirmed until matchday. Additional players may be unavailable.
Weather & Field
Good Conditions
14C, cloudy
Temperature
13.5°C
Rain Chance
10%
Wind
6 km/h
Humidity
75%
The weather conditions for the match, with a temperature of 13.5°C, cloudy skies, and minimal wind at 6 km/h, are not expected to have any significant impact on the game's flow or the playing styles of either team. There should be no adverse effects on goal-scoring, corners, or card counts due to weather.
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