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Brann vs Sarpsborg 08 FF - 1X2 Stats & Probability Analysis

Win Draw Win Probability Models & Match Outcome Analysis

Norway

Norway

Eliteserien

Brann

L
L
W
D
W
W

29 May 2026

17:00 (UTC+0)

(1
-
2)

1

-

2

FT

Sarpsborg 08 FF

W
L
W
L
L
L

ODDS ANALYSIS

Odds & Probability

Fulltime

Home

1.68
-

Draw

4.17
-

Away

4.21
-

1st Half

Home

2.10
-

Draw

2.52
-

Away

4.32
-

2nd Half

Home

1.95
-

Draw

2.89
-

Away

3.96
-

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MATCH EVIDENCE

Form & Performance

Norway

Eliteserien

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

33%

67%

67%

0%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

61%

33%

58%

33%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

46%

40%

65%

40%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

46%

48%

70%

48%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

42%

40%

50%

20%

Home only

Away only

Total Goals

average per game

Norway

Eliteserien

Excellent
Attack
Poor
Good
Defense
Good

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

+0.83
2.17
1.33

Scored

Conceded

1
1.83

Difference

-0.83

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

+0.5
1.67
1.17

Scored

Conceded

1.17
0.83

Difference

+0.33

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

+0.25
2
1.75

Scored

Conceded

1.12
1.25

Difference

-0.12

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

+0.15
1.85
1.7

Scored

Conceded

1.4
1.75

Difference

-0.35

Season

Full season averages

Difference

+0.45
2.09
1.64

Scored

Conceded

1.1
1.5

Difference

-0.4

League Average

Total Goals Momentum

Normal

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Home vs Away Strength

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Total Goals

average per game

Norway

Eliteserien

Excellent
Attack
Poor
Good
Defense
Good

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

+0.83
2.17
1.33

Scored

Conceded

1
1.83

Difference

-0.83

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

+0.5
1.67
1.17

Scored

Conceded

1.17
0.83

Difference

+0.33

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

+0.25
2
1.75

Scored

Conceded

1.12
1.25

Difference

-0.12

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

+0.15
1.85
1.7

Scored

Conceded

1.4
1.75

Difference

-0.35

Season

Full season averages

Difference

+0.45
2.09
1.64

Scored

Conceded

1.1
1.5

Difference

-0.4

League Average

Total Goals Momentum

Normal

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Form & Performance

Norway

Eliteserien

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

33%

67%

67%

0%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

61%

33%

58%

33%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

46%

40%

65%

40%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

46%

48%

70%

48%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

42%

40%

50%

20%

Home only

Away only

Home vs Away Strength

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HEAD TO HEAD

Head to Head

Last 365 days

1 Match

(100%)

1

Wins

Draws: 0

0

(0%)

1

(100%)

Avg Goals per Match

4
1

Scored

Conceded

1
4

Brann

Sarpsborg 08 FF

All Matches

18 Matches

(44%)

8

Wins

Draws: 6

4

(22%)

8

(44%)

6

(33%)

4

(22%)

Avg Goals per Match

1.33
1

Scored

Conceded

1
1.33

Brann

Sarpsborg 08 FF

Norway | Eliteserien

02 Aug 25

Sarpsborg 08 FF

1
4

Brann

10mo ago

Norway | Eliteserien

16 May 25

Brann

2
2

Sarpsborg 08 FF

1y ago

Norway | Eliteserien

01 Sep 24

Brann

1
3

Sarpsborg 08 FF

2y ago

Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

11/05
12/05
13/05
14/05
15/05

Home

2:1

16/05

17/05
18/05
19/05

Away

2:1

20/05

21/05
22/05
23/05

Away

3:1

24/05

25/05
26/05
27/05
28/05

Home

1:2

29/05

30/05
31/05
01/06
02/06
03/06
04/06
05/06
06/06
07/06

Head to Head

Last 365 days

1 Match

(100%)

1

Wins

Draws: 0

0

(0%)

1

(100%)

Avg Goals per Match

4
1

Scored

Conceded

1
4

Brann

Sarpsborg 08 FF

All Matches

18 Matches

(44%)

8

Wins

Draws: 6

4

(22%)

8

(44%)

6

(33%)

4

(22%)

Avg Goals per Match

1.33
1

Scored

Conceded

1
1.33

Brann

Sarpsborg 08 FF

Norway | Eliteserien

02 Aug 25

Sarpsborg 08 FF

1
4

Brann

10mo ago

Norway | Eliteserien

16 May 25

Brann

2
2

Sarpsborg 08 FF

1y ago

Norway | Eliteserien

01 Sep 24

Brann

1
3

Sarpsborg 08 FF

2y ago

Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

11/05
12/05
13/05
14/05
15/05

Home

2:1

16/05

17/05
18/05
19/05

Away

2:1

20/05

21/05
22/05
23/05

Away

3:1

24/05

25/05
26/05
27/05
28/05

Home

1:2

29/05

30/05
31/05
01/06
02/06
03/06
04/06
05/06
06/06
07/06

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Competition

Period

Side

FT/HT

MATCH EVIDENCE

Goals History

Brann

Sarpsborg 08 FF

Last Matches (1X2)

Fulltime

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
Norway

Norway | Eliteserien

FT

29/05

17:00

Brann
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1
2

H

1.68

D

4.17

A

4.21

L
Norway

Norway | Eliteserien

FT

24/05

14:00

Bodo/Glimt
Brann
3
1

H

1.29

D

5.98

A

7.75

L
Norway

Norway | Eliteserien

FT

20/05

18:00

Aalesund
Brann
2
1

H

3.39

D

3.82

A

1.94

L
Norway

Norway | Eliteserien

FT

16/05

12:00

Brann
KFUM Oslo
2
1

H

1.52

D

4.38

A

5.38

W
Norway

Norway | NM Cupen

PN

09/05

16:00

Bodo/Glimt
Brann
2
2

H

1.66

D

4.01

A

4.36

D
Norway

Norway | Eliteserien

FT

02/05

16:00

Brann
Fredrikstad
3
1

H

1.45

D

4.56

A

6.24

W
Norway

Norway | Eliteserien

FT

29/04

17:00

Tromso
Brann
0
5

H

1.88

D

3.66

A

3.78

W
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Brann

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
Norway

Norway | Eliteserien

FT

29/05

17:00

Brann
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1
2

H

1.68

D

4.17

A

4.21

L
Norway

Norway | Eliteserien

FT

24/05

14:00

Bodo/Glimt
Brann
3
1

H

1.29

D

5.98

A

7.75

L
Norway

Norway | Eliteserien

FT

20/05

18:00

Aalesund
Brann
2
1

H

3.39

D

3.82

A

1.94

L
Norway

Norway | Eliteserien

FT

16/05

12:00

Brann
KFUM Oslo
2
1

H

1.52

D

4.38

A

5.38

W
Norway

Norway | NM Cupen

PN

09/05

16:00

Bodo/Glimt
Brann
2
2

H

1.66

D

4.01

A

4.36

D
Norway

Norway | Eliteserien

FT

02/05

16:00

Brann
Fredrikstad
3
1

H

1.45

D

4.56

A

6.24

W
Norway

Norway | Eliteserien

FT

29/04

17:00

Tromso
Brann
0
5

H

1.88

D

3.66

A

3.78

W
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Sarpsborg 08 FF

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
Norway

Norway | Eliteserien

FT

29/05

17:00

Brann
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1
2

H

1.68

D

4.17

A

4.21

W
Norway

Norway | Eliteserien

FT

25/05

15:00

Sarpsborg 08 FF
Molde
2
1

H

2.54

D

3.71

A

2.46

W
Norway

Norway | Eliteserien

FT

16/05

18:00

Valerenga
Sarpsborg 08 FF
3
2

H

1.76

D

3.88

A

4.06

L
Norway

Norway | Eliteserien

FT

09/05

12:00

Sarpsborg 08 FF
Fredrikstad
2
1

H

1.89

D

3.69

A

3.72

W
Norway

Norway | Eliteserien

FT

03/05

12:30

Lillestrom
Sarpsborg 08 FF
4
0

H

1.75

D

4.10

A

3.94

L
Norway

Norway | Eliteserien

FT

26/04

15:00

KFUM Oslo
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1
0

H

2.26

D

3.63

A

2.83

L
Norway

Norway | Eliteserien

FT

19/04

15:00

Sarpsborg 08 FF
Tromso
0
1

H

3.19

D

3.44

A

2.13

L
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Lineups

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 2.44 per game

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

14

U. Mathisen

6.7
M

16

K. Eriksen

6.7
M

7

J. Thorsteinsson

6.6
L

Midfielders

10

K. M. Ingason

7.2
M

25

N. Wassberg

7.5
H

8

F. Myhre

6.7
M

Defenders

43

R. Holten

7.9
H

3

F. Knudsen

6.9
M

20

V. Dragsnes

7.3
M

17

J. Soltvedt

6.9
M

Goalkeepers

12

S. Nilsen

6.3
M
Injuries/Absence

Key Players

D. De Roeve

Injury

L

M. Dyngeland

Muscle Injury

L

T. Pedersen

Elbow Injury

M

J. Sorensen

Ankle Injury

L

Others

N. Boakye

Knee Injury

-

N. Castro

Achilles Tendon Injury

-

E. Gudmundsson

Knee Injury

-

S. Magnusson

Knee Injury

-

S. Opsahl

Foot Injury

-

Brann

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 2.44 per game

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

14

U. Mathisen

6.7
M

16

K. Eriksen

6.7
M

7

J. Thorsteinsson

6.6
L

Midfielders

10

K. M. Ingason

7.2
M

25

N. Wassberg

7.5
H

8

F. Myhre

6.7
M

Defenders

43

R. Holten

7.9
H

3

F. Knudsen

6.9
M

20

V. Dragsnes

7.3
M

17

J. Soltvedt

6.9
M

Goalkeepers

12

S. Nilsen

6.3
M
Injuries/Absence

Key Players

D. De Roeve

Injury

L

M. Dyngeland

Muscle Injury

L

T. Pedersen

Elbow Injury

M

J. Sorensen

Ankle Injury

L

Others

N. Boakye

Knee Injury

-

N. Castro

Achilles Tendon Injury

-

E. Gudmundsson

Knee Injury

-

S. Magnusson

Knee Injury

-

S. Opsahl

Foot Injury

-

Sarpsborg 08 FF

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 1.67 per game

Low Team Rotation!
Rare lineup changes boost chemistry but may cause fatigue

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

11

D. Karlsbakk

6.3
L

17

N. Williams

6.5
M

Midfielders

10

S. Sorli

9.7
L

22

V. E. Halvorsen

7.5
M

8

S. Christiansen

7.3
M

33

A. Nibe

6.6
L

Defenders

12

C. Niyukuri

7.3
M

4

B. Utvik

6.9
L

2

M. Koch

6.7
H

21

A. Hiim

7
L

Goalkeepers

1

M. Ndiaye

6.7
L
Injuries/Absence

Key Players

M. Opoku

Ankle Injury

M

S. Rosted

Ankle Injury

L

A. Sher

International duty

L

Others

J. Berget

Injury

H

F. Carstensen

Injury

-

P. Reinhardsen

Injury

H

Player Rotation Legend

L

Low

M

Medium

H

High

-

Unknown

  • Low: Regular starter with stable minutes
  • Medium: Plays regularly but role/minutes vary
  • High: Unpredictable role, often rotated or benched.

Overall Form

53%
Overall Form
40%
4
Wins
3
2
Draws
2
4
Losses
5

Rankings

Current Season

8
Eliteserien
9
11
Played
10
1.18
Points per Match
1.1

Quality

53%
Team Quality
48%
59%
Avg Opponent Quality
57%

Goals Performance

49%
Goals Performance
40%
1.9
Scored Goals
1.1
1.5
Conceded Goals
1.5
0.4
Goals Difference
(Scored - Conceded)
-0.4
3.4
Total Goals
(Scored + Conceded)
2.6

Average Goals per Match

vs

Statistics

Average Statistics per Game

1.67
Expected Goals
Missing Data (2 | 0)
1.51
12.62
Total Shots
11.6
4.62
Shots on Goal
4.3
9.12
Shots Inside Box
8.1
3.5
Shots Outside Box
3.5
56%
Possession
46%
78%
Passes %
77%

Some data is missing for recent matches.

(Home: 2 | Away: 0)

We're working to fill in the gaps!

ODDS ANALYSIS

Odds Movement

All odds shown are the average odds from all bookmakers in our system.

Home

1.68

Draw

4.17

Away

4.21

1.56

Home

1.68

4.17

Draw

4.42

4.21

Away

4.84

Max

Home

1.68

Draw

4.42

Away

4.84

%

8%
6%
15%

Min

Home

1.56

Draw

4.17

Away

4.21

NOTE: Odds are updated every 3 hours.

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