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Away Favored
Jun 7, 2026, 12:03 AM
16+ Portals
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This Division 2 Norra Götaland clash pits an inconsistent Kumla at home against a stronger Ahlafors side aiming to climb the table. Recent form and league positioning suggest a clear edge for the visitors.
Home Motivation
Medium
Away Motivation
Medium
Market Picks
Portal Pulse
The Evidence
Betting Edge
Key Metrics
Home
Metric
Away
1.16
Goals scored per game
All comps (EWMA)
2.17
Ahlafors' significantly higher scoring rate on a recent-form basis (2.17 vs 1.16) highlights their offensive edge, a critical factor when assessing potential goalscorers in this match.
1.60
Goals conceded per game
All comps (EWMA)
1.46
While Ahlafors concede slightly more on a recent-form basis (1.46 vs 1.60), their overall higher scoring output means they have a superior goal difference, with Ahlafors outscoring Kumla by nearly a goal per game.
1.2
PPG (Points Per Game)
League (last 10)
1.7
Ahlafors' superior points per game in their last 10 league matches (1.7 vs 1.2) indicates greater consistency and a better ability to turn performances into results, a key differentiator.
30%
Win rate %
League (last 10)
50%
Ahlafors' higher win rate (50% vs 30% in their last 10 league matches) demonstrates their stronger capability to secure victories over opponents.
40%
Over 2.5 %
Division 2 - Norra Götaland AT
80%
Ahlafors' matches have seen a significantly higher rate of over 2.5 goals (80% vs 40% in their last 10 league home fixtures), suggesting more open games and a greater tendency for goals from their contests.
0.8
Goals scored per game (venue)
Season avg
2.0
Ahlafors' average of 2.0 goals per game at Kumla's venue this season is more than double Kumla's own home scoring average of 0.8, highlighting a potent away attack against a struggling home defence.
Form & Streaks
Kumla are winless in their last 3 home league matches (2D, 1L), scoring just 1 goal.
Ahlafors have won 4 of their last 5 away league matches (3W, 0D, 2L), demonstrating strong road form.
Ahlafors' last 5 league away matches have seen 70% of them feature both teams scoring.
Kumla have won only 1 of their last 5 league home matches (1W, 2D, 2L).
Tactical Overview
League position paints a clear picture: Ahlafors sit comfortably 4th with 17 points, while Kumla languish in 10th on 12 points. This disparity is reflected in their recent form, with Ahlafors winning 5 of their last 10 across all competitions compared to Kumla's 3 wins. The head-to-head record also favours Ahlafors, who have taken 3 wins from the last 5 encounters. Ahlafors' away scoring record is particularly concerning for Kumla; they've netted 17 goals in their last 10 away fixtures at a rate of 1.7 goals per game in that scope, contrasting sharply with Kumla's defensive struggles at home, conceding 13 in their last 10 league home matches. Ahlafors' recent away form shows resilience, picking up 4 wins in their last 5 away league games. Kumla's home form is bleak, with only one win in their last five league home fixtures.
Match Context
Lineup Updates
Based on reports
Key Players
Information regarding Kumla's key available players for this specific match is not available from fresh sources. No individual player updates were found.
Absences
Absence information is not yet available. Check back closer to kickoff for confirmed lineups.
Home
Key Players
Information regarding Kumla's key available players for this specific match is not available from fresh sources. No individual player updates were found.
Absences
Absence information is not yet available. Check back closer to kickoff for confirmed lineups.
Away
Key Players
Information regarding Ahlafors's key available players for this specific match is not available from fresh sources. No individual player updates were found.
Absences
Absence information is not yet available. Check back closer to kickoff for confirmed lineups.
Lineup info is never 100% confirmed until matchday. Additional players may be unavailable.
Insider Intel