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Away Favored
Jun 6, 2026, 12:04 PM
16+ Portals
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A basement battle in the Ykkönen as TPV hosts Inter Turku II. TPV has struggled for wins, particularly at home, while Inter Turku II have shown more promise away from home despite a challenging overall campaign.
Home Motivation
Medium
Away Motivation
Medium
Market Picks
Portal Pulse
The Evidence
Betting Edge
Key Metrics
Home
Metric
Away
1.55
Goals scored per game
All comps (EWMA)
1.99
While neither side is prolific, Inter Turku II edges it on recent form, averaging 1.99 goals per game compared to TPV's 1.55.
1.84
Goals conceded per game
All comps (EWMA)
2.38
TPV concede fewer goals on a recent-form basis (1.84 vs 2.38), which is a slight advantage despite Inter Turku II's higher league standing.
40%
Win rate %
All comps venue
20%
At home venue, TPV's win rate is double that of Inter Turku II's away win rate over their last 10 matches (40% vs 20%).
50%
BTTS %
Ykkönen AT VENUE
100%
Inter Turku II's away games are consistently featuring both teams scoring (100% in last 10 Ykkönen away), a stark contrast to TPV's home record of 50% BTTS.
60%
Over 2.5 %
Ykkönen AT VENUE
100%
Matches involving Inter Turku II away in the league have exceeded 2.5 goals every time in their last 10, indicating a strong tendency for open games.
1.00
PPG (3/1/0)
All comps venue
0.75
TPV's average points per game at home in their last 10 across all comps is more than double Inter Turku II's away PPG (1.5 vs 0.7).
Form & Streaks
TPV are winless in their last 5 league home matches (2D, 3L).
Inter Turku II have lost 7 of their last 10 away league matches.
TPV have scored 5 goals in their last 6 league home games, averaging less than a goal per game.
Inter Turku II have a 100% BTTS rate and 100% Over 2.5% in their last 10 Ykkönen away games.
Tactical Overview
TPV are in a precarious position near the foot of the Ykkönen table, struggling for consistent form, especially at home where they've managed just one win in their last six. Their recent home record shows a tendency to concede, having let in 10 goals across their last six league fixtures at Kauppi. Inter Turku II, while also inconsistent, have shown a slightly better capacity to score on the road, netting 11 goals in their last 10 away matches, though they've also shipped 23 in that span. The head-to-head record heavily favors Inter Turku II, who have won all three recent encounters, suggesting a psychological edge. Despite TPV’s venue-specific PPG of 1.5 in their last 10 league home matches compared to Inter Turku II’s away PPG of 0.7, the broader league form and H2H suggest the visitors hold the advantage.
Match Context
Lineup Updates
Based on reports
Key Players
No specific key player information is available from fresh sources for TPV for this match. Rosters change frequently, and without current team news, individual player impact cannot be verified.
Absences
Absence information is not yet available. Check back closer to kickoff for confirmed lineups.
Home
Key Players
No specific key player information is available from fresh sources for TPV for this match. Rosters change frequently, and without current team news, individual player impact cannot be verified.
Absences
Absence information is not yet available. Check back closer to kickoff for confirmed lineups.
Away
Key Players
No specific key player information is available from fresh sources for Inter Turku II for this match. Rosters change frequently, and without current team news, individual player impact cannot be verified.
Absences
Absence information is not yet available. Check back closer to kickoff for confirmed lineups.
Lineup info is never 100% confirmed until matchday. Additional players may be unavailable.
Insider Intel