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Game Intelligence
Away Favored
Jun 7, 2026, 02:04 PM
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A classic CPL clash sees Forge, sitting atop the table, travel to face York United, looking to close the gap. With Forge's stingy defense meeting York United's home-field advantage, this fixture promises tactical intrigue.
Home Motivation
Medium
Away Motivation
Medium
Market Picks
Portal Pulse
The Evidence
Betting Edge
Key Metrics
Home
Metric
Away
1.43
Goals conceded per game
All comps (EWMA)
0.67
Forge's defensive record is significantly tighter (0.67 goals conceded EWMA) compared to York United (1.43 goals conceded EWMA), indicating a clear advantage in limiting opposition attacks.
2.1
PPG
Canadian Premier League AT VEN
1.7
York United have a strong PPG of 2.1 in their last 10 CPL home matches, outperforming Forge's 1.7 PPG away in the same scope.
60%
Win rate %
Canadian Premier League AT VEN
60%
Both teams exhibit a strong 60% win rate in their last 10 CPL home (York) and away (Forge) matches, suggesting parity in recent league performance by venue.
2.33
Goals scored per game
SEASON RECORD AT VENUE
1.5
York United averages 2.33 goals per game at home this season, notably higher than Forge's 1.5 goals per game when playing away.
70%
Clean sheet %
Canadian Premier League ONLY (
30%
Forge boasts a superior 70% clean sheet rate in their last 10 CPL matches, significantly outperforming York United's 30% in the same scope.
1257
Elo rating
Season avg
1353
Forge hold a higher Elo rating (1353) than York United (1257), indicating a stronger underlying power rating based on historical performance.
Form & Streaks
Forge are on a dominant run of form across all competitions, securing 7 wins in their last 10 matches.
York United have won 6 of their last 10 CPL home matches, showcasing a strong home record in the league.
Forge have struggled away from home recently, losing 5 of their last 10 away fixtures across all competitions.
Tactical Overview
Forge arrives as the league leaders, boasting a commanding 19 points, well clear of York United in third on 12. Their all-competitions EWMA numbers show a stark defensive solidity, conceding just 0.67 goals per game compared to York United's 1.43. This is mirrored in their recent league form, where Forge has conceded only 6 goals in their last 10 CPL matches, while York United has shipped 16. The head-to-head record also favors Forge, who won the last encounter 3-0 and hold a 3-2 advantage in their last five meetings. However, York United's home record in the CPL this season has been formidable, averaging 2.1 goals scored per game and winning six of their last ten league matches at York Lions Stadium.
Match Context
Lineup Updates
Based on reports
Key Players
York United will likely rely on the attacking prowess of T. Skublak, who has been noted as a CPL Golden Boot contender, alongside J. Altobelli and Gabriel Bitar to provide offensive thrust for the team. D. Urtiaga will be a key figure in goal.
Absences
Absence information is not yet available. Check back closer to kickoff for confirmed lineups.
Home
Key Players
York United will likely rely on the attacking prowess of T. Skublak, who has been noted as a CPL Golden Boot contender, alongside J. Altobelli and Gabriel Bitar to provide offensive thrust for the team. D. Urtiaga will be a key figure in goal.
Absences
Absence information is not yet available. Check back closer to kickoff for confirmed lineups.
Away
Key Players
Forge's defensive unit will be crucial, with Antoine Batisse, Daniel Nimick, and Marko Jevremović expected to anchor the backline. In midfield, Kyle Bekker will be important for control and distribution, while Molham Babouli can provide attacking impetus. Dimitry Bertaud is expected to be in goal.
Absences
Absence information is not yet available. Check back closer to kickoff for confirmed lineups.
Lineup info is never 100% confirmed until matchday. Additional players may be unavailable.
Insider Intel