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Avai vs Criciuma | Serie B - Summary Preview

AI-powered game intelligence with head-to-head stats and data-driven predictions.

Avai

W
L
D
L
D
W

30 May 2026

19:00 (UTC+0)

(0
-
1)

1

-

2

FT

Criciuma

D
D
D
D
W
L

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Away Favored

May 30, 2026, 04:01 PM

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A desperate Avai side fights to snap an eight-match winless slide in Série B while facing a Criciuma team currently trapped in a cycle of four consecutive draws. With the hosts hovering just a point above the relegation zone, this clash at the Ressacada is a high-stakes battle for survival and mid-table stability.

Home Motivation

High

Avai's motivation is high as they are currently 16th, only 1 point ahead of 17th-placed Botafogo SP in the relegation zone, making every point critical for survival.

Away Motivation

Medium

Criciuma sits in mid-table (10th) with 14 points, which is more than 3 points away from both the top four and the relegation zone, placing them in a relatively secure position.

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The Evidence

Betting Edge

Key Metrics

Home

Metric

Away

1.45

xG conceded per game

All comps (EWMA)

1.05

Criciuma is far more disciplined defensively, conceding significantly less xG in recent form than Avai.

-0.49

xG difference

All comps (EWMA)

0.08

Criciuma maintains a positive net xG in recent form, while Avai is consistently being out-created by opponents.

4.26

GK saves per game

All comps (EWMA)

3.13

Avai goalkeeper Léo Aragão is forced into significantly more action, reflecting the high volume of chances Avai allows.

4.35

Corners won per game

All comps (EWMA)

5.90

Criciuma earns nearly 1.5 more corners per game on a recent-form basis, indicating more consistent final-third pressure.

1.0

Points Per Game

Last 10 matches

1.4

Criciuma has been more effective at securing points over the last ten league matches compared to Avai.

Form & Streaks

Avai has failed to record a victory in their last eight Série B matches.

Criciuma has drawn each of their last four league matches.

Criciuma has won three of the last five head-to-head meetings against Avai.

Tactical Overview

Avai enters this fixture in a tailspin, winless in their last eight Série B matches, including a recent 2-0 defeat to Goias at home. While they have maintained a decent PPG of 1.6 in their last ten home matches across all competitions, their offensive output is struggling, with a recent-form xG created average of just 0.96 per game. Criciuma sits higher in 9th place but has been unable to turn control into victories, drawing four straight league matches, most recently a 1-1 stalemate against Operario-PR. The visitors hold a tactical edge in efficiency, trending at 1.05 xG conceded per game in recent form compared to Avai's 1.45. Historically, Criciuma has been the superior side, claiming three victories in their last five encounters with Avai, which provides them with a psychological advantage heading into this hostile environment.

Match Context

Lineup Updates

Based on reports

Key Players

Avai will rely on midfielder Luiz Henrique for creativity and control in the center of the pitch. Defender Bruno Baldini is expected to be a strong presence in the backline, while Zé Ricardo provides further stability in midfield. The team's offensive efforts will likely involve Thayllon Roberth.

Absences

F. Avenatti

inactive

OUT

Daniel Penha

suspended (red card)

OUT

Jean Lucas

suspended (yellow cards)

OUT

Jefferson Maciel

undisclosed injury

OUT

Pedro Cuiabá

inactive

DOUBT

Zé Ricardo

muscle injury

DOUBT

Allyson

undisclosed injury

DOUBT

Home

Key Players

Avai will rely on midfielder Luiz Henrique for creativity and control in the center of the pitch. Defender Bruno Baldini is expected to be a strong presence in the backline, while Zé Ricardo provides further stability in midfield. The team's offensive efforts will likely involve Thayllon Roberth.

Absences

F. Avenatti

inactive

OUT

Daniel Penha

suspended (red card)

OUT

Jean Lucas

suspended (yellow cards)

OUT

Jefferson Maciel

undisclosed injury

OUT

Pedro Cuiabá

inactive

DOUBT

Zé Ricardo

muscle injury

DOUBT

Allyson

undisclosed injury

DOUBT

Away

Key Players

Criciuma's defense will be marshaled by Luciano Castán and Bruno Alves. In midfield, Fellipe Mateus is crucial for ball distribution and dictating tempo, while Marcinho is an influential presence. Goalkeeper Airton is expected to start, providing a reliable last line of defense.

Absences

Alisson

heel injury

OUT

Octávio Henrique

muscle injury

OUT

Yuri Tanque

Achilles tendon injury

OUT

Jhonata Robert

disciplinary/club decision

OUT

Lineup info is never 100% confirmed until matchday. Additional players may be unavailable.

Referee Profile

Rodrigo José Pereira de Lima

14 matches officiated · 2026/27

average

Cards/G

5.2

avg 5.8

Fouls/G

30.6

avg 28.8

Rodrigo José Pereira de Lima averages 5.21 cards across 14 matches in all competitions this season, which is approximately 10.5% below the league average of 5.82. However, his foul average of 30.6 per game is higher than the league baseline, suggesting he prefers to manage the game through frequent whistles rather than frequent bookings. This style may frustrate Avai's attempts to build momentum in what is expected to be a physical, high-tension match.

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