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Vila Nova vs Botafogo SP - 1X2 Stats & Probability Analysis

Win Draw Win Probability Models & Match Outcome Analysis

Brazil

Brazil

Serie B

Vila Nova

W
W
W
D
L
D

vs

08 Jun 2026

23:00 (UTC+0)

Botafogo SP

D
L
L
L
D
D

ODDS ANALYSIS

Odds & Probability

Fulltime

Home

1.99
-

Draw

3.04
-

Away

4.06
-

1st Half

Home

2.66
-

Draw

1.94
-

Away

4.70
-

2nd Half

Home

2.39
-

Draw

2.20
-

Away

4.26
-

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MATCH EVIDENCE

Form & Performance

Brazil

Serie B

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

100%

22%

83%

22%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

69%

30%

75%

38%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

78%

33%

70%

46%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

63%

48%

60%

36%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

75%

39%

80%

38%

Home only

Away only

Total Goals

average per game

Brazil

Serie B

Good
Attack
Poor
Good
Defense
Good

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

+0.5
1.5
1

Scored

Conceded

0.5
1

Difference

-0.5

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

+0.67
1.83
1.17

Scored

Conceded

1.33
1

Difference

+0.33

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

+0.88
1.5
0.62

Scored

Conceded

0.62
1.25

Difference

-0.62

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

+0.2
1.4
1.2

Scored

Conceded

0.9
0.95

Difference

-0.05

Season

Full season averages

Difference

+0.55
1.55
1

Scored

Conceded

1
1

Difference

0

League Average

Total Goals Momentum

Normal

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Home vs Away Strength

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Total Goals

average per game

Brazil

Serie B

Good
Attack
Poor
Good
Defense
Good

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

+0.5
1.5
1

Scored

Conceded

0.5
1

Difference

-0.5

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

+0.67
1.83
1.17

Scored

Conceded

1.33
1

Difference

+0.33

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

+0.88
1.5
0.62

Scored

Conceded

0.62
1.25

Difference

-0.62

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

+0.2
1.4
1.2

Scored

Conceded

0.9
0.95

Difference

-0.05

Season

Full season averages

Difference

+0.55
1.55
1

Scored

Conceded

1
1

Difference

0

League Average

Total Goals Momentum

Normal

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Form & Performance

Brazil

Serie B

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

100%

22%

83%

22%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

69%

30%

75%

38%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

78%

33%

70%

46%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

63%

48%

60%

36%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

75%

39%

80%

38%

Home only

Away only

Home vs Away Strength

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HEAD TO HEAD

Head to Head

Last 365 days

1 Match

(0%)

0

Wins

Draws: 0

1

(100%)

1

(100%)

Avg Goals per Match

0
2

Scored

Conceded

2
0

Vila Nova

Botafogo SP

All Matches

8 Matches

(50%)

4

Wins

Draws: 1

3

(38%)

4

(50%)

1

(13%)

3

(38%)

Avg Goals per Match

1.25
0.88

Scored

Conceded

0.88
1.25

Vila Nova

Botafogo SP

Brazil | Serie B

25 Aug 25

Botafogo SP

2
0

Vila Nova

10mo ago

Brazil | Serie B

20 Apr 25

Vila Nova

2
0

Botafogo SP

1y ago

Brazil | Serie B

28 Sep 24

Vila Nova

1
1

Botafogo SP

2y ago

Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

25/05
26/05
27/05
28/05
29/05
30/05

Away

0:1

31/05

01/06
02/06
03/06
04/06
05/06
06/06
07/06

Home

?

08/06

09/06
10/06
11/06
12/06
13/06

Away

?

14/06

15/06
16/06
17/06
18/06
19/06

Home

?

20/06

21/06

Head to Head

Last 365 days

1 Match

(0%)

0

Wins

Draws: 0

1

(100%)

1

(100%)

Avg Goals per Match

0
2

Scored

Conceded

2
0

Vila Nova

Botafogo SP

All Matches

8 Matches

(50%)

4

Wins

Draws: 1

3

(38%)

4

(50%)

1

(13%)

3

(38%)

Avg Goals per Match

1.25
0.88

Scored

Conceded

0.88
1.25

Vila Nova

Botafogo SP

Brazil | Serie B

25 Aug 25

Botafogo SP

2
0

Vila Nova

10mo ago

Brazil | Serie B

20 Apr 25

Vila Nova

2
0

Botafogo SP

1y ago

Brazil | Serie B

28 Sep 24

Vila Nova

1
1

Botafogo SP

2y ago

Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

25/05
26/05
27/05
28/05
29/05
30/05

Away

0:1

31/05

01/06
02/06
03/06
04/06
05/06
06/06
07/06

Home

?

08/06

09/06
10/06
11/06
12/06
13/06

Away

?

14/06

15/06
16/06
17/06
18/06
19/06

Home

?

20/06

21/06

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Competition

Period

Side

FT/HT

MATCH EVIDENCE

Goals History

Vila Nova

Botafogo SP

Last Matches (1X2)

Fulltime

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
Brazil

Brazil | Serie B

08/06

23:00

Vila Nova
Botafogo SP

H

1.99

D

3.04

A

4.06

?
Brazil

Brazil | Serie B

FT

31/05

14:00

Londrina
Vila Nova
0
1

H

2.63

D

3.01

A

2.75

W
Brazil

Brazil | Serie B

FT

24/05

21:30

America Mineiro
Vila Nova
1
2

H

2.26

D

3.09

A

3.21

W
Brazil

Brazil | Serie B

FT

17/05

21:00

Vila Nova
Avai
2
0

H

2.12

D

3.16

A

3.44

W
Brazil

Brazil | Copa Centro-Oeste

PN

13/05

22:00

Vila Nova
Anápolis
1
1

H

1.56

D

3.73

A

5.13

D
Brazil

Brazil | Serie B

FT

09/05

19:00

Goias
Vila Nova
1
0

H

2.15

D

3.00

A

3.60

L
Brazil

Brazil | Serie B

FT

04/05

22:00

Vila Nova
Athletic Club
1
1

H

1.91

D

3.17

A

4.27

D
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Vila Nova

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
Brazil

Brazil | Serie B

08/06

23:00

Vila Nova
Botafogo SP

H

1.99

D

3.04

A

4.06

?
Brazil

Brazil | Serie B

FT

31/05

14:00

Londrina
Vila Nova
0
1

H

2.63

D

3.01

A

2.75

W
Brazil

Brazil | Serie B

FT

24/05

21:30

America Mineiro
Vila Nova
1
2

H

2.26

D

3.09

A

3.21

W
Brazil

Brazil | Serie B

FT

17/05

21:00

Vila Nova
Avai
2
0

H

2.12

D

3.16

A

3.44

W
Brazil

Brazil | Copa Centro-Oeste

PN

13/05

22:00

Vila Nova
Anápolis
1
1

H

1.56

D

3.73

A

5.13

D
Brazil

Brazil | Serie B

FT

09/05

19:00

Goias
Vila Nova
1
0

H

2.15

D

3.00

A

3.60

L
Brazil

Brazil | Serie B

FT

04/05

22:00

Vila Nova
Athletic Club
1
1

H

1.91

D

3.17

A

4.27

D
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Botafogo SP

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
Brazil

Brazil | Serie B

08/06

23:00

Vila Nova
Botafogo SP

H

1.99

D

3.04

A

4.06

?
Brazil

Brazil | Serie B

FT

01/06

22:00

Ponte Preta
Botafogo SP
0
0

H

3.05

D

2.85

A

2.53

D
Brazil

Brazil | Serie B

FT

25/05

22:00

Botafogo SP
Athletic Club
1
2

H

1.96

D

3.09

A

4.18

L
Brazil

Brazil | Serie B

FT

16/05

21:30

Goias
Botafogo SP
1
0

H

1.95

D

3.15

A

4.11

L
Brazil

Brazil | Serie B

FT

10/05

22:30

Novorizontino
Botafogo SP
1
0

H

1.85

D

3.19

A

4.54

L
Brazil

Brazil | Serie B

FT

02/05

19:00

Botafogo SP
Nautico Recife
1
1

H

2.64

D

3.03

A

2.73

D
Brazil

Brazil | Serie B

FT

23/04

00:30

Cuiaba
Botafogo SP
1
1

H

1.91

D

2.97

A

4.59

D
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Lineups

Previous Match Lineup

Avg Changes: 2.67 per game

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

9

Gustavo Puskas

6.2
H

Midfielders

15

Dudu

6.3
L

8

Willian Maranhao

6.3
H

10

Marquinhos Gabriel

6.9
L

99

Janderson

6.3
L

Defenders

20

Nathan Camargo

6.6
H

3

Tiago Pagnussat

7.7
M

4

Pedro Romano

6.5
M

6

Higor

6.3
L

Goalkeepers

1

Helton Leite

7.6
L

Note: Missing historical data for 3 matches

Vila Nova

Previous Match Lineup

Avg Changes: 2.67 per game

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

9

Gustavo Puskas

6.2
H

Midfielders

15

Dudu

6.3
L

8

Willian Maranhao

6.3
H

10

Marquinhos Gabriel

6.9
L

99

Janderson

6.3
L

Defenders

20

Nathan Camargo

6.6
H

3

Tiago Pagnussat

7.7
M

4

Pedro Romano

6.5
M

6

Higor

6.3
L

Goalkeepers

1

Helton Leite

7.6
L

Note: Missing historical data for 3 matches

Botafogo SP

Previous Match Lineup

Avg Changes: 2.78 per game

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

30

Ze Hugo

6.9
M

9

Hygor

6.5
L

7

Kelvin

6.9
L

Midfielders

8

Everton Morelli

6.7
L

5

Leandro Maciel

6.3
M

10

Rafael Gava

7.3
M

Defenders

4

Vilar

6.6
L

13

Wallace

7.5
M

6

Patrick Brey

6.6
L

Goalkeepers

1

Victor Souza

6.9
M

Player Rotation Legend

L

Low

M

Medium

H

High

-

Unknown

  • Low: Regular starter with stable minutes
  • Medium: Plays regularly but role/minutes vary
  • High: Unpredictable role, often rotated or benched.

Overall Form

72%
Overall Form
33%
5
Wins
1
4
Draws
4
1
Losses
5

Rankings

Current Season

2
Brasileiro Serie B 2026
16
11
Played
11
2
Points per Match
0.91

Quality

68%
Team Quality
43%
55%
Avg Opponent Quality
52%

Goals Performance

58%
Goals Performance
37%
1.4
Scored Goals
0.7
0.9
Conceded Goals
1.1
0.5
Goals Difference
(Scored - Conceded)
-0.4
2.3
Total Goals
(Scored + Conceded)
1.8

Average Goals per Match

vs

Statistics

Average Statistics per Game

1.13
Expected Goals
Missing Data (3 | 0)
1.06
14.14
Total Shots
12.6
4.14
Shots on Goal
3.6
5.86
Shots Inside Box
7.5
8.29
Shots Outside Box
5.1
56%
Possession
51%
83%
Passes %
78%

Some data is missing for recent matches.

(Home: 3 | Away: 0)

We're working to fill in the gaps!

ODDS ANALYSIS

Odds Movement

All odds shown are the average odds from all bookmakers in our system.

Home

1.99

Draw

3.04

Away

4.06

1.97

Home

2.00

3.01

Draw

3.04

4.02

Away

4.16

Max

Home

2.00

Draw

3.04

Away

4.16

%

2%
1%
3%

Min

Home

1.97

Draw

3.01

Away

4.02

NOTE: Odds are updated every 3 hours.

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