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Home Favored
Jun 2, 2026, 10:02 AM
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A mid-table Azadegan League clash where Naft Gachsaran looks to extend their resilient unbeaten run against a travel-weary Be'sat Kermanshah side that has managed just one win in their last ten away fixtures. With both teams largely secure in the standings, the match likely hinges on whether the hosts' top-tier defensive discipline can stifle the visitors' league-low away scoring rate.
Home Motivation
Medium
Naft Gachsaran occupies a mid-table position (12th) and is not within the ±3 point range of either the promotion or relegation bands.
Away Motivation
Medium
Be'sat Kermanshah is situated in 10th place, firmly in the middle of the table with no realistic path to the promotion spots and no immediate relegation threat.
Market Picks
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The Evidence
Betting Edge
Key Metrics
Home
Metric
Away
1.75
Points Per Game (PPG)
Season avg
0.77
The hosts earn more than double the points per game at home compared to the visitors' performance on the road this season.
50%
Win Rate %
Home/Away split
10%
Naft Gachsaran has won half of their last 10 home league matches, while Be'sat Kermanshah has only won once in their last 10 away trips.
10%
Loss Rate %
Last 5 matches
50%
Be'sat Kermanshah is five times more likely to lose based on their last 10 matches across all competitions.
1.0
Goals Scored per Game
Home/Away split
0.54
The visitors struggle to find the net away from home, averaging nearly half as many goals as the hosts do at their own stadium.
10%
Over 2.5 Goals %
Last 5 matches
30%
Both sides trend heavily toward low-scoring matches, with the hosts well below the already low league average of 21%.
0.92
Goals Conceded per Game
All comps (EWMA)
0.95
Naft Gachsaran is trending at 0.92 goals conceded per game in recent-form average, slightly tighter than the visitors.
Form & Streaks
Naft Gachsaran has been exceptionally difficult to beat, recording 3W, 6D, and 1L in their last 10 matches across all competitions.
Be'sat Kermanshah has struggled significantly on the road, suffering 6 losses in their last 10 away matches (1W, 3D, 6L).
Naft Gachsaran has maintained strong home form in the Azadegan League, winning 5 of their last 10 at their own venue.
Tactical Overview
Naft Gachsaran enters this fixture with a high degree of stability, having avoided defeat in 9 of their last 10 league matches, including a hard-fought 2-1 victory over Saipa and a 1-0 win against Damash Gilanian. They are trending at 0.92 goals conceded per game in recent form, a metric supported by tactical reports of a highly conservative defensive block. Be'sat Kermanshah, despite being higher in the table, suffers from a severe away-day malaise, losing 4 of their last 5 road matches and averaging a meager 0.54 goals per game at away venues this season. Their 1-0 loss to Damash Gilanian in their most recent trip underscores a persistent struggle to break down compact opponents. While the visitors may attempt a proactive second-half rotation, Naft Gachsaran's home PPG of 1.75 this season suggests they are well-equipped to control the tempo and secure at least a point.
Match Context
Lineup Updates
Based on reports
Key Players
Information on specific key players for Naft Gachsaran is unverifiable from the provided search results. There are no recent reports detailing individual player form or importance for this match.
Absences
Absence information is not yet available. Check back closer to kickoff for confirmed lineups.
Home
Key Players
Information on specific key players for Naft Gachsaran is unverifiable from the provided search results. There are no recent reports detailing individual player form or importance for this match.
Absences
Absence information is not yet available. Check back closer to kickoff for confirmed lineups.
Away
Key Players
Information on specific key players for Be'sat Kermanshah is unverifiable from the provided search results. There are no recent reports detailing individual player form or importance for this match.
Absences
Absence information is not yet available. Check back closer to kickoff for confirmed lineups.
Lineup info is never 100% confirmed until matchday. Additional players may be unavailable.
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