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Ordabasy vs Kairat Almaty - 1X2 Stats & Probability Analysis

Win Draw Win Probability Models & Match Outcome Analysis

Kazakhstan

Kazakhstan

Premier League

Ordabasy

W
W
W
D
W
W

28 May 2026

15:00 (UTC+0)

(1
-
1)

2

-

1

FT

Kairat Almaty

D
W
D
W
W
L

ODDS ANALYSIS

Odds & Probability

Fulltime

Home

2.24
-

Draw

3.00
-

Away

3.05
-

1st Half

Home

2.82
-

Draw

2.04
-

Away

3.68
-

2nd Half

Home

2.56
-

Draw

2.31
-

Away

3.40
-

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MATCH EVIDENCE

Form & Performance

Kazakhstan

Premier League

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

88%

72%

100%

88%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

94%

78%

83%

82%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

88%

80%

75%

89%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

66%

82%

70%

84%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

85%

83%

83%

85%

Home only

Away only

Total Goals

average per game

Kazakhstan

Premier League

Excellent
Attack
Good
Excellent
Defense
Excellent

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

+1.33
1.83
0.5

Scored

Conceded

1.33
0.83

Difference

+0.5

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

+1
1.83
0.83

Scored

Conceded

1.67
0.5

Difference

+1.17

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

+1.12
1.75
0.62

Scored

Conceded

1.38
0.75

Difference

+0.62

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

+0.75
1.85
1.1

Scored

Conceded

1.6
0.55

Difference

+1.05

Season

Full season averages

Difference

+1.09
1.73
0.64

Scored

Conceded

1.42
0.5

Difference

+0.92

League Average

Total Goals Momentum

Normal

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Home vs Away Strength

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Total Goals

average per game

Kazakhstan

Premier League

Excellent
Attack
Good
Excellent
Defense
Excellent

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

+1.33
1.83
0.5

Scored

Conceded

1.33
0.83

Difference

+0.5

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

+1
1.83
0.83

Scored

Conceded

1.67
0.5

Difference

+1.17

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

+1.12
1.75
0.62

Scored

Conceded

1.38
0.75

Difference

+0.62

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

+0.75
1.85
1.1

Scored

Conceded

1.6
0.55

Difference

+1.05

Season

Full season averages

Difference

+1.09
1.73
0.64

Scored

Conceded

1.42
0.5

Difference

+0.92

League Average

Total Goals Momentum

Normal

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Form & Performance

Kazakhstan

Premier League

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

88%

72%

100%

88%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

94%

78%

83%

82%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

88%

80%

75%

89%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

66%

82%

70%

84%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

85%

83%

83%

85%

Home only

Away only

Home vs Away Strength

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HEAD TO HEAD

Head to Head

Last 365 days

1 Match

(0%)

0

Wins

Draws: 0

1

(100%)

1

(100%)

Avg Goals per Match

0
1

Scored

Conceded

1
0

Ordabasy

Kairat Almaty

All Matches

45 Matches

(29%)

13

Wins

Draws: 12

20

(44%)

13

(29%)

12

(27%)

20

(44%)

Avg Goals per Match

0.84
1.44

Scored

Conceded

1.44
0.84

Ordabasy

Kairat Almaty

Kazakhstan | Premier League

29 Jun 25

Ordabasy

0
1

Kairat Almaty

11mo ago

Kazakhstan | Cup

14 May 25

Ordabasy

1
0

Kairat Almaty

1y ago

Kazakhstan | Premier League

08 Mar 25

Kairat Almaty

4
0

Ordabasy

1y ago

Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

11/05
12/05

Home

1:0

13/05

14/05
15/05
16/05

Home

2:1

17/05

18/05
19/05
20/05
21/05
22/05

Away

0:3

23/05

24/05
25/05
26/05
27/05

Home

2:1

28/05

29/05
30/05
31/05
01/06
02/06
03/06
04/06
05/06
06/06
07/06

Head to Head

Last 365 days

1 Match

(0%)

0

Wins

Draws: 0

1

(100%)

1

(100%)

Avg Goals per Match

0
1

Scored

Conceded

1
0

Ordabasy

Kairat Almaty

All Matches

45 Matches

(29%)

13

Wins

Draws: 12

20

(44%)

13

(29%)

12

(27%)

20

(44%)

Avg Goals per Match

0.84
1.44

Scored

Conceded

1.44
0.84

Ordabasy

Kairat Almaty

Kazakhstan | Premier League

29 Jun 25

Ordabasy

0
1

Kairat Almaty

11mo ago

Kazakhstan | Cup

14 May 25

Ordabasy

1
0

Kairat Almaty

1y ago

Kazakhstan | Premier League

08 Mar 25

Kairat Almaty

4
0

Ordabasy

1y ago

Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

11/05
12/05

Home

1:0

13/05

14/05
15/05
16/05

Home

2:1

17/05

18/05
19/05
20/05
21/05
22/05

Away

0:3

23/05

24/05
25/05
26/05
27/05

Home

2:1

28/05

29/05
30/05
31/05
01/06
02/06
03/06
04/06
05/06
06/06
07/06

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Competition

Period

Side

FT/HT

MATCH EVIDENCE

Goals History

Ordabasy

Kairat Almaty

Last Matches (1X2)

Fulltime

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
Kazakhstan

Kazakhstan | Premier League

FT

28/05

15:00

Ordabasy
Kairat Almaty
2
1

H

2.24

D

3.00

A

3.05

W
Kazakhstan

Kazakhstan | Premier League

FT

23/05

15:00

FK Tobol Kostanay
Ordabasy
0
3

H

2.94

D

3.24

A

2.16

W
Kazakhstan

Kazakhstan | Premier League

FT

17/05

15:00

Ordabasy
Zhetysu
2
1

H

1.41

D

4.11

A

6.18

W
Kazakhstan

Kazakhstan | Cup

FT

13/05

15:00

Ordabasy
Zhetysu
1
0

H

1.36

D

4.07

A

7.74

W
Kazakhstan

Kazakhstan | Premier League

FT

10/05

11:00

Altay
Ordabasy
0
0
D
Kazakhstan

Kazakhstan | Premier League

FT

03/05

15:00

Ordabasy
Aktobe
2
0

H

1.66

D

3.49

A

4.44

W
Kazakhstan

Kazakhstan | Cup

FT

30/04

15:00

Ordabasy
Kaspiy
3
0

H

1.36

D

4.36

A

6.61

W
Wins
Draws
Easy
Average
Hard

Ordabasy

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
Kazakhstan

Kazakhstan | Premier League

FT

28/05

15:00

Ordabasy
Kairat Almaty
2
1

H

2.24

D

3.00

A

3.05

W
Kazakhstan

Kazakhstan | Premier League

FT

23/05

15:00

FK Tobol Kostanay
Ordabasy
0
3

H

2.94

D

3.24

A

2.16

W
Kazakhstan

Kazakhstan | Premier League

FT

17/05

15:00

Ordabasy
Zhetysu
2
1

H

1.41

D

4.11

A

6.18

W
Kazakhstan

Kazakhstan | Cup

FT

13/05

15:00

Ordabasy
Zhetysu
1
0

H

1.36

D

4.07

A

7.74

W
Kazakhstan

Kazakhstan | Premier League

FT

10/05

11:00

Altay
Ordabasy
0
0
D
Kazakhstan

Kazakhstan | Premier League

FT

03/05

15:00

Ordabasy
Aktobe
2
0

H

1.66

D

3.49

A

4.44

W
Kazakhstan

Kazakhstan | Cup

FT

30/04

15:00

Ordabasy
Kaspiy
3
0

H

1.36

D

4.36

A

6.61

W
Wins
Draws
Easy
Average
Hard

Kairat Almaty

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
Kazakhstan

Kazakhstan | Premier League

FT

28/05

15:00

Ordabasy
Kairat Almaty
2
1

H

2.24

D

3.00

A

3.05

L
Kazakhstan

Kazakhstan | Premier League

FT

23/05

13:00

Kairat Almaty
Kaisar
0
0

H

1.29

D

4.83

A

8.20

D
Kazakhstan

Kazakhstan | Premier League

FT

17/05

12:00

Zhenys
Kairat Almaty
1
2

H

4.34

D

3.27

A

1.75

W
Kazakhstan

Kazakhstan | Premier League

FT

10/05

10:00

Ulytau
Kairat Almaty
1
1

H

3.86

D

3.44

A

1.80

D
Kazakhstan

Kazakhstan | Premier League

FT

06/05

14:00

Kaisar
Kairat Almaty
1
2

H

4.25

D

3.53

A

1.68

W
Kazakhstan

Kazakhstan | Premier League

FT

02/05

12:00

Irtysh
Kairat Almaty
0
1
W
Kazakhstan

Kazakhstan | Cup

FT

29/04

15:00

Kaisar
Kairat Almaty
2
1

H

2.32

D

3.27

A

3.17

L
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Lineups

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 2.57 per game

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

15

Zhasulan Amir

-
-

Midfielders

55

Aleksa Amanović

-
-

22

Sultanbek Astanov

-
-

77

David Abagna

-
-

16

Mihai Căpățînă

-
-

10

Elkhan Astanov

-
-

11

Yurii Vakulko

-
-

Defenders

3

Guy-Marcelin Kilama

-
-

25

Sergey Maliy

-
-

5

Nikola Antić

-
-

Goalkeepers

1

Bekkhan Shayzada

-
-

Note: Missing historical data for 2 matches

Ordabasy

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 2.57 per game

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

15

Zhasulan Amir

-
-

Midfielders

55

Aleksa Amanović

-
-

22

Sultanbek Astanov

-
-

77

David Abagna

-
-

16

Mihai Căpățînă

-
-

10

Elkhan Astanov

-
-

11

Yurii Vakulko

-
-

Defenders

3

Guy-Marcelin Kilama

-
-

25

Sergey Maliy

-
-

5

Nikola Antić

-
-

Goalkeepers

1

Bekkhan Shayzada

-
-

Note: Missing historical data for 2 matches

Kairat Almaty

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 2 per game

Low Team Rotation!
Rare lineup changes boost chemistry but may cause fatigue

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

10

Dastan Satpaev

-
-

9

Edmilson

-
-

Midfielders

18

Dan Glazer

-
-

13

Jaakko Oksanen

-
-

7

Jorginho

-
-

19

Oiva Jukkola

-
-

Defenders

24

Aleksandr Mrynskiy

-
-

14

Aleksandr Martynovich

-
-

25

Aleksandr Shirobokov

-
-

3

Luís Mata

-
-

Goalkeepers

1

Temirlan Anarbekov

-
-

Note: Missing historical data for 2 matches

Player Rotation Legend

L

Low

M

Medium

H

High

-

Unknown

  • Low: Regular starter with stable minutes
  • Medium: Plays regularly but role/minutes vary
  • High: Unpredictable role, often rotated or benched.

Overall Form

90%
Overall Form
73%
8
Wins
5
2
Draws
4
0
Losses
1

Rankings

Current Season

2
Premier League
1
11
Played
12
2.27
Points per Match
2.17

Quality

82%
Team Quality
67%
57%
Avg Opponent Quality
59%

Goals Performance

74%
Goals Performance
59%
2
Scored Goals
1.5
0.6
Conceded Goals
0.9
1.4
Goals Difference
(Scored - Conceded)
0.6
2.6
Total Goals
(Scored + Conceded)
2.4

Average Goals per Match

vs

Statistics

No Statistics Available

ODDS ANALYSIS

Odds Movement

All odds shown are the average odds from all bookmakers in our system.

Home

2.24

Draw

3.00

Away

3.05

2.14

Home

2.50

3.00

Draw

3.20

2.61

Away

3.19

Max

Home

2.50

Draw

3.20

Away

3.19

%

17%
7%
22%

Min

Home

2.14

Draw

3.00

Away

2.61

NOTE: Odds are updated every 3 hours.

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