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Penarol vs Santa Fe - 1X2 Stats & Probability Analysis

Win Draw Win Probability Models & Match Outcome Analysis

World

World

CONMEBOL Libertadores

Penarol

W
D
W
W
D
D

28 May 2026

00:30 (UTC+0)

(0
-
1)

0

-

1

FT

Santa Fe

D
W
D
W
D
D

ODDS ANALYSIS

Odds & Probability

Fulltime

Home

1.67
-

Draw

3.54
-

Away

5.55
-

1st Half

Home

2.28
-

Draw

2.08
-

Away

5.59
-

2nd Half

Home

2.01
-

Draw

2.40
-

Away

5.23
-

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MATCH EVIDENCE

Form & Performance

Primera División - Apertura

Uruguay

vs

Colombia

Primera A

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

83%

72%

67%

43%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

78%

72%

42%

49%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

52%

73%

50%

52%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

62%

61%

60%

54%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

60%

59%

56%

55%

Home only

Away only

Total Goals

average per game

Primera División - Apertura

Uruguay

vs

Colombia

Primera A

Good
Attack
Excellent
Good
Defense
Good

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

+0.67
1.67
1

Scored

Conceded

1.5
0.67

Difference

+0.83

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

-0.33
1.17
1.5

Scored

Conceded

2.67
0.67

Difference

+2

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

+0.12
1.25
1.12

Scored

Conceded

1.88
1

Difference

+0.88

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

+0.3
1.35
1.05

Scored

Conceded

1.55
1.05

Difference

+0.5

Season

Full season averages

Difference

+0.29
1.25
0.96

Scored

Conceded

1.48
1.13

Difference

+0.35

Total Goals Momentum

Normal

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Home vs Away Strength

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Total Goals

average per game

Primera División - Apertura

Uruguay

vs

Colombia

Primera A

Good
Attack
Excellent
Good
Defense
Good

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

+0.67
1.67
1

Scored

Conceded

1.5
0.67

Difference

+0.83

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

-0.33
1.17
1.5

Scored

Conceded

2.67
0.67

Difference

+2

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

+0.12
1.25
1.12

Scored

Conceded

1.88
1

Difference

+0.88

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

+0.3
1.35
1.05

Scored

Conceded

1.55
1.05

Difference

+0.5

Season

Full season averages

Difference

+0.29
1.25
0.96

Scored

Conceded

1.48
1.13

Difference

+0.35

Total Goals Momentum

Normal

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Form & Performance

Primera División - Apertura

Uruguay

vs

Colombia

Primera A

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

83%

72%

67%

43%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

78%

72%

42%

49%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

52%

73%

50%

52%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

62%

61%

60%

54%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

60%

59%

56%

55%

Home only

Away only

Home vs Away Strength

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HEAD TO HEAD

Head to Head

Last 365 days

1 Match

(0%)

0

Wins

Draws: 1

0

(0%)

1

(100%)

Avg Goals per Match

1
1

Scored

Conceded

1
1

Penarol

Santa Fe

All Matches

1 Match

(0%)

0

Wins

Draws: 1

0

(0%)

1

(100%)

Avg Goals per Match

1
1

Scored

Conceded

1
1

Penarol

Santa Fe

World | CONMEBOL Libertadores

10 Apr 26

Santa Fe

1
1

Penarol

2mo ago

Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

Away

2:3

11/05

12/05
13/05
14/05
15/05

Home

2:1

16/05

17/05
18/05
19/05
20/05
21/05

Home

1:1

22/05

23/05

Away

0:2

24/05

25/05
26/05
27/05

Home

0:1

28/05

29/05
30/05
31/05

Home

?

01/06

02/06
03/06
04/06
05/06
06/06
07/06

Head to Head

Last 365 days

1 Match

(0%)

0

Wins

Draws: 1

0

(0%)

1

(100%)

Avg Goals per Match

1
1

Scored

Conceded

1
1

Penarol

Santa Fe

All Matches

1 Match

(0%)

0

Wins

Draws: 1

0

(0%)

1

(100%)

Avg Goals per Match

1
1

Scored

Conceded

1
1

Penarol

Santa Fe

World | CONMEBOL Libertadores

10 Apr 26

Santa Fe

1
1

Penarol

2mo ago

Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

Away

2:3

11/05

12/05
13/05
14/05
15/05

Home

2:1

16/05

17/05
18/05
19/05
20/05
21/05

Home

1:1

22/05

23/05

Away

0:2

24/05

25/05
26/05
27/05

Home

0:1

28/05

29/05
30/05
31/05

Home

?

01/06

02/06
03/06
04/06
05/06
06/06
07/06

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Competition

Period

Side

FT/HT

MATCH EVIDENCE

Goals History

Penarol

Santa Fe

Last Matches (1X2)

Fulltime

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
World

World | CONMEBOL Libertadores

FT

28/05

00:30

Penarol
Santa Fe
0
1

H

1.67

D

3.54

A

5.55

L
Uruguay

Uruguay | Primera División - Apertura

FT

24/05

21:30

Defensor Sporting
Penarol
0
2

H

3.24

D

3.11

A

2.18

W
World

World | CONMEBOL Libertadores

FT

22/05

00:30

Penarol
Corinthians
1
1

H

2.42

D

2.86

A

3.30

D
Uruguay

Uruguay | Primera División - Apertura

FT

16/05

21:30

Penarol
Liverpool Montevideo
2
1

H

1.81

D

3.31

A

4.25

W
Uruguay

Uruguay | Primera División - Apertura

FT

11/05

23:30

Cerro Largo
Penarol
2
3

H

4.18

D

3.35

A

1.80

W
World

World | CONMEBOL Libertadores

FT

07/05

22:00

Platense
Penarol
1
1

H

2.34

D

2.77

A

3.56

D
Uruguay

Uruguay | Primera División - Apertura

FT

04/05

22:30

Penarol
Defensor Sporting
1
1

H

1.67

D

3.40

A

4.99

D
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Penarol

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
World

World | CONMEBOL Libertadores

FT

28/05

00:30

Penarol
Santa Fe
0
1

H

1.67

D

3.54

A

5.55

L
Uruguay

Uruguay | Primera División - Apertura

FT

24/05

21:30

Defensor Sporting
Penarol
0
2

H

3.24

D

3.11

A

2.18

W
World

World | CONMEBOL Libertadores

FT

22/05

00:30

Penarol
Corinthians
1
1

H

2.42

D

2.86

A

3.30

D
Uruguay

Uruguay | Primera División - Apertura

FT

16/05

21:30

Penarol
Liverpool Montevideo
2
1

H

1.81

D

3.31

A

4.25

W
Uruguay

Uruguay | Primera División - Apertura

FT

11/05

23:30

Cerro Largo
Penarol
2
3

H

4.18

D

3.35

A

1.80

W
World

World | CONMEBOL Libertadores

FT

07/05

22:00

Platense
Penarol
1
1

H

2.34

D

2.77

A

3.56

D
Uruguay

Uruguay | Primera División - Apertura

FT

04/05

22:30

Penarol
Defensor Sporting
1
1

H

1.67

D

3.40

A

4.99

D
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Santa Fe

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
World

World | CONMEBOL Libertadores

FT

28/05

00:30

Penarol
Santa Fe
0
1

H

1.67

D

3.54

A

5.55

W
Colombia

Colombia | Primera A

PN

24/05

01:30

Junior
Santa Fe
0
0

H

1.92

D

3.34

A

3.90

D
World

World | CONMEBOL Libertadores

FT

20/05

00:00

Santa Fe
Platense
2
1
W
Colombia

Colombia | Primera A

FT

17/05

01:30

Santa Fe
Junior
1
1

H

1.73

D

3.56

A

4.59

D
Colombia

Colombia | Primera A

FT

13/05

01:30

Santa Fe
America de Cali
4
0

H

2.22

D

3.06

A

3.31

W
Colombia

Colombia | Primera A

FT

10/05

01:20

America de Cali
Santa Fe
1
1

H

1.77

D

3.48

A

4.49

D
World

World | CONMEBOL Libertadores

FT

07/05

00:30

Santa Fe
Corinthians
1
1

H

3.12

D

2.93

A

2.49

D
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Lineups

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 3.56 per game

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

19

M. Arezo

7.2
L

Midfielders

21

Jesus Trindade

6.9
L

77

L. Angulo

6.3
H

8

N. Fernandez

7.2
L

93

D. Laxalt

6.7
M

32

L. Umpierrez

6.7
L

Defenders

36

B. Barboza

6.2
H

3

M. Lemos

7.6
L

6

L. Ferreira

7.3
L

2

F. Escobar

6.3
L

Goalkeepers

29

W. Aguerre

6.3
L

Penarol

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 3.56 per game

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

19

M. Arezo

7.2
L

Midfielders

21

Jesus Trindade

6.9
L

77

L. Angulo

6.3
H

8

N. Fernandez

7.2
L

93

D. Laxalt

6.7
M

32

L. Umpierrez

6.7
L

Defenders

36

B. Barboza

6.2
H

3

M. Lemos

7.6
L

6

L. Ferreira

7.3
L

2

F. Escobar

6.3
L

Goalkeepers

29

W. Aguerre

6.3
L

Santa Fe

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 1.22 per game

Low Team Rotation!
Rare lineup changes boost chemistry but may cause fatigue

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

11

H. Rodallega

6.7
L

Midfielders

7

J. Torres

6.7
H

16

D. Torres

6.9
L

27

Y. A. Perlaza Perea

6.5
M

19

N. Bustos

6.2
M

10

A. Zapata

8.3
H

Defenders

4

M. Puerta

7.2
L

18

E. Olivera

6.9
L

3

V. Moreno

7
L

24

J. Angulo

6.3
H

Goalkeepers

1

A. Mosquera

7.2
L

Player Rotation Legend

L

Low

M

Medium

H

High

-

Unknown

  • Low: Regular starter with stable minutes
  • Medium: Plays regularly but role/minutes vary
  • High: Unpredictable role, often rotated or benched.

Overall Form

49%
Overall Form
73%
3
Wins
5
4
Draws
4
3
Losses
1

Rankings

Current Season

4
CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026, Group E
3
5
Played
5
0.6
Points per Match
1

Quality

55%
Team Quality
67%
50%
Avg Opponent Quality
56%

Goals Performance

47%
Goals Performance
64%
1.3
Scored Goals
2
1.3
Conceded Goals
0.8
0
Goals Difference
(Scored - Conceded)
1.2
2.6
Total Goals
(Scored + Conceded)
2.8

Average Goals per Match

vs

Statistics

Average Statistics per Game

0.63
Expected Goals
Missing Data (6 | 0)
1.27
10.5
Total Shots
12.1
3.5
Shots on Goal
4.8
5.25
Shots Inside Box
6.7
5.25
Shots Outside Box
5.5
38%
Possession
45%
59%
Passes %
76%

Some data is missing for recent matches.

(Home: 6 | Away: 0)

We're working to fill in the gaps!

ODDS ANALYSIS

Odds Movement

All odds shown are the average odds from all bookmakers in our system.

Home

1.67

Draw

3.54

Away

5.55

1.67

Home

1.88

3.29

Draw

3.54

4.14

Away

5.55

Max

Home

1.88

Draw

3.54

Away

5.55

%

13%
8%
34%

Min

Home

1.67

Draw

3.29

Away

4.14

NOTE: Odds are updated every 3 hours.

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