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Jun 7, 2026, 06:04 PM
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League leaders Capital Brasilia host a struggling União Rondonópolis side in a fixture that highlights a stark contrast in recent fortunes and league positioning. Capital Brasilia aims to solidify their top spot, while União Rondonópolis seeks a result to climb the table.
Home Motivation
Medium
Away Motivation
Medium
Market Picks
Portal Pulse
The Evidence
Betting Edge
Key Metrics
Home
Metric
Away
0.88
Goals conceded per game (EWMA)
All comps (EWMA)
1.83
Capital Brasilia's defensive record (0.88 goals conceded per game) is substantially stronger than União Rondonópolis's (1.83), suggesting they will be difficult to break down.
2.25
PPG (3/1/0) (Serie D venue)
Serie D at venue (last 10)
1.00
Capital Brasilia averages 1.9 points per game at home in Serie D, while União Rondonópolis scrapes just 0.6 points per game away in the same competition, indicating a clear home advantage.
60%
Win rate % (Serie D)
League (last 10)
30%
Capital Brasilia boasts a 60% win rate in Serie D matches over their last 10, significantly higher than União Rondonópolis's 30%, reflecting their league-leading form.
1.63
Goals scored per game (EWMA)
All comps (EWMA)
1.31
While not a massive gap, Capital Brasilia's higher average of 1.63 goals scored per game (EWMA) suggests a more consistent attacking threat compared to União Rondonópolis's 1.31.
50%
Clean sheet % (Serie D venue)
Serie D at venue (last 10)
0%
Capital Brasilia keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time at home in Serie D, whereas União Rondonópolis has failed to keep any clean sheets in their last 10 away matches in the competition.
0.50
Goals conceded per game (Serie D venue)
Serie D at venue (last 10)
2.25
Capital Brasilia concedes a stingy 0.6 goals at home in Serie D, while União Rondonópolis lets in a high 1.9 goals away in the league, highlighting the defensive disparity.
Form & Streaks
Capital Brasilia is undefeated in their last 10 Serie D home matches (5W, 4D, 1L)
União Rondonópolis has lost 6 of their last 10 Serie D away matches (1W, 3D, 6L)
Capital Brasilia have won 5 of their last 10 league matches (6W, 2D, 2L in Serie D)
União Rondonópolis lost their most recent home game (2-3 vs Ceilândia) and have won only 1 of their last 6 home games (1W, 2D, 3L in home league matches)
Tactical Overview
Capital Brasilia sits atop Serie D, commanding a 20-point lead over fifth-placed União Rondonópolis, a gap that underscores their superiority this season. Their recent form is robust, boasting a 5-0-1 record in their last six league matches at home, including a 1-0 win over União Rondonópolis two months ago. On a recent-form basis, Capital Brasilia averages 1.63 goals scored and a mere 0.88 goals conceded per game, showcasing a strong attacking threat paired with defensive solidity. Conversely, União Rondonópolis has found wins scarce, particularly away from home where they've managed just two victories in their last ten league away matches, conceding 19 goals in that span. Their overall recent form shows 2 wins against 5 losses in their last 10 games across all competitions. Capital Brasilia's offensive output, evidenced by their recent-form average of 1.63 goals scored per game, is well above União Rondonópolis's 1.31, and their defensive record is significantly tighter.
Match Context
Lineup Updates
Based on reports
Key Players
Capital Brasilia will likely rely on the attacking prowess of Alison Mira and the creative playmaking of Tobinha. Defensively, the experience of Éder Lima will be crucial in organizing the backline.
Absences
Absence information is not yet available. Check back closer to kickoff for confirmed lineups.
Home
Key Players
Capital Brasilia will likely rely on the attacking prowess of Alison Mira and the creative playmaking of Tobinha. Defensively, the experience of Éder Lima will be crucial in organizing the backline.
Absences
Absence information is not yet available. Check back closer to kickoff for confirmed lineups.
Away
Key Players
União Rondonópolis will look to Italo Tanque to lead their attack and provide a goal threat. In midfield, Gabriel Santana will be key in dictating the tempo, while Arthur Amorim is expected to anchor the defense.
Absences
Absence information is not yet available. Check back closer to kickoff for confirmed lineups.
Lineup info is never 100% confirmed until matchday. Additional players may be unavailable.
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