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D. La Serena vs Union La Calera - 1X2 Stats & Probability Analysis

Win Draw Win Probability Models & Match Outcome Analysis

Chile

Chile

Copa De La Liga

D. La Serena

L
W
L
L
L
D

07 Jun 2026

16:30 (UTC+0)

(0
-
2)

0

-

2

FT

Union La Calera

D
L
L
W
D
L

ODDS ANALYSIS

Odds & Probability

Fulltime

Home

3.06
-

Draw

3.05
-

Away

2.23
-

1st Half

Home

3.74
-

Draw

1.99
-

Away

2.93
-

2nd Half

Home

3.42
-

Draw

2.24
-

Away

2.66
-

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MATCH EVIDENCE

Form & Performance

Chile

Primera División

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

33%

22%

33%

43%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

25%

38%

42%

55%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

32%

53%

45%

43%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

37%

49%

35%

32%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

37%

52%

41%

48%

Home only

Away only

Total Goals

average per game

Chile

Primera División

Good
Attack
Poor
Poor
Defense
Good

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

-1.67
1.5
3.17

Scored

Conceded

0.83
1.33

Difference

-0.5

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

-0.83
1.5
2.33

Scored

Conceded

1
1

Difference

0

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

-1.5
1.25
2.75

Scored

Conceded

1
1.62

Difference

-0.62

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

-0.75
1.4
2.15

Scored

Conceded

1.1
1.3

Difference

-0.2

Season

Full season averages

Difference

-0.75
1.4
2.15

Scored

Conceded

1.11
1.26

Difference

-0.16

Total Goals Momentum

Epic

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Home vs Away Strength

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Total Goals

average per game

Chile

Primera División

Good
Attack
Poor
Poor
Defense
Good

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

-1.67
1.5
3.17

Scored

Conceded

0.83
1.33

Difference

-0.5

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

-0.83
1.5
2.33

Scored

Conceded

1
1

Difference

0

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

-1.5
1.25
2.75

Scored

Conceded

1
1.62

Difference

-0.62

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

-0.75
1.4
2.15

Scored

Conceded

1.1
1.3

Difference

-0.2

Season

Full season averages

Difference

-0.75
1.4
2.15

Scored

Conceded

1.11
1.26

Difference

-0.16

Total Goals Momentum

Epic

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Form & Performance

Chile

Primera División

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

33%

22%

33%

43%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

25%

38%

42%

55%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

32%

53%

45%

43%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

37%

49%

35%

32%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

37%

52%

41%

48%

Home only

Away only

Home vs Away Strength

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HEAD TO HEAD

Head to Head

Last 365 days

3 Matches

(33%)

1

Wins

Draws: 1

1

(33%)

1

(33%)

1

(33%)

1

(33%)

Avg Goals per Match

1.67
1

Scored

Conceded

1
1.67

D. La Serena

Union La Calera

All Matches

10 Matches

(40%)

4

Wins

Draws: 2

4

(40%)

4

(40%)

2

(20%)

4

(40%)

Avg Goals per Match

1.3
1.3

Scored

Conceded

1.3
1.3

D. La Serena

Union La Calera

Chile | Copa De La Liga

28 Mar 26

Union La Calera

2
1

D. La Serena

2mo ago

Chile | Primera División

06 Mar 26

D. La Serena

3
0

Union La Calera

3mo ago

Chile | Primera División

16 Aug 25

Union La Calera

1
1

D. La Serena

10mo ago

Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

18/05
19/05
20/05
21/05
22/05
23/05

Home

4:1

24/05

25/05
26/05
27/05
28/05
29/05

Home

2:4

30/05

31/05
01/06
02/06
03/06
04/06
05/06
06/06

Home

0:2

07/06

08/06
09/06
10/06
11/06
12/06

Away

?

13/06

14/06

Head to Head

Last 365 days

3 Matches

(33%)

1

Wins

Draws: 1

1

(33%)

1

(33%)

1

(33%)

1

(33%)

Avg Goals per Match

1.67
1

Scored

Conceded

1
1.67

D. La Serena

Union La Calera

All Matches

10 Matches

(40%)

4

Wins

Draws: 2

4

(40%)

4

(40%)

2

(20%)

4

(40%)

Avg Goals per Match

1.3
1.3

Scored

Conceded

1.3
1.3

D. La Serena

Union La Calera

Chile | Copa De La Liga

28 Mar 26

Union La Calera

2
1

D. La Serena

2mo ago

Chile | Primera División

06 Mar 26

D. La Serena

3
0

Union La Calera

3mo ago

Chile | Primera División

16 Aug 25

Union La Calera

1
1

D. La Serena

10mo ago

Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

18/05
19/05
20/05
21/05
22/05
23/05

Home

4:1

24/05

25/05
26/05
27/05
28/05
29/05

Home

2:4

30/05

31/05
01/06
02/06
03/06
04/06
05/06
06/06

Home

0:2

07/06

08/06
09/06
10/06
11/06
12/06

Away

?

13/06

14/06

Unlock In-Depth Sports Data Insights!

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Competition

Period

Side

FT/HT

MATCH EVIDENCE

Goals History

D. La Serena

Union La Calera

Last Matches (1X2)

Fulltime

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
Chile

Chile | Copa De La Liga

FT

07/06

16:30

D. La Serena
Union La Calera
0
2

H

3.06

D

3.05

A

2.23

L
Chile

Chile | Primera División

FT

30/05

19:00

D. La Serena
Colo Colo
2
4

H

3.55

D

3.31

A

2.01

L
Chile

Chile | Primera División

FT

24/05

19:00

D. La Serena
Deportes Limache
4
1

H

2.54

D

3.35

A

2.55

W
Chile

Chile | Primera División

FT

16/05

00:00

Palestino
D. La Serena
5
1

H

1.96

D

3.35

A

3.64

L
Chile

Chile | Copa De La Liga

FT

09/05

19:00

D. La Serena
A. Italiano
2
4

H

3.45

D

3.48

A

1.90

L
Chile

Chile | Copa De La Liga

FT

02/05

19:00

D. La Serena
Universidad de Chile
0
5
L
Chile

Chile | Primera División

FT

26/04

16:30

D. La Serena
Huachipato
0
0

H

2.09

D

3.32

A

3.26

D
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

D. La Serena

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
Chile

Chile | Copa De La Liga

FT

07/06

16:30

D. La Serena
Union La Calera
0
2

H

3.06

D

3.05

A

2.23

L
Chile

Chile | Primera División

FT

30/05

19:00

D. La Serena
Colo Colo
2
4

H

3.55

D

3.31

A

2.01

L
Chile

Chile | Primera División

FT

24/05

19:00

D. La Serena
Deportes Limache
4
1

H

2.54

D

3.35

A

2.55

W
Chile

Chile | Primera División

FT

16/05

00:00

Palestino
D. La Serena
5
1

H

1.96

D

3.35

A

3.64

L
Chile

Chile | Copa De La Liga

FT

09/05

19:00

D. La Serena
A. Italiano
2
4

H

3.45

D

3.48

A

1.90

L
Chile

Chile | Copa De La Liga

FT

02/05

19:00

D. La Serena
Universidad de Chile
0
5
L
Chile

Chile | Primera División

FT

26/04

16:30

D. La Serena
Huachipato
0
0

H

2.09

D

3.32

A

3.26

D
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Union La Calera

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
Chile

Chile | Copa De La Liga

FT

07/06

16:30

D. La Serena
Union La Calera
0
2

H

3.06

D

3.05

A

2.23

W
Chile

Chile | Primera División

FT

30/05

00:30

Universidad de Concepcion
Union La Calera
0
0

H

2.55

D

3.26

A

2.62

D
Chile

Chile | Primera División

FT

24/05

00:00

Union La Calera
Palestino
1
2

H

2.74

D

3.13

A

2.50

L
Chile

Chile | Primera División

FT

17/05

16:30

Huachipato
Union La Calera
3
1

H

2.13

D

3.21

A

3.32

L
Chile

Chile | Copa De La Liga

FT

10/05

19:00

Union La Calera
Universidad de Chile
1
0

H

3.47

D

3.43

A

1.91

W
Chile

Chile | Copa De La Liga

FT

02/05

16:30

A. Italiano
Union La Calera
1
1
D
Chile

Chile | Primera División

FT

24/04

22:00

Union La Calera
Coquimbo Unido
1
2

H

3.11

D

3.08

A

2.29

L
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Lineups

Previous Match Lineup

Avg Changes: 2.78 per game

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

11

D. Rubio

7.9
M

10

J. Vargas

6.7
L

Midfielders

9

A. Henriquez

6.5
H

8

G. Escalante

6
M

14

F. Chamorro

6.5
L

Defenders

21

B. Gutierrez

7
L

4

F. Mac Allister

6.2
L

33

R. Delgado

5.9
L

17

Y. Salazar

5.3
L

Goalkeepers

1

F. Lanzillotta

5.6
L

D. La Serena

Previous Match Lineup

Avg Changes: 2.78 per game

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

11

D. Rubio

7.9
M

10

J. Vargas

6.7
L

Midfielders

9

A. Henriquez

6.5
H

8

G. Escalante

6
M

14

F. Chamorro

6.5
L

Defenders

21

B. Gutierrez

7
L

4

F. Mac Allister

6.2
L

33

R. Delgado

5.9
L

17

Y. Salazar

5.3
L

Goalkeepers

1

F. Lanzillotta

5.6
L

Union La Calera

Previous Match Lineup

Avg Changes: 2.67 per game

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

11

S. Saez

6.5
L

19

M. Campos

6.3
M

Midfielders

10

K. Mendez

6.7
L

2

Y. W. Andia Leon

7
M

8

Y. Leiva

6.6
H

7

B. Oyarzo Munoz

6.3
L

Defenders

24

J. Requena

6.6
L

3

N. Palma

7.3
L

27

D. Gutierrez

6.6
M

Goalkeepers

1

N. Avellaneda

7.5
L

Player Rotation Legend

L

Low

M

Medium

H

High

-

Unknown

  • Low: Regular starter with stable minutes
  • Medium: Plays regularly but role/minutes vary
  • High: Unpredictable role, often rotated or benched.

Overall Form

32%
Overall Form
53%
2
Wins
4
2
Draws
2
6
Losses
4

Rankings

Current Season

4
Copa de la Liga 2026, Group D
2
5
Played
5
0.2
Points per Match
2

Quality

38%
Team Quality
51%
49%
Avg Opponent Quality
54%

Goals Performance

31%
Goals Performance
43%
1.4
Scored Goals
1
2.8
Conceded Goals
1.4
-1.4
Goals Difference
(Scored - Conceded)
-0.4
4.2
Total Goals
(Scored + Conceded)
2.4

Average Goals per Match

vs

Statistics

Average Statistics per Game

1.32
Expected Goals
Missing Data (9 | 10)
-
10.29
Total Shots
10.14
4
Shots on Goal
3
6.14
Shots Inside Box
6.29
4.14
Shots Outside Box
3.86
49%
Possession
51%
74%
Passes %
78%

Some data is missing for recent matches.

(Home: 3 | Away: 3)

We're working to fill in the gaps!

ODDS ANALYSIS

Odds Movement

All odds shown are the average odds from all bookmakers in our system.

Home

3.06

Draw

3.05

Away

2.23

3.00

Home

3.49

3.04

Draw

3.29

2.00

Away

2.28

Max

Home

3.49

Draw

3.29

Away

2.28

%

16%
8%
14%

Min

Home

3.00

Draw

3.04

Away

2.00

NOTE: Odds are updated every 3 hours.

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