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Luxembourg vs Italy - 1X2 Stats & Probability Analysis

Win Draw Win Probability Models & Match Outcome Analysis

World

World

Friendlies

Luxembourg

W
W
L
L
L
L

03 Jun 2026

18:45 (UTC+0)

(0
-
0)

0

-

1

FT

Italy

D
W
L
W
W
W

ODDS ANALYSIS

Odds & Probability

Fulltime

Home

6.67
-

Draw

4.59
-

Away

1.43
-

1st Half

Home

6.34
-

Draw

2.42
-

Away

1.89
-

2nd Half

Home

5.92
-

Draw

2.79
-

Away

1.73
-

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MATCH EVIDENCE

Form & Performance

All Competitions

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

67%

55%

33%

88%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

33%

78%

25%

72%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

25%

76%

30%

73%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

26%

67%

45%

61%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

-

-

-

-

Home only

Away only

Total Goals

average per game

All Competitions

Poor
Attack
Excellent
Good
Defense
Good

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

-0.67
0.83
1.5

Scored

Conceded

2
1

Difference

+1

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

-0.5
0.67
1.17

Scored

Conceded

2.33
1

Difference

+1.33

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

-1.25
0.38
1.62

Scored

Conceded

2.38
0.75

Difference

+1.62

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

-0.95
0.55
1.5

Scored

Conceded

2.1
1.45

Difference

+0.65

Season

Full season averages

Difference

-

Scored

Conceded

Difference

-

Total Goals Momentum

Normal

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Home vs Away Strength

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Total Goals

average per game

All Competitions

Poor
Attack
Excellent
Good
Defense
Good

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

-0.67
0.83
1.5

Scored

Conceded

2
1

Difference

+1

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

-0.5
0.67
1.17

Scored

Conceded

2.33
1

Difference

+1.33

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

-1.25
0.38
1.62

Scored

Conceded

2.38
0.75

Difference

+1.62

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

-0.95
0.55
1.5

Scored

Conceded

2.1
1.45

Difference

+0.65

Season

Full season averages

Difference

-

Scored

Conceded

Difference

-

Total Goals Momentum

Normal

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Form & Performance

All Competitions

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

67%

55%

33%

88%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

33%

78%

25%

72%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

25%

76%

30%

73%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

26%

67%

45%

61%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

-

-

-

-

Home only

Away only

Home vs Away Strength

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HEAD TO HEAD

Head to Head

Last 365 days

No Matches

No matches found

All Matches

No Matches

No matches found

Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

18/05
19/05
20/05
21/05
22/05
23/05
24/05
25/05
26/05
27/05
28/05
29/05
30/05
31/05
01/06
02/06

Home

0:1

03/06

04/06
05/06

Away

0:1

06/06

07/06
08/06
09/06
10/06
11/06
12/06
13/06
14/06

Head to Head

Last 365 days

No Matches

No matches found

All Matches

No Matches

No matches found

Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

18/05
19/05
20/05
21/05
22/05
23/05
24/05
25/05
26/05
27/05
28/05
29/05
30/05
31/05
01/06
02/06

Home

0:1

03/06

04/06
05/06

Away

0:1

06/06

07/06
08/06
09/06
10/06
11/06
12/06
13/06
14/06

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Competition

Period

Side

FT/HT

MATCH EVIDENCE

Goals History

Luxembourg

Italy

Last Matches (1X2)

Fulltime

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
World

World | Friendlies

FT

03/06

18:45

Luxembourg
Italy
0
1

H

6.67

D

4.59

A

1.43

L
World

World | UEFA Nations League

FT

31/03

16:00

Luxembourg
Malta
3
0

H

1.69

D

3.62

A

5.35

W
World

World | UEFA Nations League

FT

26/03

17:00

Malta
Luxembourg
0
2

H

3.92

D

2.92

A

2.16

W
World

World | World Cup - Qualification Europe

FT

17/11

19:45

Northern Ireland
Luxembourg
1
0

H

1.70

D

3.56

A

5.46

L
World

World | World Cup - Qualification Europe

FT

14/11

19:45

Luxembourg
Germany
0
2

H

25.06

D

10.32

A

1.10

L
World

World | World Cup - Qualification Europe

FT

13/10

18:45

Slovakia
Luxembourg
2
0

H

1.34

D

4.74

A

10.06

L
World

World | World Cup - Qualification Europe

FT

10/10

18:45

Germany
Luxembourg
4
0

H

1.04

D

16.03

A

52.98

L
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Luxembourg

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
World

World | Friendlies

FT

03/06

18:45

Luxembourg
Italy
0
1

H

6.67

D

4.59

A

1.43

L
World

World | UEFA Nations League

FT

31/03

16:00

Luxembourg
Malta
3
0

H

1.69

D

3.62

A

5.35

W
World

World | UEFA Nations League

FT

26/03

17:00

Malta
Luxembourg
0
2

H

3.92

D

2.92

A

2.16

W
World

World | World Cup - Qualification Europe

FT

17/11

19:45

Northern Ireland
Luxembourg
1
0

H

1.70

D

3.56

A

5.46

L
World

World | World Cup - Qualification Europe

FT

14/11

19:45

Luxembourg
Germany
0
2

H

25.06

D

10.32

A

1.10

L
World

World | World Cup - Qualification Europe

FT

13/10

18:45

Slovakia
Luxembourg
2
0

H

1.34

D

4.74

A

10.06

L
World

World | World Cup - Qualification Europe

FT

10/10

18:45

Germany
Luxembourg
4
0

H

1.04

D

16.03

A

52.98

L
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Italy

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
World

World | Friendlies

FT

03/06

18:45

Luxembourg
Italy
0
1

H

6.67

D

4.59

A

1.43

W
World

World | World Cup - Qualification Europe

PN

31/03

18:45

Bosnia & Herzegovina
Italy
1
1

H

7.57

D

4.22

A

1.47

D
World

World | World Cup - Qualification Europe

FT

26/03

19:45

Italy
Northern Ireland
2
0

H

1.26

D

5.52

A

12.77

W
World

World | World Cup - Qualification Europe

FT

16/11

19:45

Italy
Norway
1
4

H

2.16

D

3.54

A

3.26

L
World

World | World Cup - Qualification Europe

FT

13/11

19:45

Moldova
Italy
0
2

H

24.41

D

10.30

A

1.10

W
World

World | World Cup - Qualification Europe

FT

14/10

18:45

Italy
Israel
3
0

H

1.19

D

7.20

A

13.70

W
World

World | World Cup - Qualification Europe

FT

11/10

18:45

Estonia
Italy
1
3

H

31.01

D

11.89

A

1.08

W
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Lineups

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 1.89 per game

Low Team Rotation!
Rare lineup changes boost chemistry but may cause fatigue

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

10

D. Sinani

7.2
L

Midfielders

15

V. Thill

7
M

8

C. Martins

6.3
L

19

M. Olesen

6.5
L

6

T. de Sousa

6.6
H

7

F. Bohnert

6.9
L

Defenders

18

L. Jans

6.9
L

2

S. Korac

6.6
L

13

D. Carlson

6.3
L

Goalkeepers

1

A. Moris

6.6
L

Luxembourg

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 1.89 per game

Low Team Rotation!
Rare lineup changes boost chemistry but may cause fatigue

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

10

D. Sinani

7.2
L

Midfielders

15

V. Thill

7
M

8

C. Martins

6.3
L

19

M. Olesen

6.5
L

6

T. de Sousa

6.6
H

7

F. Bohnert

6.9
L

Defenders

18

L. Jans

6.9
L

2

S. Korac

6.6
L

13

D. Carlson

6.3
L

Goalkeepers

1

A. Moris

6.6
L

Italy

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 4.22 per game

High Team Rotation!
Frequent lineup changes help manage fatigue but may disrupt team chemistry

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

7

L. Cherubini

6.6
-

9

F. Esposito

7.3
H

11

L. Koleosho

6.3
-

Midfielders

21

N. Pisilli

6.6
H

5

L. Lipani

6.9
-

10

C. Ndour

6.9
-

Defenders

22

C. Favasuli

7
-

15

P. Comuzzo

6.9
-

4

F. C. Chiarodia

7
-

3

D. Bartesaghi

7.9
-

Goalkeepers

1

G. Donnarumma

7
M

Player Rotation Legend

L

Low

M

Medium

H

High

-

Unknown

  • Low: Regular starter with stable minutes
  • Medium: Plays regularly but role/minutes vary
  • High: Unpredictable role, often rotated or benched.

Overall Form

25%
Overall Form
76%
2
Wins
7
1
Draws
1
7
Losses
2

Quality

31%
Team Quality
70%
53%
Avg Opponent Quality
50%

Goals Performance

32%
Goals Performance
64%
0.6
Scored Goals
2.4
1.4
Conceded Goals
1.3
-0.8
Goals Difference
(Scored - Conceded)
1.1
2
Total Goals
(Scored + Conceded)
3.7

Average Goals per Match

vs

Statistics

Average Statistics per Game

0.51
Expected Goals
Missing Data (8 | 8)
1.87
8.56
Total Shots
20.2
2.89
Shots on Goal
6.7
4.67
Shots Inside Box
13.6
3.89
Shots Outside Box
6.6
49%
Possession
60%
80%
Passes %
86%

Some data is missing for recent matches.

(Home: 1 | Away: 0)

We're working to fill in the gaps!

ODDS ANALYSIS

Odds Movement

All odds shown are the average odds from all bookmakers in our system.

Home

6.67

Draw

4.59

Away

1.43

5.84

Home

7.10

3.86

Draw

4.59

1.43

Away

1.56

Max

Home

7.10

Draw

4.59

Away

1.56

%

22%
19%
9%

Min

Home

5.84

Draw

3.86

Away

1.43

NOTE: Odds are updated every 3 hours.

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